BTC Hold to New HighHappy New Years Eve Traders,
I'm looking for the marked levels to hold and BTC to send to 109k new ATH.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC - 1H PulllbackBitcoin has formed a bearish descending channel following a sharp bearish spike, indicating continued downward momentum. Currently, the price is showing signs of recovery and may rise towards the channel base around the $97,000 resistance zone.
This resistance zone, marked by previous rejections and high selling pressure, is a critical area to monitor. It offers a potential opportunity to enter short positions if rejection signs are observed, with expectations of further declines from that zone.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation of price action at the resistance before entering positions. Both bullish retracements and potential rejections at resistance offer opportunities for strategic trades. 🚀
Bitcoin, Best zone to look to buy. BINANCE:BTCUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, The price is rejecting the Previous all-time high. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a second leg down that will complete an AB CD complex pullback into the support zone shown in the chart for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
A new all-time high.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
BITCOIN SELL TO $86,000 (UPDATE)We are still holding onto our BTC sell position, within the Crypto Fund for my investors. If you guys remember last month our TP1 hit on BTC & now we are waiting for our TP2 target at $86,000 to hit.
Hopefully won't take much longer. Well done to everyone still holding on!
Bitcoin Logarithmic Chart Since 2009Bitcoin is currently in a bull cycle similar to previous cycles. Bitcoin has a notorious 4 year cycle that almost everyone knows about due to it's halving. This means the current bull cycle should extend into late 2025. However, things may be a little different from what most people would expect this time.
This is an all-time Bitcoin logarithmic chart going back to 2009 which is when Bitcoin was released. This is a monthly chart so all the information can fit onto a single screen.
The red line shows a trajectory similar to an airborne projectile of some kind. As time goes on, the velocity is slowing. We all know what happens next when velocity slows down too much. Gravity takes over!
The green lines were drawn from the lows to the highs. I realize they may be off by a candle or so depending on data source or where somebody want to put the start/end times, but this doesn't change the overall concept. Every bull cycle has lower growth in terms of %. This is just a fact.
There are 3 important notes I want to make other than slowing velocity:
1) Bitcoin is already extended up to the red line this cycle. Which just so happens to coincide with the strong psychological $100000 level.
2) Notice how the growth percentages are drastically lower each cycle. Bitcoin is currently up more than 500% from it's low point this cycle. The previous cycle only made a 1829% move. So the high for this cycle may have already been made.
3) We are about 25 candle into the current cycle. Each cycle has different durations from low point to high point though. The shortest cycle was only 28 candles. Bitcoin may very well have made it's high point this cycle already. If not, there may be only a few months left of bullish movement.
See my previous analysis using a regular linear chart which I made near the top. Both long-term charts are in agreement.
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and continued to move up next. Price rose to 108300 points (New ATH) and then started to decline in a triangle. In a short time, BTC fell to the 101800 level, broke it again, and then made a retest, after which continued to move down. Later, the price fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then bounced up, but soon turned around and declined back to the 93400 level. Then BTC turned around and rose to the resistance line of the triangle and then started to fall to the buyer zone. After it reached this area, the price some time traded inside and then rebounded up, thereby exiting from the triangle and continuing to grow in the pennant. In a pennant pattern, Bitcoin rose to the seller zone, after which it turned around and dropped to support line of this pattern. Recently it rebounded and now I expect that BTC can fall a little more, even exit from pennant, and then turn around and start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 99000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC Not Looking GoodTeam,
We have a blood diamond on the BTC 2 Day Chart. Typically when we get these on HTF, we should expect continuation of the downside movement for 4 - 6 bars. Which means next 7-10 days we will be dealing with a potential downward pressure. Be prepared.
If we break the neck line of the potential H&S pattern that is forming, our target on the down side is early 80k. If we mirror the pattern we took to go up to 107k level to the down side as a measured move, as you can see on the chart our measured move take us down to SD 3 level of 76-77k. This will also fill the CME gap.
What am I doing with my leveraged trading? I'm waiting in cash with limit orders for altcoins to take advantage of any significant moves to the down side. I have set up chart set ups similar to this bitcoin chart.
On the BTC macro front, some important news just came out. And these usually lead us to major bottoms.
Exact quoted news:
“According to DB, the US government has been granted permission to liquidate 69,000 Bitcoins (worth $6.5 billion) seized from Silk Road, an official confirmed to DB News today.
Notably, this comes less than two weeks after the new administration took office, which had promised not to sell the Bitcoins.
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) can sell 69,370 bitcoins seized from the Silk Road darknet marketplace, a federal judge ruled Dec. 30.
