BTC NEW Update (4H)Considering that Bitcoin is in a trading range, has swept the lower liquidity pools, repeatedly tested a support knot, and has a liquidity pool above the trading range, it is expected that this bullish move will either be absorbed into the higher liquidity pool on the chart or that pool will be swept.
After these two scenarios, it is expected that the price will drop and then bullish again from a support knot that has not yet been tested with a bearish wave.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
This perspective is applied to Bitcoin.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point UpdatePreviously I mentioned the weekly was consolidating, but there is potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg as momentum shifts and the final emotional price movements are played out. I was too conservative in my price projections; a lot more than I used to be- but there wasn't a whole lot of TA involved- I figured the dollar issues would crop up earlier.
Now that the Fed had pivoted. the yields are creeping back up pushing bitcoin back down. The fed doesn't let on just how dire the situation is- and with global tensions rising, the dollar is at significant risk.
I expect a broad correction in all the markets- and cash to become very tight.
There is daily momentum consolidation- and if any other events occur that send yields upward- bitcoin is likely to suffer as a consequence. If instead we sail into the new year unscathed- then this consolidation may provide another leg up; but a break below 88k and a push towards 60k may solidify bitcoins correction.
DAILY
WEEKLY
BTCUSDT - 17th January📉 BTC/USDT at a Crossroads – Bullish and Bearish Scenarios 📈
Bitcoin is currently navigating a critical decision point, as uncertainty looms over the completion of Wave 4. Here’s a breakdown of the potential outcomes:
🔑 Bullish Path:
If Wave 4 is complete, BTC is poised for a breakout above the $103K resistance level.
Target Zones for Wave 5:
🎯 Target 1: $121K
🎯 Target 2: $129K
A confirmed breakout above $103K would signal the start of a rally toward a new all-time high.
🔻 Bearish Path:
If Wave 4 remains incomplete, BTC might still be forming a triangle or bull flag, which suggests another leg downward.
Possible Downside Levels:
📌 FWB:88K to $86K
This would likely mark the final accumulation phase before BTC resumes its climb toward the all-time high.
🎯 Current Outlook:
The $103K level is the key to determining Bitcoin’s next move:
A breakout confirms the bullish scenario.
A rejection signals potential downside.
📊 Conclusion:
Bitcoin’s path hinges on resolving Wave 4. Until confirmation emerges, traders should exercise caution and prepare for both bullish and bearish scenarios when planning trades or investments.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
BITCOIN UPDATES FOR ENTRIESWere still on a Bullrun, but we might see an clear of LONGS here!. if the premiums clear. wait for pullback.
This idea would manipulates the LONGS. or the price could go back to 78k? before we go higher.
This is only my view for now. I'm still bullish on MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN , this is not a financial advice, do your own research base on the sentiments right now.
The long-term still on 128k? probably yes, but at what timeframe.
follow for more. I will be posting daily updates on other pairs.
Come and check this out.
Daily reminder you need to rest on weekends. the market is just making liquidity.
Lock in boys.
keep stackingsss satttssss.. I believe on this coin. As we can see the US markets especially the ETFS, could drive the price high before our eyes.
BTC new ATH incomingGreat Morning!! Bitcoin pushing for another ATH breaking out of a bull flag with a fib target of $110,000. Today is the last day of the current administration, with Trump coming in on Monday and today being Gensler's last day in office. #LFG Check out #XRP which usually runs last but this cycle is leading the way.
BTC Correction Incoming? Key Support Zones to MonitorOver the past 50+ days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a well-defined range, with the all-time high (ATH) at 108K marking the upper boundary and 90K as the lower boundary. The current price action has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, with the neckline positioned around 90K.
Volume and Recent Price Action
Volume has notably decreased compared to the elevated levels seen in November and December 2024, signaling weakening momentum.
Price rose significantly to 102.7K, reaching the 0.666 Fibonacci retracement level of the current downtrend, where it faced a sharp rejection. This rejection led Bitcoin to test the lows around 91.5K.
Key Resistance Levels
97K (POC): The Point of Control (POC) of the current range sits around 97K, which also aligns with the anchored VWAP taken from the all-time high.
98.3K (Fib 0.618): The Weekly Open (wOpen) coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the current downward wave, making it a significant resistance level.
100K (Psychological Level): A critical psychological barrier, also serving as a key level for setting stop-loss orders for short positions.
Short Trade Setup
A short position could be built in the range of 97K-98.3K, with the following parameters:
Stop-Loss: Above 100K.
Target: 84-80K range.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): A favorable 3:1 to 4:1, depending on laddered entries.
