Bitcoin: A New Year's Gift? Engulfing Zones Signalhello guy!
First of all! Happy New Year!
I believe in a long position here! Why? let's explain it!
Engulfing Zones:
The term "engulfed" on this chart represents price levels where strong price movements absorbed opposing orders, marking areas of liquidity shifts.
The most recent engulfing level near $93,500 is a critical pivot. It has established itself as a short-term resistance point to watch.
Support Zone:
The shaded region around $91,000–$92,000 has consistently acted as strong support, with multiple rejections confirming its significance.
This zone is crucial for maintaining the current bullish structure.
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance: $93,500–$95,000, which aligns with prior engulfing price action.
Major Resistance: $97,271, marking the upper boundary of the consolidation range and a potential breakout zone.
Trend Structure:
The chart suggests a building bullish structure, with higher lows forming. This indicates buyers are gradually stepping in at higher price levels.
Potential Breakout Setup:
The chart projects a bullish breakout above $93,500 and a test of $95,000. A sustained move above $95,000 could pave the way for a rally toward $97,271.
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Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $93,500 confirms momentum toward $95,000. Clearing this resistance opens the path to $97,271 and possibly higher levels.
The continuation of higher lows supports the bullish outlook, provided the price remains above $91,000.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Solana $SOLUSD Trend line Break Out Solana COINBASE:SOLUSD Trend line Break Out
### Trend Line Breakout: A Technical Analysis Description
A **trend line breakout** is a key concept in technical analysis used by traders and investors to identify potential shifts in market trends and price momentum. Here's an in-depth explanation:
#### 1. **Understanding Trend Lines**
- **Definition**: A trend line is a straight line drawn on a price chart that connects at least two significant price points, acting as a support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend.
- **Purpose**: Trend lines help to visualize the direction of the market (uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement) and provide a framework for understanding price behavior.
#### 2. **What is a Breakout?**
- A **breakout** occurs when the price moves decisively above a resistance trend line (in a downtrend) or below a support trend line (in an uptrend).
- The breakout signifies a potential change in the prevailing trend, which could lead to the beginning of a new trend or an acceleration of the existing trend.
#### 3. **Types of Breakouts**
- **Bullish Breakout**: When the price breaks above a resistance trend line, indicating a potential upward move.
- **Bearish Breakout**: When the price breaks below a support trend line, signaling a possible downward move.
#### 4. **Key Characteristics of a Trend Line Breakout**
- **Volume Confirmation**: Breakouts accompanied by high trading volume are considered more reliable as they reflect stronger market participation.
- **Retest of Trend Line**: After a breakout, the price often retests the trend line before continuing in the direction of the breakout.
- **Magnitude of Move**: The strength of the breakout can indicate the potential magnitude of the subsequent price move.
#### 5. **How to Use Trend Line Breakouts**
- **Entry Points**: Traders often enter positions in the direction of the breakout, buying during bullish breakouts or selling short during bearish breakouts.
- **Stop-Loss Placement**: Stops are typically placed just below the breakout level (for bullish breakouts) or above (for bearish breakouts) to manage risk.
- **Target Price**: Measured moves or projections based on prior price patterns or Fibonacci extensions can guide profit-taking.
#### 6. **Common Pitfalls**
- **False Breakouts**: Sometimes, the price moves briefly beyond the trend line but fails to sustain momentum. These are referred to as false breakouts and can trap traders.
- **Over-reliance on Trend Lines**: Trend lines are just one of many tools; confirmation from other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) enhances reliability.
#### 7. **Examples and Real-World Applications**
- **Uptrend Breakout**: In an uptrend, a breakout above a consolidating resistance trend line may signal the continuation of the bullish momentum.
- **Downtrend Breakout**: In a downtrend, breaking below a support trend line can indicate further bearish pressure.
Trend line breakouts are integral to many trading strategies. By understanding their mechanics and combining them with other analytical tools, traders can effectively capitalize on market opportunities while managing risks.
Levont - BTC/USD Analysis: Testing Key Resistance ZoneBTC/USD Analysis (Daily Chart - D1)
Price Structure:
- Bitcoin is currently trading at $96,884 , approaching a key resistance zone between $98,000 and $100,000 . This area has historically acted as a significant rejection point, as seen in previous candles with long upper wicks around this region.
- The chart shows a clear rebound from the support zone around $90,000-$92,000 , where buyers stepped in strongly to prevent further declines. This movement validates the support as a critical level.