The DOJ cited bitcoin’s price volatility as a reason for pushing for permission to sell the assets."
DoJ is required to sell any cleared assets to cash, and transfer that cash to treasury once sold.
USMS (US Marshal Service) has certain financial reporting processes that restrict withdrawals from its exchange account near the end of each month.
This is why you usually see DOJ deposits to Coinbase prime earlier in the month.
On top of that, liquidations are supposed to occur within 5 business
days. So they’re supposed to do it quick after forfeiture, and 5 business days after notice to CB, but they’ve taken longer in the past. Point is window is closing quickly if it hasn’t already. That is, if they’re following their own rules.
Bitcoin hit 1st target. Big chance for bigger dropBitcoin hit 1st target. Big chance for bigger drop
i think price can go down and take key zone 86k -90k
Where is Bitcoin’s support?Bitcoin has entered a weekly correction and this price correction will continue until we reach oversold levels on the weekly time frame.
My prediction for the end of this weekly correction is between $79,000 and $81,000 .
At this price, we also reach the trend curve that has the power to reverse the price upwards.
This price correction is likely to last another 4-5 weeks.
By reaching this support, if Bitcoin remains in the range, altcoins can grow.
Until then, it is better to avoid emotional trading.
This analysis will be violated if the price goes up and breaks above 106,500.
Don’t forget to boost, comment and follow.
Ali Rezaei
some more bleeding for BitcoinersLike most other charts, a massive dump followed by a downward channel
expected scenario is here
Yellow line MUST work as bottom and lead to a V shape recovery
if it doesn't we can go much lower as medium term bullish structure will be definitively broken. Let's hope the support holds
Bitcoin Daily ReviewSeven 8H bear candles in a row... approximately 1 billion liquidations in longs alone within past two days. BTC finally dipped below 2024 close ✅
I still believe that BTC should bounce back to +/- 98k. At least while market moves sideway (for the past 2 months) its justified to expect price to stay within the range (until it is broken). Previous consolidation stage took more than 8 months, so I hope this time it won't be that extended.
If that consolidation range will get broken, correction target is pointed by multiple factors: CME gap + 2024 VAH + developing Week 20sma - it all comes to +/- 80k
Nearest liquidity pools:
above - 93850 / 95750 / 96710 / 97350
below - 92540 / 92025 / 91065 / 89590
Lines on the chart:
🔸99660 - November high
🔸98340 - week close
🔸97843 - Q4 VAH
🔸96475 - November close
🔸93549 - 2024 close
🔸91510 - week low
🔸90200 - December low
Trend: D ➡️ W 🔼 M 🔼
🤑 F&G: 69 < 70 < 78 < 76 < 72
Recency Bias: Your Brain’s Worst Trade Idea Ever!Let’s face it: your brain is out to sabotage your trading, and recency bias is its weapon of choice. This sneaky psychological gremlin convinces you that your last few trades—good or bad—are all that matter. But spoiler alert: they’re not.
🎲 What is Recency Bias?
Recency bias is your brain’s tendency to overvalue recent events and ignore the bigger picture. Three wins in a row? You’re invincible, right? WRONG. Three losses? Time to ditch your strategy? ALSO WRONG. The market doesn’t care about your streak—it plays the long game, and so should you.
💀 How It Destroys You
1️⃣ Winning Streak Confidence: After a few wins, you start upping your risk like you’re Warren Buffet. Then BAM—one loss wipes you out.
2️⃣ Losing Streak Paralysis: A few losses, and suddenly you’re too scared to pull the trigger, even on solid setups.
3️⃣ Revenge Trading: The currency pair that burned you? Oh, you’ll “get it back,” right? Nope. You’ll just lose more.
🛡️ How to Beat It
1️⃣ Reset Daily: Clear your head before every session. Meditate, walk, scream into a pillow—whatever works.
2️⃣ Stick to Your Plan: Your strategy works because it’s tested, not because your emotions say so.
3️⃣ Journal Everything: Spot your patterns before they wreck you.
4️⃣ Manage Risk: Winning or losing streaks shouldn’t change your position size. Period.
5️⃣ Check Your Ego: The market isn’t out to get you. It doesn’t even know you exist.
🧠 Final Words
Recency bias is a sneaky little troll, but with self-awareness and discipline, you can shut it down. Remember: your last trade doesn’t define you—your consistency does.
Now stop letting your brain gaslight you and go trade like the pro you were meant to be. 🚀
Missed 101.5K sell? Don't worryMorning folks,
So, our H&S has started perfect. Right from the area that we've discussed last time - Agreement of Fib resistance and our XOP target on 4H chart, where the top of right arm should be formed.
