HelenP. I Bitcoin will rebound from trend line and drop to $80KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After multiple attempts to break through the resistance zone between 88500 and 89800 points, Bitcoin continues to respect the upper boundary of the descending wedge. The price remains confined within this structure, with each test of the trend line resulting in a rejection. The most recent rally brought Bitcoin back into the resistance area and right up to the trend line once again, but the breakout didn’t happen. Earlier, Bitcoin bounced strongly from the support zone between 80000 and 78800 points, forming a local bottom before initiating its move upward. However, even after this strong bounce, the price still failed to break above the trend line, confirming that bearish pressure remains active. The resistance zone has rejected the price four times, reinforcing its significance. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading just below the trend line and inside the wedge. Given the repeated failures to break higher, the strong supply zone, and the continuation of the downward pattern, I expect Bitcoin to reverse again and fall back toward the 80000 level. That's why this level is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD - Looking For A Push To 90K...We appear to be in the midst of an expanded zig-zag correction.
A small push toward 90K—without breaking the support at 83,015—would confirm the pattern. So far, the break above the recent high, along with the expanded correction, supports this outlook. As long as the 83,015 level holds, price may reject any prolonged move below the 1000-period moving average.
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Can Be Unfolding A Bullish ImpulseBlackRock's Bitcoin ETF with ticker IBIT made a massive rally in 2024, which can be wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse. Despite the recent decline at the beginning of 2025, it's still above 42 invalidation level, and as long as it's above that level, it can be wave 4 correction, so we may still see that 5th wave this year.
The Elliott Wave Principle is a form of technical analysis that identifies patterns in market movements. A bullish impulsive wave is one of the most important and common wave structures in an uptrend. It describes how prices typically move in the direction of the main trend. A bullish impulsive wave consists of five waves labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
Starts Late, Ends Late: 2026 Bull Market?Market conditions are so different now. Everything is changing fast and radically, it has to do with the stars. The way the stars are aligned now has not happened in hundreds of years. The type changes we are seeing now have not happened in hundreds of years.
It is not only the financial markets but the whole world and the way we perceive reality is changing in so many ways. This is certain to have its effect on the Cryptocurrency market, the effect is already present and tangible, market conditions (reality) will never be the same.
The bull market is starting late. By this date in 2021, everything was up and up really strong. Some pairs had already peaked, literally, some altcoin trading pairs had already peaked by April 2021. The full cycle complete. Thousands of percentages of points of growth.
What about now? It is April 2025 and the bottom is in on many pairs. Only last week, 7-April, we had a marketwide bottom. The start of the 2025 bull market cycle and phase. A late start can translate into a late end.
Now, a full bullish cycle can be completed in 6 months. This is not necessary nor required. Also, the market is much bigger now, it wouldn't be feasible, there would be too much rush.
Think of the market as an entity that wants to survive, thrive, live and grow. Can it go through years of bearish action and only produce several months of growth? Balance is needed. The market needs a bullish cycle to keep the participants engaged or else everybody will quit forever if there is nothing to gain.
The fact that the Altcoins market hit bottom is the most bullish signal there is, but, looking at all these charts, hundreds of charts, something tells me that what is coming will be different to the past. Actually, it will be similar because the last bull market happened from March 2020 through late 2021. So we can have a bull market from April 2025 until some time in 2026. I just don't believe that everything will end too fast, within six months, because we are having a late start. It will be the other way around, the bull market will extend.
Instead of Cryptocurrency growing for 1 year, we might get continued growth for 2-3 years straight, maybe more for some pairs. Some pairs have been dropping for 4 years while others have been down for 6 years or more. When things change, these pairs will be experiencing sustained long-term growth.
Other pairs grew strong and never moved below support. These pair were supposed to drop according to classic past patterns and yet, they all remained strong and ready for more. This bull market will be out of the ordinary. Everything that is happening right now in finance and politics is not the same as always, it is a true generational change.
We are going through a phase of evolution and this is what will cause the bull market to extend. Late start, late end.
Namaste.