- Overall, the structure presents a consolidation pattern within a broad range between $90,000 (support) and $100,000 (resistance) .
Potential Scenarios:
1.Bullish Scenario:
- If the price successfully breaks above the $100,000 resistance (confirmed by a strong daily close above this level), we could see a move toward higher levels such as $102,000-$104,000 , or even beyond.
- An increase in volume during the breakout would be key to validating this scenario.
2.Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break the resistance and shows rejection through candles with long upper wicks or bearish patterns (e.g., shooting stars), we could expect a correction toward immediate support at $94,000 , or even a more pronounced drop toward recent lows at $90,000 .
Key Indicators:
- Volume : Currently low, suggesting indecision in the market. A significant breakout will require notable volume expansion.
- Candles: Recent candles show solid bullish bodies, but the next sessions will be crucial to confirm whether buyers have enough strength to challenge the resistance.
🔑 Key Levels:
- Resistance: $98,000 - $100,000
- Support: $94,000 and $90,000
🌍 BTC/USD Fundamental Analysis
Positive Factors:
1. Institutional Adoption:
- Companies like MicroStrategy continue accumulating Bitcoin. Their recent massive purchase reinforces the long-term bullish narrative.
- Institutional interest remains strong as Bitcoin solidifies its position as an alternative asset against inflation and global economic uncertainty.
2. Favorable Regulation:
- In the U.S., there are expectations of clearer and more favorable crypto policies under the current administration. This could attract new capital flows into the market.
3. Seasonal Trends:
- Historically, January has been a positive month for Bitcoin. Investors often reset their strategies after year-end tax-related sell-offs.
Negative Factors/Risks:
1. Token Unlocks:
- January is expected to see massive token unlocks across various crypto projects (approximately $7 billion in value). This could indirectly create selling pressure on Bitcoin as investors seek liquidity.
2. Global Monetary Policy:
- The hawkish stance of central banks (e.g., the Federal Reserve) could limit flows into speculative assets like Bitcoin if interest rates continue rising.
3. On-Chain Activity:
- While long-term holders are accumulating, on-chain data shows a decline in overall transaction activity. This could indicate reduced interest from retail participants.
BTCUSD H4 Outlook If this current H4 candle closes below my poi which is 97552.82 I'll be looking to sell Bitcoin down to the indicated liquidity zone 92743.63
If price close above it. I'll wait for the next three H4 candles to know if I'd still be willing to see Bitcoin fall to 92743.63.
What's your outlook on BTC. Drop your comments I'll be glad to read your point of view.
BTCUSD: Williams bounce points to $119k next.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.385, MACD = -483.200, ADX = 34.048) and just today it hit its 1D MA50, which is the first sign of restoring the bullish trend. The strongest bullish indicator is the Williams%R, which has rebounded rapidly since turning oversold at -93.00. Every time it hit that level and rebounded since July 2024, it rallied by +30%. Consequently, we aim for just under that level (TP = 115,000).
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BTC Breakouts Galore: Could 100K Be on the Horizon?Bitcoin has been experiencing one breakout after another, appearing almost unstoppable. If BTC manages to push through the next resistance level, I see a real chance it could reach $100K—and potentially climb even higher once it breaks that critical barrier.
What do you think?
Stay tuned, and I’ll catch you in the next one — peace!
Bitcoin - It Will Reach $100.000!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will break out soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Everything, and I literally mean everything, is bullish on Bitcoin. The previous cycles, timeframes, market structure and price action are all pointing towards the continuation of the bull run which started in 2023. And a breakout above the all time high, is the next trigger.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BITCOIN Dominance drop is about to trigger a massive Altseason!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed December on a marginally bearish 1M candle and is expected to start the 3rd year (2025) of the current Bull Cycle on strong bullish pressure.
As you can see on this chart, BTC Dominance (blue trend-line) has started to decline already since October 2024. That is when Bitcoin completed 36 months (1096 days) from the previous Cycle top (green candle).
This is a highly cyclical pattern as BTC Dominance during previous Cycles dropped every time Bitcoin completed 36 months from the previous All Time High (ATH). That was when the Altseason started, which is the most aggressive part of the Altcoin market.
Based on this chart we are about to see an accelerated drop on Bitcoin's dominance, with earnings and added capital being transferred to Altcoins, causing a new Altseason.
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Crypto & IWM Leading the way higher!At the beginning of the month, I anticipated a necessary pullback due to the red barrier on the Wr%. While I accurately predicted the pullback, I underestimated its severity and was slightly off on the timeline. As a swing/long-term trader, I'll accept minor discrepancies in the degree of severity and timing.
