Bitcoin bounce?Btc is hitting the 4hr 200 ma with both 20/50emas sitting at the red resistance line. A bounce is very likely in my opinion, but may not happen. TA is like educated gambling. It’s like being the house at the casino and playing with odds in your favor. If a casino in Vegas announced they were paying out odds, 70 you win / 30 we lose, we would all be rushing to find a table. Not saying I’m 70% sure I’m always right, just giving an example of what it means to do what I am trying to do. You’re never going to always be right but with odds in your favor, you’re also not going to not try. - HH
Bitcointrading
BTC technical analysis 4/2/2022 *NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE*51.4K within 12 days? (4/14/2022) based off inflection point on trend line
(arrow 1)
I think it will happen by Monday IMO (3 days) this is based on previous symmetrical top
(arrow 2)
potential marker for near symmetrical retracement based on previous high in bearish cycle (assuming our retrace up looks similar)
(arrow 3)
My technical reasoning:
-Ascending triangle was formed and a breakout was confirmed
-Triple bottom formed within the ascending triangle
(2 bullish charts is a good sign for me)
-Momentum & Money Flow Index are in line with Stoch RSI potentially confirming the start of a larger trend.
-MACD is on the cusp of a reset
whales & Institutional buys are the brunt of this next inflow.
I'm personally going long.
Anti-Hedge
Another bearish sign? Or bulls are taking a quick pause?This is the third bearish sign I find as we are developing this current BTC move. Here we have double Doji which looks like bears are stepping in. Volume is decreasing which tells me if I`m right and bears really step in we gonna tumble down. In the previous posts, I showed you the bearish divergence and flag. This is just a continuation of my previous ideas and by no means I claim I`m right. It’s all just an idea and that’s why we are here to express them and learn from each other. Please share your thoughts on this current development.
Elliott Bitcoin Analysis1- Bitcoin has entered a correction wave.
2- Wave B was a triangular wave that had ended.
3- Wave C has started and the price is expected
to move as much as the wave A (PRZ 2) .
4- In the most optimistic case, the price of ABC
correction wave is expected to correct as much as
61.8% of all 5 previous uptrend waves, which will
be exactly in line with the floor of the long-term
uptrend channel for several years (PRZ 1 ) .
Bearish Divergence!!! Will it play out? If this divergence plays out I would not be too surprised if the price gets to 40k and that’s if I’m conservative about it. In my previous post, I show the bearish flag. If the price goes to 40k we may start testing the bearish flag support becoming resistance and then I assume it will indicate even more bearish move which may lead us to a lower 30k. Let me know what do you think, do you agree, can you add something to it, or do you think it’s wrong and we go up from here?
Bitcoin - Market Seasonality 📉📉 What is crypto seasonality?
Crypto seasonality is the perception that Bitcoin will rise and fall over a set period of time, drastically affecting the crypto market overall.
Bitcoin (BTC) is the world’s largest cryptocurrency, as well as the first-ever one. As the first cryptocurrency, it has tons of value locked up into it at all times, and all subsequent coins, otherwise known as altcoins, are tied to it in some way.
However, Bitcoin is no stable asset. The world’s first cryptocurrency is consistently ranging in value, dropping or rising tens of thousands of dollars at any given point. Every four years, this volatility is expected to reach a peak before crashing relatively hard due to the Bitcoin halving. The Bitcoin halving is programmed into the Bitcoin blockchain. Every four years, the halving occurs, and the rewards for mining Bitcoin are cut in half, effectively ensuring less Bitcoin is coming into circulation with every block mined.
The market tends to correct after a halving, with Bitcoin’s price rising due to its more scarce nature, only to crash shortly afterward as investors cash in their newly-earned profits, and the market overcorrects as a result. While Bitcoin crashes, more investors begin worrying about their investments and may pull out to move funds into altcoins.
📉2. Is crypto seasonality good or bad?
It affects everyone. But whether it’s good or bad depends on your investment personality.
Crypto seasonality can be seen as both good and bad, depending on your perspective and investment personality. For one, newer traders might see seasonality as a good thing, as they can now invest in Bitcoin at a lower price. Long-time holders, however, might despise crypto seasonality as their Bitcoin holdings are almost guaranteed to crash every four years, forcing them to wait out the lows or reinvest their holdings into altcoins.
That said, one can almost always expect Bitcoin to rise back up due to supply and demand. While this belief is never a guarantee, the leading cryptocurrency has historically risen to higher highs after each halving so far.
📉3. How crypto seasonality affects investors
Crypto seasonality might force Bitcoin-only investors to gamble in the altcoin market.
When Bitcoin’s price crashes, investors are almost forced into the altcoin market to continue generating profits. That said, altcoins are entirely unpredictable, and a project that’s massively popular one day can crash suddenly the next.
The altcoin market is also full of scams. Rug pulls and deceptive marketing have led to investors being taken advantage of. Regulatory policies are still in the works and can negatively affect a trader's experience as they develop. Exchanges can be hacked and holdings stolen. There’s really no telling what can happen in the wild west that is the altcoin market.
