$BTC the bull run is NOT finished, reminder to stop FUDIn another idea (check my idea), I had forecasted a -50% dump of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , and we are close. I also highlighted that on a weekly timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BTC had been oversold due to ETF hype, which forced CRYPTOCAP:BTC to consolidate mid-bull market to reset the MACD and RSI to lower levels, just like in 2021.
Here was the idea:
Additionally, this idea perfectly forecasted what is happening now:
I also correctly predicted that all these CRYPTOCAP:BTC owned by external actors would have to be sold on exchanges to reach the market, negatively impacting the price action.
Now, here is an updated chart to my previous idea that accurately forecasted the current situation.
What is coming next?
Check the MACD. On the weekly timeframe, we are close to the same situation as in 2021 when CRYPTOCAP:BTC bounced back to go parabolic. The yellow line shows the level where the MACD could cross and reverse to finish this bull run successfully.
In the worst-case scenario, we might continue the downtrend pressure while the RSI and MACD reset lower.
This pressure counterbalances the bull run and is the reason why CRYPTOCAP:BTC does not have the energy necessary to pass over the top resistance and is ranging.
This range will continue until the weekly MACD crosses over and the RSI reaches the oversold territory.
The good news is that the more time it takes, the lower the MACD and RSI will be, the longer the final bull run will become, and the higher CRYPTOCAP:BTC will go.
MT.Gox, Germans, Genesis, and Grayscale have done their dumping, so the sky is getting clearer, and the sun is starting to shine.
I do not think this bull run will be canceled; there is no way it can happen. It can be delayed by external factors, but the charts are clear and clean. We are moving forward in a massive way as soon as CRYPTOCAP:BTC gets oversold.
From the chart, a true reversal in the trend should happen between 2 to 10 weeks.
Be patient, do not panic, do not sell your coins; your portfolio will turn back to green soon. DYOR.
BTC-M
Alikze »» ETH | Ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel and corner alcove formation in the green support box area
- Continuing the analysis of the previous post , the Ethereum currency faced selling pressure after reaching the daily and weekly supply range.
- After the formation of a Double Top pattern, it has had a zigzag correction to the green box range.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel, where the recent correction has intersected with the bottom of the channel and the green box.
- Therefore, I expect it to grow up to Fibo 0.78 and the dynamic trigger after the swing breaks and creates a higher LH.
- In addition, a corner pattern with higher bottoms of the ascending channel is also formed.
💎 Alternative scenario: If it fails to break the swing and does not stabilize above it, and also sharply corrects towards the green box, it is most likely that it will break it and continue correcting towards the Buyer Zone.
💎 Probable scenario: Currently, the probable scenario is the bullish scenario according to the bullish channel and also the corner pattern pattern. Therefore, after reaching the goal, the dynamic update will be done again.
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT
#BITCOIN is down today BUT #FDIG suggests upsidefor the #crypto space
as are the #BTC miners which are performing admirably.
So we have a disconnect going on between wall st and the overall crypto space which is non euphoric and has completely reset sentiment since March.
My view this gets resolved to the upside , follow the smart money.
#HVF
@TheCryptoSniper
Monthly chart bullflag has a breakout target around 115kIhave arbitrarily placed the measured move line for the bullflag breakout in the month of October but there’s always a chance it stays in the flag longer than that, in which case the measured move line would get moved over to the right and slightly lower each time it does. If it breaks up by october and validates that breakout the measured move target will be around 115k. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin Where Next?As of November 8, 2024 , Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $74,120.87 , reflecting a 24-hour trading volume of $105.81 billion.
Our proprietary W.ARITAs algorithm has identified a pattern in Bitcoin's price movements that closely mirrors historical trends observed between April 8, 2020 , and January 7, 2021 . This historical pattern began with a significant price surge in April 2020 , following the announcement of the third Bitcoin halving event, which reduced the mining reward and increased scarcity. This event was a catalyst for a bullish trend that culminated in an all-time high (ATH) in January 2021 .
Similarly, on March 9, 2024 , Bitcoin experienced a notable price increase, coinciding with the anticipation of the fourth halving event scheduled for April 19, 2024 . Historically, halving events have led to substantial price appreciations due to the reduced supply of new Bitcoins entering the market.