Obviously now we consider no longs by far. H&S target stands around 85.5K - in the middle of wide K-support area of 82-89K.
If you missed entry around 101K, we could get 2nd chance around 96-96.5K, but do not expect too extended pullback. Price is at the slope of the shoulder, naturally this is not the moment for deep upside pullbacks. I would say that deep retracement, back to 100K would be unwelcome sign, suggesting weakness of the bears.
Dogeusdt BullishDogecoin bullish outloock, we can identify strong bullish entry at 0.3180 level. If price breaks this zone than bears target will be 0.24 zone but hope this doesn't happen.
BNBUSDT BearishBinance Coin bears are strong enough to push price down, target is 650 level. Now is the best time to sell and put SL above 710 level. Good luck!
ETHUSDT ShortETHUSDT Sell signal, We had consolidation between 3300 _ 3450 levels, Now it's time to retest 3000 level. waiting for sell confirmation on lower timeframe.
BITCOIN'S NECKLINE IN THREAT!Will Bitcoin break the neckline to go lower, OR reverse towards the swing-high? There have been multiple rejections at the shoulder level as the price attempted to go higher on two past occasions.
N.B!
- BTCUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#ethusd
#crypto
#btcusd
Bulls & Bears cycles of #Bitcoin.Good day, dear investors.
We present to your attention the analysis of the last 2 #Bitcoin growth cycles and the forecast for the beginning of the bear cycle.
The data demonstrated a surprising coincidence of numbers:
- the bull cycle (the growth of the asset from the minimum quote, to which the asset has not returned) is 1050 days on average.
- the bear cycle consists of 365 days on average.
At the same time, with each cycle, the depth of the asset correction also decreases:
- 2017/2018 loss of 85% of the value of Bitcoin and 95% of Ether.
- 2021/2022 loss of 75% of the value of Bitcoin and 80% of Ether.
Our conservative forecast for the value of Bitcoin is 150,000. A positive forecast, in the event of the adoption of the "Law on the Strategic Reserve" - 250,000.
William Abagnale
Cryptanalyst of Vokcapital.
BTC Weekly Advanced Detailed Analysis & Prediction with DataThe chart demonstrates a strong bullish order flow in the 4-hour timeframe, with price consistently respecting Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and showing a sharp reaction to imbalanced zones. This behavior reflects the active involvement of institutional or "smart money" participants, who are driving the market higher from key demand zones. The recent structural movements highlight a well-defined trend continuation, with the price eyeing significant liquidity levels as the next targets.
The levels of 99,850 and 102,787 stand out as critical liquidity zones for the week. These areas represent potential clusters of stop-loss orders and other liquidity pools that price often gravitates toward during trending markets. When The price approaches these levels, we may see a liquidity grab followed by either continued bullish movement or a short-term reversal. The bullish bias remains intact, reinforced by a solid rejection and reversal seen at the 92,279 level, where smart money activity was most evident. This region not only acted as a turning point but also established itself as a major structural support.
Given the Monday session dynamics, a minor retracement is expected as traders take profits or the market rebalances slightly. However, any pullback is likely to respect local Fair Value Gaps or untested order blocks within the 96,000–98,000 range. Such pullbacks would provide opportunities for bulls to re-enter the market, aligning with the broader trend. With clear higher highs and higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum unless a breakdown below 96,000 occurs, which would challenge this narrative.
When the price edges closer to the 99,850 liquidity zone, market participants should watch for signs of momentum continuation or exhaustion. Increasing volume alongside upward price action will confirm the strength of the trend, while divergence in volume could signal potential weakening. Similarly, the 102,787 level represents an upper target that may prompt profit-taking or consolidation before further directional clarity emerges.
The 92,279 level, where the smart money reversal occurred, continues to be a pivotal support zone. If the price sees a deeper retracement, this level is expected to act as a strong demand area due to its significance in shifting market sentiment. Traders should also monitor minor untested order blocks that price may respect intraday, providing opportunities for strategic entries or short-term trades.
The market is navigating a bullish environment, driven by institutional demand and liquidity-seeking behavior. The immediate focus lies on the liquidity zones at 99,850 and 102,787, with pullbacks offering opportunities to align with the prevailing trend. However, a sustained breakdown below 96,000 would warrant caution as it could signal a potential shift in the current bullish structure. This week's price action is poised to deliver significant insights into the strength and continuation of the ongoing momentum.
Bitcoin Q1 2025- Up for a Delayed Cycle?🚀 2025 kicks off with Bitcoin’s big picture in focus. This is Part 6 of our "Where Can Bitcoin Go?" series, where we explore long-term Bitcoin price dynamics and key levels to watch.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
1️⃣ $94,629 – Current support within the 30-minute channel.
