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Bitcoin-btcusd-btc

Bitcoin – Elliott wave analysisHello, everyone! Bitcoin has not reached our target for the insane short setup, but I closed today all speculative longs. Have only tradevesting part of deposit. I remembered the Elliott wave’s analysis and decided to refresh it today. On the 1D timeframe of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange we can see the anticipated 12345 Elliott wave’s formation. We have short waves 1 and 2, super impulsive wave 3. I can understand it because of the minimal AO and Acceleration values. The current upward trend channel is very boring – this is the typical wave 4. We can see Bitcoin reached 3 times the 0.23 Fibonacci level, but was unable to break it through. The minimal correction target reached. Moreover if we take a look at the Williams alligator of the 1W timeframe. The price corrected exactly to the green line in got a rejection. It’s maximum target is the red line, but I don’t think the price have enough strength to do it. Also I want the bring to your attention the key fractal level. Bitcoin was also unable to close above it – extreme weakness. Thus according to trading chaos method there are no reasons to grow above the current price and the wave 5 can start right now. If you read my articles you have already known that the divergence with AO and Acceleration is the top-1 signal that the trend is over. I try to be patient and follow my main analysis, but to be honest sometimes it is very difficult because of emotions. Good luck!
Short
by Skyrexio
9
BITCOIN Failed to close 3rd green week but positive signs remainLast week, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) marginally failed to close its 3rd straight bullish 1W (weekly) candle, a feat that hasn't been achieved since the November 08 2021 weekly candle. This isn't ideal as BTC's last big rally (late July - late November 2021) started off with three straight (strong as well) green weeks. Despite this however, there is a growing number of positive indicators showing that this could be a sustainable accumulation period, preceding the start of a rally and the new Bull Cycle. ** The positives ** First and foremost, the price succeeded at closing above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 2nd straight week. As you see on the chart below, this is essential during Cycle bottom formations and every time the price held above this level in past Cycles, it lead to a rally eventually: Secondly, the 1W MACD just formed a Bullish Cross, the first since late March 2022. Now of course that last pattern led to a new sell-off and Lower Low eventually but was much closer to both the 1D MA200 (yellow trend-line) and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), where the price got rejected. Now those levels are around 33223 and 40625 respectively, so there is much more room to grow before we can discuss about a rejection/ pull-back. Among all the above, we shouldn't forget to acknowledge the fact that Bitcoin has kept the 1W MA300 (red trend-line), which is the basic Support of the Cycle. As you see, on the snapshot above, that was the level that supported the market during the March 2020 COVID (black-swan) event. If it held that huge psychological test, there is on reason not to believe that it won't hold this time as well. ** Some hurdles ** We see the biggest Resistance levels, on the short-term at least, on the Fibonacci patterns drawn. The Fib Channel that is illustrated has kept the price closing below its 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level on 3 straight weekly candles. Similarly, on the horizontal axis, the price has failed to close (broke it on the July 25 candle but failed to close above it) above the 0.236 Fib retracement level (orange) also for 3 straight weeks. It is apparent that this Fib cluster forms a strong Resistance, at least on the short-term. Breaking above it, opens the way for the 0.382 Fib, potentially testing as well the 1D MA200. Rejection on the 0.236 Fib can result in short-term selling back to the June Support, on a similar Double Bottom scenario as in July 2021 and February 2022. Do you think this would still be enough to support the market and start the new rally in September/ October? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
7
Bitcoin long-term view - Stoch RSI cross below 1.00Bitcoin long-term view - Stoch RSI cross below 1.00 (smoothD - orange line) With my chosen indicator settings this event only happened three times in BTC history 1. cross November 2011 - smoothD 0.25 2. cross December 2018 - smoothD 0.65 3. cross July 2022 - smoothD 0.76 After the 1. and 2. cross we had massive gains followed - what will the 3. cross do for us dear Crypto Nation? *not financial advice do your own research before investing
BNC:BLXLong
by Crypto4Everybody
2
BITCOIN - EXTRA BULLISH MAJOR UPDATE 🚀I think this time is ok to FOMO: US printing money to fight inflation .. take a wild guess what that can do to Bitcoin (🚀🚀🚀🚀). Technical analysis: Still in ascending channel. The Top (resistance) is just below 25k. I see 70% chances of breaking over the channel and off to 28k Resistance (our first target as given few weeks ago). Watch the video and take a look at THIS: I think it ended up being Perfect. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
7
BITCOIN formed a MACD Bearish Cross. Time to prove Bear is over?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has made a confirmed Bearish Cross on MACD on the 1D time-frame. Every such formation within 2022 has so far been extremely bearish, marking a top to a subsequent aggressive price fall. It may be above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and still within a Channel Up but we've seen similar patterns leading to MACD Bearish Crosses, followed by price falls. Currently BTC has failed to break even the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level where it was rejected exactly on July 30 and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is intact since December 31 2021, is on the 0.5 Fib level, a strong Resistance. Do you think it is time for Bitcoin to finally invalidate a MACD Bearish Cross and prove that the Bear Cycle is indeed over? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
