Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Testing Key TrendlinesBitcoin’s current price action places it at a decisive technical level, where historical and recent trendlines converge. This area holds significant implications for the future direction of the market.
🔍 Key Observations from the Chart
The Two Trendlines in Focus
Old Trendline: This line, originating from the previous bull market, acts as a critical long-term support. Its historical significance makes it a widely-watched level for market participants.
Young Trendline: This trendline represents the momentum of the latest bullish recovery. A break here could signal a potential shift in sentiment.
Liquidity Cluster Around $92,500
A clear liquidity zone lies just below the current price. Such zones often attract price action as market makers seek to clear stop-losses or gather liquidity before determining the next move.
Imbalance Zones Below
Imbalances between $85,000 and $70,500 are visible on the chart. These areas represent inefficiencies in price action that could serve as potential targets if support levels fail.
🎯 Levels to Monitor
Support Levels:
Young Trendline (~$93,800): The first line of defense for bulls.
Old Trendline (~$93,800): A breach here would signal a deeper retracement.
Liquidity and Imbalance Targets:
Liquidity Zone: $93,000-$92,000.
Imbalance Zone 1: $85,000–$81,600.
Imbalance Zone 2: $74,400–$70,600.
Resistance Levels:
If BTC bounces, watch for reactions near $98,000 and $100,000 as short-term resistance.
🤔 What Could Happen Next?
Scenario 1: Support Holds
If the trendlines hold, BTC could see a recovery toward $98,000 or higher, maintaining its bullish structure.
Scenario 2: Break Below Support
A loss of the young and old trendlines may lead to a retest of the liquidity zone at $92,500.
If this level fails, the imbalance zones below become the next logical targets.
Volatility Ahead
With price so close to these key levels, whale activity and stop-hunting wicks are likely. Traders should prepare for possible fakeouts before the true direction becomes clear.
⚡ Key Takeaway
Bitcoin’s position near these converging trendlines makes this a crucial moment. Whether the supports hold or price dips to fill lower imbalances, the upcoming moves will provide important clues about market sentiment heading into the new year.
Patience and risk management are essential in this environment. Stay neutral, observe the price reaction to these levels, and let the market reveal its hand.
Btc!
BTC - All long-term Bitcoin targets!INDEX:BTCUSD All long-term Bitcoin targets are shown.
In my opinion, the most important support ahead will be the $78,000-$80,000 range, as it meets two curves at the same time.
If the $78,000 support level is broken, the probability of a long-term price correction increases. That is, the price can correct to the $50,000 or $30,000 supports.
But in the short term, the current price stop loss can be $92,900.
If it breaks, it can reach the $88,000 range, then an upward correction, and then a correction to the $78,000-$80,000 range.
If the price rises above the current level, after breaking the $106,600 price level, the upward trend will continue.
The ultimate long-term Bitcoin price target can be around $2 million.
Support me by following, boosting, and commenting.
Litecoin, Shitecoin: An OpportunityAs much as I blast Litecoin, I think there's a trading opportunity here. Some other OG cryptocurrencies have gone up 5x recently - XLM and XRP, for instance. I don't mind this, because I actually think those coins are at least a little more viable as currencies than Bitcoin.
I'm keeping this short. Just taking advantage of volatility. A 40%+ pullback with the potential of a 200% move? I'll take it. Here to have fun, not here to question things right now.
Litecoin active addresses are stable around 300k, though having steadily moved up over the last couple of years from 200K. bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin active addresses have climbed a bit recently up to 750K, after actually declining the last couple years. bitinfocharts.com
As crappy as price behavior has been for LTC over the years, I like its growth pattern to an extent.
It's important to keep in mind that while on a very slow long term uptrend, Litecoin has broken down out of its major long term uptrend (orange) This was why I had assumed more downside was to come.
Given that LTC tends to pump last in the cycle, I'm taking a gamble on this thing flying back into the long term uptrend. There's A LOT of resistance overhead, especially at the broken uptrend, near $150-160 currently. Here's the shorter term structure, with some bullish arrows drawn.
Taking out the recent low near $85 would be a bearish sign and could send price quickly back to $66 support.
Let's see what happens. If the market has already topped, oh well. Risking a neglegable amount here. R/R seems decent to me.
This meant for speculation and entertainment only.
