BITCOIN - A detailed Important scenario of what will happen!Anyone who puts 2025 as the end of the cycle is wrong, in my view In this analysis, I will list for you all the next steps, starting from now.
- Altcoins and Bitcoin will rise to 85k, and it will happen from here until the end of June - the beginning of July.... This will coincide with TOTAL3 reaching 900B - 1T.
-There will be a strong correction for the entire market, and Bitcoin will return to 72k and TOTAL3 will return to 700B - 730B. - In the period between August and October, Bitcoin will rise alone, and alternative currencies will begin to rise slightly
- Trump wins the US elections, and remember what he said two days ago regarding cryptocurrencies, and this would bring great positivity to the market.
At the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin will reach 125k - 150k, and that will be the peak of that cycle, and your greed will then reach the sky, but don't take your profits... When that happens, you will find those calling for 200k for Bitcoin, or posts tells 1M for BTC !
Then the following will happen:
- Distribution of bitcoins to ALTS for two or three weeks with great ALTseason...Greed will reach its peak, and I will be attacked and anyone who tells " this is the peak, and you must take your profits and make them 100% cash".
- Then there will be a complete collapse of the market and the American markets, and a decline that will continue for years, and this collapse will be less severe for Bitcoin, reaching areas between 50k - 45k, and most other currencies will disappear completely (90-99% decline).
best regard Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoinidea
Altseason Starts SoonThe Chart above show Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) over time, with highlighted patterns and cycles that may be tied to Bitcoin halvings and market trends. Here’s my analysis based on the chart's structure:
Key Observations:
Repeated Patterns:
The chart highlights similar phases of Bitcoin dominance decline across three separate cycles, lasting roughly 231 days.
Each phase seems to correspond to a bearish period for Bitcoin dominance, where altcoins gain relative strength.
Halving Impact:
Vertical lines mark Bitcoin halving dates (green lines), which historically have a significant impact on the crypto market.
Following halvings, BTC dominance often rises as Bitcoin leads the market in initial rallies.
Projection:
The chart projects a decline in dominance after the current rally, extending into mid-to-late 2024.
A potential drop to ~44%-46% dominance is outlined, indicating a possible altcoin season or broader market rotation.
Support and Resistance:
The chart highlights a resistance zone around 62% dominance, which Bitcoin dominance seems to have tested recently.
A bearish breakout is suggested, aligning with a downward trend in the future.
Possible Interpretation:
Short-Term View: Bitcoin dominance might continue upward for a while but could face resistance near 60%-62%. If this area holds, a reversal could lead to dominance declining, benefiting altcoins.
Medium-Term View: If the projection holds, BTC dominance could see a prolonged decline lasting nearly a year, dropping below 50%. This scenario typically coincides with altcoin seasons where altcoins outperform Bitcoin in relative gains.
Risk Factors:Bitcoin dominance does not always drop due to bullish altcoins; it can also decline during a market-wide sell-off where Bitcoin loses less than altcoins. Macroeconomic factors, regulatory changes, and adoption rates could alter the outcome.
Bitcoin Cycle Top Expectation: Fibonacci Targets $160K-$180KAs Bitcoin approaches the $100,000 milestone, this analysis leverages Fibonacci extensions to highlight potential targets for the current market cycle. Historical trends suggest that Bitcoin’s cycle tops often align with major Fibonacci levels, making the $160K-$180K zone a key area of interest.
This zone represents a strong convergence of resistance based on both technical levels and psychological significance, where a potential cycle top could form. The chart provides a visual breakdown of these targets, with additional possible extensions if momentum overextends.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin Hits All-Time High After BTC ETF Options DebutMarket Update - November 22, 2024
Takeaways
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust became the first US spot bitcoin ETF approved for options trading: The price of bitcoin subsequently surged to nearly $98,000 on Thursday, reaching a new all-time high.
Institutional interest in MicroStrategy surged this week, with the value of those holdings jumping to $15.3 billion: Microstrategy founder Michael Saylor has continued to purchase bitcoin and MSTR shares have seen year-to-date gains of roughly 450%.
Trump considers Teresa Goody Guillén for SEC chair: Her appointment would likely usher in crypto-friendly policies and regulatory reform.
Meme coins including Bonk, Mog, and Brett have set all-time highs amid a rally partly driven by the resurgence of DOGE to $0.43: Bonk surged 120% following a burn campaign earlier this week, while Moo Deng also hit record prices.
Russia has drafted amendments to tax crypto income, classifying digital assets as property: The new laws would subject trading and mining income to a 15% personal income tax, while VAT exemptions would apply to crypto transactions.
