9/28/22 XBISPDR S&P Biotech ETF ( AMEX:XBI )
Sector: Miscellaneous (Investment Trusts/Mutual Funds)
Market Capitalization: $ --
Current Price: $81.20
Breakout price: $84.40
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $80.50-$74.75
Price Target: $99.10-$100.80
Estimated Duration to Target: 75-81d
Contract of Interest: $XBI 12/16/22 85c
Trade price as of publish date: $5.40/contract
Biotech
Is $XBI leading a turn up for QQQ, NDX?Both $QQQ and $XBI made a bullish reversal open on 27 Sep., however QQQ sold down while XBI moved higher.
When the daily candle on XBI (or candle pattern) does not match that on QQQ, take note. I have added lines to highlight examples, and these mismatches often occur at turning points with XBI indicating direction for QQQ.
It is not a sure predictor, as you can find counter examples also. See end of Jul. and 15 Sep. In the past few months I have found it useful to look at XBI and Bitcoin daily charts when evaluating direction for SPX and NDX.
LABU 3X LEVERAGED BIOTECH ETF on support for LONGAMEX:LABU
LABU a 3x leveraged EFT in the biotechnology sector has diverse holdings.
My thesis is that biotechnology and healthcare are relatively unhinged from the broader general market.
On this 15 minute chart, consolidation at support is seen in July, Price then rapidly rose
into a triple top in mid-August followed by a descent into a double bottom at the support level.
This is a leveraged ETF with good volatility which can be traded.
The volume profile of July through mid-August sets a POC as 8,65. This is the best support level
within the zone. In the same fashion the volume profile of mid-August through the present sets
a POC at 12.45 which is the bottom of the resistance zone. The spread is approximately 40% upside
over perhaps two weeks of the expectant uptrend.
The zero-lag SMA / EMA oscillator is showing green at its most recent print with an uptrend noted.
I will take a trade in a call option with a strike 20 % higher than current price
given the potential immediate upside of 40%. I will select an expiration in 4-6 weeks and hope
for a 100-200% return.
Where I'm Buying CPRXCatalyst Pharma (CPRX) is an absolute monster. Not only is the company posting huge sales and earnings growth in a sector that rarely has either, the stock has more than doubled over the last few months.
There are 801 stocks in the biotech group tracked by Investors Business Daily, and CPRX ranks at the very top (see image in chart).
After such a large advance higher, we must remain cautious to the possibility of a retracement. So we need to see signs of additional strength to trigger an entry.
I’m watching for a move above last week’s high for my buy signal. This way, I can place a stop below last week’s low and still get away with a risk of 8% or less on the trade.
NBIX Breakout TradeNBIX is in the biotech sector which I have been highlighting for several months as one of the strongest areas in the market.
After emerging from a textbook breakout pattern in early August, shares have consolidated in a tight handle formation.
If you look at the relative strength line at the top of the chart, you will notice three pink dots over the last several days. These show the RS line making new highs. Although the stock drifted sideways, the rest of the market has been in an ugly correction, so NBIX is actually holding up better than most other names.
I'm looking for a breakout on volume above its down sloping trendline.
$MIRM bear proof 👁🗨
*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
My team entered Mirum Pharmaceuticals $MIRM today at $25 per share. Our take profit is $30. We also have a stop less set at $24
OUR ENTRY: $25
FIRST TAKE PROFIT: $30
STOP LOSS: $24
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$NRX.V Outpaces Biotech Peers Following TSX.V Listing The biotech sector is presenting exciting opportunities for investors despite the broader downturn in global equity markets. Many of the best biotech companies and ETFs have both strong drug candidate pipelines in the works as well as winning drugs and therapeutic products already on the market. The COVID-19 pandemic has proven and created massive opportunities for the biotechnology sector as a whole, particularly so around innovative players that are developing therapeutic solutions with disruptive potential.
One new player to the field is Nurexone Biologic (NRX.V), a new listee on the TSXV exchange that is redefining exosome therapeutics for application to traumatic brain and spinal cord injuries. It is creating a platform for biologically-guided ExoTherapy that will be administered minimally invasively to patients who have had catastrophic spinal cord injuries.
Since July 15th, NRX +26% as it attracts new investors and institutional players begin to trade the equity. In comparison, the TSX/SPX composite index charted 6% gains, indicating that NRX far outperformed the market baseline over the course of the summer rally. Relative to sectoral ETFs, Nurexone is also trading strong. IBBQ is +6.9% and XBI +6% over the same timeframe NRX is +26%; it is important to note that over this period, the company did not release any price sensitive announcements that would otherwise account for its significant bullish price movement.
Further, exosome-based equities are one area of the wider biotech industry that has continuously traded robustly despite subpar performance for equity markets this year. Sectoral competitors are mixed bag, with KMPH +4.8% while APTO is down 4.4%. Kodiak Biosciences (KOD) jumped 20%, though it still lags behind NRX's 26% increase. This indicates that as exosome therapeutic developers struggle to maintain forward momentum amidst the backdrop of a challenging macroeconomic landscape, NRX is outperforming both sectoral ETFs and direct competitors. Though its a newby to capital markets, so far Nurexone is standing out as the bullish outlier with LT potential.
