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BTC $57K Next? ATTMO Forecasts ☀️ Conditions for the Next Week Cryptocurrencies rose across the board over the past week and continued their upward trajectory over the weekend. Bitcoin rose 9 percent over the past seven days, with its up-coming halving at the end of April supporting demand. “Bitcoin appears to target $57,000 as its next resistance, and considering Bitcoin’s performance in the previous pre-halvings, the odds for another leg being higher are increasing,” said the Head of Research at 10x Research, Markus Thielen in his daily newsletter. “This time will be no different as the perception within the crypto community is high that the halving is bullish. This perception is undoubtedly flowing into the TradFi community, which is aggressively buying these Bitcoin ETFs ahead of the halving.” The price of Bitcoin strengthened 1.5 percent to roughly 52,500 US dollars over the past 24 hours. Read more about Bitcoin’s upcoming halving here. The steady inflow of funds into the spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) launched in the US a month ago also supports the price of Bitcoin. ATTMO’s sunny predictions for the next 24 hours and week confirm that bullish trading conditions lie ahead for the global crypto market. Follow us for more crypto weather reports!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ATTMO
Bitcoins the King of Crypto Currency to Hit $54k+In the kingdom of crypto, BTC makes a decree and others follow, Lots of ranging market experienced over the past few days / week is not strange as the momentum to push upwards needs to be gathered, That seems to have been completed, The bulls are ready for a new ride...... At DANCOLNATION CAPITAL, We shall be monitoring candlesticks formations and chart pattern with other tools for confluence purposes and refining of our entry as the market acts
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Ejike_Odeh
Bitcoin With the Expected Pullback but How Far?Bitcoin has given us our expected pullback and now we must look at the support side to study which supports will hold price and for how long?The first option, as of this post, is that the pullback will only last till Tuesday (U.S. stock markets are closed Monday) and then the buyers come back via BTC ETFs. If this is the case, it may also mean that our RED ascending trendline, which currently sits at around 50,300, may hold. If our RED ascending TL holds, there is a likelihood we go to 56k before more pullback. Our second scenario is that the TL breaks and we drop to 48k before more buyers jump in. This is my hope because it represents the best technical options. I’d like to see a retest and hold of our 48k price level. And if we hold, I see the upward longer-term trend continuing for some time.Of course, we could always break 48k support. This is our third scenario. If 48k support breaks, we do have a lot of support underneath us and I don’t see us dropping much below 42k before demand kicks back in. Remember, ETFs are currently demanding 12x+ more than BTC miners can provide. This is on a liquidity ratio of 1 to 4, meaning that something like less than 25% of all Bitcoin in current circulation is even available for trading. Simple math here suggests a near impossibility to drop to 20k or lower again as some analysts are suggesting. Even 31.6k, as I had previously suggested (this was before ETFs were actually confirmed and approved) is now somewhat of a bygone dream. But with current U.S. geo-political policy as disastrous, devastating, disgusting, and destructive as it currently is, it remains a possibility. Anything that brings the price to that level will almost certainly be news-driven at that point in my opinion. Other indicators that we must consider are the strength of the U.S. dollar and the status of the U.S. stock markets. The dollar (below) continues its rise in strength to that 105.6 target level as predicted many months ago. Once achieved, back down we’ll go. Dollar weakness is almost always reflected in market price which then trickles over into our crypto space. But even more so does this last part ring true with the advent of BTC ETFs in the space. If the dollar does as I have expected and drops once it hits or nears that 105.6 resistance level, the meltup that I predicted a year and a half ago now, will continue onwards and upwards to even greater highs. Many markets and indices have already achieved all-time highs. This melt-up should continue into mid-late summer. But somewhere before September you can expect it all to end and come crashing down. Bitcoin would then follow at that point but from what price level and to what extent is yet obviously unknown. I do believe Bitcoin reaches at least 80k by mid-late summer. Any sort of crash from that point could bring us quickly back down to 48k or lower. But, I don’t want to speculate price action too dogmatically that far into the future. What I am fairly sure of is a blow-off top (already happening in U.S. stock markets) and then a fairly severe pullback (potential crash) sometime around or before September of this year. This is what I am attempting to prepare myself and those who follow me for. Now lastly, in terms of my current trades, I have taken profits on most and been stopped out of others at or just above break even. I mainly did a just-above-break-even SL for psychological benefit as it shows green on my spreadsheet (insert smiley emoji). Once I have ascertained to a greater degree where this current pullback will find support, I will begin looking for new entries again.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
