Btc!
the silent sweepgood eve'
i write to you today to warn of an upcoming descent in the market.
i'm not referring to anything extraordinary, just a minor stop-loss raid, below 50k.
over the last 9 months, there has been a significant influx of buyers in the range between 50k and 70k. everyone is bullish, and no one will anticipate this drop—except, of course, those who do.
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the entire structure can be labeled quite simply:
the area boxed in red was a leading diagonal (5 waves down)
the area boxed in green was a running flat (3 waves up)
the area boxed in blue is on the verge of becoming a regular impulse (5 waves down)
put it all together, and you have what we call a simple zig-zag .
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once this straightforward correction concludes,
the real bull market can begin.
ask me about my upside target.
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🌙
MSTU Oct 2024 -- an 8X+ BTC surrogate MSTU provides 2X on MSTR which invented the BTC-on-balance-sheet strategy.
MSTR has been providing approx > 4X on Bitcoin movements (up and down).
This means MSTU is providing > 8% X on BTC by % movements.
Today, 10/24/24, when BTC went up 1.93% MSTU went up approx 21%
Long Call options on MSTU further amplify this multiplier effect.
Not financial advice, Do your own research, Get in and out at the right times,
Your money; your decisions.
Support and Resistance Zone: 68393.48-69031.99
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can find support near 68393.48-69031.99 and rise above 71280.01.
If not, and it falls, you should check whether it finds support near 65920.71-67414.39.
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You should check if the StochRSI indicator is rising in the oversold zone and if the StochRSI EMA falls below 50 and changes to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
This is because you should check at what point support and resistance are received when the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA changes.
That is, if it shows support around 68393.48-69031.99, it is because it is a time when additional purchases can be made.
If it shows resistance around 68393.48-69031.99, there is a possibility of another decline.
This is because if you refer to the previous movement of the StochRSI indicator, it can lead to a movement similar to a double decline.
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Since it touched the BW (100) section (68393.48-69031.99), it is better to approach it from the perspective that it will basically fall.
However, if it shows a price maintenance in this BW (100) section and the StochRSI indicator shows an upward movement in the oversold section, the possibility of additional increase increases.
Therefore, you should check whether additional purchases can be made by checking whether there is support near 69031.99.
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Volatility may occur depending on the location of the StochRSI indicator.
- When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought section
- When the StochRSI indicator is near the 50 point
- When the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold section
Volatility may occur in the three areas above.
Due to this volatility, you can know how the movement will proceed in the future by checking whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart.
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I think the coin market is likely to continue its upward trend unless USDT gaps down.
The gap down of USDC is likely to eventually cause the coin market to fall in the short term.
Therefore, I think it is better to trade from a short-term perspective until USDC stops its downward trend.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The expected range to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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BTCUSD: This is just a huge Bull Flag on the way to 200kBitcoin just turned borderline bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 57.457, MACD = 2355.100, ADX = 20.299), which is very positive long term as the buyers are making their presence felt for the first time since March. Supported by the 1W MA50, it is a huge development that the 1W MACD has formed a Bullish Cross. The same set of formations occurred in April 2020. We believe the two patterns to be similar and this makes the 7 month Megaphone just a mid Cycle Bull Flag. The 2020 pattern peaked on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If that is replicated, then Bitcoin can break 200k by the end of 2025 (TP = 215,000).
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$BTCUSDT going downBINANCE:BTCUSDT
After the correction, the price remained under the resistance level and is now testing it.
Probably the decline is not over yet, but for further organic growth, it is necessary to correct even lower to form a reversal pattern.
Also, don't forget that there are a lot of stops placed at the top, which can be broken.
But for now I am sticking to the bearish scenario.
Bitcoin Weekly to Four Analysis: Everything To Know Good morning Trading family
So I created this video to figure out where we are currently at in Bitcoin in price but as well what levels can Bitcoin reach currently and what happens if Bitcoin reverses with the Bears
I try to go into full depth to give you some levels to look for to help you mark out good entry or short positions if you are shorting Bitcoin
If you like this video or found it helpful : like, comment, follow, boost I appreciate it all
Mindbloome Trading / Kris
Trade What You See
AR Long Spot Trade (Low Volatility Expansion)Market Context: AR is holding above a critical level with low volatility, suggesting a potential expansion soon. This offers a good entry opportunity.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $18
Take Profit:
First target: $24
Second target: $30
Stop Loss: Below $16.5
This trade is positioned for potential breakout and expansion. #AR #Crypto #Trading #Volatility
10/23 5th time BTC rejected from 70k. Bullish? Overview:
The AMEX:SPY saw a healthy pullback of 0.9%, with a long wick touching levels last observed on September 26th. The index trended downward from the start of the trading session but rebounded sharply in the last two hours, doubling the volume seen earlier in the day. This surge formed a hammer candle—a bullish indicator, particularly when accompanied by increased volume.
