BTC TreysBTC to 33k for various reasons.
1. Since the beginning of Bitcoin, historical data shows BTC does yearly ATH and ATL's. What's interesting the pattern; every year since 2011 we have seen a correction of 60%-80% retracement from the ATH (followed by exponential gains) with the exception of 2024 which we have only seen a 20% retracement. 60-80% retracement for 2024 should put us at (BTC) 15k-30k.
2. Supreme Court grants US Government permission to sell (auction) 69k worth of BTC from Silk Road Case after legal win. Even if they do not sell, this will create a panic and fear and cause others to short therefore helping the price reach our target.
3. Monthly timeframe:
we can see ineverted head and shoulder pattern at the bottom between 2022 and 2024 never retested. This is the key to our target as it is slightly above the 60% retracement from last ATH.
BTC falling is also supported by the rejection/resistance on the Monthly supply zone which never broke and actually held pretty well.
Pattern wise I can see a double top pretty much formed, closing above neckline and retesting the high (bull trap) so in my books this is ready for a sell.
Candle wise we had a bearish engulfing followed by the retest of the high I just spoke about. However price failed to close above; still bearish.
4. Weekly timeframe:
Pattern - clear bearish pattern anyway you want to look at it; triple top, head and shoulder or double top.
Candle - beautiful price action, same as monthly with a bearish engulfing and retest of the high eventually closing under the neckline of bearish engulfing pattern.
SPOILER:
BTC-D
BITCOIN 'Angle Theory' unlocking this Cycle. Is $140k the top?Exactly 1 year ago (October 02 2023, see chart below), we published a renewed approach on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) historic Cycles, using the 'Angles Theory' on the logarithmic curve to make a more accurate roadmap of the current Cycle:
Back then, the price was 'just' $28000 and a few months later it catapulted to almost $74000. Below we present again the basics of that analysis, in order to refresh your memory.
** Cycle Peaks and angles **
BTC's Cycle peaks in historical order have been $32, $1250, $19800, $69800. They all made contact with the Logarithmic top Growth Curve, a historic pattern that is holding since BTC's inception.
Every peak-to-peak measurement appears to be roughly half of the previous peak. The automatic angle measurements on the (red) dotted lines may differ based on the screen's display and how the horizontal/ vertical axis move but on ours (and the screenshot of the idea) goes like this: 42°, 22°, 11°. We estimate a 7° angle for the new Cycle peak on the log Growth Curve.
** Next Cycle peak? **
If we take all previous Cycles and apply them to fit the new price action towards the top of the Log Growth Curve, that 7° line gives a projected Cycle peak within $140000 - 160000 (slightly updated from our study a year ago). It is also interesting to apply the same angle principle to the Cycle bottoms. We can see that those (green dotted lines) can also roughly be half of what the previous bottom was (though the variations are higher). The new bottom is estimated to be on a 8° angle.
Remarkably the angles of the tops and bottoms of each Cycle have approximately the same measurements, indicating that despite being logarithmic within a curve, they can be viewed separately in Channels.
** Last year compared to now **
So how has this Theory worked out compared to last year? Well beyond doubt, the Cycle was much more aggressive that the previous two (blue and orange) due to mainly the Bitcoin ETF launch, and is certainly more similar to the first Cycle (black). That suggests that it will top by January 2025 but the Sine Waves Tops, which have caught Bitcoin's cyclical peaks with incredible accuracy, indicate it will be around November 2025. As you can see, this is exactly where the projection of the blue and orange fractals show.
But what do you think? Will the current Cycle peak at the end of 2025 and if show will it be at a minimum of $140000 and a maximum of $1600000, as the 7° angle on the Log Curve suggests? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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EIGEN COIN LONG OPPORTUNITY - ALTCOIN MARKET EIGEN is one of my favorite coins due to its strong fundamentals.
Fundamental Analysis: EIGEN has over $11 billion locked on its platform, making it the 3rd highest in total locked value in the entire crypto market. Additionally, it’s the first and best restaking platform on Ethereum.
Technical Analysis: EIGEN bounced off the daily demand zone, and the 4H structure has confirmed that the price is seeking upside liquidity/expansion.
I expect it to reach these two targets and potentially much higher, possibly even new all-time highs during the next altseason.
I believe we’ve hit the bottom for this coin, and I’ve opened a position.
FET COIN SWING LONG OPPORTUNITY - AI CRYPTO MARKETAI technology is booming alongside the semiconductor industry, as we saw with massive new all-time highs yesterday (17/10/24). I believe the AI sector within the crypto market will quickly benefit from this trend.
FET recently broke its diagonal structure and is currently sitting within the weekly demand zone.
I believe we are ready for a takeoff, aiming for a swing trade that could bring us to new all-time highs.
Both the daily and weekly demand zones are currently supporting the price. I received LTF (lower time frame) confirmations and have bought a spot position as well as opened a swing long position.