➕ Topic of the Week: Recurring Buys
🫱 Read more here
How Bitcoin BTC Will Break $100k And What Is Going Next?Hello, Skyrexians!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching the $100k, which is the key psychological level for many traders. Some traders are wondering how Bitcoin can pump so high, other became believe in $200k, $500k of even one million dollars per coin! For those who follow us it's not surprise that BTC has almost reached $100k from our previous analysis . There we mentioned that crypto asset is finishing the bull run with the wave 5. This wave had the target at $107k and we can define with higher accuracy the wave's end using subways count inside it.
On the daily time frame we can see the potential Elliott Waves counting. Looking at the maximum Awesome Oscillator value we can see that currently price is printing wave 3. This wave has the target with the 1.61, 2.61 or 3.61 Fibonacci extension levels. The first one has been broken, now price is at 2.61 level. Therefore, it can start local correction anytime now. The maximum target is $113k, which has the low probability of reaching in this wave 3.
We want you also to pay attention that Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator flashed the green dot just before the growth and at the bottom on August 5 as well. As always, alerts from this indicator can be automatically replicated on exchange account orders. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . We can expect the red dot as a potential reversal sign.
The next dump in our opinion is not going to be the end of this game, Bitcoin shall print wave 4. It has targets between 0.38 and 0.5 level. BTC usually tends to show the short correction, so $79k can be the correction target. After that we expect the final subway of the final wave, which will likely reach our target from previous article at $107k, but the decisive factors are going to be the bearish divergence of the AO and the red dot on our indicator.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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#BTC 2H. Ascending triangle & trend continuation. 11/19/24Earlier, the price formed an "ascending triangle" pattern—a continuation pattern that occurs when the price gradually forms a series of higher lows while the upper boundary (resistance) remains flat or slightly rising. This signals a narrowing range and potential further growth. And I warned you about this in advance! (By the way, which of your traders describes patterns this thoroughly?). But that’s not the point now.
According to technical analysis theory, if the price breaks out of the ascending triangle pattern, its movement usually matches the height of the pattern, measured from the base to the peak. If we follow the idea that the movement after the breakout equals the pattern's height, Bitcoin’s price could reach the $100,000 level. And honestly, why not?
At the same time, earlier this week, the market was in a "bullish" trend, meaning prices were rising. By the close of trading on the CME exchange on Friday, the price was around ~$92,000. I assume this price will become an important reference point (including a support level) that the price will aim for in the near future.
BITCOIN: Money on Your Screen? Turn It Into Real Gains at $100K!"Money on your screen won't feed your family." This simple truth serves as a reminder to lock in some short- or mid-term profits. Imho, the price range between $95,000 and $105,000 presents a solid opportunity to take some gains off the table.
For long-term holders, your target prices might be far beyond imagination, but technically, this area offers an optimal spot to secure some profits. At the very least, consider taking partial profits here. Yes, the price could continue climbing, but remember: "Reward yourself and ground your expectations."
Technical Criteria Supporting This Zone:
1. The psychological round number $100,000. A long-anticipated milestone and natural profit-taking level.
2. Channel projection – This method suggests optimal areas for profit-taking, especially when there is minimal or non-historical price action on the left side of the chart.
3. Equal waves within the channel are also indicated inside the green box.
Taking profits isn’t about abandoning the trade; it’s about rewarding yourself for making smart decisions and reducing risk. Prices at these levels are high.
Summary:
Locking in profits in the $95,000–$105,000 range is both technically justified and psychologically wise. This zone aligns with key technical criteria, including the psychological $100,000 level, channel projections, and equal wave measurements. Partial profit-taking ensures you reward yourself while staying grounded, even if the market has more upside potential.
Regards,
Vaido
Bitcoin analysis for long term I think that Bitcoin is about to end the current bullish cycle that came about because of the recent wars. Bitcoin followed gold in the last two years in the upward trend because of the wars, the war between Ukraine and Russia, the Israeli war on Gaza and Lebanon, and the global political and economic conflicts, which led to a very large rise in Bitcoin and gold, but I think that this current cycle is about to end after these wars reached closed areas and brought prices to very inflated prices. I think that this is a very big opportunity in alternative currencies because they will start to rise because many will liquidate Bitcoin by buying alternative currencies in order to increase profits and exit in the upward trend. I think that alternative currencies will rise between 100% to 1000% for each currency, so I see it as a suitable opportunity to get rid of Bitcoin between the current prices up to $105,000, and after that there will be downward waves that will last for a period that is not short, but may extend for months or years.
BTC sell???📊 Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍 Entry:
Breakout Confirmation: $90,700
A breakout from the symmetrical triangle indicates strong momentum, suggesting a downward trend.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Level: $92,563
Place your stop loss above the breakout point to minimize risk.