BTCUSDT complete multi technical analysisThe Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) chart showcases a dynamic trend within the context of Smart Money Concepts (SMC). The price action is currently above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is situated around $42,747.61, suggesting a significant level of support recognized by institutional investors. The chart demonstrates a clear uptrend, with the Moving Average lines situated below the current price level, further supporting the bullish sentiment. The current price is hovering near the $51,788.66 mark, with a notable resistance level at the 0 mark, which could be interpreted as a psychological round number or a potential area where smart money might take profits. The Volume Profile Visible Range (VPRV) suggests substantial trading activity at these higher price levels, potentially indicating a consensus of value according to smart money. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought conditions, sitting at around 78.61, indicating strong buying pressure but also suggesting that a pullback could be imminent as markets tend to revert after reaching extreme RSI levels. The MACD is positive, implying continued bullish momentum; however, traders would be mindful of any potential crossover that could signal a shift in trend. Incorporating SMC, liquidity zones are observed where significant price reactions have occurred, indicating possible areas where large market players may execute trades. The recent break above previous resistance levels, now acting as support, aligns with the concept of a 'Break of Structure' (BOS) within SMC, where smart money may establish new positions or reinforce existing ones. The candlestick formations show a series of bullish candles, with the most recent one having a small upper wick, suggesting a slight selling pressure but not enough to overturn the prevailing bullish trend. The current chart configuration, considering the SMC approach, would have traders looking for potential entry points at retracement or liquidity zones with stop losses set below key support levels to mitigate risk. The objective would be to align with the presumed actions of smart money, anticipating further upward movement or preparing for a strategic exit should the trend show signs of reversal.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoDiabloo
BTC Continues to Rise! ☀️ $55K Target Next Week? The price of Bitcoin stabilized at two-year highs, supported by stock market indices in both the US and Japan at or near all-time highs. Inflows into the spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) in the US remained heavy at nearly 478 million US dollars on Thursday. This is the fifth highest inflow since their launch on Jan 11, data from BitMEXResearch shows. Another factor behind the 110 percent rise of Bitcoin over the past 12 months is its upcoming halving, set to occur as of April 17. The bullish sun continues to shine over the global crypto market in the next 24 hours and week, signaling additional upside for Bitcoin, Ether and many other altcoins covered by ATTMO. However, bearish clouds will linger over Cardano, Avalanche and Polkadot in the near and medium term. Follow us for more crypto weather news and reports!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ATTMO
Bitcoin's Daily Price Analysis: Expanding Ranges and Ascending Analyzing Bitcoin's Price Movement: A Detailed Look at the Daily Timeframe Chart In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading, understanding price patterns and chart movements is crucial for making informed decisions. Bitcoin, the pioneer of the crypto market, has exhibited notable price movements since December 5th, 2023, particularly within the daily timeframe chart. Over this period, Bitcoin's price action has formed an expanding range characterized by higher highs and lower lows. This pattern indicates growing volatility and uncertainty in the market sentiment. Within this expanding range, a notable development has been the testing of the high side of an ascending wedge. An ascending wedge is a technical pattern formed by converging trendlines, with the lower trendline rising at a steeper angle than the upper one. It typically suggests a potential reversal to the downside. In the context of Bitcoin's current price movement, the testing of the high side of this ascending wedge indicates a crucial juncture. The recent price action has shown high volatility, with significant swings in both directions. However, there are indications that the price is beginning to encounter resistance, as evidenced by wicks forming at resistance levels. A rejection at this juncture could signal a potential downward movement towards the $48,000 to $49,000 range, where the support side of the ascending wedge lies. Breaking through this support level could lead to further downside momentum, potentially testing the bottom of the expanding range. It's worth noting that the green lines on the chart represent areas of major support levels, adding significance to these price levels in determining market sentiment. Given the current technical setup, it's prudent for traders to closely monitor the ascending wedge pattern. As of now, the focus should be on observing price behavior within this pattern. With the potential for further downside movement, caution is warranted for those considering buying positions, as the market faces a higher probability of correction. In summary, Bitcoin's price movement within the daily timeframe chart since December 5th, 2023, has been characterized by an expanding range with higher highs and lower lows. The testing of the high side of an ascending wedge pattern amidst high volatility suggests a critical juncture for the cryptocurrency. Traders should pay close attention to key support and resistance levels, particularly within the ascending wedge pattern, to gauge potential market direction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by UnknownUnicorn2319099