Title: Key Support Levels for Short and Long Positions: CriticalIt seems we have experienced enough upward momentum, and now, with the support level at 66,842, a short position can be considered. However, since this position goes against the main trend, it’s crucial to set a tight stop-loss to manage risk and ensure an early exit with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The next support level for this strategy could be 65,359.8.
On the other hand, if you're planning to open a long position, you might consider entering at 67,898.7, but be cautious with the stop-loss placement. A wider stop-loss would be advisable, possibly below 66,687.4, to allow room for market fluctuations.
Bitcoin Analysis Update!!Bitcoin continues to trade within a broad ascending triangle pattern, with its recent price action showing signs of strength as it approaches a crucial resistance area.
Bitcoin's moves within this pattern indicate increasing volatility, with higher highs and lows.
The price is currently testing a key supply zone acting as resistance. A breakout above this level could indicate strong bullish momentum.
For long entries, look for a confirmed breakout above the horizontal supply zone, targeting higher levels in the resistance zone.
A stop-loss can be placed below the support of the ascending triangle to protect against false breakouts.
Bitcoin's ability to maintain momentum and break key resistance levels will be key to confirming the next major move. Keep an eye on this setup and adjust strategies based on price's reaction to these levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
The Coin Market is Different from the Stock Market
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The coin market discloses a lot of information compared to the stock market.
Among them, it discloses the flow of funds.
Most of the funds in the coin market are flowing in through USDT, and it can be said that it currently manages the largest amount of funds.
Therefore, unlike the stock market, individual investors can also roughly know the flow of funds.
Therefore, you can see that it is more transparent than other investment markets.
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USDT continues to update its ATH.
You can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market through USDT.
USDC has been falling since July 22 and has not yet recovered.
The important support and resistance level of USDC is 26.525B.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 26.525B, I think there is a high possibility that funds will flow in.
If you look at the fund size of USDT and USDC, you can see that USDT is more than twice as high.
Therefore, it can be said that USDT is the fund that has a big influence on the coin market.
USDC is likely to be composed of US funds.
Therefore, if more funds flow in through USDC, I think the coin market is likely to develop into a clearer investment market.
But it is not all good.
This is because the more the coin market develops into a clearer investment market, the more likely it is to be affected by the existing investment market, that is, the watch market.
This is because large investment companies are working to link the coin market with the coin market in order to make the coin market an investment product that they can operate.
In order for the coin market to be swayed by the coin-related investment product launched in the stock market, more funds must flow into the coin market through USDC.
Otherwise, it is highly likely that it will eventually be swayed by the flow of USDT funds.
Therefore, USDC is likely to have a short-term influence on the coin market at present.
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As mentioned above, the most important thing in the investment market is the flow of funds.
The flow of funds in the coin market can be seen as maintaining an upward trend.
Therefore, there are more and more people who say that there are signs of a major bear market these days, but their position seems to be judging the situation from a global perspective and political perspective.
As mentioned above, the funds that still dominate the coin market are USDT funds, which are an unspecified number of funds.
Therefore, I think that the coin market should not be predicted based on global perspectives and political situations.
The start of the major bear market in the coin market is when USDT starts to show a gap downtrend.
Until then, I dare say that the coin market is likely to maintain its current uptrend.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is approaching its highest point (100), and the uptrend is reaching its peak.
Accordingly, the pressure to decline will increase over time.
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(1W chart)
The StochRSI indicator is also in the overbought zone on the 1W chart.
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(1M chart)
On the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, but it is not expected to enter the oversold zone due to the current rise.
The movement of the 1M chart should be checked again when a new candle is created.
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You can see that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is the most unusual among the three charts above.
In the finger area on the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator was in the overbought zone, but it is currently showing signs of entering the oversold zone.
Therefore, you can see that the current movement is different from the past movement.
Therefore, I think it is not right to predict the current flow by substituting past dates.
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I wrote down my thoughts on the recent comments from famous people who say that the coin market will enter a major bear market along with the stock market.
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Have a good time. Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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$BTC update on weeklySo far, all my forecasts have been accurate, and on the weekly timeframe, you can see that we are heading towards a bullish MACD cross.
The RSI confirms this with a bullish divergence. It’s logical to expect another pump before the bear market, which will eventually reset the MACD into the lower red zone and the RSI into oversold territory (over the next 1-2 years according to the 1W timeframe).
In case of invalidation—if the MACD falls below my yellow line—we could enter the bear market early. While this is a possibility, it’s not the most likely scenario at this point.
Falling towards pullback support?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance level which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 66,121.96
1st Support: 64,682.99
1st Resistance: 68,372.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
No matter what you do, the basic chart is the 1D chart
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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In order to analyze the chart, you will use various chart tools.
However, if there are no support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you will find that it is difficult to conduct actual trading.
In order to explain how the trend changes when there is a certain movement at the support and resistance points shown on the chart, I provided a basis by using chart tools.