-Victor Cobra
Will Bitcoin Go Up or Down from Here?Where does Bitcoin go from here?
In my previously published idea I supported the idea for a bounce from 95k. We did closed above 95K but looks like we are not going to hold it..
According to Fibonacci (using my Dynamic Fib Retracement indicator), if we now close below the preliminary fib line around 95K, this could spell trouble for Bitcoin and result in more downwards price action.
Also according to the DFR , targets for that would be:
80.5K USD (The Orange 'Median Line') and 70-73K USD (Inside the blue Fib Golden Pocket)
Follow me for more BTC analysis!
HelenP. I Bitcoin will fall to support zone and then start riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few moments ago, the price reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and broke it. Then price made a retest and some time traded inside the resistance zone, after which it rebounded and started to grow to the trend line. When BTC grew to the trend line, it turned around and made impulse down to the 101000 resistance level, broke it, but later it tried to grow and failed. After this, the price continued to decline and fell until below the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Later BTC rebounded up to 99250 points and then started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to 92700 points, breaking the support level and soon turned around and made impulse up to the trend line, breaking the support level one more time. After this, BTC some time traded near the trend line and later broke this line too, and rose a little higher. But a not long time ago, the price dropped to the support level, breaking the trend line one more time, and now trades close to this level. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will fall to the support zone, after which it can start to grow to the trend line. When it reaches this line, the price can break it and continue to move up next. That's why I set my goal at 98K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BITCOIN - Price can make move up and then fall to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price entered to wedge and bounced from the support line to the support level, which coincided with the support area.
Price broke $92600 level and rose to the resistance line of the wedge, but then it made a correction to the support level.
After this, price in a short time rose to the resistance line of the wedge and then made small correction and continued to grow.
Later BTC rose to the resistance line one more time and then made a downward impulse to support level, exiting from wedge,
Next, price some time traded near this level and then started to grow, so, I think that it can make move up to $99500
Then BTC can turn around and decline to $90200 support area.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Unpopular opinion: Bitcoin is worthless. Read why.This idea goes against what BTC whales want you to believe, but it’s my educated conclusion. Let me explain why, and it might change your perspective.
The Origins of Bitcoin
Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency, created by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2008 as the pioneer of blockchain technology.
Big BTC holders claim it’s “digital gold” with a limited supply. Influential figures and institutions like Michael Saylor, BlackRock, and Fidelity promote this narrative, urging you to adopt their logic and buy in.
It’s true that with such big players and media support, Bitcoin’s value has grown tremendously. But does that mean their claims are valid? Let’s dive deeper.
The Problem with FOMO
Today, a coin like “Fartcoin” can pump 50% and make it into the top 100 cryptos. Why? Because convincing people to buy something often works, even if the product lacks long-term value or sustainability. This phenomenon, driven by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), does not guarantee intrinsic worth.
Let’s Get Logical
Crypto is inherently complex and difficult for the average person to understand. Many simply follow what “smarter” people or influencers say on social media. Even major institutions like BlackRock and traditional finance (TradFi) players have only been in the Bitcoin game for a few years—they’re newcomers to the space.
Now, ask yourself: If Bitcoin is the first cryptocurrency, does that automatically make it the best?
Do we still drive the first cars ever created?
The Flawed First-Mover Advantage
BTC whales want you to believe that the first is the best and will always remain so. They ignore the concepts of improvement, innovation, and technological advancement. Essentially, they’re asking you to buy the “first car” because they own a lot of them.
In reality, Bitcoin was an experimental product that proved finance could exist without traditional banks. It was revolutionary at the time, but technology has since advanced far beyond Bitcoin. Modern blockchain projects, Layer 1 solutions, NFTs, and smart contracts are faster, more sophisticated, and more innovative.
Bitcoin is the “first car,” but it belongs in a museum. The financial system, however, is still riding it to extract as much money as possible before its limitations become widely apparent.
Bitcoin’s Lack of Utility
The internet became mainstream within five years, revolutionizing communication, entertainment, and commerce. Yet after 18 years, Bitcoin remains largely useless—propped up by those who own it and fueled by speculation rather than utility.
This focus on Bitcoin has stifled innovation, as other promising crypto projects struggle to gain attention due to the media’s obsession with BTC.