XAUUSD - Possible top formation on gold ?XAUUSD probably topped as I expected around 3200 - 1 fib extension from low 1046 to high 2075 and higher low 1614 (started to short at the precedent low 3157)
big daily bearish divergence on RSI as well
maybe double bottom in 1 or 2 weeks then will go all down till september thats my forecast
daily POC/and back to 0.618 fib extension is my target ~ 2500 (around -20% move)
____
any new ATH could bring gold to next fib extension at around 3850
Cheers
Bitcoin dominance is aiming to hit FIb 1.141 - Alt Season when ?Currently bitcoin dominance is around 64% and about to hit Fib 1 which is the previous high 64.34%.
We can expect bitcoin to breach this previous high easily and head towards the next resistance around the fib value 1.414. This is a strong resistance and if dominance breaks this value then next target is 70% is which around the high value achieve during the 2020 bear run.
I'm expecting dominance to reverse around 1.414 and altseason will start once dominance starts dropping.
Cheers!
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin is heading into its final low before bull market?Bitcoin got rejected at the 1-Day Cycle top and is now pulling back toward the 1-Day Cycle lows.
While most investors are getting bored and slowly shifting their attention elsewhere, crypto is quietly consolidating and gearing up for a BIG move...
Will we break above $100K, or are we heading into a recession and full-on bear market mode?
Next week will be a decisive one for the entire crypto market this year.
If Bitcoin manages to hold above $77,000 as the 1-Day Cycle hits Day 20, we could be on the verge of a run toward $100K. But if we drop below the previous 1-Day Cycle low, trouble’s coming.
Confused? Just check out this chart.
It’s easy to lay out both the bullish and bearish cases—but it’s a whole different game to quantify, commit to a position, and wait for the more probable outcome to play out.
Which scenario is more likely?
In short: the green one . Here’s why:
The 2-Week Cycle has spent over 4 weeks below 20, completely crushing bullish sentiment.
The 1-Week Cycle has been below 20 for over 2 months—the longest stretch in the past 5 years.
The 3-Day Cycle hasn’t fully reset, but reversed to the upside last week due to positive price action.
We’re on Day 46 of the 60-Day Cycle, and price has been holding up well. We’ve tested the $80K zone a couple of times, and Bitcoin still seems eager to push higher.
For the first time in a while, there are more bears than bulls (according to Polymarket).
On that note—check the Polymarket predictions
Bitcoin: Normal Bullish vs Super Bullish +Altcoins Market UpdateBitcoin is bullish right now but not super-bullish. What needs to happen for Bitcoin to turn super-bullish is the question that I am getting through email from my most ardent followers. Why this question?
Some people don't like to take much risk. They are ok with some risk but not big risk. Buying early can produce great profits if things turn out ok, but it can also produce huge losses if the market makes a surprise rejection and turns the other way.
People like us like to catch the bottom but this comes with the risk of getting whipsaw. There can be several drops at the lows before a bearish wave ends. Without the proper risk management, position management, trying to catch the bottom can result in loses. Easy to see and understand.
Bitcoin is normal bullish above $80,000. Bitcoin is strongly bullish above $85,000.
This is still a great buy because Bitcoin is trading below $90,000. Anything below $100,000 is great for the long-term. Now, for Bitcoin to turn super-bullish we need a break and close above $88,700 on the daily timeframe. Give or take two days above this level to add strength. A stronger confirmation comes with the weekly close. If you want Bitcoin super-bullish, get it when the $88,000 resistance is gone.
To me, Bitcoin is already bullish confirmed. The correction is over and has been over for an entire week. This is only the start. Slow and steady growth. Bullish momentum will grow. Maximum speed will start in May 2025, late, and then up, up and up. It will be a long ride and it is likely to extend.
» Altcoins Market Update
The Altcoins market is great right now. Some pairs are finally starting to break bullish and moving above resistance. Support has been confirmed for weeks and in some cases for months. But there was been some sideways on the low but now bullish action is starting to show up. This is just the start. In a matter of days, some pairs will be growing between 30-80% in a single day. Once these move, they tend to retrace a little bit before additional growth. Do not try to catch those, it is a futile effort. Look now for the ones trading low with good signals and charts then buy and hold. You will do great.
