Bitcoin Analysis: A Break in the Uptrend – What’s Next? 25.01.10Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today, we’re analyzing Bitcoin (BTC) and its recent market movements.
Recent Bitcoin Trends
Bitcoin has been facing resistance at the 99380 level (yellow box) since December 20, 2024.
As mentioned in previous briefings, a breakout above this level could signal a potential trend reversal.
The green box resistance zone aligns with the December 19, 2024 high of 102800, which has now become a critical resistance level.
Following this resistance, one might wonder if Bitcoin's trend has fully reversed.
The Break of the Long-Term Uptrend
Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend, which began on October 10, 2024, broke down yesterday.
This breakdown occurred in the orange box, marking a significant shift in momentum.
Why Is This Concerning?
Daily 60 EMA Resistance:
Bitcoin is now facing resistance at the 60 EMA for the first time in a long while, indicating bearish sentiment.
The last time Bitcoin faced resistance at the 60 EMA was in October 2024 (red box), right before the start of the previous uptrend.
Support Breakdowns:
Bitcoin appears to be breaking through key support levels, one by one.
Key Support Zone:
The green box range (90200–85160) is expected to provide strong support.
However, if Bitcoin breaks below this zone, it would trigger:
A breakdown below the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
A full trend reversal, potentially opening the door to the yellow support line, approximately 26% lower than current levels.
What Does Bitcoin Need for a Rebound?
For Bitcoin to rebound, it must break above the orange box resistance at 100700.
Why This Level Matters:
A breakout above this level would signify a trend reversal.
It would also push Bitcoin out of the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart, turning the cloud into a support zone rather than resistance.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has broken its long-term uptrend and the moving averages (20 EMA, 60 EMA) have shifted from support to resistance, indicating further downside risk.
Key Support Zone: 90200–85160.
If this zone holds, it could provide a strong foundation for a rebound.
If it breaks, Bitcoin will likely enter a prolonged bearish phase.
Currently, the trend is leaning bearish, and traders should keep a close watch on these critical levels to anticipate the next major move. 🚀
BTC-D
BTCUSD Is Too Overbought?HI today you can see the BTCUSD chart, and the higher time frame charts have shown some potential overbought levels. Is it too risky to buy and hold now? There are some important old levels that have shown some support in recent years. Be careful of the market now with BTCUSD, thanks. Is it possible that the banks can short more now? For now I am following the EURUSD more closer, thank you. Please support us by following me thanks!
#btcusd
#eurusd
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BITCOIN BTC Machine Learning Approximation Strategy applied GOLDHey everyone. Here's a new trade idea potentially for Gold. I created a a new trading strategy script for Bitcoin, and I tuned the parameters for Gold. The original script is called the "BITCOIN BTC Machine Learning Approximation Strategy by NHBPROD." It implements a simplified Machine learning technique and then produces and output that can be used to buy and sell. The script is only for long trading. I'll attach a link: ( ) to the original strategy script. This is the strategy script, but I also have the indicator script which can be used to automate buy and sell signals directly to your phone, email, or your bot.
Anyway, applying the idea to Gold, and tuning the parameters gives me a pretty good backtest, AND it shows that Gold has just entered a buy zone on the daily chart.
On average according to the performance, the average trade profit is roughly 2%, so this could be a great time to buy Gold and expect a 2% gain.
BTC preparing for run to 150k technical tp on higher timeframeTechnical analysis indicating "measured move" buy setup on higher timeframes
I expect price to advance from current 88-93k buy zone (consolidation structure on 4 hr tf) back to new highs above 109k, which was previously noted as tp1 (with anticipated near term consolidation in low 90k range). It's possible we have one more retest of 88-93k levels after reaching 108-110k level on next buy wave, but as previously noted, it primarily remains a buy opportunity.
Once a move above 120k is achieved, price will be strongly in the hands of buyers (with diminishing supply) and head towards 150-155k level fairly steadily & easily to achieve technical "measured move" target.
There remains possibility that we get one final retracement from 150k but my own cycles analysis indicates that would be the final big discount opportunity IF it were to occur at all.
Price advancement above 100k is a SIGNAL that mass adoption is taking place globally and will lead to much higher highs. Any price dips below 100k remain discounts for institutional ownership
BTC - 4H Consolidation LikelyThe current low market volume is typical during the Christmas and New Year holiday period, as institutional players and many retail traders reduce activity. This reduction in liquidity often leads to lower volatility and smaller price movements. In this scenario, BINANCE:BTCUSDT appears to be consolidating within a well-defined range, as highlighted by the resistance zone around $99,000 and the support zone near $92,000.