Why Bitcoin Is NOT Digital Gold
The comparison between Bitcoin and gold is misleading and fundamentally flawed:
Gold is a physical, tangible asset. It cannot be duplicated, and there are costs associated with mining, refining, and maintaining it. It has intrinsic value due to its beauty, utility, and millennia-long cultural significance.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is a digital object. By nature, digital assets are infinitely reproducible at no cost (copy function in the computer). While Bitcoin’s cryptographic system creates artificial scarcity, its utility can be replicated and improved by countless other projects.
The Fragility of Bitcoin’s Protection
Bitcoin’s value relies on its blockchain’s cryptographic protections, which prevent duplication and ensure secure transactions. However, no digital protection has ever been immune to hacking. Over time, as technology advances, it’s possible someone could crack Bitcoin’s security, change the blockchain, or access wallets by breaking passphrases.
Do you know any protection that lasted forever? Ask Apple and their DRM, ask Microsoft with their software projections.
If that happens, Bitcoin’s value could plummet to zero. Wall Street knows this, and they are profiting while they can. When a hack or major failure occurs, they’ll exit the market, leaving retail investors to bear the losses.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is not “digital gold,” nor is it a reliable store of value. It was an incredible invention that paved the way for blockchain technology, but its time as a leader is nearing its end. Innovation and technological progress have outpaced Bitcoin, and the idea that it will remain dominant forever is a narrative pushed by those who stand to gain the most from it.
Thanks for reading.
Analysis of the BTC Chart (Dec 27, 2024)Key Observations:
Support Holding Firm:
Price bounced off the Bear Day level (~$94,700) with a strong reaction, showing that buyers are defending this zone. This could indicate that the downside momentum is fading.
Resistance Tests:
BTC tested the Bull Day zone (~$96,800) but faced rejection, indicating resistance. However, price is consolidating just below this level, signaling a possible breakout attempt.
Volume and Activity:
The recent consolidation shows reduced volatility, which often precedes a significant breakout. Volume patterns could provide additional confirmation.
Bullish Indications:
The Bullish Week support (~$97,200) remains intact and could act as the next target if BTC breaks through $96,800 convincingly.
Higher lows are forming near $95,600-$96,000, indicating a bullish structure if maintained.
Bearish Risks:
Failure to reclaim and hold above the Bull Day zone ($96,800-$97,200) could result in a retracement to test the Close Week support ($95,200) again.
A loss of this support level would negate the bullish setup and signal more downside.
Is a Large Move to the Upside Likely?
BTC is setting up for a potential upside move, but confirmation is needed:
Bullish confirmation: A breakout above $96,800-$97,200 with strong volume would likely trigger a move towards $98,400 and possibly higher.
Bearish invalidation: A breakdown below $95,200 could trigger further downside to the Bear Day zone (~$94,800).
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside targets: $96,800, $97,200, and $98,400 (Bullish Swing level).
Downside risk levels: $95,600, $95,200, and $94,800.
Conclusion: The market structure is leaning towards a bullish breakout if BTC can clear the nearby resistance zones. However, keep an eye on volume and lower supports for invalidation of the setup.
Etherium might surprise everyone. BINANCE:ETHUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
BINANCE:ETHUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after the BINANCE:BTCUSD breakout above 69K. However, the price of ETH is still in a trading range. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: All-time high around 5000.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Bitcoin/USDT AnalysisCurrent Price: The chart shows Bitcoin trading at approximately $95,660, with recent downward momentum (-2.11%).
Support Zone: Around $91,800 - $93,500 (gray highlighted region), providing a strong base where price could potentially reverse or consolidate.
Resistance Levels:
$98,200 - $99,000: The first resistance level to watch if the price bounces upward.
$101,000 - $102,000: A secondary resistance zone.
$104,000 - $105,000: A higher resistance zone that aligns with previous peaks.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin holds above the support zone ($91,800 - $93,500), a rebound toward $98,200 and potentially $101,000 is likely. A breakout above $101,000 could pave the way to test the $104,000 - $105,000 range.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $91,800 might signal further declines toward $90,000 or lower levels.
Trend Analysis: The short-term trend appears bearish; however, the support zone may serve as a strong reversal point for a potential upward move.