Right now a diversification strategy can work wonders because there just too many pairs. The market will take a long time to grow. The market will take a while to unravel.
In the past, long gone past, 2016 and so on, the market would alternate between pairs every few months. As the market grew, the period between each bullish wave continued to extend, while in the past we would see strong action every few months, now it happens only once or twice per year. As the market grows, it takes longer and longer for money to move around and reach every sector. This bull market will be long.
It is likely that this bull market will extend because of so many pairs. There is not enough time to lift everything up in just 6 months. This is good news, it would be better to have a 2-3 years strong-long bull market rather than 6 months. The longer it last, the more time we have to adapt, learn and grow.
Since it is inevitable to make mistakes, the longer the bull market lasts, the more chances we will have to apply everything that we learn live every day. It will be great.
It is confirmed, everything will grow. By everything I mean the biggest portion of the market, choose wisely because a pair can start growing tomorrow while another one can start growing within 5-6 months. Both go up, but one do so in early 2025 while another one can grow in late 2025. Which one are you holding? Diversification right now is a strong move across the Altcoins. When Bitcoin grows 20%, some Altcoins will grow by 300%. Strong projects can grow between 80-150%.
There are many ways to approach the market. Do what works for you. I am wishing you success.
Thank you for reading.
Consider hitting boost and leaving a comment if you enjoy the content.
Namaste.
New era: 'The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles'🏆 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR
Friends, today I’m sharing what may be the most important Bitcoin framework of 2025.
Forget the broken halving expectations. Forget the chaos of macro headlines.
What if the real signal has been here all along?
What if Bitcoin’s true rhythm follows the capital rotation between itself and the U.S. Treasury market?
📊 Introducing: The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™
This is not a model of where Bitcoin could go (like Stock-to-Flow)…
This is a model of when and why it moves — based on the trust rotation between U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT) and Bitcoin.
What I’ve found is a repeating structure — not based on supply or halvings, but on macro trust dynamics .
🔁 The Two Core Phases:
• Correlated Periods 🟦 (Blue zones): BTC and TLT move together — both rising or falling
• Inverted Periods 🟩 (Green zones): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions
These aren't random — they're structural rotations that occur at key technical levels in the bond market.
🧠 The Cycle Timeline:
Jan 2019 – Feb 2020 → Correlated (pre-COVID calm)
Feb 2020 – Sep 2021 → Inverted (Fed QE, Bitcoin moon)
Sep 2021 – Nov 2022 → Correlated (everything dumps)
Nov 2022 – Oct 2023 → Inverted (TLT collapse, BTC recovers)
Nov 2023 – Aug 2024 → Correlated (sideways digestion)
Aug 2024 – Now (Apr 2025) → Inverted again — and compressing fast
We're now in Period 6 — an Inverted Period — but all signs point to an upcoming Reversion.
📉 What Happens at Each Flip?
These transitions tend to occur when:
• TLT hits major channel support or resistance
• Macro fear or liquidity shocks drive trust shifts
• Smart money starts reallocating across asset classes
Right now, TLT is at channel support — a zone that has previously triggered reversions into correlated periods.
📌 What Comes Next:
According to the Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ :
→ We are statistically due for a reversion** back into correlation
→ If TLT bounces from 76–71 zone… BTC may follow — not fight
→ The target remains: BTC breaking above 115 resistance
This flip — from inverse to correlated — has historically marked breakout windows for Bitcoin.
🔮 This Is Bigger Than a Halving
Plan B’s Stock-to-Flow gave us valuable insight into long-term valuation.
But it doesn’t explain timing.
This model isn’t about supply mechanics.
It’s about macro trust mechanics .
When institutional confidence leaves Treasuries…
And enters Bitcoin…
That’s the rotation we track.
That’s what moves the chart now.
🎯 Watchlist: • TLT support: 76 → 71 zone = reversal signal
• BTC breakout trigger: 115 resistance
• Cycle shift: Reversion = Bitcoin joining TLT upside
If this plays out, it could mark the most important trust cycle breakout we’ve seen since the COVID inversion.
Bitcoin doesn’t need permission anymore.