71
Bitcoin: Conflicting Signals 24K.Bitcoin price action has presented two sell signals within the 22 to 24K resistance zone in recent weeks but without any follow through to potential supports. Does this price action imply strength? Not within this context. Let me explain. The long term trend (since the 69K peak) is still BEARISH. Not one key resistance level has been compromised. Everyone likes to over complicate things and constantly search for reasons and logic. As long as the main resistance levels are in place, Bitcoin is still more vulnerable to LOWER prices. "Why!?" does not matter. Respect the market, don't question price. The key resistance level at the moment is the 22 to 24K AREA. Price has rejected this area multiple times which confirms weakness, but without follow through. While it can be argued that the short term trend is bullish (since the 17K low), when compared to the broader structure, this "bullish" trend can easily turn out to be a small retrace within a broader bearish trend. Do NOT lose sight of that, especially if you are operating on the swing trade or investing time frames. So how to interpret the lack of follow through? This is a summer time lower activity environment. For those with little experience, markets have a tendency to be seasonal in some ways. The summer time months in the U.S. are typically associated with lower volume and less eventful markets. How does this affect Bitcoin? In case you haven't noticed, there is a relationship between the S&P and Bitcoin. So until there is a dramatic enough catalyst or return back to normal activity (4th quarter), it is within reason to anticipate the ranges to hold. That means if a new sell signal develops in Bitcoin within the current resistance, expectations of follow through should be low (that means take profits sooner if you have the chance). Otherwise smaller time frame strategies make more sense here. While it can be argued that a new buy signal is in the process of developing, it carries very little weight on this time frame. That means the risk is very high compared to the potential profit expectations. To keep it simple, if you are new to this game, avoid low probability setups. Learn to trust and respect price. It factors in all the known information in the world. You can't beat an efficient market especially with conventional methods or "logic". Irrationality is one of the main factors that keep retail traders and investors from winning, while at the same time it is one of the few areas where opportunity exits for a retail trader/investor. Recognize charts for their expression of human behavior, because that is the factor that stays the same. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective. I hope you find it helpful.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
30
BITCOIN following Apple's 2008/09 Bear Fractal. Bottom is in!This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the right along with Apple (AAPL) on the left chart on a very interesting comparison on the 1W time-frame. I will keep it short as the picture is quite self-explanatory. As you see, Bitcoin's 2021/22 Bear Cycle has been very similar so far to Apple's 2008/09 Bear Cycle during the Housing Crisis. Following a rough Double Top (1 & 3) they both dropped below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and started slowing down only after breaking the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) but at the same time keeping the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) intact. Both turned their 1W RSI into oversold territory exactly when they broke below the 1W MA200 and recovered above their MA (yellow trend-line). That is where BTC is at currently. For Apple that RSI MA break was the start of a three month consolidation before the parabolic rally that took the stock into the new age of growth of the past 13 years. For comparison purposes I've plotted that same Apple recovery pattern on Bitcoin to give us a rough idea of an estimate. It doesn't have to follow that sequence of course but it makes an interesting projection. Perhaps the most useful conclusion we can draw from the whole comparison is that, assuming investor psychology doesn't differ among different asset classes, with history showing that psychological models in extreme market conditions tend to stay the same, Bitcoin has strong probabilities of already having priced its bottom. What is your opinion on this comparison? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
29
Bitcoin - Forecast with Elliot WavesHi Traders, Investors and Speculators📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. The Elliott Wave theory is named after Ralph Nelson Elliott (28 July 1871 – 15 January 1948). He was an American accountant and also an author. Inspired by the Dow Theory, Elliott concluded that the movement of the stock market could be predicted by observing and identifying a repetitive pattern of waves. I find this another useful take on market cycles/phases, R Elliot is considered one of the 5 titans of chart analysis. Let's take a BRIEF look at the Elliot Wave Theory: Simply put, movement in the direction of the bullish up-trend is unfolding in 5 waves while any correction against the trend is in three waves (called corrective wave). From this you can already conclude that there is no specific time frame limit - you can have multiple waves in a larger wave, for example: The movement in the direction of the UP-trend is labelled as 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5. The three-wave bearish correction is labelled as A, B, and C. These patterns can be seen in long term as well as short term charts. Smaller patterns can be identified within bigger patterns. Think of it like this: Elliott Waves are like a piece of broccoli🥦 , where the smaller piece does in fact, look like the big piece. This information on smaller patterns fitting into bigger patterns, offers the trader a level of anticipation and/or prediction