However, if you trust the support and resistance points drawn on the chart, you do not need to use various chart tools separately to find such basis.
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The 64748.70-65920.71 section is formed by the HA-High indicator of the 1D, 1W charts.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises in this section, it is highly likely to show a stepwise uptrend.
If it falls in the 64748.70-65920.71 section, it is highly likely to touch the HA-Low indicator.
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BW (100) point of the 1W chart: 68393.48
BW (100) point of the 1M chart: 71280.01
BW (100) point of the 1D chart: 73072.41
BW (100) lines are formed at the above points.
The formation of the BW (100) line means that the MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators are showing strength.
Therefore, just like the HA-High indicator, the BW (100) point can be said to have shown a high point range.
Therefore, if it rises above the BW (100) point, it can be seen that there is a high possibility of a strong upward trend.
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In this sense, we can see that the current high point range is the 61099.25-73072.41 range.
Since the HA-High indicator or the BW (100) point moves and is created by volatility over time, we should carefully observe when there is a change in the high point range.
This is because at that time, there is a high possibility of creating a new wave.
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The lines that make up the MS-Signal indicator are M-Signal and S-Signal.
Of these two lines, the important line is M-Signal.
Therefore, the M-Signal lines on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts serve to indicate trends.
It was created so that you can see the overall trend on any time frame chart.
Therefore, the current indicator (HA-MS) can be said to be an indicator that expresses everything.
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You can mark the HA-Low, HA-High, BW (0), BW (100), and Mid (50) points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and use them as support and resistance points on the time frame charts you mainly trade.
As I mentioned earlier, you can check the arrangement of the M-Signal lines on the MS-Signal indicator and create a trading strategy that matches the trend.
It is recommended to start trading when the price is maintained above the M-Signal line on the 1M chart at least.
If possible, it is better to start trading when the price is maintained above the M-Signal of the 1W chart when the M-Signal of the 1W chart > the M-Signal of the 1M chart.
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
Therefore, ETH is currently not a good state to trade.
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The StochRSI indicator seems to be showing a downward trend.
However, it has not yet fallen from the overbought zone or has not yet turned into a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, so it should be interpreted that the current upward strength is strong.
Therefore, caution is required when trading because there is a possibility of further increase.
In any case, the 64748.70-65920.71 range is formed at the current price position, so the key is whether it can be supported and rise near this range.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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I think Bitcoin will reach $250,000 per coinI expect Bitcoin to reach $250,000 per coin this cycle. I love the setup—it’s a perfect uptrend with strong continuation patterns. While it may seem far off now, I believe $250,000 per coin for Bitcoin is a realistic expectation. Stay profitable.
- Dalin Anderson
BNBBTC Get ready for BNB's ride.BNBBTC is consolidating between the 1week MA50 and 1week MA100.
Once the 1week MA100 breaks, we expect the Cycle's massice rally to start, where BNB aggressively outperforms BTC in gains, similar to Jan - May 2021.
We expect a new All Time High April 2025.
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BTC Testing Bull Flag Resistance at $68,000Market Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently testing the upper resistance level of its bull flag formation around $68,000.
Recent price action shows a higher high compared to the previous highs from late September and August, confirming a bullish trend on higher time frames.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $68,000 (bull flag top)
Target: $70,000 (next psychological level)
Outlook:
Given the upward momentum, BTC is likely to consolidate in the $68,000 range for a few days before attempting a breakout.
A successful move above this resistance could pave the way for a test of the $70,000 level.
#BTC #Bitcoin #PriceAnalysis #BullFlag #CryptoMarket
Bitcoin Roadmap!!!==>>Falling!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is currently hovering near the Resistance zone($70,080-$68,250) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the Upper line of the Ascending Channel , and Important Resistance lines(Bitcoin is attacking important resistance lines for the fifth time.) .
According to Elliott's wave theory, Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 . The structure of the main wave 5 can be Ending Diagonal .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to fail again on the 5th attack to the important resistance lines , and to break the lower line of the descending channel and decline to at least the first target on my chart. We should expect more Bitcoin dumps if Bitcoin loses the Support zone($66,500-$64,480) .
⚠️Note: Tension between Iran and Israel could increase in the coming days, causing a sharp drop in Bitcoin.⚠️
⚠️Note: Open interest in futures markets has reached its highest level in 2024, while Volume Trading has decreased.⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($70,080-$68,250) and Resistance lines, we should wait for a new All-Time High(ATH) for Bitcoin.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Took some $BITX off the table, $BTC leveraged ETF.Why did we take "take" some AMEX:BITX off the table???
For years this area has been tough, CRYPTOCAP:BTC , as seen on chart.
Also, it's at the top part of downtrend.
If #BTC sees some weakness & the STOCK doesn't get called away we keep the premium & life goes on.
If it does, it's okay, we made an extra $1 compared to selling outright.
#Bitcoin
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