Our analysis indicates that the current pattern, which commenced on March 9, 2024 , is expected to complete its formation by December 12, 2024 . Based on this pattern and historical precedents, we anticipate that Bitcoin will surpass its previous ATH resistance level of by the end of this year.
It's important to note that after reaching the ATH in January 2021 , Bitcoin experienced a significant price correction. This downturn was influenced by various factors, including profit-taking by investors and regulatory concerns.
In conclusion, while historical patterns and upcoming events like the halving suggest a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, investors should remain vigilant and consider potential market corrections. Continuous monitoring of market developments and regulatory news is essential for informed decision-making.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult with a financial advisor to assess your individual risk tolerance and objectives before making any investment decisions.
Three days after elections and one after FED cutStarting with #VIX the value decreased a lot after elections showing the decrease in investors fear
With less fear we can follow the #SPX #DX1! #BTC1! which strongly rise their value.
Commodites in general seems to had loss some points with Dollar strength, in this chart we can watch #GC1! and #BZ1! as benchmark
In the case of Brent we can see a double top even with line chart.
#US10Y decreased after 25bp cut nevertheless with Trump election US will probably activate more worldwide tariffs and this can lead to an increase in prices, and so the next couple months CPI will be a important measure to look at US economy in the future. So even it's decreasing and bonds are inversly to prices, I should keep an eye on it
Don't F@ck up the Banana zone!This is the Others marketcap vs the Bitcoin Market cap chart.
With their respective Banana zones for the past couple cycle and the current one we have already started.
The KEY takeaway is you should be feeling the FOMO and kind already have been deployed into your favourite #Alts
This #altseason may yield one of the worst performances in a cycle --- which I have warned a few times now. And finish sooner than you think.
If you had waited for confirmation of a altcoin breakout and rotated/bough at the sad face this how your returns would have been crippled.
21 X ----> 5.8X 2017
6.4X ----> 3X 2021
3/4X -----> 1.75X/2.3X 2025
Drastically different.
I hope you have found this chart informative. Smash the likes.
Bitcoin is both a bullish flag and a cup-and-handleBitcoin is currently displaying both a bullish flag pattern and a cup-and-handle pattern, signaling a strong confirmation of a bullish trend. These patterns, especially when seen together, often indicate solid upward momentum and are widely recognized as bullish reversal signals. With Bitcoin entering its 4-year cycle phase, traditionally marked by significant price growth, the technical indicators align favorably for potential long-term gains.
Additionally, recent news and market developments are reinforcing the positive outlook, supporting the upward trend. This combination of technical signals and external factors could attract more investors, sparking renewed confidence in Bitcoin’s next major rally. As anticipation builds, these signals may well mark the beginning of a substantial growth phase, capturing attention from both seasoned investors and new entrants looking to capitalize on this momentum.
$BTC In Price Discovery ModeCRYPTOCAP:BTC marked another all-time high at 76.8k
It was a significant day for CRYPTOCAP:BTC ETFs, with record-breaking net inflows. BlackRock saw its largest inflow ever, adding 14,588 #Bitcoin.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is now in price discovery mode.
On the hourly timeframe, Bitcoin is currently stalling, waiting for the next move.
I've added EMAs to the chart for context
- If we test and hold the ema50, which sits around 75k to 74.6k, I'm expecting a move toward 79.8k to 81.5k zone.
- The ema200 at 72.4k could be a solid long entry if it holds.
COIN BASE, LIKE A REAL BASE? OF COINS? CHARTTrends are marked, as are price targets and guidelines—though the latter shouldn't be followed, they do project a significant move to maintain COIN's bullish trend over a longer period. Major resistance lines are noted; however, be vigilant for a trend break, which could signal an exit if you're trading. The maximum I foresee is around 525, but if the crypto market surges, those numbers could climb higher. Currently, if you're skeptical about a 'squeeze,' safer numbers are provided. I've attempted to include both bearish and bullish targets, both of which have the potential to exceed expectations. The yellow circle indicates a potential "breakout zone," but as this extends over time, it could also present significant resistance, so it's a matter of risk levels and what you're comfortable investing at that point.