when searching for and identifying trading opportunities with solid reward/risk ratio. The world is changing at an exponential rate, and some changes need to be considered as we take a look and plot the waves. We have five major classes of market: Stock market, forex market, commodities market, cryptocurrency markets and bond markets. The Elliott Wave Theory was originally derived from the observation of the stock market (i.e. Dow Theory), but certain markets such as forex exhibit more of a ranging market. In today’s market, 5 waves move still happen in the market, but many analysts recently suggest that a 3 waves move happens more frequently in the market than a 5 waves move . In addition, market can keep moving in a corrective structure in the same direction. In other words, the market can trend in a corrective structure; it keeps moving in the sequence of 3 waves, getting a pullback, then continue the same direction again in a 3 waves corrective move. So not just ABC, but possible ABCABCAB etc. until a bottom is established via candlestick analysis. To conclude, don't be too rigid with rules especially considering the ever changing markets and the fact that the Elliot Wave theory was originally designed for stock markets. However, this does not make it obsolete ! By combining a few of the methods mentioned above, one can get a reasonable idea of which market phase we are trading in and confirm it by taking a look at the charts from multiple perspectives and theories. Currently, I enjoy using Wyckoff Method, Elliot Waves, Fibonacci Retracement + trend based Fibonacci Extension , Candlestick analysis, Chart patterns (occasionally) as well as major supply and demand zones / whale zones. I like to use support zones and resistance zones for lower timeframes / the lower the timeframe analyzed, the higher the risk. __________________________ 👀Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 📉 Hit like & Follow 🔔 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Long
by CryptoCheck-
64
Bitcoin - 3 bottoms in compressed timeHere’s an interesting view of the current daily BTC price action (left) compared against a 2-day perspective of the 2018 bear market bottom (centre) and a 3-day perspective of the 2015 bear market bottom (right). “Interesting” because there is a very similar narrative apparent when viewed in this way. The common narrative for 2015 and 2018 is: A rally to the top of the channel, a drop below the midline, a rally to the top of the channel, a drop back to (and overshoot through in 2015) the midline to find it as support, then rally through the top of the channel with the 12MA (purple) and 20MA (brown) providing support into a rising market trend. Now look at 2022 on the left. Does it not fit the same narrative? I also note the similarities in the RSI and the MACD. Another similar feature is the 50MA turning upwards after entering the channel. In fact, the only feature missing is a large green spike in the Volume (Circled) coincident with a burst over 70 on the RSI and a dramatic launch of price beyond the channel. What do you think? Is this a case of apophenia (seeing patterns and relationships where they don't exist) or has the bottom of the bear market been printed?
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Crypto-Swing
2
Bitcoin – be ready for this move!Hello, everyone! Many times I told you that the bear market is not over, but closed to it’s end, I am waiting for the last wave 5 and I am sure we will see $17.5k, but market today shows us that before we can see another one push to the upside. My job is to make you aware before something happened. At the 4h timeframe BTCUSDT chart we can see that the price is going to form the terminal diagonal triangle – the formation which ends the trend. This scenario almost perfectly corresponds to the other analysis tools. We can see that the Bitcoin found support and showing the bullish reaction exactly from Fibonacci golden pocket. Thus it can potentially pump to Fibonacci zone 27(Fib div strategy target), approximately to $25k. We can execute the trade with the stop loss below Fibonacci golden pocket. This potential pump looks even more logically for me than the crash from the current price. In this case we will see the true bearish divergence with MACD which can start the last crash. I am not going to execute this trade, but I re entered to the positions which I closed when the Bitcoin price was $24k, hence in every case I will be in profit according to my tradevesting strategy. The pump’s probability for me now = 80%. Good luck!
Long
by Skyrexio
8
BITCOIN starting a recovery similar to post COVID.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a very structured Channel Up following the June 19 Low. Both charts are on the 12H time-frame, which illustrates remarkable similarities between the current pattern of 2022 and that of late 2019/ early 2020 following the COVID bottom. As you see at the moment, the price has turned the 12H MA50 (blue trend-line) into a Support, with the 12H MA200 right above, posing as the Resistance. The 1W RSI has just crossed above its MA (yellow trend-line) putting us potentially in the exact same position as late April 2020. As you see, BTC was also within a Channel Up at the time that eventually broke above the 12H MA200. However due to the instant recovery on the March 13 2020 bottom and the price jump attributed to the expectation that the trillions of USD printed will keep the economy moving from the lockdowns, that Channel Up was formed much higher than the current one, which is technically a Bear Cycle bottom. Typically their transition is slower. I have plotted the 2020 recovery sequence on today's price action in order to make one possible projection. As you see, many aspects on the two patterns are similar: both had their MA50 and MA200 cross three times before the bottom, both got rejected on the 0.786 Fibonacci, their Lower Lows were roughly on a -35° angle and both rebounded on the 1W MA300 (red trend-line). Do you think we will have a similar recovery to that of post COVID? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
17