2️⃣ $102,150 & $111,192 – Resistance levels likely to be tested again soon.
3️⃣ $79,717 – The level Bitcoin hasn’t tested as support yet. A massive buy opportunity if it gets there! (...If!)
4️⃣ 160k to 192k – Yearly target for 2025, with a 30% chance of reaching higher toward $313,000.
🧐 Big Picture Analysis:
The current bull market doesn’t feel like one, due to macroeconomic factors: inflation concerns, Fed rate policies, and a maturing crypto market. Will revert in detail in due time.
This could mark the end of traditional Bitcoin cycles as we know them, with less seasonality and new norms emerging.
Despite the noise, Bitcoin remains bullish long-term.
📈 What’s Next?
Bitcoin has tested structural resistance twice. A third test is expected in February or March 2025.
A breakout above $111,192 would signal a new all-time high.
If Bitcoin drops to $79,717, prepare to go long like there’s no tomorrow!
💡 “Cycles are evolving as the market matures. More investors understand Bitcoin's seasonality, halving, and structure. This could be the most interesting and volatile year yet.”
🌟 Let’s stay patient, trade smart, and watch these levels closely. Step by step, we’ll navigate this exciting market together. Here’s to a beautiful year ahead!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Video:
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 6 (2025 the end of cycles?)🚀 2025 kicks off with Bitcoin’s big picture in focus. This is Part 6 of our "Where Can Bitcoin Go?" series, where we explore long-term Bitcoin price dynamics and key levels to watch.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
1️⃣ $94,629 – Current support within the 30-minute channel.
2️⃣ $102,150 & $111,192 – Resistance levels likely to be tested again soon.
3️⃣ $79,717 – The level Bitcoin hasn’t tested as support yet. A massive buy opportunity if it gets there! (...If!)
4️⃣ $160k to 192k – Yearly target for 2025, with a 30% chance of reaching higher toward $313,000.
🧐 Big Picture Analysis:
The current bull market doesn’t feel like one, due to macroeconomic factors: inflation concerns, Fed rate policies, and a maturing crypto market. Will revert in detail in due time.
This could mark the end of traditional Bitcoin cycles as we know them, with less seasonality and new norms emerging.
Despite the noise, Bitcoin remains bullish long-term.
📈 What’s Next?
Bitcoin has tested structural resistance twice. A third test is expected in February or March 2025.
A breakout above $111,192 would signal a new all-time high.
If Bitcoin drops to $79,717, prepare to go long like there’s no tomorrow!
💡 “Cycles are evolving as the market matures. More investors understand Bitcoin's seasonality, halving, and structure. This could be the most interesting and volatile year yet.”
🌟 Let’s stay patient, trade smart, and watch these levels closely. Step by step, we’ll navigate this exciting market together. Here’s to a beautiful year ahead!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin 30-Minute Chart – Buy the Dip Opportunity?📉💡 The first Bitcoin chart of the year brings us a sharp dip right after a fake-out near $102,150. Despite the volatility, Bitcoin remains within a well-defined ascending channel that has held since November 11.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
1️⃣ $93,311 – Channel support (current bounce area).
2️⃣ $102,150 – Immediate resistance.
🚀 The Setup:
The dip may present a buying opportunity as long as Bitcoin stays within the channel. A move back toward the midline or upper channel boundary seems likely if the structure holds.
⚠️ Market Context:
Recent dip caused by macroeconomic fears: Fed policy, inflation concerns, and geopolitical noise.
The channel’s structure suggests continuation, barring unexpected breakdowns.
💡 Stick to the trend: Buying dips near support levels has been the winning strategy within this channel so far!
🌟 Do you see this as a solid buy opportunity, or are you waiting for confirmation? Share your thoughts below!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Volatility Period: January 9-11
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can quickly rise above 97461.86 and maintain the price.
If not, it needs to fall, and it needs to check whether it is supported near the important support and resistance area of 93576.0-94742.35.
If it falls below the BW(0) indicator point of 92792.05, the point to watch is whether the HA-Low indicator is generated.
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This volatility period is expected to be around January 10th (January 9th-11th).
In order to continue the short-term uptrend, the price needs to rise above 97461.86 and maintain it.
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First of all, the fund flow does not seem to be that bad.
This is because USDT stopped its gap downtrend and is moving sideways, and USDC seems to be maintaining its gap uptrend.
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
However, since it fell due to other issues affecting the coin market, unless a bigger issue occurs, the coin market is expected to defend its price.
(XAUUSD 1D chart)
(IBIT 1D chart)
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015 following a pattern.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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