For the daring traders, I personally view an upward move as more probable. This isn't to say I'm endorsing a reckless approach, but it represents the more extreme side of the bullish projection. Otherwise, adhere to the established price targets and trends. A bullish long-term trend, at least, offers the opportunity to hold for the long term if a trade doesn't pan out as expected—once again, the level of risk is crucial.
For those who are not fond of crypto, just consider how often you've heard the phrase, "if only I had bought BTC in 2016."
What is the Bitcoin plan?Given the recent pump by US election news, the dual scenario is more correct for Bitcoin.
As you know, the market is probabilities and we only predict and follow probabilities, because the nature of the financial market is uncertainty.
It seems that the first part of this double was a diametric that ended and then we had an X wave and now for the second part of this double we can look for rebuy in the flip range.
We can consider the range of 82K - 88K as the peak of this duality.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN keeps growing
And we are seeing a
Strong bullish breakout
Of the key level around 74k$
Which reinforces our bullish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further move up
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
FTMUSDT - Inverse Head & Shoulders - A Prime Long Opportunity?1.) Quick Overview
On the FTM/USDT 4-hour chart, an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is shaping up, often hinting at a bullish reversal. If the pattern completes, this could offer an excellent long setup. The key level to watch is around the mOpen at $0.6555, where the price is expected to dip and complete the “right shoulder,” potentially setting the stage for a strong bounce.
2.) Deep Dive: Chart Analysis
Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern:
- Left Shoulder: Formed near $0.6342.
- Head: A deeper low at $0.4744, marking the low point of the pattern.
- Right Shoulder (In Progress): Expected to complete around mOpen at $0.6555. If the price touches down here and holds, it could serve as an ideal long entry point.
Fibonacci Retracement:
- The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level aligns near $0.6555, supporting the right shoulder as a potential bounce zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
- mOpen at $0.6555: This is our primary entry level, where the right shoulder could find support.
- VAL (Volume Area Low) at $0.6324: Another important support zone where the anchored VWAP also aligns, reinforcing this area as a significant base. If the price dips below mOpen, the VAL may act as a secondary support level.
- VAH (Volume Area High) at $0.7262: Our initial target if the inverse Head & Shoulders completes, with potential for further gains.
Volume Profile:
- Increased volume near the head formation suggests accumulation, supporting a bullish scenario if the right shoulder completes as expected.
3.) Trade Setup
- Entry: Look for a long entry around $0.6555.
- Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just below $0.58 to manage risk if the pattern fails.
- Target: Initial target at $0.7262 with room for more upside if the breakout continues.
- Risk-to-Reward: Favorable setup with solid support and a high-probability bounce area.
4.) Final Thoughts
- With the combination of the inverse Head & Shoulders, support at mOpen, Fibonacci, and anchored VWAP at the VAL, this FTM/USDT setup looks promising for a long position. Watch for confirmation around $0.6555 to see if the right shoulder completes.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully!
Must reserve order at Stop Loss point when trading
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
I think the conditions for an uptrend have been met as USDT dominance has fallen below 4.97.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
However, it seems that it still takes time for the altcoin uptrend to start.
Well, many altcoins are rising now, but there are only a few altcoins that are showing a full-fledged uptrend, so they have recorded a lot of declines.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance needs to fall below 55.01 and maintain or show a downward trend.
If not, altcoins may gradually move sideways or show a strange bull market where only BTC rises, so caution is required.
---------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
When the ATH is renewed, the target point is
1st: 1.618 (76787.43)
2nd: 1.618 (89050.0)
I think it is around the 1st and 2nd points above.
If the price rises above 1.618 (76787.43) and maintains, there are several points that need to be passed to rise to the 1.618 (89050.0) point.
Therefore, when there is a jolt in that area, you should focus on finding the right time to trade by considering whether you can make a split trade or a new entry, and referring to the method explained below.
The point where the current upward trend is likely to turn into a downward trend is the 72344.74 point.
If the BW(100) line is created this time, I will report the price at that time and tell you again.
-
Since the ATH has been renewed, it can be seen that it has become more difficult to trade newly.
Well, you can think that a market has been formed where you can make a profit by buying and waiting, but it is also a market where it is not strange for it to fall at any time.
When trading in this market, you must set a stop loss point.