It just needs a macro trigger. And this model helps us spot it.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
📌 Missed the full credit market breakdown? Check my recent posts on BKLN, HYG, LQD, and TLT to understand the full Trust Flow rotation.
The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles- by FXPROFESSOR🏆 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR
Video:
Friends, today I’m sharing what may be the most important Bitcoin framework of 2025.
Forget the broken halving expectations. Forget the chaos of macro headlines.
What if the real signal has been here all along?
What if Bitcoin’s true rhythm follows the capital rotation between itself and the U.S. Treasury market?
📊 Introducing: The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™
This is not a model of where Bitcoin could go (like Stock-to-Flow)…
This is a model of when and why it moves — based on the trust rotation between U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT) and Bitcoin.
What I’ve found is a repeating structure — not based on supply or halvings, but on macro trust dynamics.
🔁 The Two Core Phases:
• Correlated Periods 🟦 (Blue zones): BTC and TLT move together — both rising or falling
• Inverted Periods 🟩 (Green zones): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions
These aren't random — they're structural rotations that occur at key technical levels in the bond market.
🧠 The Cycle Timeline:
Jan 2019 – Feb 2020 → Correlated (pre-COVID calm)
Feb 2020 – Sep 2021 → Inverted (Fed QE, Bitcoin moon)
Sep 2021 – Nov 2022 → Correlated (everything dumps)
Nov 2022 – Oct 2023 → Inverted (TLT collapse, BTC recovers)
Nov 2023 – Aug 2024 → Correlated (sideways digestion)
Aug 2024 – Now (Apr 2025) → Inverted again — and compressing fast
We're now in Period 6 — an Inverted Period — but all signs point to an upcoming Reversion.
📉 What Happens at Each Flip?
These transitions tend to occur when:
• TLT hits major channel support or resistance
• Macro fear or liquidity shocks drive trust shifts
• Smart money starts reallocating across asset classes
Right now, TLT is at channel support — a zone that has previously triggered reversions into correlated periods.
📌 What Comes Next:
According to the Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™:
→ We are statistically due for a reversion** back into correlation
→ If TLT bounces from 76–71 zone… BTC may follow — not fight
→ The target remains: BTC breaking above 115 resistance
This flip — from inverse to correlated — has historically marked breakout windows for Bitcoin.
🔮 This Is Bigger Than a Halving
Plan B’s Stock-to-Flow gave us valuable insight into long-term valuation.
But it doesn’t explain timing.
This model isn’t about supply mechanics.
It’s about macro trust mechanics.
When institutional confidence leaves Treasuries…
And enters Bitcoin…
That’s the rotation we track.
That’s what moves the chart now.
🎯 Watchlist: • TLT support: 76 → 71 zone = reversal signal
• BTC breakout trigger: 115 resistance
• Cycle shift: Reversion = Bitcoin joining TLT upside
If this plays out, it could mark the most important trust cycle breakout we’ve seen since the COVID inversion.
Bitcoin doesn’t need permission anymore.
It just needs a macro trigger. And this model helps us spot it.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
📌 Missed the full credit market breakdown? Check my recent posts on BKLN, HYG, LQD, and TLT to understand the full Trust Flow rotation.
Forget halving hype. This new model tracks when Bitcoin moves with (🔄) or against (🔁) U.S. Treasuries — based on macro trust flows.
And right now? We're at the edge of an EPIC reversion.📈📈📈
👇
#Bitcoin #Macro #TrustFlow #TLT CRYPTOCAP:BTC
The Road to $100k BitcoinBitcoin is most likely forming a left-translated 60-day cycle .
Expect Bitcoin to trend downward for the next month, making a lower low in this 60-day cycle and fully scaring the market.
People will start screaming “bear market” and panic-sell their coins to market makers, institutions, and patient investors.
Once that’s done, Bitcoin will resume its bull market, heading toward a market top in Q2/Q3 2025.
This would mirror 2021’s bull market behavior, align with the 4-year Bitcoin cycle, and leave enough time for the market to fully reset by late 2026.