Bitcoin Rally Unleashed: Hitting All 6 Targets, Eyes Fixed on th Bitcoin Rally Unleashed: Hitting All 6 Targets, Eyes Fixed on the Future! 🚀📈 Overview: Bitcoin's unstoppable surge as it triumphs over all six targets since February 10th! The ongoing uptrend is crystal clear, especially on the 15-minute chart. Technical Signals: Another double bottom on RSI intensifies the bullish sentiment. My entries are strategically set at 51515 to 51596, perfectly positioned for the upcoming moves. Strategy: Anticipating a retracement, I'm patiently waiting for the ideal re-entry point. The current breakout is dynamic, and a brief pullback could unlock a perfect entry opportunity. Next Move: With the breakout fueling the trend, all eyes are on the next move for Bitcoin. Stay vigilant for potential entry points and ride the Bitcoin surge! 🌐💹 #BitcoinRally #CryptoMomentum
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by chrisGTR
1
A Bitcoin Bull Run?CME: Micro BTC Futures ( CME:MBT1! ), Micro ETH Futures ( CME:MET1! ) This Monday, bitcoin jumped above $49,000 for the first time in a year, and quickly extended its gains and broke through the $50,000 level. By Wednesday, bitcoin shot up again, pushing above $52,000 in morning session. In the past few months, the benchmark cryptocurrency has experienced a “Buying the Rumor and Selling the News” phenomenon. In anticipation of the SEC approval of spot bitcoin ETFs, bitcoin nearly doubled in a matter of just three months, rising from $24,830 in early September to $48,960 in mid-January. On January 15th, when the SEC finally approved the listing of 11 bitcoin ETFs, a huge selloff followed. Bitcoin had gained 156% in 2023 and rose 16% further in January. Instead of riding higher with the good news, investors chose to sell and book profits. Bitcoin tumbled 21% from its recent peak and touched $38,530 on January 24th. My recent trade idea, “BTC: Buy the Rumor and Sell the News”, observed three such occurrences in bitcoin’s brief history. After the dust was settled, cyclical volatility gave way to secular growth. Economic fundamentals are at work here: when it comes to Bitcoin, there is finite supply and a growing demand. At the daily high of $52,079 on Wednesday, bitcoin has already bounced back 35% within a month. Cathie Wood, whose ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF is among the 11 approved ETFs, predicted that Bitcoin prices would reach $600K by 2030. While this lofty price level may sound far-fetched now, I think it is entirely plausible for bitcoin to revisit its all-time-high of $68,982.20. It would not surprise me to see a new all-time high (ATH) record in the next few months. Key Drivers for Bitcoin’s Long-term Rise In my opinion, a secular long-term bull market for cryptocurrencies has already emerged. The case for rising bitcoin prices is supported by solid fundamental strength: Firstly, there is a limited supply of bitcoins with a total cap of 21 million. Currently, around 19 million bitcoins have been mined and are in circulation, leaving approximately 2 million left to be mined. This makes bitcoin superior to fiat currencies, whose supply could be increased by central banks, with or without limits. Secondly, the demand for crypto investment could increase substantially. With bitcoin now a SEC-regulated investment asset, the biggest hurdle for participation has been removed. Investors may now buy spot bitcoin, bitcoin futures, bitcoin options, and bitcoin ETFs from their brokerage accounts and trade on regulated US Exchanges. Outstanding performance of both Bitcoin and Ethereum could speed up the asset rotation. Thirdly, an excessive dollar supply could help raise bitcoin prices. This is an important point and deserves a thorough explanation. The US Federal Government is currently running a budget deficit to the tune of $1.5-2.0 trillion a year. By borrowing, it is injecting vast amounts of new dollars into the financial system. In boom time, these dollars will flow to businesses and households in the forms of new investment and new consumption. However, as the economy slows down and the cost of borrowing remains high, they are reluctant to incur more debt. Commercial banks are left holding excessive cash in their books. Facing reduced loan interest income, they would seek to boost investment returns. As conservative investors, banks typically put money in Treasury bonds, high-grade corporate bonds, and Blue-Chip stocks. Now that Bitcoin is sanctioned by the SEC, banks could legally invest in the spot ETFs offered by top-rated asset managers. Although the bank purchases bitcoin indirectly through an ETF, it would pass through to spot bitcoin. With the sheer size of bank assets, a small percentage of asset allocation could increase bitcoin demand substantially. Trading with Micro BTC and ETH Futures In my opinion, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are set up for a long-term marathon bull run. Just like commercial banks, individual investors could consider adding Bitcoin and Ethereum (or the spot ETFs) to their long-term investment portfolio. Speculative traders share my view. “Leveraged Funds” had total long positions of 7,120 on bitcoin futures, vs. 3,147 short positions, in the week of February 6th, according to the Commitment of Trader (COT) report published by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The 2.3-to-1 long/short ratio indicates bullish sentiment. There is a problem: with bitcoin already tripling in prices, the price increases going forward do not offer the same level of return dollar-for-dollar. Hypothetically, if bitcoin rises to SWB:69K from GETTEX:52K , the $17,000 gain would equal to 33% in return. If you bought bitcoin for $17K in December 2022, the same dollar gain would be 100% in return. To counter the effect of higher prices, investors could consider using leverage. CME Micro BTC futures ( PSE:MBT ) provide leverage