In a previous video and subsequent write-ups, I emphasized that Crypto CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , and AMEX:IWM , CAPITALCOM:RTY would lead us out of the DIP. This week, we are witnessing exactly that! Crypto and the Russell 2000 are bouncing back stronger than NASDAQ:QQQ and $SPY.
In my 2025 preview, I discussed how AMEX:IWM has lagged behind since its peak in 2021. Before this bull market truly ends, we need a catch-up rally where the Russell launches itself at the SP500. I believe we will witness this in 2025, culminating in a blow-off top similar to 2021, followed by a significant correction crash.
Not financial advice.
BTC/USD Short: FibCloud Rejection and 200MA TargetOn the 8-hour BTC/USD timeframe, I have executed a short position following a clear rejection from the FibCloud, signaling strong resistance at this level. The price action showcases a classic flip of old support into new resistance, further solidifying bearish momentum.
My target for this trade is the $90,000 price zone, aligning with the 200MA on the 8-hour chart. Additionally, order flow data confirms significant sell-side activity, with large orders clustered between the $90,000 and $89,000 levels, providing further confluence for this setup.
The trade is structured to capitalize on the retracement move, with the potential for price consolidation or reversal upon hitting the $90K psychological and technical support zone.
Technicals:
• Entry Trigger: Rejection from FibCloud and resistance flip.
• Target: $90,000 (aligned with the 200MA and key order flow levels).
• Stop Loss: Positioned above the FibCloud to mitigate risk.
• Order Flow Insight: Large sell orders between $90,000–$89,000 add weight to the bearish scenario.
This setup emphasizes a disciplined approach to risk management, leveraging technical and order flow alignment for optimal execution. Stay sharp, and remember to pay yourself!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
First Bitcoin Super Cycle closingWe might be nearing the end of the first Bitcoin Super Cycle. There will be lots of volatility and fear among the retails. But on-chain observation shows that big players are storing coins on unprecedented levels.
What the next Super Cycle will be, can't tell. More data is needed in its beginning.
But financial institutions needs a more predictable, more controllable and most of all fixed cap assets. I am not talking about Bitcoin only, but in general about crypto currencies. There are interesting PoW projects that resembles Bitcoin, but has added extras like privacy and smart contracts.
But when time comes, crypto prices will skyrocket and there will be no corrections and no bear markets until the transitional period ends. Most retails will sell cheap and re-enter with more than 90% loss in coins.
It is NOT a financial advice.
BTCUSDT LongBased on the previous analysis, we anticipated that the price might be bearish based on the retracement it made on the 50% mark.
Well, it retraced but did not manage to go through the Order Block at 92150, which might be a signature that the price might be drawn to the DOL at 100,000
Entry at 95600, tp 1 at 97570 and Tp 2 at 100,700 and SL 93750.
Crypto Market to Hit $5 Trillion in 2025?The crypto market added an astonishing $1.58 trillion in 2024, and projections for 2025 are even more bullish, with a potential market cap of $5 trillion. While most altcoins are still down over 50%, the next altcoin rally could be the catalyst for explosive growth. Institutional investors are also predicting Bitcoin to hit $150K, further fueling market optimism.
The combination of increasing adoption, institutional interest, and potential altcoin recovery makes this goal achievable. Prepare for the next big wave by identifying undervalued projects and managing your risk effectively. 2025 could be the year of exponential growth—stay ahead of the curve!
Short term Bitcoin warning: multiple bearish signalsShort term #bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD warning:
- price is retesting the 50-day moving average, which is now resistance since we broke it to the downside
- price is bumping into the average volume levels of this top
- there is no volume behind this push (there is a price/volume divergence)
- we formed a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern
- we didnt liquidate enough leveraged LONGs
Bitcoin cán ignore all this and just PUMP through but just keep it in mind. Happy trading! 🥸
$BTC Macro ChartThis is my BTC idea for the long term as I did my chart based on the chart and the historical data as well.
As you can see in the picture attached to the chart, second time in the cycle when #BTC NUPL goes green (blue arrow) it indicates the start of the Bull Run (Parabolic Phase) 🐂 🚀
shout out to @CryptoBullet
Doubts are confirmed. Watching for 100.5KMorning folks,
Last time we decided to take a pause, because too weak performance on supposedly bearish market has confused us. Now our doubts are confirmed, indeed the action that we see now is not typical and natural for bearish market. It is too wobble and slow. This is not the way how bearish market normally moves.