Key Support Levels and Confluence Zone (80K-83K Region)
The 80K-83K region stands out as a strong support zone due to multiple confluence factors:
1.) Fib Retracement Levels:
0.618 (82.7K): From the swing low of 67K to the ATH of 108K.
0.5 (80.45K): From the broader wave structure (52.5K to 108.35K).
Negative Fib -0.618 (81.1K): From the current downward wave.
2.) Anchored VWAP: Anchored from 6th September 2024, currently aligning with the 82K level.
3.) ]Fib Speed Fan (0.618): Taken from the low at 52.5K to the ATH, intersecting with the 80-82K region around mid-to-late January.
Long Trade Setup
The 80K-83K support zone presents a strong opportunity for a long position for those who missed the previous uptrend:
Entry Zone: Between 80K and 83K.
Stop-Loss: Below 78K or lower.
Target: 90K, which aligns with the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approximately 2:1 if entering from the 80K level.
Breaking: Bitcoin Crosses $104,000 , Defying Market ExpectationsBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has achieved a significant milestone, breaking through the psychological resistance level of $100,000 and trading as high as $104,000. This 4.27% surge has positioned BTC as the focal point of global financial discussions. However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating overbought conditions, traders are left questioning whether the rally can sustain its momentum or if a correction is imminent.
Technical Analysis:
BTC’s move above the $100,000 resistance level highlights its bullish momentum. However, traders should remain cautious, as overbought signals from the RSI suggest the possibility of a near-term correction. Immediate support lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical technical zone that could act as a buffer against potential selling pressure.
Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break below this support, the price may dip toward the one-month low of $90,000. Such a move could trigger a massive sell-off, further intensifying bearish sentiment. Conversely, maintaining the current momentum above $100,000 could pave the way for BTC to explore new all-time highs, fueled by increased institutional and retail interest.
Miners Bolster BTC Reserves
Recent data underscores the pivotal role of U.S.-based cryptocurrency miners in Bitcoin’s growth trajectory. As of December 2024, miners have doubled their BTC reserves to nearly 100,000 coins, raising over $3.7 billion since November to bolster their holdings.
Top players such as Marathon Digital Holdings (40,435 BTC), Riot Platforms (16,728 BTC), and CleanSpark (10,097 BTC) lead the charge. Their "HODL" strategy—holding rather than selling mined Bitcoin—has not only strengthened their balance sheets but also amplified investor confidence. This is reflected in rising stock valuations for these firms, showcasing the synergy between strategic asset accumulation and market sentiment.
Key Drivers Behind Miner Resilience
1. Market Conditions: Lower Bitcoin prices in early 2024 allowed miners to acquire BTC at discounted rates.
2. Technological Advancements: The adoption of efficient mining equipment and energy optimization strategies enabled miners to enhance profitability.
3. Price Recovery: The late 2024 Bitcoin rally increased the value of miners’ reserves, positioning them advantageously in the current market landscape.
Challenges on the Horizon
Despite their impressive growth, U.S.-based miners face mounting challenges. Rising global hash rates, driven by increased competition from international miners, are squeezing profit margins. Furthermore, the upcoming Bitcoin halving in April 2024—which will reduce mining rewards by 50%—poses an additional hurdle. Miners will need to innovate, optimize operations, and explore diversified revenue streams to remain competitive.
Market Sentiment and Macroeconomic Factors
Bitcoin’s latest surge also aligns with macroeconomic developments. The cryptocurrency has gained 7.85% in the past week, fueled by speculation around the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump on January 20. Market participants anticipate favorable regulatory policies under the new administration, further boosting confidence in digital assets.
Outlook
At a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, Bitcoin’s ascent to $104,000 signifies both the resilience of the crypto market and the strategic maneuvers of key industry players. However, the overbought RSI, coupled with potential resistance at higher levels, necessitates vigilance among traders and investors.
While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, near-term corrections could provide strategic entry points for those seeking to capitalize on its upward trajectory. As miners continue to accumulate reserves and innovate, their role in shaping Bitcoin’s future will be pivotal in navigating the challenges of an evolving crypto ecosystem.
Anticipating 2025Happy new year, traders! A few year-end wobbles not withstanding, Bitcoin has remained steadily within, or just above, the $100k price range over the past weeks. Bears briefly pushed Bitcoin below $90k but the dip was slurped up quickly and Bitcoin bounced upwards. Just as in the summer of 2024, when it was clear that Bulls had run out of steam, the same can be said of Bears in this moment in time. For now, Bulls remain at the wheel.
As Bitcoin builds up momentum before hopefully going on the next leg of its cycle growth, the stage is open and capital available for Altcoins to have their moment. So-called 'Boomer Coins' including Litecoin, XRP and others have rallied 30-40%+ over the past week alone. On the other end of the spectrum, memes, AI agent coins in particular, have seen parabolic growth. Market participants are chasing the 'next' pump narrative. But none of the typical 'top' indicators have yet been hit. The Coinbase app is not number 1 in the App Store just yet.