With minimal external market drivers expected until trading activity picks up after the holidays, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is likely to remain range-bound. This sideways movement aligns with historical behavior during low-volume periods, where breakouts or significant trends are less frequent. Traders should consider this low-volatility environment when planning short-term strategies.
BTC - 1H PulllbackBitcoin has formed a bearish descending channel following a sharp bearish spike, indicating continued downward momentum. Currently, the price is showing signs of recovery and may rise towards the channel base around the $97,000 resistance zone.
This resistance zone, marked by previous rejections and high selling pressure, is a critical area to monitor. It offers a potential opportunity to enter short positions if rejection signs are observed, with expectations of further declines from that zone.
Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation of price action at the resistance before entering positions. Both bullish retracements and potential rejections at resistance offer opportunities for strategic trades. 🚀
Bitcoin, Best zone to look to buy. BINANCE:BTCUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, The price is rejecting the Previous all-time high. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a second leg down that will complete an AB CD complex pullback into the support zone shown in the chart for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
A new all-time high.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Possible downtrend for $MSTRWe observe that NASDAQ:MSTR is breaking out of a zone that could determine the downtrend. This is also visible in the Dynamic RSI, which shows a continuous decline. Additionally, the current news for BTC is not favorable, suggesting that BTC could gradually decrease. This might mark the beginning of an Altcoin season. Since NASDAQ:MSTR holds a significant amount of BTC, this has a substantial impact on its stock price, potentially causing it to fall into the resistance zone.
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and continued to move up next. Price rose to 108300 points (New ATH) and then started to decline in a triangle. In a short time, BTC fell to the 101800 level, broke it again, and then made a retest, after which continued to move down. Later, the price fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then bounced up, but soon turned around and declined back to the 93400 level. Then BTC turned around and rose to the resistance line of the triangle and then started to fall to the buyer zone. After it reached this area, the price some time traded inside and then rebounded up, thereby exiting from the triangle and continuing to grow in the pennant. In a pennant pattern, Bitcoin rose to the seller zone, after which it turned around and dropped to support line of this pattern. Recently it rebounded and now I expect that BTC can fall a little more, even exit from pennant, and then turn around and start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 99000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC Not Looking GoodTeam,
We have a blood diamond on the BTC 2 Day Chart. Typically when we get these on HTF, we should expect continuation of the downside movement for 4 - 6 bars. Which means next 7-10 days we will be dealing with a potential downward pressure. Be prepared.
If we break the neck line of the potential H&S pattern that is forming, our target on the down side is early 80k. If we mirror the pattern we took to go up to 107k level to the down side as a measured move, as you can see on the chart our measured move take us down to SD 3 level of 76-77k. This will also fill the CME gap.
What am I doing with my leveraged trading? I'm waiting in cash with limit orders for altcoins to take advantage of any significant moves to the down side. I have set up chart set ups similar to this bitcoin chart.
On the BTC macro front, some important news just came out. And these usually lead us to major bottoms.
Exact quoted news:
“According to DB, the US government has been granted permission to liquidate 69,000 Bitcoins (worth $6.5 billion) seized from Silk Road, an official confirmed to DB News today.
Notably, this comes less than two weeks after the new administration took office, which had promised not to sell the Bitcoins.
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) can sell 69,370 bitcoins seized from the Silk Road darknet marketplace, a federal judge ruled Dec. 30.
The DOJ cited bitcoin’s price volatility as a reason for pushing for permission to sell the assets."
DoJ is required to sell any cleared assets to cash, and transfer that cash to treasury once sold.
USMS (US Marshal Service) has certain financial reporting processes that restrict withdrawals from its exchange account near the end of each month.
This is why you usually see DOJ deposits to Coinbase prime earlier in the month.
On top of that, liquidations are supposed to occur within 5 business
days. So they’re supposed to do it quick after forfeiture, and 5 business days after notice to CB, but they’ve taken longer in the past. Point is window is closing quickly if it hasn’t already. That is, if they’re following their own rules.
Where is Bitcoin’s support?Bitcoin has entered a weekly correction and this price correction will continue until we reach oversold levels on the weekly time frame.
My prediction for the end of this weekly correction is between $79,000 and $81,000 .