It doesn't mean that potentially bearish scenario and deeper retracement are cancelled totally. It means that they could start with different patterns. Thus, on daily we're watching for something like this, although do not exclude that it might be Double Top later as well:
Since the shoulder stands around ~100.5K, we do not consider any shorts until it will be reached. 1H chart shows upside AB-CD with the same extension target. We consider no longs.
DXY at 108.4: The Dollar’s Midlife Crisis—Breakout or Breakdown?Alright, traders, let’s not sugarcoat it. What you’re looking at here isn’t just another chart—it’s the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) standing at the gates of destiny. 💥
🔥 The Setup:
Testing the almighty 108.4 resistance. Will it smash through like a battering ram or faceplant into oblivion? 🤔
Riding the top of the Bollinger Bands like it’s a rollercoaster at peak speed. Overbought much? 🎢
RSI? She’s chilling at 59 —neither here nor there but whispering “don’t count me out just yet.” 🧘♂️
🚀 The Bullish Dream: Break 108.4, and this thing’s flying to the moon (or at least 112). Bulls will party like it’s 1985. 🐂💃
💀 The Bearish Nightmare: Rejected here? Say hello to a pullback at 104, and if things really hit the fan, we’re looking at 100.6. Bears will sip their coffee smugly. 🐻☕
But here’s the kicker: DXY isn’t just a chart—it’s the puppet master pulling the strings of everything from Bitcoin to gold to your morning cup of coffee. ☕ (Yes, inflation is still a thing.)
⚡ Final Word: Whether it breaks or bends, this is the make-or-break moment for the dollar. Get ready for fireworks. 🎇
George out. ✌️ #DXY #DollarIndex #Forex
Pnut/UsdtBINANCE:PNUTUSDT
"$Pnut is currently priced at 0.7032, but the resistance levels are pretty close—around 0.7545, 0.8433, and 0.9345. 🚧 What that means is that the price is likely to face some strong pushback when it tries to go higher, so don’t expect a massive surge in the short term. ⚠️
If you’re holding $Pnut right now, I’d be careful. 💭 I wouldn't recommend holding it at these levels for too long because it could potentially retrace. Instead, you might want to keep an eye on the support levels, which are at 0.600 and 0.0600. 🛑 If the price drops towards those areas, it could be a good spot to watch for a possible bounce or buy opportunity. 📊
Just a reminder—this isn't financial advice, just sharing my observations. 💡"
Bitcoin SellThis coin has been bearish for the past few days, before retracting 50% of the current range.
Currently, it is on the 50% mark, filled the IFVG before strongly rejecting it and acted as a bearish order block.
I do anticipate that the price might be drawn to the sell side liquidity at 91000.
Entry at 95500, Sl at 96700 and target at 91000
Next Volatility Period: Around January 10
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(USDT 1D chart)
USDT is maintaining a gap downtrend.
The gap downtrend is a sign that funds have flowed out of the coin market.
(USDC 1D chart)
I think that the price defense is being done in the short term because USDC is maintaining a gap uptrend.
If USDT continues to maintain a gap downtrend and USDC moves sideways or gaps down, the coin market may fall significantly, so be careful when trading.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
USDT is showing an upward trend while maintaining a gap downtrend.
It is likely that this is the last upward movement before the downtrend, so you should think about how to respond to the downtrend.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend over time, it needs to be supported in the 95863.11-97461.86 range or higher.
If not, it will eventually fall.
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USDT is one of the important stablecoins that support the coin market.
Since USDT is a stablecoin used worldwide, it is a fund that has a big impact on the coin market.
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93576.0, 94742.35 are important support and resistance points.
Therefore, if the price can be maintained around 93576.0-94742.35, the coin market is expected to show a large increase when USDT shows a gap increase.
If it falls below the 92792.05 point and shows resistance,
1st: 87.8K ~ 89K
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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Even if it rises above the 93576.0-94742.35 section and shows support, it must rise above the 101947.24-106133.74 section, which is the high point boundary section, to continue the upward trend.
If not, it will fall again, and at this time, the 93576.0-94742.35 section will play an important role as support and resistance.
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As I mentioned earlier, the key is whether it can develop into a movement to form a bottom section.
To do that, it needs to meet the HA-Low indicator.
Since the next volatility period is expected to be around January 10 (January 9-11), we need to see if the HA-Low indicator is generated after the volatility period.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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