From a regulatory perspective, traders are positioning themselves for the incoming pro-crypto Trump administration. As SEC chairman Gary Gensler is handing in his resignation on January 20th, a new crypto-friendly SEC chair, Paul Atkins, is poised to take over once confirmed by the Senate. This will mark a major step-change from an SEC that brought at least 83 enforcement actions against crypto companies such as Coinbase or Uniswap.
Macro-wise, the outlook is more mixed. On the one hand, latest US inflation readings have come in soft. That keeps the door open for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. On the other, both retail sales and job data came in below expectations underperforming. The impact of possible Trump tariffs on the economy and trading partners such as China, Mexico and the EU is a great unknown that spooks markets. In a worst case scenario, tariffs could hurt partner exports which would result in an overall economic backlash for everyone.
Nonetheless, crypto is entering the 2nd year of its Boom Market cycle with more cause for optimism. The regulatory uncertainty is slowly lifting. Institutions including giants such as Blackrock have embraced crypto markets. Beyond the usual noise of crypto markets, Blockchain technology is improving. Areas such as performance, encryption, interoperability and User experience are starting to reach a point where actual adoption becomes feasible. There is certainly a lot to look forward to in 2025. May we all have a great year ahead of us.
BTCUSDT | 4H | BE CAREFUL Dear friends,
For Bitcoin, the 97, 98, 102 thousand dollar levels are very important areas. I suggest you to be careful at these levels. I think these points can be dangerous; therefore, we need to observe these levels. ⚠️
Please be careful in advance, dear followers 📣
please don't forget to press the like button for more such analysis 🚀
Best Regards 🫡
I've got some wisdom to share. Take some notes #BitcoinHey members, apologies for being offline for a while...I'm back (kinda)
Tradingview is happy to ban me from speaking to you and for these reasons I might not be making videos on here for much longer
Today I want to share with you some truths that others dont speak about. It's beyond trading mentality, which is why it works
Please learn from my pain (or don't, but do)
"Energy" runs the you and it runs the markets, focus on respecting market energy and your managing your emotions within it
Know the game you're in
Humans have emotions, and if can't manage them those then you're not playing the game right
The market has energy, if you can't identify the energy of the market then you're not playing the game right
Hopefully I'll be catching up with you soon
Ciao for now.
Blayno
Back to 108K ?Welcome back folks,
Only on Thu we talked about bearish scenario and 85K target and now we have to turn everything from top to bottom.
Not occasionally on Thu we warned about weekly bullish grabber pattern and called to not take any fresh shorts, but keep existed ones. What's now?
Now our H&S stands in a process of failure, which means price has good chances to go back to 108K top, is failure will be confirmed. Besides, on weekly chart we could get 2nd grabber in a row if BTC will close slightly higher.
Price was not able to break the neck line, and just got the stops there.
It means that currently we do not consider any shorts. For long entry we could use intraday Fib levels. First one is 96.35K And see what will happen next.
BTC could dump again if USDT.D chart does same thing againThe last time I posted this was when USDT Dominance chart touched the green trendline on the chart and bounced off the red trendline on the RSI.
Will this happen again causing another flash dump or will the bullish scenario I posted in last analysis (see below chart link) come to fruition?
As you can see the blue trendline on chart at 91790usd is major support.
The RSI pink trendline on left chart shows it is at resistance right now.
What just happened was a failed attempt to close a possible head and shoulders pattern, trapping shorts under the support causing this short squeeze in play right now. The question is whether the pump will continue or will it go back down. The USDT.D chart will tell us.
Hit the like idea rocket button if you like the idea and analysis.
Bitcoin tested 100k once again today, BUT..Let me explain first.. I am very positive with Bitcoin, and i do believe it will reach to 200k to 300k in 3 years span.
But for now, as the chart showing BTCUSD tested the resistance, a very solid trendline, also 78.6% fibo retracement up from the previous drop, and the psychological level of 100k, I AM SHORTING BITCOIN NOW..
Target 1: 97000
Target 2: 95000
Target 3: 89000
BITCOIN PREDICTION - BTC GAME PLANI’d like to share my plan for BTC with you guys.
We’ve recently broken the bullish trendline that had been supporting the price for a while and maintaining the uptrend. This break occurred with strong momentum, which I consider a bearish signal.
However, there’s still a larger bullish daily trendline just below us. I expect a strong momentum push up from that level, so the current situation isn’t a major concern for me.
Here’s my outlook:
I anticipate a run on the equal lows just below the current price. This move should provide enough energy for the price to push up and retest the recently broken trendline.