and capital efficiency. The contract notional is 1/10 of 1 BTC. Initial margin is $980. The June contract (MBTM4) was last quoted at $53,575. At current price there is a 5.5 times leverage built in the contract, which is the ratio of 5,357.5 (1/10 of 1 BTC) divided by 980. If the futures price touches the previous ATH at approximately $69,000, a long futures position would gain $1,542 (= 6900-5358), and the return would be a 157% return, using the $980 margin as a cost base. For a comparison, investing in 1/10 of a spot bitcoin or bitcoin ETF would gain $1,700 (= 6900-5200), but the return would be 33% only (= 1700/5200), without the leverage. Similarly, CME Micro Ether futures ( NYSE:MET ) also provide leverage and capital efficiency. The contract notional is 1/10 of 1 ETH. Initial margin is $62. The April contract (METJ4) was last quoted at $2,802. At the current price there is a 4.5 times leverage built in the contract, which is the ratio of 280 (1/10 of 1 ETH) divided by 62. If the futures price touches 3,500, a long futures position would gain $70 (= 350-280), and the return would be a 113% return, using the $62 margin as a cost base. For a comparison, investing in 1/10 of a spot Ethereum would gain $75 (= 350-275), but the return would be 27% only (= 86/267), without the leverage. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:MBT1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
2
BETS- another crypto penny stock resting over the weekend at the 0.5 fib retracement of a 100% 1-2 day move while Bitcoin trends higher in weekend price action. Can the price action reverse out of the pullback and retracement with bullish continuation? Relative strength has retreated but held at the 50 level. Consistent with consolidation, the volume fell off for the close of the trading week. I will take a long trade in this suspecting it will do well as did HUT and other cryptocurrency penny stocks. I will set a 5% stop loss and target 25% or the middle of the zone of the topping wicks on the pivot high of the previous trading day. So, this is a R:r of 5 trade plan. Safe and conservative especially since I will only use 0.01% of buying power for the trade.
BLong
by AwesomeAvani
Revised Bitcoin Path to $155k - $210k and $100k By the HalvingHere's my Revised Bitcoin Path to $155k - $210k and $100k By the Halving study. Note: If you're using a Fib based on a Log scale these levels will change, but the $155k level is still the likely target based on a 1.618 vs a 3.618 projection. In this video I've outlined the 10 factors including the ETF money flows already coming in. Each of these factors could help ignite the other 9, and contributing to a near term mega rally. The chart bars pattern in Blue is a copy of the previous cycle where this happened, so we we know this is possible. A near term pullback from $50k is likely however, and healthy. I anticipate this would be the best / safest entry point and best scenario for a much larger push higher as noted above. I've also outlined 5 potentially negative factors which could slow growth, but are less likely. Would love to hear your comments below!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BrettFogle
1
BITCOIN: Hong Kong's Entry into the Cryptocurrency ArenaBITCOIN: Hong Kong's Entry into the Cryptocurrency Arena In the ever-changing landscape of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin (BTC) has recently been treading water, leaving investors with an air of uncertainty about its future path. This comprehensive report delves into the current dynamics shaping cryptocurrency prices, potential catalysts steering future valuations, and a detailed technical analysis of Bitcoin. Federal Reserve's Sway: All eyes are on the Federal Reserve (Fed) as it gears up for an upcoming interest rate decision, wielding the potential to sway the crypto market. While expectations lean toward the Fed maintaining the status quo, the nuances in their accompanying statements and Chairman Powell’s press conference could introduce an element of unpredictability. Factors like easing inflation and challenges in the US manufacturing sector might prompt a more dovish stance, injecting optimism and potentially boosting crypto investments. Return of Chinese Investors: Reports are surfacing about a resurgence in interest among Chinese investors in the crypto market. Economic uncertainties in China, coupled with concerns about the stability of Chinese developers and the liquidation order for Evergrande, are pushing investors towards alternative assets. Despite the crypto ban in China, intermediaries are facilitating investments, painting cryptos as electronic gold. If this trend continues, we might witness sustained growth in the crypto market, but regulatory crackdowns could cast a shadow. BTC ETFs Expanding Horizons: Following the SEC’s green light for BTC ETFs in the US, the spotlight now turns to Hong Kong. Financial institutions are reportedly gearing up to file BTC ETFs with the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission. This global expansion of Crypto ETFs, post-US approval, underscores the growing acceptance and interest in cryptocurrency investment avenues. Navigating the Technical Terrain: From a technical perspective, BTC recently rebounded from the $38,000 support on January 23, initiating an upward trajectory within a Megaphone pattern. The next milestones for the price are ambitiously set at $45,000 and $50,000. As the crypto market grapples with economic shifts and evolving regulations, the Fed's decisions, sentiments of Chinese investors, and the global expansion of BTC ETFs stand poised to influence Bitcoin's journey in the weeks ahead. Traders and investors should remain vigilant, ready to adapt their strategies to the ever-evolving crypto landscape.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by FOREXN1
5