🎯 Take Profit:
1️⃣ TP1: $88,959 (First support zone)
2️⃣ TP2: $86,250 (Key demand level)
3️⃣ TP3: $83,505 (Strong historical support)
🧠 Analysis Overview:
The symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour BTCUSDT chart is a classic continuation pattern. With a confirmed breakout, this setup presents a great risk-to-reward ratio.
📉 Additional Notes:
Increased volume during the breakout adds validity to this move.
Monitor RSI for signs of overbought/oversold conditions.
Price action near $88,959 will determine if the trend strengthens or consolidates.
🔗 "Stay ahead of the crypto market with AhmadArz!
💡 Join us on TradingView for expert insights backed by five years of market expertise."
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BITCOIN ON ITS WAY TO A NEW ALL TIME HIGH! TA + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
Price Action:
The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern. It suggests that Bitcoin is likely preparing for an upward breakout. The price has been respecting the support trendline (ascending) while testing the resistance level at around $91,700.
There is strong upward momentum, confirmed by the price movement toward the resistance, with higher lows indicating growing buyer interest.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences:
The indicator shows a bullish divergence (green color), which often suggests that the price is likely to break above resistance, supported by buying momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is currently at 61.77, which is in the neutral zone (neither overbought nor oversold). This suggests that Bitcoin still has room for upward movement before becoming overbought.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic is at 88.21, indicating a potential overbought condition, suggesting that while there may be an upward push, a pullback could follow soon if the price rises too quickly.
HMA (Hull Moving Average):
The HMA histograms show bullish momentum (green area), which indicates strong upward trends, though the shift to red on lower timeframes suggests caution for short-term corrections.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI is showing a value of 51, indicating balanced buying and selling pressure. This suggests that while the market has potential for an upward move, it is still neutral in terms of volume and money flow.
Volume Analysis:
The volume profile shows a buildup of buying activity with the price consolidating near the resistance zone. Volume is steadily increasing, which is usually a positive sign for a breakout.
There is lower volume in the consolidation area, which could indicate a breakout is imminent.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy:
Buy Position: If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance level at $92,212 with high volume, consider entering a long position. This breakout could push the price toward the next resistance at $95,000 or higher.
Watch for confirmation with volume spikes and RSI maintaining below 70 to avoid entering when the market is overly extended.
Target Price (Take Profit):
The next immediate resistance levels to target are $95,000 and $102,500. Set partial take profit orders around these levels.
A more aggressive target would be $105,000 (based on the breakout projection).
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the support trendline or around $85,000 to mitigate risks in case of a false breakout or price reversal.
For more conservative risk management, a tighter stop loss around $87,500 could be used if the breakout is confirmed with strong volume.
Risk Management:
Use proper risk management, aiming to risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio on each trade.
Watch for volatility and unexpected moves, especially considering the high stochastic reading, which might indicate a short-term overbought condition.
Alternative Scenario (If Breakout Fails):
If the price fails to break above resistance and falls back into the consolidation zone, consider a short position only if the price breaches the support line.
Watch for bearish divergence in the indicators (such as RSI or MFI) for confirmation of a potential downtrend.
This plan provides a clear strategy for trading Bitcoin, balancing potential profits with careful risk management. Stay alert for market updates, and adjust your strategy accordingly if significant changes occur.
BTCUSD swing trade ideaThe overall prediction that Bitcoin is set to reach 100k, could be possible very soon. But currently we look for a retracement move, before making another impulse higher. We look for short entries between 93k-90k and target the Weekly fib and quarterly VWAP levels, where we start looking for buys up to 100k.
This analysis is taught and provided by Fractals Trading Community.
As always, trade safely and expect the unexpected,
Mei
#BTC/USD NEXT TARGET $135K but $69k Imminent!When Bitcoin broke below $60,854, everyone started calling for $48,000. At that time, I posted an update titled "Bitcoin is Fine, Don’t Panic!" on October 3rd, explaining that the drop was just filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bitcoin was heading toward $95,000. You can check the update here:
Again, on November 6th, when Bitcoin was trading at $70,504.60, I predicted a target of $95,000 after the U.S. elections. I even mentioned that the move would be quick, assuming Trump won the election. While I got trolled for this prediction, the update was based on a thorough analysis of market reactions during the last three U.S. elections. You can check that update here:
I honestly don’t understand what’s wrong with some people. The more they troll, the more conviction I gain in my charts. These aren’t random guesses—they are calculated speculations based on charts, events, market psychology, and fractals. Ironically, many of those who mocked me in the comments ended up buying Bitcoin at much higher prices.
This is not how crypto works. You need to keep things simple. That’s the biggest lesson I’ve learned in my 8-year journey in this space.
To keep it simple, Bitcoin’s current setup is not bearish. While some are calling for corrections, the technical indicators suggest otherwise.