Existing home sales in the U.S. dropped 1% from the previous month, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.84 million in September 2024, marking the lowest level since October 2010. Today, new home sales and initial jobless claims are expected, with forecasts set at 245k, slightly above the previous reading of 241k. If the numbers come in lower than expected, it would suggest the economy is not cooling sufficiently, potentially extending inflation.
This decline could be attributed to a rise in the 30-year fixed mortgage rate, which jumped 14 basis points to 6.82%, the highest since July 26 and a 71-basis-point increase since the Fed’s last major rate cut.
The likelihood of a rate cut in November has now dropped to 7%, influenced heavily by the Fed's upcoming reports. Given the weakening housing data, a rate cut may still be necessary to support the economy.
The recent market correction has exposed different strategies among ETF managers. BlackRock continues to buy aggressively, maintaining its purchase levels even after a 5% correction, keeping its stance bullish. Fidelity has remained neutral, staying on the sidelines since the peak of the current bull wave. ARK Invest, however, bought heavily at the top but is now selling during the correction, realizing losses. In summary: BlackRock is bullish, Fidelity is neutral, and ARK is bearish.
BTC TA:
W: BTC is slowly forming this week's red candle, but bullish hopes persist.
D: A significant correction unfolded, as the triple divergence likely completed. The day's wick dipped below $65.8k, then bounced off the 0.618 Fibonacci level, calculated from the bullish pump that began on Monday, October 14th. Despite the pullback, BTC showed higher volume and managed to recover. The final daily candle formed a bullish hammer, although the volume wasn't notably higher than the last two bearish days. As previously mentioned, as long as $62.7k holds, the bullish outlook remains intact.
Drawing trendlines for BTC this year shows the current upper boundary is slightly sloped downward—forming the top of what appears to be a bullish flag. It follows a large rally, with a slight pullback and consolidation, setting up for another potential breakout. Last Friday, on the 18th, the trendline was broken, suggesting a bullish confirmation if retested. However, yesterday’s price action pushed BTC below this trendline. Of course, the trendline could be adjusted to fit the bullish narrative, but the key level to watch is $66.5k.
4h: A sharp drop occurred yesterday, but most of it was recovered in the latter half of the day. This dip seems correlated with the S&P 500’s drop. BTC lost the local point of control at $66.8k but regained it. If bearish momentum continues this week without positive news, and if BTC falls below $65.8k, the next critical support is the yearly level of $62.7k. However, this would be the fourth or even fifth time this year that BTC has been rejected from $70k. If that happens again, will there be enough bullish momentum left to hold $62.7k? The candle that bounced off the 0.618 Fibonacci level formed a green hammer with above-average volume—a bullish sign.
1h: The hourly chart shows a V-shaped recovery, an uncommon pattern in market behavior. Beyond that, no additional insights.
Alts Relative to BTC: Interestingly, SOL has been rising while the rest of the market declines. Some attribute this to renewed interest in memecoins. However, popular Solana-based memecoins like WIF, BONK, and MEW are down, with only Popcat showing gains.
Bull Case: BTC faces rejection at $70k, followed by a deep pullback, and the Fed decides not to cut rates in November.
Bear Case: The Fed cuts rates, and BTC rallies.
Fear and Greed Index: The index is at 52, continuing its downward trend this week.
Opportunities : Check BINANCE:APTUSDT for a possible short opportunity. If SUI and TAO already corrected after their big pump, APT still wobbles at the top and recently posted bearish shooting star daily candle with high volume.
BTC INTRADAY ANALYSISBTC/USDT Technical Analysis Intraday
Date: 10/24/2024
Author: Crypto Rado ( Rhino Aka Bear )
Timeframe: 1H & 15M
🔹 Overview:🔹
After completing the fifth wave in the Elliott Wave count, Bitcoin made a significant breakout of the green trendline. This move was followed by a bounce, confirmed with a bullish divergence on the 1H timeframe. The price reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, where a bearish divergence formed on the 15M chart, leading to a rejection.