That retest is likely to confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. If we fail to break above the trendline with momentum, I expect the price to fall below the December 5th wick and then get rejected.
This phase may create a ranging environment, potentially building momentum for altcoins.
Eventually, I anticipate testing the daily HTF bullish trendline, which should provide a strong rejection and begin the journey to new all-time highs.
This is my game plan based on my experience, and I’ll be monitoring the price closely to adapt if needed.
Key Notes:
I expect early January to bring strong bullish momentum across all crypto markets. For now, we’re in a choppy zone.
If BTC breaks back above the trendline we just lost, I’d expect the price to reach $99,500 and likely face rejection there.
Breaking above $100K would strongly signal a bullish trend. I’ll then watch closely for any rejection at the marked blue line and purple zone on the chart.
This is how I’m approaching the market. Manage your risk accordingly!
Big picture box zone: 93576.0-106133.74
(Title) The point of interest is whether it can escape from the important support and resistance zones in the big picture
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Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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Because the coin market has become volatile, it is necessary to check what USDT and USDC will look like.
If USDT or USDC shows a gap-up pattern, it means that funds have flowed into the coin market.
If it shows a gap-down pattern, it means that funds have flowed out of the coin market.
If USDT or USDC gapped down, there is a possibility of profit taking, which is an outflow of funds while driving up the price.
This movement will eventually lead to a decline in the coin market.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
If BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and remains or shows a downward trend, I think there is a high possibility that an altcoin bull market will begin.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
If USDT dominance rises above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to show a large decline and show a downward trend.
If USDT dominance falls, it is expected to fall to around 2.84 and then show an upward trend.
If it touches around 2.84 and rises, the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
Because the rising USDT dominance means that the coin market is likely to show a downtrend.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above 97461.86, BTC is likely to show a short-term uptrend.
At this time, the resistance zone is
1st: 101947.24
2nd: 106133.74
It is likely to be around the 1st and 2nd above.
Therefore, the 101947.24-106133.74 zone corresponds to the high point boundary zone.
-
(1M chart)
The short-term uptrend I mentioned earlier is actually meaningless in the big picture.
Since the BW(100) indicator of the 1M chart was created at the 93576.0 point, the 93576.0 point corresponds to the high point boundary point.
Therefore, the price holding above 93576.0 means that it is in the high point range.
Therefore, if it falls below 93576.0, it will fall from the high point range, so it is highly likely that a downtrend will begin in the big picture.
You can see how important the area around the 93576.0 point is.
-
(1W chart)
The HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is formed at the 94742.35 point.
The BW(100) indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 104463.99 point.
Therefore, the 94742.35-104463.99 section corresponds to the high point boundary section when viewed on the 1W chart.
Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend, it must rise above the 94742.35-104463.99 section.
If not, if it falls below 94742.35, it is likely to show a downtrend.
Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart is in the oversold section, we need to check whether the StochRSI indicator turns upward due to the price increase this week.
Among the interpretation methods of the StochRSI indicator, based on the 50 point,
- When it is below 50, you should focus on finding the time to buy,
- When it is above 50, you should focus on finding the time to sell.
In particular, when entering the overbought or oversold zone, it is necessary to focus more on where the price shows support and resistance.
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To summarize the above, the important support and resistance zones in the big picture are the 93576.0-94742.35 zone and the 104463.99-106133.74 zone.
Because it is highly likely that a new trend will start when it breaks out of these two zones, you should trade within the box zone until then.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC zone.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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Etherium might surprise everyone. BINANCE:ETHUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
BINANCE:ETHUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after the BINANCE:BTCUSD breakout above 69K. However, the price of ETH is still in a trading range. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: All-time high around 5000.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Bitcoin UP x Bitcoin Dominance Down = ALTSEASONCRYPTOCAP:BTC 📈 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D 📉 = Altseason
✅While bitcoin dominance continues to decrease in February 2017, meanwhile, bitcoin continues to rise and #Altcoin season is experienced for 11 months.
✅While bitcoin dominance continues to decrease in January 2021, meanwhile, bitcoin continues to rise and #Altcoins season is experienced for 11 months.
✅Bitcoin dominance is declining in January 2025 and meanwhile bitcoin continues to rise so we are likely to witness the #Alts season over the next 11 months
Complete analysis of Bitcoinhello friends
We came with Bitcoin analysis.
After a strong rising wave, we entered the channel phase and entered the correction phase with a falling pattern at the ceiling.
Now we have identified for you the first identified support that we expect to reach there.
If the support range is maintained, we will go for a new ceiling, but if the range is validly broken, we should expect a deeper correction than the 85 range.
*Trade safely with us*