1. Stochastic RSI:
The Stochastic RSI, a reliable indicator for timing local tops and bottoms with around 80% accuracy, is currently at 73. Historically, Bitcoin's local tops occur when the Stochastic RSI reaches 87 to 93. This indicates there is still room for upside before the market becomes overbought.
2. 21-Week Moving Average (MA):
Bitcoin is currently trading above the 21-week MA, which has historically acted as strong support in previous bull markets. This further supports the bullish trend.
3. Price Action:
Bitcoin will likely target $100,000 soon, potentially moving slightly higher. After this milestone, it may revisit $69,000, the previous all-time high, as a retest before moving toward $135,000.
Conclusion:
Combining a non-overbought Stochastic RSI and support from the 21-week MA suggests Bitcoin still has significant upside potential. During any pullbacks, keep an eye on $69,000 as key support and possibly the last opportunity to buy BTC and Alcoins.
Let me know what you think in the comment section and please hit that like button.
Thank you.
Market Reactions in Last 3 U.S. Elections and BTC Target $95k!Let's look at how the market reacted in the last 3 elections!
- 2012: Obama re-elected ➡️ Initial stock sell-off over fiscal cliff fears, then strong rally post-deal. Crypto is mostly unaffected.
- 2016: Trump wins ➡️ Stock rally on tax cut & deregulation optimism. Bitcoin starts climbing, hinting as a "digital gold."
- 2020: Biden wins amidst pandemic ➡️ Stocks surge on stimulus hopes. Crypto enters a major bull run, with BTC skyrocketing as an inflation hedge.
🗝️ Elections = market volatility & opportunity!
Regardless of who wins, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will likely reach a new ATH by the end of 2024.
Altcoins will likely follow later. IMHO, alts are already heavily discounted. Even if BTC dominance rises and alts take another dip, it’s wiser to DCA into the weaker ones instead of selling near their high-timeframe lows.
Think twice before hitting that sell button. The next 6-8 months could be legendary. It won’t be easy, but the rewards will be worth it.
#BITCOIN UPDATE:-
BTC looks solid for now. There’s still a possibility for BTC to hit the $60K level if Kamala wins; it’s not certain, but it’s a topic circulating in the crypto space. This could act as a short-term downside catalyst, with bulls likely stepping in quickly, leaving a long wick below the resistance turned support.
A retest is underway on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts! I’m anticipating BTC to reach between GETTEX:82K and $95K by the end of the year.
DYOR, NFA.
Do hit the like button and share your views in the comment section!
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC Bitcoin // Breakout or Breakdown ?www.tradingview.com
After a massive bull run in BTC, it is taking a halt for last couple of days between 85000 to 93000 ranges.
On daily chart, the levels can be:
Resistance : 93700, 102400, 111100,119800 (exhaustive)
Support : 80400, 72200, 64400 (last resort)
The level where it is taking support right now, is 23% retracement at Fibonacci retracement level. This an important level. While looking at above levels, if it has to break the last swing high and touch some unchartered territories, the pullback is required. The best pullback reversal can be anywhere between 69000 to 76000.
Fresh buying depends on your risk appetite. Here are the ranges based on type of traders with strict SL.
--> High risk traders: reversal from 80500.
--> Moderate traders: reversal between 72000 to 76000
--> Conservative traders: reversal between 64000 to 66700
Good luck.
StoxWare Team
BITCOIN / BTCUSDT Bullish Long Trade Target $129,582!!The Bitcoin (BTC) weekly chart highlights a robust long trade setup identified using the Risological Indicator.
With Target 1 (TP1 at $79,726.4) successfully achieved, the cryptocurrency is positioned for further upward momentum towards its ambitious targets.
BITCOIN / BTCUSDT Key Technical Insights:
Entry Point: Entry triggered at $67,957.6, following confirmation from bullish signals and the Risological trendline support.
Massive Target Zone : The remaining targets at TP2 ($98,769.9), TP3 ($117,813.4), and TP4 ($129,582.3) suggest substantial upside potential driven by strong market sentiment and technical alignment.
Stop-Loss Protection: Risk management is secured with the stop-loss set at $58,435.8, ensuring minimized downside exposure.
Momentum Drivers:
Technical Resilience: The upward trajectory is supported by a confluence of the Risological Lines acting as a dynamic guide.
Market Sentiment: Bitcoin continues to display impressive resilience amidst broader market uncertainty, reinforcing its appeal as a strong bullish candidate.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin's ongoing bullish breakout underscores its potential to reach the higher target zones. Traders leveraging this trade setup stand to benefit significantly from the well-structured risk-reward balance.
Keep monitoring for momentum accelerations towards TP2 and beyond!