The next target of the Bitcoin cycle is the historically MVRV?Bitcoin's price is currently overbought locally. Yesterday, the price reacted with a decline of 4.9%. This was the first response, and now it’s important to hold the level of $62,700–$61,800. A breakdown below this level would signal a trend reversal to a downward trend with the first target being the imbalance zone at $52,500–$49,550, as marked on the chart. I would like to see investor support manifest in this imbalance zone, but if I don’t observe sufficient buying volume, I will expect a swift reversal and a breakdown towards the key on-chain level, the MVRV Pricing Bands (-0.5sd). This is a critically important level from which strong Bitcoin trends have historically formed in a broader perspective.
In a positive economic environment, there is a chance of a rebound from the $62,700 support zone, possibly forming a divergence and a potential double top. The reaction of sellers during the bounce from $62,700 will play a significant global role. If the price consolidates above $67,000–$68,500, then we could see a BullRun!
Bitcoinanalysis
Bitcoin Analysis==>>End of Rally!!Bitcoin moved as I expected in the previous post and started to rise after breaking the Resistance zone($64,140-$63,820) .
Bitcoin was accompanied by two pieces of good news in the last 24 hours:
PayPal Opens Crypto Trading for US Businesses.
BlackRock Sees Highest Monthly ETF Inflow as US Bitcoin Holdings Climb.
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($67,380-$64,880) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and in the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave C . ( Actually, I think Bitcoin is still in corrective waves ).
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
The CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D chart is moving in the Heavy Support zone , near the Support lines and the lower line of the Descending Channel . I expect USDT.D% to attack at least the upper line of the descending channel in the coming hours.
As a result, I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least the lower line of the ascending channel and Fill the CME GAP CME:BTC1! , and if this line and Support zone($64,140-$63,820) are broken, we should expect Bitcoin to decline to at least $63,000 .
⚠️ Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($67,380-$64,880), we can expect BTC pump to near $69,000. ⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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BITCOIN: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to UpsideAs you can see, BITCOIN has created an ascending head and shoulders and is also located in the Megaphone , which means that if it breaks, we expect the price to reach the top of the Megaphone.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bull Trap==>>Short termBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($64,140-$63,820) and 200_SMA(Daily) .
I expect Bitcoin to at least drop to the Support zone($62,720-$62,350) after it passes a Bull Trap. And if the Support zone($62,720-$62,350) breaks, we should wait for Bitcoin to attack the lower line of the ascending channel .
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($64,140-$63,820), we can expect more pump to the next Resistance zone($66,130-$64,900)
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Needs Correction==>>Filling CME GapsBitcoin started pumping after the announcement of the US Federal Funds Rate ( The Federal Reserve lowered the US Federal Funds Rate by 0.5% to 5.00%. ).
Considering that lowering Funds Rate is potentially good for the cryptocurrency market, lowering Funds Rate while the US government continues to print and spend money is a big mistake. I predict that investors may prefer bonds to riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies as interest rates fall.
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Resistance zone($63,500-$61,460) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , near the 21_SMA(Weekly) and 200_SMA(Daily) , Yearly Resistance(3) and upper lines of the Ascending Channel .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
Before drawing a better conclusion, let's take a look at the USDT.D% and BTC.D% charts.
USDT.D% is moving near the Support zone , the lower line of the Descending Channel and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect USDT.D% to rise at least to the Resistance zone again, bringing down the Bitcoin price .👇
BTC.D% is moving in a Heavy Resistance zone. According to Elliott's wave theory , BTC.D% seems to be completing the main wave 5 with the Ending Diagonal . I expect BTC.D% to start its downward trend soon, which could cause Bitcoin to fall more than other tokens .👇
Based on the above explanation, I expect Bitcoin to at least drop to the Support zone($60,000-$59,100) and Support lines and fill the CME Gaps .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($63,500-$61,460), we should expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $65,000.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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BITCOIN: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to UpsideBitcoin can go up to 65k to complete the wedge, but every uptrend has to be corrected, that's the nature of the market . if wedge broken i expect the price can falling to 61K !
And we have to wait for failure so that the wedge is not broken, as if there is no wedge!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin Analysis==>> Pump to $59,000==> Short termBitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($55,780-$54,550) near the Support lines and 100_SMA(4H-TF) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $59,000 after breaking the Resistance line .
Note: We can expect more dumps if Bitcoin breaks the Support zone($55,780-$54,550).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bearish Harmonic Patterns==>>Crab & SharkBitcoin moved as I expected in yesterday's post .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Resistance zone($60,080-$59,400) , near the Resistance lines and the 50_SMA(Daily) .
It also seems that Bitcoin can potentially form the Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern and Bearish Shark Harmonic Pattern .
After breaking the small Support zone , I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($58,000-$56,600) again.
Note: We can expect more pumps if Bitcoin breaks the Resistance line (over $61,000).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Bullish Flag PatternBitcoin started to rise well from near the Support line and the Support zone($55,780-$54,550) again.
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin completed the main wave 4 with Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin has succeeded in breaking the upper line of the Bullish Flag Pattern .
We can also see the Morning Star Candlestick Pattern , which can be a sign of the completion of Bitcoin correction or the main wave 4 .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance zone($58,000-$56,600) and 100_SMA(4-hour TF) in the coming hours and rise to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below the Support zone($55,780-$54,550), we should expect Bitcoin to dump to $51,000(at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoin is Ready to PumpBitcoin has managed to break the Resistance zone($55,720-$54,550) and the Descending Channel .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) in the descending channel .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the First Target and the width of the broken-descending channel .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below the Resistance zone($55,720-$54,550), we should expect Bitcoin to dump to $51,000(at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Bounces Back: Bullish Pin Bar Signals Potential Upside On Friday, following the release of the NFP data, Bitcoin experienced a sharp drop. However, by the end of the day, the price failed to gain further downside momentum, and instead of continuing lower to test the support of the flag formation (where Bitcoin has been trading for the past six months), it reversed to the upside.