Long Coinbase as a proxy bet on Crypto until end of yearUntil proven otherwise I must be under the assumption that the worst is behind us for the time being. That being said, more debasement is infinitely more likely than less, so long risk assets.
-looking for a lovely retest of the broken downtrend, coinciding with a nice support level within the next 30 days. This has to be a buy for me (in the green box).
-looking to close position late this year (likely December)
Bullish??? That was all very sudden, is it over now?The market correction really seamed to be an over reaction. I am hopeful that the worst is behind us, at least for the meantime.
maybe this will be closer to 2018 correction and we just keep grinding higher for the rest of the year. I suppose anything is possible.
-Everyone got way to bearish to quick - Spidey senses going off!
-we never copy and paste last cycle to the next, but people have such a recency bias, sometimes its all they can see ( I may know from experience)
- hopefully bullish
GOLDMASTER1| BITCOIN ---
Market Awareness Update — BTCUSDT 1H
Price has successfully moved from the Bullish Order Block and tapped into the Buyside Liquidity Zone.
250+ Pips Achieved — Trade Played Out Exactly as Planned.
Important:
The market is now sitting at a Buyside Liquidity level, which is a high-risk zone for fresh buys. Liquidity has likely been collected, so watch for signs of either:
1. Rejection and potential reversal (smart money often triggers sell-offs from this area),
2. A breakout and retest before any continuation higher.
Recommendation:
Avoid late entries.
Wait for clear structure confirmation (Break of Structure or Retest) before planning the next move.
Manage your positions — smart money behavior is active at this level.
GOLDMASTER1---
Bitcoin breaks resistance trend lineIn another sign of recovery, Bitcoin is trying to break away from a key short-term resistance trend line that has been in place since the cryptocurrency topped out in January this year at above $109K.
BTC/USD has already reclaimed a few short-term levels such as FWB:83K and moved above the 21-day exponential moving average to provide the first objective bullish signal.
More work is still needed before we get the all-clear, with the 200-day average and more importantly a key resistance range around $90K (specifically in the $88.8K to $91.2K range) to contend with.
Still, we have a few tentative signs of a possible reversal, which is evidenced across risk assets including major stock indices.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Market Update - This Stock Market Analysis Aligns With Bitcoin..What if I told you that the stock market’s pattern could actually reveal what’s coming next for Bitcoin—would you stick around and watch the entire video? That’s exactly what I’m diving into here. I didn’t force this analysis to fit; somehow, over the past week, it just lined up this way.
In this video, I break down exactly why the next market move could be more severe than anything we’ve seen in our lifetime—yet it’s not the end of the world. In fact, if approached correctly, this could be the opportunity of a lifetime. The rebound that follows could be massive.
I’ve always had a gut feeling about this, but now the patterns are speaking loud and clear. This is the reason I created AriasWave—and this is exactly where we are right now.
This also aligns with my latest Euro analysis linked below in related ideas.
$ETH = Silver and $BTC = Gold Means WHAT!?They say Ethereum is the Silver to ₿itcoin being Gold.
If that's the case, does that mean that the ceiling for CRYPTOCAP:ETH will forever be stuck at $4,800
just like TVC:SILVER being capped at $48 for the past 45 years?
Does anyone really think ETH will be higher than $4,800 in 45 years???😆
A true store of value 💯
Bitcoin - Trading below 50 and 200 EMACurrently bitcoin is trading below 50 and 200 EMA after multiple failed attempt to breach the these EMA levels. 1D candle closed above 200 EMA however, failed to close above 50 EMA
Additionally price is around the trendline which is acting as resistance, a strong breakout from this resistance is needed for bullish momentum to continue.
In the next couple of days we will get to know if price will break the resistance or gets rejected.
Stay tuned for more updates
Cheers
GreenCrypto
BITCOIN Supply Demand Short ALERT1) See picture for full analysis...
Higher Timframe:
-Price inside supply
-Trend = downtrend
-Stochastic RSI overbought
Lower Timeframe:
-Need break to break support + break upward trend-line + quality supply created.
- IF price does the following then possible pullback for short OR look for scalp/day-trade shorts
to the downside with 1TF setups.
#supplyanddemand #supportandresistance