Typically, after such a move, we expect a retest of the broken trendline or a support/resistance flip, where the previous resistance should now turn into support. This area aligns with the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement level from this recent pump, making it a key confluence zone for a potential entry.
🔹 The entry zone 🔹 is set between $66,250 and $66,000, with a stop-loss positioned at the previous low. If this setup holds, it could form a hidden bullish divergence, signaling continuation upward.
🔹The target price 🔹is set between $67,900 and $68,260, providing a solid profit zone for this trade. Given that the risk-to-reward ratio is moderate, I’ll be reducing my risk to generate quick gains and fund future trades with less exposure.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital.
BTC/USDT Chart UpdateBitcoin's price has slightly increased to around $67,312.72 after facing resistance near the $72,000 level. Despite the minor retracement, the bullish structure remains intact, with strong support around the $64,000 to $65,000 range. The chart suggests a consolidation phase near current levels, with a potential bullish breakout if the price moves past the resistance zone.
The projected upward curve indicates that the price could see another upward movement targeting $76,000 and higher. Key support levels to monitor include $64,000 and below, where buying interest may re-emerge to push the price back up.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Not hurry up with a new longMorning folks,
So, Monday's setup is done perfect, we've got long entry around 66K support area as we've planned. But next step currently is not evident.
The point is that the retracement starts across the board - DXY, FX, Gold, Bonds etc... BTC in recent few weeks had a bit special performance. And mostly it was moving higher on D. Trump crypto programme.
Currently we wouldn't hurry up with a new long entry. Those who bought around 66K could keep positions with breakeven stops.
BTC/USDT UpdateBTC/USDT Technical Analysis Update
Date: 10/24/2024
Author: Crypto Rado ( Rhino aka Bear )
Timeframe: 1H & 4H
🔹 Overview:🔹
Bitcoin has successfully hit the $65.4K target, as expected, and has since bounced with a bullish divergence on the 1H timeframe, suggesting a potential short-term momentum reversal.
🔹 Key Levels:🔹
Resistance Zone: $68K–$68.5K (Aligns with the 0.615–0.786 Fibonacci retracement on 1H)
Support Zone: $65.4K (Breakdown level)
Point of Control (POC): $67.3K (Volume-driven key level)
🔹 Scenarios: 🔹
Bearish Case: A confirmed breakdown below $65.4K could drive the price towards $63.7K and $62.6K, with larger downside targets at GETTEX:48K to $40K if bearish momentum continues.
Bullish Case: If Bitcoin breaks above $69.8K, the next major upside targets are between $100K and $110K, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend.
For now, the market structure appears corrective rather than fully bearish, and I will wait for clearer price action before making further trading decisions.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice. All information is for educational purposes only. Conduct your own research and understand the risks before making any trades.
BITCOIN This 1D Golden Cross can push it to the ATH ($73800).Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of a major bullish formation as most likely by next Monday, it will form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first such formation since October 29 2023. As we've analyzed before, it is no coincidence that exactly 1 year later a new 1D Golden Cross emerges as seasonality and long-term Cycles play a pivotal role for BTC.
On top of that, the price made a major re-test (and so far bounce) at the top of the former Channel Down that broke upwards last week. If this re-test holds, it is the best short-term signal for a new High. In fact the price has been making Higher Highs since the August 05 bottom, forming a double Channel Up pattern, and those Higher Highs are the reason why the market got behind this rally and supported it to break above the 7-month Channel Down.
So the Higher Highs along with the 1D Golden Cross are the bullish combination that the market needs to look (much) higher. The first technical target now is naturally the 73800 All Time High (ATH). It is very possible to see it get tested by the election day.
But what do you think? Do you expect the ATH to break aggressively after the elections, just like the October 2023 1D Golden Cross did? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓ BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (68900) within the rally. BUT, the expected growth did not happen, the bulls could not realize the potential. A bearish engulfment of the last three bars is formed and actually - a false breakdown of the descending resistance...
The growth formed from 59K is partly connected with the election race in the USA, economic revival in China, as well as economic news. But apparently, this energy is not yet enough for the price to easily overcome 68-69K with a target of retesting 71-73. The resistance zone of 68.4-69.4 is putting pressure. Buyers are taking profits, while bears, seeing the strong resistance zone, are trying to resist.