Sure, there are safer ways than others. Investors can buy into established passive income methods like Uniswap’s (UNI) liquidity pools, or participate in the mining or staking process of a coin rather than simply investing in it, but there’s still an inherent risk alongside these processes.
What do you think ? Comment below..
BITCION ANALYSIS
we did hit tp1 and tp2 , we had divergence then the price break our my minor and major trendline then retested for a buy.
I did put my fib tool , major structure has retraced our 88.60% ( the price always slow to move) then going to hit my tp -61.80%.
Now we are going uptrend because we have divergence which show it's end of downtrend.
#Bitcoin has reached 46K and even 47K. What now? #BTC is now trying to close its first full candle above bull market support band, which is now at 44.7K and also matches the 200 day EMA and the 50% Fib. Retracement traced from July 2021.
We're even close to the 200 day SMA at 48.2K, which is the last moving average to conquer and just 2 days away from our yellow box, where we pointed out now weeks ago those were the dates where we could see a potential trend reversal (March 30th - April 3rd).
We have multiple levels to conquer to the upside, but 2 of the most important are 50% Fib. Retracement and 50% Fib. Extension. The first one would imply an upside continuation to the prices we know from last cycle. The second one, could imply a potential new all time high coming.
Now, this won't happen without corrections or retracements and that's healthy for the market. So, what do we have to watch closely now?
First of all, volume. Volume Oscillator shows volume going down in the last few days, while price is going up. And that's not good, because the volume should always rise in a rallying market. If it doesn't, the chances of a bull trap increases.
MACD, Stochastic and RSI: an Stochastic and RSI rise is expected during a rally, but it's much healthier if the rally occurs with these indicators outside the overbought range. Stochastic is already overbought, RSI is almost there and MACD is climbing to a potential bearish cross.
Short term price action (4H and 2H charts): if we take a look at both charts we can see volume is going down pretty fast, which is no good at all. Remember: volume is the blood of the market, without enough volume, no rally is sustainable.
Also, Open Interest (Cryptoquant) is now at 14.5B with a huge spike in the last days. It's not something to be concerned yet because certain rise in OI is expected, but remember: last 3 bull cycles started with OI between 5-8B and last 3 big corrections (30/50% dips) started with OI between 14-16B.
Nasdaq is also something to watch, because crypto markets and tech stocks have shown a really strong correlation during the years. The thing is Nasdaq is not yet above 20W SMA or 21W EMA (bull support), but is getting there. It has a strong resistance about 14871, and bull support band is around 15000. MACD, Stochastic and RSI on Nasdaq look much better than Bitcoin's, with the RSI even in normal levels.
So, what all this could mean?
1 | Although bitcoin has surpassed 46K, it's still too early to say that the bull market is back.
2 | I think it's prudent to wait at least 2/3 days to see if #BTC continues to close candles above 46K.
3 | We will likely see a correction after this "rally" today, since the volume is not following and Nasdaq still has some barriers to overcome.
LAST | I think the bull market is going to arrive and maybe even on the dates indicated (yellow box) but I would wait a few more days before diving into the market.
If you enjoyed this, just show your appreciation following/retweeting on Twitter, here, leaving and comment or just a like.
Have a nice week,
BTC Bitcoin: Headed back downHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
BTC Price looks like it is headed back down based on the RSI. Focus on the Fibonacci Retracement levels.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
BITCOIN MARKET SEASONALITY 📉📉📉📉 As we talked about market seasonality i will explain in this video why i look forward bitcoin bullish market seasonality.
📉 As you can see we have an intresting bullish cycle that will start exactly from the incoming month APRIL towards AUGUST we have a higher chance to see BITCOIN going higher at least this is what statistics shows to us.
What do you think ? Do you use market Seasonality ?
BTC Bitcoin: A Drop Is ComingHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
BTC Price looks like it is headed back down based on the RSI and MFI. Focus on the Fibonacci Retracement levels.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
BITCOIN TRADES TAKE PROFIT 📉📉📉📉 Hi there my friends, i was talking to you about BITCOIN bullishnes and various fundamental reasons why i expect it to rise to 45.000$ as a first target, well our target was hit. For now i am out of every trade on BTC, i am still bullish from a fundamental context but not from a tecnhical perspective. I will wait for the price to make a retracement back into H4 imbalance + bullish orderblock that is located around 43k price area.
PLEASE REMEMBER that we are still bullish within a strong bullish market strucutre but for now its just not a DISCOUNT PRICE to LONG IT, wait / be patient and then execute.
What do you think ? Do you agree with my analysis ?
Patiently waiting for a drop on BTCAs said in our previous analysis, price is heading towards our SELL zone which you can clearly see in the video. We're expecting another reaction in that area which should push the market down to our target levels.
If you guys are holding any long positions make sure to watch out for reversal signals and close them in profit, or if you don't currently have any trades on BTC but you're looking for an entry, then I would suggest waiting for the right moment.
We're expecting a potential reversal around the 44K level which should provide us with some decent entries.
Watch the video to find out where are the key levels on BTC.
Don't forget to leave a comment!