BCDA Short AnalysisBCDA has an upcoming CardiAMP Heart Failure DSMB review on the 30th of this month (August). Although the treatment indicated no significant safety concerns, I have reasonable doubt that this won't go through to be accepted by the FDA; the Phase III to NDA/BLA is about a 58.1% chance, the NDA/BLA to Approval is a 85.3% chance, and then the Phase I to Approval is a 9.6% chance. BioCardia has 6 treatments that are under trials and the CardiAMP Ischemic Heart Failure treatment is the closest to approval. If this treatment doesn't get approved, everything will rip apart and the market for this will plunge. Chart-wise, there is a consistent downtrend on the 1-Day mark. If you are putting a short position on this, I highly recommend you to have buy-stop orders.
MNMD Biotech Penny Stock SHORT SETUPNASDAQ:MNMD
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This stock had a quick response to good earnings and
it is now at resistance with the RSI swing indicator
printing a Sell Signal.
The MACD, a lagging indicator, shows the signal
above the histogram without a K / D cross
not yet started.
I would like to take a short trade setting a stop loss
above the resistance zone and targeting 10%
to the POC line of the volume profile sitting above
the support zone.
Please comment and offer your opinion.
3
LABU 3X Leverage BIOTECHNOLOGY a potential Recession playLABU a 3x leveraged EFT in the biotechnology sector has diverse holdings.
My thesis is that biotechnology and healthcare are relatively unhinged from the broader general market.
Here I chart LABU / QQQ ratio to determine relative strength.
On this weekly chart, the ratio and so relative strength are at more than a 52 week low.
The MACD indicator shows the MACD and signal line ascending and below the histogram.;
moreover the MACD in green is running above the signal line. This favors a trend reversal.
All in all, this seems to be a setup for a long swing trade or investment.
I will take a trade in a call option with a strike 50% higher than current price
as I see a potential for a large percentage gain for LABU. The diversity of the ETF
will serve to mitigate some of the risk. A stop loss will be 1% below current price
with an expectation of more than a 50 % return in the remainder of the calendar
year but far more in the case of the call option scenario
money flowing into biotech sectorxbi is displaying strength on the daily as far as qqe and sss strategies are concerned. if we stay above pivot im targeting upper horizontals as rising 4hr triangle could bull pennant, and if we fall beneath that pivot resisting from rising 4hr triangle i would target lower horizontals.
IMGN - ImmunoGen, Inc.Setup - simple base breakout after a solid 70% move off the lows followed by 5 weeks of consolidation. Earnings during consolidation were below expectation. However, after a slight selloff, shares were gobbled back up and volatility was squeezed out right below the breakout level. Half size because the broad market is running a bit hot and could be due for a pullback relatively soon.
LXRX PENNY BIOTECH SHORT SETUPNASDAQ:LXRX
LXRX has gained over 100% in the past month
However it appears to be forming a double top
in a potential short trade setup on the two hour chart.
The K/D crossover on the hot RSI oscillator provides
confirmation.
Short Sale Volume is rising in the past two days.
Findamentals - LXRX has a new medication for heart failure
a common medical problem with a massive market
It recently launched a public offering to raise capital
to fund general operations and in doing so
diluted the share holders. The good news is
it is unlikely to do another in the near term.
An entry would be at the current price with a stop loss
above the highest volume bar on the profile.
The first target is the POC of the volume profile
about a 15% price drop . The second target is
the pivot low on August 1st for another 15% drop.
Taking of 1/2 at each target yields an expected
23% return over a period of about 5 trading days
since drops are faster than rises.
The call options of mid September have low volumes
so I will not consider them.
PFE trianglePFE reached the bottom of the triangle AGAIN. I added of lows today to my current position. Still holding this dividend cash cow. It looks like something that's going to eat you! But the trend line works magic. Nice longer swing or LT hold for me. Not day trading this one, moving too slow.
NVTA Breakout after EarningsNYSE:NVTA
a NASDAQ Penny Stock moving 10% today
after an earnings loss with a pullback and rebound.
Speculative but possibly with a good risk to reward
since it has already pulled back. Stochastic RSI
is low and all of this follows a long period
of consolidation. RElative up volume today
is 10-15X baseline showing good
accumulation.
Options for January 23 show reasonable volume
Put/Call ratio of 0.45 and volatility about 100%
NVTA Parabolic from long consolidation then a pullback
now setup for entry
HOURLY CHART shows consolidation and
parabolic breakout with a pullback to
entry point
Awesome Indicator is supportive.
The catalyst was a good bear on earnings.
UBX ( NASDAQ BIOTECH PENNY) crushes earnings and news catalystNASDAQ:UBX
and rises over 100 % in premarket, Has a new product
for macular degeneration, a widespread medical problem
affecting vision in the elderly which is increasing
in incidence. The earning beat was significant.
Chart demonstrates the uptrend and midrange
RSI but does not show today's premarket.
40 % rise in the week leading up to earnings and now parabolic.
doubling overnight.
* Get in the party now, don't be late. If you are
late stay home"
( not a recommendation to buy only education)
ASND ( NASDAQ BIOTECH) rises on earnings and FDA submissionNASDAQ:ASND
as can be seen on the hourly chart ASND is in an uptrend
recent earnings were a good beat,
RSI is quite high and it is at one than one STD above
the multi-session VWAP.
ASND is on watch for a pullback to find an entry
as it has high upside.