The structure will break down if the price breaks 69400
At the moment, we see a bearish engulfment forming relative to the previous three bars, and this is a strong enough signal. Consolidation below resistance is forming, a small correction may be formed, the first target of which may be 65K, then 61-58-57.
Resistance levels: 68400, 69400, 71500
Support levels: 66500, 65000
After the false breakdown, the price consolidation is formed below the resistance, which indicates the pressure from the sellers. This may provoke further downward correction.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
correction befor direction in BtcBeautifully, from the level I expected, the price was rejected and formed the bottom of the descending range, although the reaction was so fast that it did not reach the entry point of my long stop, which of course did not give a good R/R in case of direct entry, and by the way, the same liquidity that is from itself Leaving it gives a reason to be caught and go down faster... Considering the liquidity of the liquidity trend line that is formed below the 4-hour premium range, when the price reaches the range of 68,000, which is the closest daily level in the premium range area. It is set for 4 hours and I am waiting for a short setup after receiving confirmation in the lower time frame, and if it crosses the 69,000 level, it is the last area that can be entered directly even if an indusment is formed.
BTC BITCOIN Technical Analysis & Trade Idea 👀👉 BTC Bitcoin has shown a strong bullish breakout, and I’m closely monitoring for a potential buying opportunity based on key criteria outlined in the video. In this analysis, we’ll explore the critical price action signals to watch and how to strategically position yourself for the next market move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📊✅
KASPA - IT'S ABOUT TIME TO MOVE IN UPTREND (TA + TRADE PLAN)Timeframe: 4-hour chart
Current Price: $0.133
Rising Wedge Formation:
Resistance Line: The upper green line represents the resistance level, which is slightly inclining upwards.
Support Line: The lower green line forms the support for this wedge. This support level is also inclined upward but at a slightly steeper angle than the resistance.
Pattern Interpretation: The rising wedge pattern, as observed in the chart, is typically a bearish reversal pattern. However, given the overall crypto market volatility, a breakout in either direction is possible.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the support level would confirm a bearish trend, potentially leading to lower lows.
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the resistance, it could invalidate the wedge pattern and indicate a bullish breakout.
VMC Cipher B Indicator:
This oscillator shows wave momentum, with the darker blue shading indicating downward momentum at present.
Current Signal: Mixed with a potential trend shift. A continuation of negative momentum would reinforce the bearish wedge breakdown scenario.
RSL (Relative Strength Level) Indicator:
The current RSL value is 51.83, indicating neutral territory. This suggests no strong trend is currently dominating but could indicate either upward or downward movement depending on further price action.
Stochastic Indicator:
Stochastic RSI stands at 41.60, which is in the lower-mid range, signaling the asset is neither oversold nor overbought. This neutral stance suggests a wait-and-see scenario for the breakout.
HMA (Hull Moving Average):
The Hull Moving Average histograms are slightly positive, showing marginal bullishness. However, the movement is not aggressive enough to signal a strong upward trend as of now.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $0.135 - $0.138
Support: Approximately $0.131 - $0.130
Psychological Support: The $0.130 zone is a critical psychological support. Breaking below this would signal a more significant sell-off.
Indicators Summary:
Momentum: Slightly negative to neutral (VMC Cipher B).
Strength: Neutral, with room for movement either way (RSL 51.83).
Stochastic RSI: Suggests no strong overbought or oversold signals (41.60).
Trading Plan:
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
Entry: If the price breaks and sustains above $0.135, it indicates a bullish breakout from the rising wedge.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $0.145 (first resistance level).
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $0.155 (potential swing high).
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the wedge’s lower support at $0.130 to manage risk.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
Entry: If the price breaks below the support at $0.130, it signals a bearish move.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $0.125 (first support level).
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $0.115 (next significant support).
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss above the wedge's upper resistance at $0.135.
Risk Management:
For both bullish and bearish setups, adhere to a risk-reward ratio of 1:2.
Adjust stop-loss and take-profit based on market volatility and personal risk tolerance.
The rising wedge pattern indicates caution, as it is historically a bearish reversal formation. However, confirmation of either a bullish breakout or bearish breakdown will guide trading decisions. Momentum indicators and oscillators suggest neutrality, indicating that this wedge could break either way soon. Traders should remain vigilant for confirmation signals and place stop-losses to protect against unexpected volatility.