Moreover, yesterday, Bitcoin formed a Bullish Pin Bar on the daily chart, signaling a potential higher low. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $58,200, just below a local resistance zone, with a good chance of breaking higher.
The next key levels for bulls to watch are the 61k resistance zone, followed by the significant confluence area at 65k. As long as Bitcoin stays above yesterday’s low, the bullish outlook remains intact.
BTC AnalysisHello friends,
For hours BINANCE:BTCUSDT moves near the VAH. I think BTC is ready for a big move to 61500 and even more.
Right now there is no entry for taking Long position but in case BINANCE:BTCUSDT reach the VAL and Volume increased, then I say it is a good opportunity to open Long position.
Be careful guys, Opening position in this scenario is risky.
Phemex Analysis #21: BTC - Potential Bullish Reversal?!Dated today, PHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P had dropped 33% from it's All-time High $73851 at 14th March 2024. Despite the overall bearish sentiment in the market, Bitcoin's recent creation of a Higher Low $52500 at 6th September suggests a potential bullish reversal.
Today, we will delve into how the price of BTC might move in the next few days.
1. Bullish Breakout.
If Bitcoin can break above its previous high near $65,000, it would signal a strong bullish reversal. Following this, a period of accumulation might occur, to accumulate more buying power before a push towards the next resistance level around $72,000.
2. Bearish Drop.
Alternatively, Bitcoin could continue its downward trend, potentially retesting support levels at $50,000 and $41,900. To assess whether these levels offer buying opportunities, consider the trading volume and Relative Strength Index (RSI) during the decline.If the trading volume is lower than it was on August 5th and the RSI is higher, $50,000 might be a good price to buy the dip. However, if the volume is higher and the RSI is lower, $41,900 could be a better choice for buying low.
3. Consolidation.
Given the recent volatility, a period of consolidation between $65,000 and $52,500 is possible. This scenario might present opportunities for traders to employ Phemex Neutral Grid bots to profit from price fluctuations.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's price action suggests a potential bullish reversal. However, it's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and technical analysis should be used in conjunction with other factors when making trading decisions. By carefully analyzing the technical indicators and considering potential scenarios, traders can develop informed strategies to navigate the market.
Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack to Resistance zone==>>Short termBitcoin is currently moving in the Resistance zone($55,720-$54,550) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed main wave 4 with the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Also, in terms of Classic Technical Analysi s, Bitcoin is moving in a Symmetrical Triangle on the 15-minute time frame. The symmetrical triangle is the Continuation Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance zone($55,720-$54,550) in the coming hours after breaking the Upper line of the Symmetrical triangle .
If you want to know more about Bitcoin, please look at the below post:
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the uptrend line, we can expect more dumps.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
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Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Support & Resistance- 09-Sep-24Bitcoin Support & Resistance- 09-Sep-24
Further to my post last week,
The supports are working fine and 52650-52750 ( Previous Feb 24 high) and Fib Support 51750, further downside 44736 ( Fib support) to watch out.
Supports provided with clear mark up in the chart.
Bitcoin's Price Struggles: A Bearish Short-Term OutlookAfter dipping to 50k in early August, Bitcoin staged a recovery and climbed to 65k. However, the bullish momentum lacked follow-through, as buyers were unable to push past the resistance of a large flag pattern that has kept Bitcoin in a corrective phase for months.
In the short term, Bitcoin’s price pulled back down from 65k, initially forming what looked like a falling wedge—a potential bullish reversal pattern.
Unfortunately, this formation did not hold, and Bitcoin experienced another breakdown.
Currently, the short-term outlook is bearish, with resistance around the 55,500-56k zone.
Short-term traders may consider selling in this range, targeting a move back to 50k if a new leg downward materializes.
This bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price stabilizes above the 58k level.
Bitcoin Bull Run Continues?My expectations from the previous post have materialized, and the price of Bitcoin has dropped again into the price imbalance zone below 53,500. My expectations for Bitcoin's price next week are as follows: due to negative economic news, the stock market will likely continue to decline for several more days starting on Monday. Since Bitcoin's price correlates with key indices like the S&P and Dow Jones, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will continue to decline, potentially reaching as low as 48,900.
If we look at the Long-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss Ratio 7D indicator, which unfortunately is not yet available publicly on the TradingView platform, based on this data, Bitcoin is currently in an accumulation phase before a major growth season. Similar patterns occurred during the 2011 and 2021 market seasons.
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!Bitcoin started to rise again after Failing(Fake Break) to break the Support zone($58,000-$56,600) .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has formed a Falling Wedge Reversal Pattern , and if the upper line of this pattern breaks, we can expect a further increase in Bitcoin .
From the point of view of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin's correction waves seem to be continuing. The last corrective wave was the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , which was the end of wave C , $55,600 .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
A head and shoulders pattern could form , causing Bitcoin to decline again to nearly $50,000==Two scenarios are possible 👇
I expect Bitcoin to move according to the movements I have outlined in the chart .
Note: If Bitcoin loses the Support zone($58,000-$56,600), we should expect Bitcoin to fall to $51,000(at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin Analysis==>> Reversal Patterns==>UP/UP/UPBitcoin is moving near the Support zone($58,000-$56,600) .
Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern . It is also possible to form the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) . This wave is part of Corrective Waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to go UP to at least the target of the Falling Wedge Pattern .
My previous post titled " Bitcoin Analysis==>> Pumping Again==>>Short term
" is still valid
Note: If Bitcoin loses the Support zone($58,000-$56,600), we should expect Bitcoin to fall to $55,000(at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.