Bitcoinusd
Bitcoin Analysis 02.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
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Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
BTC - What December Holds HistoricallyHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
In today's analysis, we take a look at Bitcoin over Decembers from the past. Which direction does the price usually go, bullish or bearish ? It's no surprise that it seems to be a near equal amount of months up vs. down. Over the 11 months observed, we notice 6 green Decembers and 5 red Decembers. This makes probability near equal. However, we could take a look at a few other interesting observations:
💭 Highest increase for Bitcoin was +58.92% when the lowest decline was only -33.15%
💭 More often than not, two months of the same color follow
💭 The biggest yearly increase was during December 2012 - December 2013 with a whopping yearly increase of 9,899.19%
💭 The second biggest increase after that was from Dec 2016 - Dec 2017 with +2,681.15%
💭 The biggest yearly decline was from December 2017 - December 2018 with BTCUSD losing -84%
The crypto winter that started in December 2018 was one of the worst yet... But with the industry under pressure, could this year be the new record? IF BTCUSDT were to drop to $11 000, that would be a -81% decline from last December.
From all the above... Which way do you think the price will go during December 2022 ?
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Bitcoin is about to crash!Hello, everyone!
As I mentioned in my last analysis the correction was not over and I am waiting for the wave C to $17600. Today we saw this pump and I suppose that it’s about to the end.
Let’s take a look at the 4h time frame of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. The Bitcoin price found support exactly as was predicted at the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement. Wave B have been ended and the wave C started there. Now I can see that wave C could be close to it’s finish because of internal waves structure. Now the price is printing the wave 5 inside wave C.
According to the liquidity zones analysis we can notice very strong one above $17300. I suppose that the market maker will collect this liqudity before the new deep dive. I have already opened short position at $16800 and will enhance it at the $17200 and $17500. Take profit is below $14k.
Best regards, Ivan
BTCUSD - S/R Analysis 29/11/22Hello everyone, today we are analyzing the supports and resistances to use for the next trades, Bitcoin should show strength by breaking the trendline to be able to go to the next resistance, otherwise we will probably see another test of the 1st/2nd support, the next hours will be decisive. Thank you all
BITCOIN ABOUT TO BOUNCE TO 17KHallo this is my first idea on Trading View.
(Reupload) have an issue before so i reupload this.
I'm not gonna explain the detail cause i'm not good at explaining things in english but i'll give you an idea that may help you doing analysis from another perspective.
Let's start it
>>
Scene 1 : if Bitcoin have a good close bellow 16100 in 1 hour time frame, it's quite likely that we go down to the support area and if we bounce and close above support area we can targeting on 17000.
Scene 2 : if Bitcoin close above the mid channel in 1 hour time frame (green small elipse) or you can also use MA, it's possibly we can go slowly upside to 17200.
If you want more please comment and support by boost my idea.
!! This is not financial advise, this is only an idea. Always becareful and keep on your own analysis.
ThankYou
~ Sinn
28/11/"22 23:00
Decisions with a Descending TriangleBTC/USD
Bullish Case
- MACD/Signal and Histogram reversing (Daily)
- Possible Bullish Divergence (Daily)
Key Support: $16k, $15.6k
Bearish Case
- Still within the descending triangle
- Has not made a new higher high yet
- Hidden Bearish Divergence (30min,1hr and Daily)
Key Resistance: $16.6k, $17.3k
Thoughts? I'm leaning slightly more bearish.
Bitcoin – fake pump ahead!Hello, everyone!
Last time I considered the ABC correction for the Bitcoin and thought that wave B is going to be represented as the triangle correction, but it looks like now that price decided to print the irregular correction. It’s about to end, hence we have the nice long trade opportunity.
Let’s take a look at the 1h time frame of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. If we look in detailes inside the wave B we can notice that it consists of ABC correction also. Wave A has abc 3 waves structure – it is the early sign of the irregular corretcion. In this case everything what we need is to count the 5 waves inside wave C and enter the position next to target zone.
Target zone have been reached – Fibonacci retracement 0.618, but we have to wait for another one leg down – wave 5. After that I anticipate the push to the $17800. Let’s see!
Best regards, Ivan
BTC one last capitulationI am expecting one last capitulation for BTC, miners are still in problems, difficulty is rising, stocks will turn to down soon. Also we have mid December FOMC and CPI coming. This will be one last drop and we can expect accumulation after, so not bad play to start buying after the last capitulation. Good Luck!
BTC short-term sell positionThis is a probable short position. although. This Idea contains NOT all the facts and clues, and it's just for warning.
so make sure you're doing your own analysis for opening the position.
And, here in this zone, Stop-loss is the most importatn thing ever.
as you know our previous idea is about a long term buy position. so we're simultaniously in a short term sell position and a long term buy position.
so.. you know. you have to manage your risk in short term, and accumulate in long term.
leave your comments down below
BTC Daily TA Neutral BullishBTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 55% BTC, 45% Cash.
* SUNDAY SCARIES WATCH . Cryptos are mixed today after numerous Altcoins like DOGE, REN (on rumors of Binance acquisition) and LINK rallied to start the weekend. Billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman reiterated his support for Cryptos and their underlying technology . Yesterday, Vitalik Buterin transferred 40k ETH ($48m) to an unknown wallet and Justin Sun cashed out $58m worth of ETH for unknown reasons . Ukraine is still trying to restore power to major cities while Russia continues to fire missiles onto critical infrastructure. Even with this going on, Ukraine managed to host a summit in Kyiv to promote their "Grain from Ukraine" initiative which will strive to send 60 vessels full of grain exports to countries currently most vulnerable to famine and drought (including Ethiopia, Sudan, South Sudan, Somalia and Yemen). Chinese citizens continue to protest the Covid lockdowns in cities like Urumqi where the lockdowns are ironically contributing to deaths , and this morning officials in Urumqi announced that they will begin to phase out restrictions in "low-risk areas". This is after China reported a third consecutive daily record for new Covid cases .