At this price, we also reach the trend curve that has the power to reverse the price upwards.
This price correction is likely to last another 4-5 weeks.
By reaching this support, if Bitcoin remains in the range, altcoins can grow.
Until then, it is better to avoid emotional trading.
This analysis will be violated if the price goes up and breaks above 106,500.
Don’t forget to boost, comment and follow.
Ali Rezaei
ADA Masterclass: Spotting the Perfect TradeHappy New Year, everyone! I hope 2025 is off to a fantastic start for you, filled with success, joy and of course, profitable trades. ADA has been a shining example of technical precision in recent months, offering reliable and rewarding setups. Let’s explore what the charts are telling us as we move forward into the new year.
Market Overview:
ADA has consistently respected key technical levels. Recently, the market completed a perfect ABC correction to the trend-based Fibonacci extension 1:1 at $0.7655, almost to the dollar. Following this correction, ADA has seen a strong rally, now approaching critical resistance levels, while the $1 support zone emerges as a pivotal area.
Key Observations and Levels:
1.) Resistance Zone – $1.079–$1.1108
ADA is approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the broader downtrend from $1.3264 to $0.7624, located at $1.1108.
This level is a significant resistance zone, marking a potential turning point where sellers could step in to take control.
2.) Short Trade Idea:
A short trade setup can be executed at $1.1108, targeting the $1 support zone for a potential 8–9% gain.
Trade Setup Details:
Entry: $1.1108
Stop Loss: Above the 0.666 Fibonacci retracement.
Target: $1
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3:1
Risk: 2.75%
3.) Support Zone at $1:
The $1 level remains a critical support zone due to multiple confluences:
Psychological significance as a round number.
A single print zone between $1.001–$1.003, indicating a key liquidity area.
Alignment with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave (1st January low to 3rd January high).
Anchored VWAP from the recent lows is also sitting at $1, adding further weight to this level as a strong support zone.
Long Trade Idea:
A long trade can be considered if ADA revisits the $1 support zone, but ensure to wait for volume confirmation to validate buying strength before entering.
Bitcoin Daily ReviewSeven 8H bear candles in a row... approximately 1 billion liquidations in longs alone within past two days. BTC finally dipped below 2024 close ✅
I still believe that BTC should bounce back to +/- 98k. At least while market moves sideway (for the past 2 months) its justified to expect price to stay within the range (until it is broken). Previous consolidation stage took more than 8 months, so I hope this time it won't be that extended.
If that consolidation range will get broken, correction target is pointed by multiple factors: CME gap + 2024 VAH + developing Week 20sma - it all comes to +/- 80k
Nearest liquidity pools:
above - 93850 / 95750 / 96710 / 97350
below - 92540 / 92025 / 91065 / 89590
Lines on the chart:
🔸99660 - November high
🔸98340 - week close
🔸97843 - Q4 VAH
🔸96475 - November close
🔸93549 - 2024 close
🔸91510 - week low
🔸90200 - December low
Trend: D ➡️ W 🔼 M 🔼
🤑 F&G: 69 < 70 < 78 < 76 < 72
QM PATTERNhello friends
We have come up with a good and frequent pattern.
This pattern starts with a sharp movement in the direction of the trend, and its return must hit the previous ceiling, and we enter the trade in the determined pullback.
The first target is the previous ceiling and the second target is twice its movement.
*Trade safely with us*
Missed 101.5K sell? Don't worryMorning folks,
So, our H&S has started perfect. Right from the area that we've discussed last time - Agreement of Fib resistance and our XOP target on 4H chart, where the top of right arm should be formed.
Obviously now we consider no longs by far. H&S target stands around 85.5K - in the middle of wide K-support area of 82-89K.
If you missed entry around 101K, we could get 2nd chance around 96-96.5K, but do not expect too extended pullback. Price is at the slope of the shoulder, naturally this is not the moment for deep upside pullbacks. I would say that deep retracement, back to 100K would be unwelcome sign, suggesting weakness of the bears.
Trade trainingHello guys
This time we came with classic price action training.
As you can see, after a strong upward movement, the price entered suffering and made a ceiling and made a heavy fall, which caused the failure of the previous floor.
Now we can enter into a sell transaction with the first pullback, and our target will be the defined support range.
Now that the price has entered the channel after the spike, we can still enter into a sell transaction with any upward move until we see signs of trend reversal.
*Trade safely with us*