Otherwise, you may end up in a situation where everyone is making a profit but you are the only one suffering a loss.
Therefore, let's take some time to talk about how to start trading and how to set a stop loss point.
-
Since the current ATH is being updated, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are almost unnecessary.
For most altcoins, you can select a trading point and respond by referring to the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
(1h chart)
Therefore, to start trading, you can start trading on the time frame chart below the 1D chart, that is, the chart that you mainly look at and trade.
Even so, as I always say, the basic chart for trading is the 1D chart, so you must check the trend or support and resistance points on the 1D chart before starting trading.
The most important things to look at when starting trading are the 5EMA on the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
This is because there is a high possibility of volatility depending on whether these indicators are touched and the support and resistance points around them are supported.
At the current price position, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1D chart are 75571.99 points.
Therefore, you should prepare to trade based on whether there is support or not based on the 75571.99 point.
Since it is in an upward trend on the 1D chart, it is better to focus on finding the time to buy (LONG).
-
Accordingly, if you have confirmed that it is supported near 75571.99 and are thinking of buying, you should think about where to set the first stop loss point.
You can select the first and second points among the various support and resistance points drawn on the chart as the first stop loss point.
If you do that, you can see that the profit and loss ratio is not right.
Since the loss is this large, it is important to adjust the investment ratio when starting a trade.
That is why you should be more careful when finding the time to buy.
In other words, it should be considered that it is a more advantageous time to conduct a breakout trade.
(For altcoins that do not update the ATH, it is recommended to conduct a transaction depending on whether there is support.)
Therefore, it means that it is better to proceed with a purchase when the 75571.99 point is broken upward from the bottom and receives support and rises.
If the purchase is successful in that way, when the price rises and touches the 3rd point, change the stop loss point by changing the stop loss point to the 1st point or the 75571.99 point and proceed with the transaction.
If you do this, there may be cases where you are sold due to sudden volatility, but it is still recommended to conduct the transaction while setting the stop loss point.
This is because in the past, in 1919 and 2021, when both cases turned downward, you should not fall into a situation where you cannot do anything because you bought it as it was.
-
If the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are located at a point where there are no support or resistance points at all, you should trade by looking at the movements of the indicators on the time frame chart you are currently viewing (in this case, the 1h chart).
To do this, you should check the positions of the 5EMA on the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts that I mentioned earlier.
Since there are no 5EMA on the 1D chart and M-Signal indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts at the current price position, the next indicators to look at are the BW(100), HA-HIgh indicator and the BW(0), HA-Low indicator.
Since the BW(100) and HA-High indicators were created, it means that a high point section has been formed, so you should think that there is a high possibility of a decline.
Therefore, you should buy when it falls and then breaks through the BW(100), HA-High indicators upward to show support.
Therefore, in order to conduct a SHORT transaction, you can start trading depending on whether the BW(100) and HA-High indicators are generated and whether there is support.
-
The fact that the BW(0) and HA-Low indicators are generated means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, when the BW(0) and HA-Low indicators are generated, you should quickly decide whether you can start trading, thinking that there is a high possibility of an increase.
At this time, it is good to check the movement of the StochRSI indicator as reference material.
Although it sometimes moves in the opposite direction of the price movement, if it shows a pattern of escaping from the overbought or oversold range, it can be used as a good reference material.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BTC BEAR CASE📉 BTC/USDT Long-Term Analysis - Bearish Scenario 📉
If BTC loses the $66.7K level, this would serve as a strong bearish confirmation, indicating that the fifth wave is complete. In this case, I would expect a deeper correction with a target zone between $40K and $37K. This correction could last between 6 months to 1.5 years, suggesting a potential long-term trend shift.
So Confirmation: sub 66.7k
TP: 40k - 37k
Invalidation: after incoming correction if hold 0.5-0.7fib level ( 72-71k till 70.8-69.k) and bounce and make ATH. That will be invalidation for this case.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital
BTC BULL CASE 07/11/2024📉 BTC/USDT Update 📉
The current 5-wave upward pattern appears to be complete, and the presence of bearish divergences on the 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour timeframes indicates a likely downward correction. Additionally, the declining volume supports this outlook, suggesting potential weakness in the upward momentum.