ADAUSD - From this simple chart, whole crypto market bullish?While its not necessary obvious to guess next move on BTC, some alts like ADA can help a lot
ADA made a rebound on the weekly 200MA on the 20th of December, that mark was also a support from the previous high made in feb 2024 and another support on feb 2022
as we are talking with big timeframes, chances for the asset to go under 20th December lows are very unlikely (but still possible), making the WHOLE crypto market still very bullish
what now ?
We can easily revisit ATH at 3, the faster we reach it, the higher we can go next
3 possibilities : February, April or September
not financial advice
Cheers
BITCOIN What lies ahead after this correction? The DXY x-factor.Bitcoin (BTCUS) is having in the past 2 weeks the technical correction is should based on the previous Bull Cycle. As you can see, since the U.S. elections it has rallied aggressively past its previous All Time High (ATH), same way it did in December 2020.
** Bitcoin and Doge during 2020 **
At the same time, the alt coin market was mostly consolidating in preparation of a bullish break-out. A representative example of such behavior would be Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) as seen in orange on this chart, which during BTC's December 2020 rally, it was consolidating/ pulling-back (green circle) from an initial rally. However it remained significantly below its previous ATH, the same way it is now.
** The DXY decline sparking crypto rallies **
Notice the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), displayed by the green trend-line on this chart. Right now it is has been rallying in the past three months, at the same time as Bitcoin has. In the previous Cycle in 2020, it hit a top during the COVID March 2020 market crash and with the smashing of the Interest Rates, it started a Channel Down decline that backed perfectly Bitcoin's rally. We has the exact same DXY-backed rally during Bitcoin's 2017 Bull Cycle.
As a result, we are seeing a paradox on the current Cycle: BTC entering its most aggressive phase (Parabolic Rally) of the Bull Cycle and rallying despite DXY rising. That is attributed of course to a large extent to the huge ETF inflows (something that wasn't present in 2020).
** Overdue DXY decline? **
This leads us to believe that an overdue decline on the DXY, just as the Fed has initiated a new cut Cycle (as they did during the COVID crash), will push Bitcoin and especially the alts market, including Doge, to a new rally. Of course DXY's decline may not be as aggressive this time, as the stimulus shouldn't be that high (especially with Powell's recent remarks on a 2 rate cut expectation in 2025 instead of the previous projection of 4), but it could be enough to spark the final BTC rally of the Bull Cycle and the much anticipated Altseason.
So do you think the market will rally once more on a potential 'delayed' DXY drop? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis. BTC appears to be trading within an ascending channel. The chart shows a bullish medium-term structure.
The price is currently testing the lower trendline support within the channel.
A crucial support area is marked between $94,000 – $92,000 (green area). This is a crucial level for a bounce.
Any break below this support could invalidate the channel and lead to further upward pressure.
Resistance lies around $100,000 – $102,000 (orange area), which has been tested multiple times.
A breakout above this level could spark a bullish push towards the upper trendline of the channel or new highs.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
DAY 7 - Daily BTC UpdateThe Holidays have slowed the markets - for now.
I've introduced a third potential scenario for Bitcoin (BTC), which is bearish and might see the price retesting the DAILY 100 Moving Average near $80K. Although this scenario seems less probable given the current market sentiment, where large corporations and businesses are actively accumulating, it's crucial to consider all possible outcomes to avoid the pitfalls of an "up-only" mindset prevalent in bullish markets.
Remember, corrections are healthy and contribute to the robustness of the overall market pattern.
After yesterday's positive momentum shift, we've again seen a lull in the market and increased sell pressure as the US gears up for tax season. The recent price movements in Bitcoin indicate an adjustment to overbought conditions following the election, with technical indicators suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend in the short term unless there's a significant influx of buying support.
Keep an eye on these developments, as they could dictate the next moves in Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Trading Tip:
As we have no confirmed direction currently - One effective strategy during volatile periods like this can be the "Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)" approach. Instead of trying to time the market, you regularly invest a fixed dollar amount, regardless of the asset's price. This method reduces the impact of volatility by spreading out the purchase price over time. For Bitcoin's current scenario:
Set a regular schedule: Decide to buy a fixed amount of Bitcoin weekly or monthly.
Stay disciplined: Avoid investing more when prices seem low or less when they're high. Consistency is key.
Long-term perspective: DCA works best if you hold for the long term. It allows you to benefit from the average price over time rather than trying to predict short-term movements.