In lighter news, Ben Armstrong is in the Bahamas with intentions of interviewing SBF lol .
Key Upcoming Dates: US Consumer Confidence Index at 10am EST 11/29; 2nd BEA Estimate of US Q3 GDP at 830am EST 11/30; Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech at Brookings Institute at 130pm EST 11/30; Beige Book at 2pm EST 11/30; October PCE Index at 830am EST 12/01; November Employment Situation at 830am EST 12/02; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14 .*
Price is currently trending sideways at ~$16450 as it continues to hover above the uptrend line from March 2017 (~$15600) for a fifth consecutive session. Volume continues to shrink for a sixth consecutive session which is indicative of an impending breakout/breakdown and is on track to favor sellers for a third consecutive session if it closes today's session in the red. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $17900, this is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending sideways at 39, the next resistance is at 42.41. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down at 90 as it approaches a test of 88.29 support. MACD remains bullish and is currently trending up at -705, the next resistance (minor) is at -232. ADX is currently trending sideways at 45 as Price continues to trend sideways as well, this is neutral at the moment.
If Price is able to breakout here then it will likely test the 50MA at ~$18670 as resistance . However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely retest the uptrend line from March 2017 at ~$15600 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $15600 .
BTCUSD - Bottom is nearHi all, analyzing the monthly/weekly chart we can see that we are approaching a very important support around 13.900 - 14.000, furthermore a divergence on the RSI (weekly chart) is forming at the same time. We honestly aren't in a bad time to start buying, although I think we will see a bounce off 14k before the price can start moving higher.
Thanks for watching!
bottom at 13.2-14k with a move back to 24k range next yearHi guys,
Here are my thoughts for the next few months, think we still got another leg down first, but I think we are nearer to the bottom than most people expect.
I know a lot of doom thinkers at this point, but I still don't think we will see those 10k numbers (yet) and we get a nice bounce over the next couple of months.
- currently expecting in the very short term to make a nice inverse head and shoulders to reverse, so back to 15.8k retest, then pump up and get a Christmas run towards 18k range, somewhere between 17.7k-18.5k looking at the fibs
- then we get real capitulation of everything, with most likely some big miners having to sell everything, causing a big crash once again down to like 13.2k-14k local bottom
- then we can finally bounce and we get a nice relief run back to 24-25k by next year
those are my personal thoughts and expectations
Trade Safely!
-The Dang Oracle
Bitcoin Important Update CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE BY TEAM TENUP
Pakistan Time: 06:06 AM
Bitcoin support levels - $16,300 and $16000 strong Support
(is Ka Matlab yahan buyers hain)
Bitcoin resistance - $16,800 and $17,000 strong resistance
(is Ka Matlab k yahan sell karney walay hain, sell hoga bitcoin)
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Analysis:
BTC Support is at $16,300 and $16,000. Resistance is at $16,800 and $17,000. Trade carefully and manage your risk according to mentioned support and resistance levels.
BTC closed its daily candle RED at $16,598.
Looking at the 4-hour timeframe, Volume is low and decreasing. RSI is at 53 and STOCH RSI is below the 75 range. RSI and STOCH RSI suggest that the BTC may test $16,300 support. However, there is 20 EMA support around 16,400.
Bitcoin will pump before the final bearish move!Hello, everyone!
As you know I wanted to catch the bottom of the local wave 5 on the Bitcoin, but this wave as I can see was shorter than I suppose. Now it’s obviously that the market started the upside correction to $18k and we have to find the low risk long trade now.
Let’s take a look at the 1h time frame of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. The price have already finished it’s wave 3 of any order, it does not matter now for us. We can conclude it because of internal waves structure. Sub wave 5 made just a squeeze below the sub wave 3 bottom and the Bitcoin broke all local critical levels to continue this wave 5 to the downside. Consequently, market started the corrective wave 4 of the higher order to the upside. I consider ABC zigzag. Wave A has been already finished. Now it is time for the wave B. It usually retraces to 0.5 Fibonacci level, approximately $16200. There I plan to open long position with the target at 0.5 Fibonacci level for the higher order impulse wave.
After reaching $18k I expect the new and last crash in this bear market to fulfill my bag with the Bitcoin and different altcoins.
Best regards, Ivan
BTC All Time High February 2012 - Why NO Double TopWhy i dont see BTC to Crash soon
Some of the Traders see a BTC double Top which would lead to a blow off and Crash.
So lets try to disprove this view:
- Chart Formation: I can find this type of Pattern only in Uptrends. Some think it is a double top but in fact its an ascending consolidation of which the 2nd top is higher.
- BTC Price overheated: In fact it is a little bit. But sideway untill february would be enough to countinue.
- Support: It looks like previous (2017/18) ATH is support now.
- Institutional Money inflow: Institutions invest with a larger Timeframe - they will not sell off 6mt after buy. Like Micro Strategy bought at 19k - dont think they buy the top
- Inflation: Inflation not kicks in yet because the Money flows into Wall Street. After Shares get unprofitable it will flow to BTC
- Maturity: We are in 2020 ant the market has grown up. Adoption kicks in while crisis also does.