🔸 Confirmation Level:
A break below $75,600 would confirm the start of a corrective move.
🔸 Target Zones:
Initial Support: $72,000 - $71,700
Deeper Support: 0.61-0.7 Fibonacci levels, around $70,800 - $69,800
If BTC holds these levels, a rebound could take the price toward $82,000 - $85,000, indicating the continuation of the bullish trend. However, a break below $66,000 would mark a bearish shift, opening the door to potential targets in the $44,000 - $37,000 range.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital
$WULF: The Next Leader in the Crypto Mining Sector 🚀⛏️🚧Hello, everyone!
We're excited about NASDAQ:WULF 's prospects among other crypto miners, standing out with its eco-friendly operations, profitability post-halving, and strategy to reduce debt without diluting shareholder value through ATM usage. The company's CEO has reassured investors of this commitment. Moreover, a significant short interest in NASDAQ:WULF could potentially propel its value dramatically.
Currently, the price is at a crucial juncture, testing the hourly support. Should it break below, it might move to test the daily support level. Conversely, rebounding from the hourly support could set the stage for a climb towards the monthly resistance.
Our initial milestone is overcoming the monthly resistance at around $3.70. Surpassing this, we aim for $8 followed by $17 as our subsequent targets.
This outlook would be reconsidered if the hourly or daily indicators fall beneath the weekly, suggesting a need to reassess our stance.
Stay tuned for updates, and best of luck to us all!
Is Trump’s Presidency a Bigger Win for DeFi than Bitcoin? Were decentralized finance (DeFi) assets like Ethereum underestimated leading up to the election?
Ethereum is now outpacing Bitcoin following Donald Trump’s 2024 U.S. presidential win, with Ether (ETH) gaining 4% in the past 24 hours (and 14.1% in the past 5 days). Bitcoin on the other hand is down 0.4% in the past 24 hours)
Analysts suggest that the Republican administration’s expected support for DeFi will play a pivotal role in Ethereum’s growth.
Trump has signaled interest in policies that could nurture blockchain technology, encouraging legislative reform to promote DeFi innovation in the U.S.
Bitcoin may hold its status as a store of wealth (and even a potential alternative reserve for the US treasury), but Ethereum’s recent performance suggests it’s increasingly well-positioned to benefit from the changing policy environment.
BTC INTRADAY POWELL INFLATION
Hello, dear intraday degens where the action is happening right now!
BTC is testing the last intraday high as support, with volume trending in the right direction. There’s plenty of support below if this level breaks.
In other news, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 bps, which should be positive news and may help push the price up.
Still, nothing should be taken for granted in crypto trading—stay safe!
Bitcoin standard in progress..This idea is more of a message than an investment speculation. And a reset of my previous ideas with shitcoins reminding me of where I was.
We need to learn from the past and put it behind us, looking to the future because our actions affect our future, not our past. Much has changed since my first experience with cryptocurrencies (early 18). Yes, it usually starts with cryptocurrencies, rarely bitcoin only. And when bitcoin only, few can resist the lure of shitcoiners, the potential profit. In short, I don't think a bitcoin maxis can grow without proof-of-work, without cutting through the jungle of scammers. But if the individual in question is a thoughtful creature and occasionally examines the arguments for/against, why yes/no, and is not lazy to verify the arguments in question, to read something, they will come to the inevitable conclusion, that's my opinion. My opinion is that we are very lucky that bitcoin was created, we have the hope of freedom, versus the inevitable inflationary, monetary and tax bullying, surveillance by the state. We are fortunate that it came into existence as it did - naturally, anonymously. That is unrepeatable in this day and age. That alone is a bulletproof foundation and a guarantee of my peaceful sleep. I could list dozens more. But I won't prolong it.
Thanks for bitcoin , for the hope of a better future.
Always and forever bullish , there is no ceiling. Dips are discounts, that's all. Volatility is a feature, not a flaw. Welcome volatility , learn to work with it. It's a game for the long term. Forget fiat profits, only increase the stack of bitcoins owned. Use HW wallets for your savings! Once the bull market hits, it's time to reward yourself, enjoy life, send some of that bitcoin back out into the world for some fine goods, services. Bitcoin is money that makes sense to save in. Simple.
Satoshi thank you!