This approach can mitigate the risk of entering the market at peak prices and can lead to purchasing more units when prices are low, potentially lowering your average cost per Bitcoin over time. Remember, while DCA can smooth out the volatility, it does not guarantee profits and should be part of a broader investment strategy considering your risk tolerance and financial situation!
Thanks for following the 7 Days of BTC updates, and if you want these Daily - links are in my Bio :)
MUBI Looking for Reversal Here!MUBI is approaching the falling wedge, and with the RSI showing potential to sustain its momentum, I anticipate the chart to follow this trajectory. If it doesn't play out as expected, I'll reassess and update accordingly. Wishing everyone the best of luck this altseason!
GRTUSDT : Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis BINANCE:GRTUSDT : 24-Hour Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis
I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Market Overview (Last 24 Hours):
- BINANCE:GRTUSDT has activated the entry price at $0.2392, showing bullish potential as trading volumes and on-chain metrics increase.
- Recent momentum in altcoins suggests growing retail interest, which could drive price action further toward the take-profit levels.
Technical Overview:
- Support Levels: $0.2000, $0.0740 (Stop-Loss)
- Resistance Levels: $0.8527 (TP1), $1.8007 (Long-Term TP2)
- Indicators: RSI is climbing steadily but remains below overbought territory, while MACD shows sustained bullish momentum.
Fundamental Catalysts:
- On-Chain Metrics: Increased transaction volume and wallet activity signal growing adoption and investor interest in BINANCE:GRTUSDT .
- Tokenomics Overview: GRT’s staking rewards and decreasing circulating supply continue to support scarcity-driven value.
- Community Sentiment: Social media platforms reflect positive sentiment for GRT, especially as part of broader AI and blockchain narratives.
- Liquidity: Current trading volumes provide favourable conditions for significant price movements.
Scenario Planning:
- Bullish Scenario: Sustained momentum could see BINANCE:GRTUSDT reaching TP1 ($0.8527) and possibly the long-term target TP2 ($1.8007).
- Risk Scenario: Broader crypto market corrections or declining trading volume could test the SL at $0.0740.
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.2392 (Activated)
- Stop-Loss: $0.0740
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $0.8527
- TP2 (Long-Term): $1.8007
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
Bitcoin price is going to wrong way?#bitcoin #btc price has declined twice from the bearish retest zone (as i described in my previous ideas) and it seems CRYPTOCAP:BTC bearish retest is getting succeed. This success means blood for #cryptocurrencies #altcoins .Best to be avoid risks until #btcusd reclaims (if possible) the broken trendline, the parallel channel. Not financial advice.
The Impact of KULR's Investment & Israel's Bitcoin Mutual FundsThe cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), has seen significant movements recently, influenced by both institutional buying and regulatory developments. Two key events stand out: KULR Technology Group's substantial investment in Bitcoin and the upcoming launch of Bitcoin mutual funds in Israel.
Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin experienced a notable "spiral movement," reaching a peak of $99,000 before a sharp 4% dip, settling at around $95,481.85. This volatility can be attributed to immediate market reactions to news like KULR's purchase of 217.18 BTC for about $21 million. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 44 indicates a potentially weak growth pattern, suggesting that Bitcoin might be overbought in the short term, prompting traders to be cautious.
The 24-hour trading volume of over $46 billion points to significant interest, yet the downward trend in price despite high volume might signal profit-taking or a shift in market sentiment. This could be interpreted as a consolidation period following a rapid ascent, with investors possibly waiting for more clarity or another catalyst.
The current trend for Bitcoin appears weak, as observed from the RSI and the market's reaction to new institutional investments. This might suggest a period of stabilization or correction is on the horizon before the next potential bull run.
Institutional Adoption
KULR Technology's decision to allocate up to 90% of its surplus cash into Bitcoin, following in the footsteps of giants like MicroStrategy, underscores a growing trend of corporate treasuries diversifying into cryptocurrencies. This move not only legitimizes Bitcoin as an asset class but also potentially influences its price through increased demand.
Regulatory Developments in Israel
The introduction of six Bitcoin mutual funds in Israel, set to launch on December 31, 2024, is a pivotal moment for crypto investments in the region. This development aligns with global trends where regulatory clarity often leads to increased institutional investment. The funds, managed by well-known firms, will offer investors a regulated, less volatile way to gain exposure to Bitcoin, potentially driving further adoption and demand.
The U.S. SEC's approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier in the year has set a precedent, showing that with regulatory support, Bitcoin can attract significant institutional capital. Israel's move might follow this path, enhancing the perception of Bitcoin as a legitimate investment asset, not just a speculative one.
Economic Implications
By allowing transactions in shekels, these funds bridge the gap between traditional and digital finance, making Bitcoin more accessible to the average investor. This could lead to broader economic implications, including increased liquidity for Bitcoin and possibly influencing the digital shekel's development.
Conclusion:
The combination of KULR's bold investment strategy and Israel's innovative approach to Bitcoin through mutual funds paints a picture of a maturing market. Technically, Bitcoin might be facing short-term headwinds, but fundamentally, these developments suggest a robust future. Investors should watch for how these factors play out in terms of price stability, regulatory responses, and further institutional involvement. The narrative around Bitcoin continues to evolve from a digital currency to a recognized financial instrument in both corporate and national strategies.
BTC - Will Bitcoin Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has enjoyed a bullish 2024, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of 108K. However, the recent price action indicates a shift in momentum, with the market entering a phase of consolidation and correction. For the past 40 days, BTC has ranged between 90K and 108K, with the critical psychological level of 100K now acting as resistance. The structure of an ABC corrective pattern following a 5-wave downward impulse suggests the market is transitioning into a short-term bearish phase.
Key Levels and Patterns:
1.) Head and Shoulders Pattern:
A bearish Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with 90K serving as the neckline.
Once 90K is broken with significant volume, it will confirm the pattern, potentially accelerating the move downward.
The target for this pattern aligns closely with the previously identified support zone at 84K–80K.
2.) Resistance at 100K:
The psychological barrier of 100K has flipped to resistance, making it a critical level for bulls to reclaim.
A sustained break above 100K with strong volume would indicate a possible trend reversal.
3.) Support Zone (84K to 80K):
Multiple confluences align between 84K and 80K:
Fibonacci Retracement (0.618): The 0.618 retracement level from the recent impulse low to the ATH is at $82,694.88.
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: The 1:1 extension of the ABC correction points to 84K.
Anchored VWAP: Calculated from the significant low at 52.5K, the anchored VWAP aligns near 81K.
Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.618 speed fan from 52.5K to the ATH intersects around 80K, reinforcing this support zone.
4.) Liquidity Below 90K:
The current range-bound movement has likely trapped many long positions above 100K, creating significant liquidity below 90K.
A breakdown below 90K could trigger a liquidity sweep, driving prices rapidly toward the support zone at 84K–80K.
Current Market Dynamics:
Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume within the range highlights weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation of support at lower levels will require a substantial increase in buying volume.
Bearish Momentum: The head and shoulders pattern, coupled with the ABC correction, signals bearish momentum that may persist into early to mid-January 2025.
Neckline Support at 90K: A break below 90K would confirm the head and shoulders pattern, acting as a catalyst for further downside.
Next Steps and Outlook:
Short-Term Bearish Bias: Bitcoin is expected to continue its downward correction, with the head and shoulders neckline at 90K serving as a key pivot point. A confirmed break would likely drive BTC to the 84K–80K support zone.
Long Opportunity at Support: Should BTC reach the identified support zone, it presents a high-probability long setup. Entry should be contingent on confirmation through:
Increased buying volume.
Bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, engulfing).
Alignment with key moving averages and other technical indicators.
Mid-Term Recovery Potential: After the correction, Bitcoin may resume its bullish trajectory. Key factors to monitor include:
Reclaiming 100K as support.
Overall market sentiment and macroeconomic conditions.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bears' Turn for Selling Pressure!!!As I expected , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) rose to the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) , the lower line of the ascending channel and 100_EMA(4H TF) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing wave 4 . The structure of wave 4 is Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Also, the Volume of candles that brought Bitcoin up to the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is not significant for me.
I expect Bitcoin to at least fall to the Support zone($95,890-$95,540) . And if the support zone breaks, we can expect another attack on the Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and 50_SMA(Daily) and fill the CME Gap($94,435-$93,935) .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $100,000, we should expect more PUMPS.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout:
My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption:
The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth.
Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs:
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class.
Supply Constraints from Halving Events:
Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices.
Growing Adoption as a Store of Value"
As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation