Misconceptions and Truths about Paper Trading
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
TradingView also supports Paper Trading.
For more information, please click the link below. www.tradingview.com
More flexibility: change your Paper Trading account currency :
www.tradingview.com
Even more seamless order design — directly on chart :
www.tradingview.com
---------------------------------------
Paper Trading is thought to support trading practice for beginners.
However, this is a wrong idea.
If you lack prior knowledge about trading or have no concept of trading strategy, you should not do paper trading.
The reason is that the psychological burden is different.
The success or failure of a trade is thought to be the result of trading strategy or response ability, but in reality, it can be said that it is determined by the battle with oneself and psychological state.
This means that psychological state has a significant impact on trading.
Therefore, paper trading should be considered as a transaction that is conducted to confirm one's trading strategy and response strategy after completing chart analysis.
If you have completed some verification of your trading strategy or response strategy, you should continue to conduct actual trading even if you suffer a loss.
The reason is that you should not forget that you can only gain know-how in trading through actual trading.
Therefore, paper trading should not be used to practice mid- to long-term trading, but should be used to verify trading strategies or response strategies for short-term trading or day trading.
In order to do so, you must close the transaction by selling or cutting your loss.
-------------------------------------------
For more information on trading orders in paper trading, please refer to the explanation through the link above.
-
You can proceed with Paper Trading by clicking the Trading Panel at the bottom menu of the TradingView chart.
If you connect to a Paper Trading account, you can start with an initial fund of 100,000.
If the Buy/Sell button is not activated, activate the chart settings to activate the Buy/Sell button before proceeding with the trade.
Right-click on the space in the price candle area to activate the window, and then hover your mouse over the Trade section to check the trading order or trading settings (when you click the Trading menu in the Chart Settings window).
-
In addition, TradingView is linked to a real exchange and supports real trading.
It supports various exchanges, so I recommend you to check if there is an exchange that you are trading on.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
BTC-M
SEI FOLLOWING SUI??SUI has been on a great run in the last few months being a first mover in the altcoin space while BTC has been chopping for 6 months, now SUI is on the very edge of pushing above above the local high.
The chart on the right is SEI and looks like the chart lines up perfectly just lagging behind by a month. This could be a great trade opportunity going into the end of the year/Q4. If the trajectory is the same as SUI we could look to expect a +218% move, and structurally even without a comparison to SUI the chart TA suggests a new higher high and higher low bullish structure which will naturally want to climb back up the chart.
Bitcoin generally has a big part to play in the altcoin world, however SUI has made this rally on its own without the pulling power of BTC, could SEI do the same???
HelenP. I Bitcoin will small correct and then rise to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some days ago, the price reached the trend line and at once rebounded and made a strong impulse down to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. BTC some time traded inside this area and then dropped to the support level, breaking the 63600 level. Then price some time traded near the support level, and later declined to the support area, after which turned around and started to grow to the resistance level. In a short time, BTC rose to the 63600 level and even rose to the trend line, but then at once turned around and dropped back to the support level, making a fake breakout of the 63600 level. After this movement, the price turned around and started to grow, and now I expect that BTCUSDT will make small correction to the support level. Then it can turn around and start to move up to the trend line, therefore I set my goal at 63000 points, which coincided with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC - Do You Remember This? Now What?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📍Following my last BTC Monthly log view analysis on November 11, 2022 , we anticipated the bulls taking control after rejecting the lower green trendline and horizontal support.
Currently BTC is approaching its all-time high!
What's Next?
📈 If the current all-time high (highlighted in red) is surpassed, we anticipate a 254% increase, mirroring the last bull cycle. This aligns with the upper boundary of the green channel and the 200k - 250k round numbers.
⚠️ However, the journey may encounter bumps, leading to sharp correction movements to shake out weak hands.
This bearish scenario, would mean retesting the lower green trendline before surging!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC Market Analysis 27.09.2024📌BTC Market Analysis📌
Overview:
The current BTC market is showing mixed signals, indicating potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios depending on key resistance and support levels. The analysis focuses on a WXY correction pattern on the larger timeframes and a potential bullish continuation on the shorter ones. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the potential paths BTC might take:
📌Bearish Outlook:📌
Scenario 1 - 1D Timeframe:
Chart Reference: BTC 1D Analysis
BTC is currently completing a WXY correction where each wave (W, X, Y) is composed of an ABC pattern:
W = ABC
X = ABC
Y = ABC
Currently, the price is at the top of the B wave of the Y correction, expected to end between $65,600 – $68,100.
Key Levels:
Invalidation Level: $73,770 — If the price closes above this level, the bearish scenario will be invalidated.
Take Profit Area: $44,013 - $40,813 — This zone represents a reasonable target for shorts if the bearish move materializes.
📌Scenario 1 - 4H Timeframe:📌
Chart Reference: BTC 4H Analysis
Zooming into the 4H interval, we can see a more detailed structure of the B wave of the Y correction.
Bearish Divergence is forming on the 4H timeframe, which could signal a potential reversal.
A key diagonal support trendline is visible (marked in aqua on the chart), and this line has been sustaining the bullish trend for the past 21 days.
Strategy:
It is crucial not to prematurely short this market. Instead, wait for a rejection from the box area and look for confirmation if BTC breaks below the trendline. If this happens, the bearish divergence would be confirmed, and a stronger downtrend could ensue.
📌 Scenario 2 - Alternative Bearish View: 📌
Chart Reference: BTC Bearish Scenario 2
This scenario is currently the least probable but still possible.
The structure could either be a WXY or a simpler ABC correction.
WXY: A complex corrective pattern with internal ABC formations.
ABC: A simpler structure where Wave C must have 5 waves down, while Y has corrective ABC movements down.
The flat correction pattern generally targets 0.786 - 0.886 Fib retracement levels, which in this case are between $68,602 - $71,015.
Key Levels:
Targets: $43,224 - $39,608 — Potential bottom areas for both WXY and ABC scenarios.
Invalidation Level: $73,777 — If BTC breaks and closes above this, the bearish view will be negated.
📌 Bullish Outlook: 📌
📌Scenario 1 - 1D Timeframe:📌
📌Chart Reference: 📌 BTC Bullish Scenario
📌 Live Chart: 📌 BTC Bullish Scenario Live chart
This is the only bullish scenario currently under consideration. The confirmation for this setup would be a breakout above the previous ATH (All-Time High), which stands at $73,835.
📌 Important Note: 📌
This wave represents the final leg of the entire bullish cycle. It’s characterized by increased volatility and risk, as the uptrend could end abruptly.
📌 How to Trade It: 📌
Regularly take profits as the price moves higher.
Gradually exit positions instead of waiting for the absolute top.
The moment BTC hits the actual cycle top, it could see a 20-30% drop in a single day. Recoveries can take months or even years if one gets caught in this position, as the market could transition into a prolonged bear phase until the next bullish cycle.
📌 Technical Details: 📌
The analysis shows clear wave structures.
Wave 4 bottomed at $49,043, sitting on the 0.5 Fib level, a typical strong support for Wave 4 in Elliott Wave Theory.
📌 Targets: 📌
$85,406 – $92,679 — These are nominal targets based on current wave projections, without considering extended waves.
Invalidation Level: $52,413 — If the price falls below this point, it would confirm one of the bearish scenarios instead.
⚠️Causion: ⚠️
BTC is currently at a critical juncture. While a bullish continuation is possible, it requires breaking the previous ATH to confirm. On the other hand, the bearish scenarios provide multiple levels of confirmation, including bearish divergences and trendline breaks, which could suggest a deeper correction if confirmed.
Traders should maintain a cautious approach, utilize appropriate risk management, and stay nimble as the market reveals more information.
⚠️ Disclaimer: ⚠️
🚫 This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research before making any decisions.🚫
BTC/USDT NEXT 2-3 WEEKS GAME PLAN 30.09.2024Bitcoin/USD Analysis Update 🪙📉
In our previous outlook, we emphasized the importance of waiting for a clear directional move. Today, we witnessed a breakdown of the bullish trendline that had been holding for the last 24 days, signaling a potential start of a larger bearish structure. I took advantage of the initial breakdown with a quick short trade and am now focusing on positioning for the next major wave.
Current Market Outlook: Bearish 📉
Based on the Elliott Wave Theory (EW) and additional confirmations, it is evident that the trend is bearish on the swing-term (7 days and beyond). Currently, we are in a mini wave 3 of the first larger wave from the recent top. While it's not yet certain whether this is wave 1 or wave A, the upcoming move should clarify the structure. In either scenario, we can expect a strong wave 3 or wave C to unfold, potentially offering lucrative short opportunities.
The accompanying chart outlines my projected path for BTC over the next 14–18 days. The roadmap should help visualize the expected movements, showing key targets where I anticipate the price to reach.
Wave Analysis & Strategy:
Currently, the price is moving in what appears to be the first wave of a new downtrend. If this scenario holds, the initial target for this wave is set between $62,350 and $61,888, where I expect wave 1 to complete.
Once this target zone is hit, I anticipate a pullback to the $64,000–$65,000 range. This pullback will form either wave 2 or wave B, presenting an opportunity to re-enter the short side. My strategy here is to look for short entries around this level, with the invalidation level set at $66,200. If the price reaches this point, it would signal a potential shift in structure, and I would re-evaluate my bearish bias.
Projected Outcomes:
Wave 3 Scenario:
If we are in wave 3, the next major target would be around $59,000 or potentially much lower, depending on the momentum and overall strength of the sell-off.
Wave C Scenario:
If this structure turns out to be wave C, then the move might not go below $61,000–$60,000. The reaction at this level will be critical for determining whether we are in a corrective wave or a more aggressive decline.
Impulsive Move Scenario:
In case this is an impulsive move with a 5-wave structure, it could lead to a more extended downtrend. In this scenario, the main target for the entire downward move is between $57,800 and $56,000. After reaching this zone, I expect a 10-day consolidation period before a significant drop towards the $44,000–$40,000 range. This would mark the completion of a larger degree wave, setting up for a potential medium-term recovery.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Wave 1 Target: $62,350 – $61,888
Wave 2/B Pullback Zone: $64,000 – $65,000
Wave 3 Target: $59,000
Wave C Target: $61,000 – $60,000
Final Impulsive Target: $57,800 – $56,000
Long-term Target: $44,000 – $40,000
Invalidation Level: $66,200
⚠️ Disclaimer: ⚠️
🚫 This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research before making any decisions.🚫
BTC/USDT Daily AnalysisCurrently, we are in a zone of uncertainty ⚠️. If BTC loses the blue horizontal line, it will signal a breakdown and likely lead to a drop into the 58,400 - 57,700 range 📉.
🔸 The main resistance is the light blue diagonal trendline, which has been acting as resistance since the drop from 66,100 USD. If this diagonal trendline is broken, the next target should be between 63,300 - 64,500 , which corresponds to the 0.5 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔝
🔹 The bounce from the bottom (60,164) up to 61,928 USD was supported by a triple bull divergence 🐂📈, and the move was an impulsive wave upwards , indicating that another upward push is likely. However, after reaching 61,928 USD , a bearish divergence formed 🐻🔻, confirming a weakening trend on the lower timeframes. Following this, the light green diagonal trendline was broken, signaling the beginning of a pullback and a move towards a retest for a resistance/support fli p. 🔄
🔸 Currently, the price is undergoing a downward correction and testing the previous resistance to establish a support level. We are waiting for the creation of another bullish divergence on the lower timeframes—specifically a hidden bullish divergence 🔍🟢. This setup would indicate a potential push to at least the 0.5 Fib level , marking the end of the correction before resuming the new bearish trend 📉.
⚠️ Invalidation: If we break above 66,000 USD , it would confirm a reversal of the main trend, indicating that the market is now bullish 🐂💪 and we could be heading towards a new all-time high 📈🚀.
⚠️ Disclaimer: ⚠️
🚫 This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research before making any decisions.🚫
BTC/USDT Daily Update📉 BTC/USDT Daily Update 03.10.2024
📝 Market Overview 📝
Currently, Bitcoin is trading in a choppy market structure. The price has been fluctuating between a diagonal trendline, which has served as support over the past four days. Each time BTC tests this level, it faces rejection; however, the resistance is gradually diminishing due to the downward sloping trendline. Typically, after such rejections, the price tests the support zone, making a new low around $50-$100 lower than the previous support, indicating a possible stop-loss hunt pattern. This can best be described as a classic choppy market.
🔍 Oscillator Analysis 🔍
On the 1-hour chart, a bullish divergence has formed, evolving into a triple divergence, which often precedes a strong upward movement.
📊 Bullish Case 📊
To confirm bullish momentum, we need a break above the blue diagonal trendline, currently at $60,850. If BTC breaks and holds above this level, the minimum target would be between $63,140 - $64,200 (0.5-0.65 Fibonacci level).
📉 Bearish Case 📉
A breakdown below $59,800 and a sustained hold below this level for at least 1 hour would signal a bearish continuation. In this scenario, targets would be in the $58,200 - $57,200 range.
⏳ Current Condition ⏳
Waiting for a breakout or breakdown. (⚠️ Awaiting confirmation before taking action.)
⚠️ Disclaimer: 🚫 This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and conduct your own research. 🚫
BTC/USDT Weekly update 10.07.2024📌 Trading Instrument: 📌
🔶 BTC/USDT 🔶
📝 Detailed Market Overview: 📝
Bitcoin has finally reached a key confluence zone around the 0.61-0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. At the moment, BTC is showing signs of bearish divergence on the 1-hour timeframe, and a similar pattern is forming on the 4-hour timeframe. Such divergences are typically seen at the end of waves, indicating a potential reversal is approaching.
The current price structure appears corrective, with Wave B being characterized by a sideways abcde pattern, which is commonly observed during Wave B or Wave 4 of a larger trend. However, given the overall market context, it’s more likely that this is a Wave B scenario, as a Wave 4 doesn’t fit the current wave count.
Now, Bitcoin seems to be completing the last Wave C of this corrective structure, which would mark the end of this short-term bullish bounce within the larger bearish trend. Rejection is expected within the next 1-2 hours, unless BTC breaks above $66,000. As long as this level holds, the swing-term trend remains bearish.
Additionally, the entire corrective bounce has been supported by a diagonal trendline, which is currently acting as a key support level. A break below this diagonal trendline would confirm that the top is in, signaling a bearish reversal on lower timeframes. This would align with the broader bearish market trend, and we could see Bitcoin targeting $58,000 as the first key support, with a potential to drop as low as $47,000 in the coming weeks.
🔍 Bearish Signals:
Bearish divergences on the 1H and 4H timeframes.
A potential Wave C completion within the corrective structure.
Key support trendline is at risk of breaking.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
If confirmed, the downside targets include:
$58,000
$47,000
💡 Bullish Case:
If BTC breaks above 66k it will be confrimation its going to break ATH!
⚠️ Disclaimer: 🚫 This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and conduct your own research. 🚫
Bitcoin Market Analysis🔍 Current Market Overview:
Bitcoin is approaching a critical juncture! 🔥 After the recent movements, we’ve seen a significant bounce 📈 following the completion of a 5-wave impulsive move to the downside. This has been confirmed through bullish divergences across multiple timeframes (4H, 1H, and 15M). The bounce brought us up to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the last downward move. Now, Bitcoin stands at a crossroads, with two main potential outcomes depending on how the market reacts to these levels.
📊 Main Market Scenarios
1. 🐻 Bearish Scenario: Continuation of Wave 3
The primary scenario, based on the current market structure, suggests that Bitcoin may have completed its corrective bounce and is preparing for the next impulsive wave downward. This could represent the third wave in a larger downtrend, typically a powerful push lower.
📈 Current Pattern: The latest move shows an impulsive, corrective, then impulsive sequence, which could either be an ABC correction or simply the first wave of the third major leg down.
🔹 Target: If this is indeed Wave 3, I expect a pullback to the 0.61-0.65 Fibonacci level, followed by a significant move down towards the 51k-47k range.
⚡ Confirmation: A breakdown below 58.8k will confirm this bearish outlook.
⚠️ Invalidation Level: A move above 64.4k invalidates the bearish case. In that situation, we could enter a larger sideways range.
2. 🐂 Bullish Scenario: ATH Break
There is also a bullish scenario, although it's less likely right now. If Bitcoin manages to break above 64.4k, the next potential move could target the 68-69k range. From there, we might see either another leg down or, in the best-case scenario, a breakout towards a new All-Time High (ATH).
🚨 Risk Management: We have clear invalidation and confirmation levels. Proper risk management is crucial to avoid being caught in a choppy market.
🟢 Bullish Case: Breaking the ATH would confirm a strong bullish trend, allowing for smoother trading opportunities rather than getting stuck in a range-bound market on higher timeframes.
💡 Conclusion:
The market is in a pivotal zone. Bears have control as long as 58.8k remains a key support. A breakdown would open the door for much lower levels, possibly as low as 47k. However, any move above 64.4k could shift the market into a more neutral to bullish stance, with a possible test of 68-69k. Stay cautious and manage risk accordingly.
⚠️ Disclaimer: 🚫 This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and conduct your own research. 🚫
BTCUSDT: Why BITCOIN Remains Bullish and Its Next Potential MoveAs you can see, BTC has created Broadening wedge and is also located in the Megaphone , which means that if it breaks, we expect the price to reach the top of the Megaphone .
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BITCOIN → Bearish Pressure !!!Bitcoin failed to go beyond 63.800 so the price may fluctuate around $60.000 In addition, the bearish wedge shown in the chart can be a negative signal.
Recently analysis
(Daily)
And (weekly)
and
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC/USDT 4H Trade Setup: Potential for Bullish ContinuationBitcoin’s 4H chart shows a potential bullish continuation after a healthy retracement. The market has pulled back into a key support zone, providing an opportunity to enter this trade with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The setup aligns well with the optimism surrounding the month of October, often referred to as “UPtober,” where historical data has shown strong price action for BTC during this period.
Technical Analysis:
• Price has retraced to a key Fibonacci zone, signaling a potential buy opportunity.
• The FibCloud indicator shows price maintaining above key support levels, with a bullish breakout being tested.
• Volume is picking up, indicating growing interest at this level, which could push the market higher.
Risk Management:
Given the volatility of BTC, managing risk is crucial. We are placing stop losses just below the last significant low to protect capital in case the market fails to break higher.
Stay alert, and let’s see how this setup unfolds. UPtober could live up to its name!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BTC Trading setups to be forming!There are a couple of setups to be developed.
Current trend indicating potential long setup to first "line" or even short zone. Waiting for nice candle to confirm the idea.
And from the line or short zone obviously sell setup. Waiting for a Bearish HTF closure. INVALIDATION = If we print strong bullish HTF candle, then I will let long setup ride.
Will take partials/manage my position around the trouble area as we can get another long setup.
The ideal scenario is we go from the short zone all the way down to the lows, that's my perfect play but there are many setups for me in this "range". Trade safe!
🔥How much can the Crypto market capitalization grow by 2025🔥Today we want to share with you our observations and thoughts on how the total capitalization of the crypto market can grow in the future.
You have probably already noticed that in all markets the history of market participants' behavior and, accordingly, asset prices is cyclical.
The cryptocurrency market is no exception.
Here is a global chart of the total capitalization of cryptocurrencies in different periods of the market.
Despite the fact that in different periods there were different factors of growth or decline of the cryptocurrency market, such as the ICO alt-season 2017 and the bear market 2018 or the DeFi boom of 2020-2021 and the current exhausting market's decline. There is a clear cyclicality (of course, a statistical error of 1-2 weeks over such a long period of time is acceptable)
So, 1 candle or bar on the chart is 1 trading week and that's what we have:
from the high of 2017 to the low of 2018 - +/- 49 weeks have passed
from the high of 2021 to the low of 2022 - +/- 52 weeks have passed (of course, if an absolute annual minimum was recorded last week)
from 2017 high to "BTC halving 2020" 123 weeks have passed
from the high of 2021 to "BTC halving 2024" may take +/- 125 weeks (the approximate date is April 2024, but the date may move, depending on the capacity that will be connected to mine BTC blocks. Halving will take place on block 840000)
after "BTC halving 2016", the crypto market maintained a rapid growth trend for 77 weeks
after "BTC halving 2020", the crypto market maintained a rapid growth trend for 78 weeks
after "BTC halving 2024", we project a rapid growth trend of 79 weeks. Accordingly, the future growth trend in the cryptocurrency market may reach its maximum around the middle of autumn 2025.
We also designed 2 fractals of a possible path of growth of the total capitalization of the crypto market.
The white fractal indicates growth with a maximum value of +/- $13 trillion.
The blue fractal indicates growth with a maximum value of +/- $26 trillion.
In order to understand whether it is a lot or not, we will give you some examples of the current capitalization of certain markets:
SP500 +/- $33 trillion
Gold +/- $11 trillion
Silver +/- $1 trillion
Cryptocurrencies +/- $800 billion
Earlier, we made an idea where we made similar calculations on the BTCUSDT chart
So, if you are interested in what mark the Bitcoin price can reach at the end of 2025, we invite you to view it:
If you are interested in the current situation on the BTCUSDT chart and the prospects of price movement for the next week, we invite you to read this idea:
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
Alikze »» INJ | Reverse head and shoulders pattern - 12H🔍 Technical analysis: Suspect an inverted head and shoulders pattern
- In the analysis presented in the 12-hour time frame, it was mentioned that in case of selling pressure in the range of $25, the correction will continue until the Fibo range of 1.618 in the range of $18.75.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel.
- It has faced selling pressure in the middle of the channel.
- Due to the formation of the inverted top pattern, in case of breaking the Fibo 1.618 and stabilizing below the 18.75 area, the correction will continue until the liquidity area and the origin of the movement.
- Therefore, according to the zigzag correction structure, this correction can extend to the liquidity area and complete the correction leg C in the specified areas.
💎 Alternative scenario , if it stabilizes in the range of 18.75, it can grow to the middle of the channel in the first step and then to the range of the supply area of $25.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support.
Best Regards,❤️
Alikze.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
BINANCE:INJUSDT
BITCOIN IS GOING UP! TA + TRADE PLAN BY BFTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) on the Chart by Blaž Fabjan
Falling Wedge Continuation Pattern
The falling wedge is a bullish continuation pattern, often indicating a potential upward breakout after a period of consolidation.
Resistance and Support Lines:
The chart shows a clear resistance line sloping downward and a support line also trending downward.
The price is approaching the apex of the wedge, where a breakout is likely imminent.
Indicators Analysis:
VMC Cipher B (Market Cipher Indicator):
The divergences on the VMC Cipher B show a series of green dots, which are often used to indicate potential long entry points.
The momentum appears to be turning positive, with the indicator suggesting possible bullish divergence.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The current RSI is at 39.81, which indicates a moderately oversold condition.
An RSI below 40 often suggests that the market is near the bottom, and a potential reversal to the upside is likely.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic Oscillator shows 43.44 and 47.50 (K and D lines), hovering near the oversold region but not yet fully bottomed out.
A crossover or upward movement from these levels would provide additional confirmation of a bullish reversal.
HMA+ Histogram:
The HMA (Hull Moving Average) histogram shows recent red bars, indicating negative momentum, but it appears to be narrowing, suggesting that the selling pressure is weakening.
A transition from red to green bars would confirm a shift toward bullish momentum.
Potential Breakout Scenario:
Given the falling wedge pattern and the technical indicators approaching oversold conditions, there is a strong likelihood of a bullish breakout.
The volume is not provided in the chart, but price action suggests decreasing volatility before a potential breakout.
The breakout direction is likely to be upwards, targeting the $65,000 to $67,500 resistance zone initially.
Trading Plan by Blaž Fabjan:
Entry Strategy:
Wait for Confirmation of Breakout: Enter a long position once the price breaks above the resistance of the falling wedge pattern (around $61,500-$62,000).
RSI needs to cross above 45 to confirm momentum is shifting to the upside.
Ensure that the VMC Cipher B shows green dots and the Stochastic Oscillator shows a bullish crossover before entering the trade.
Stop-Loss Strategy:
Place a stop-loss just below the support line of the wedge, which would be approximately around $59,000, to protect against a false breakout or further downside.
Profit Targets:
First Profit Target: $65,000 (previous swing high and a significant psychological level).
Second Profit Target: $67,500 (the next key resistance level after the breakout).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Aim for a minimum 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio.
For an entry near $62,000 with a stop loss at $59,000, the first target at $65,000 gives a decent risk-to-reward ratio, with the potential for higher gains if the price continues to climb.
Trade Management:
Trailing Stop: Once the price reaches the first target, move the stop-loss to breakeven (entry point) to lock in profits and manage risk.
Monitor the RSI and VMC Cipher for signs of exhaustion in momentum once the price nears the second target.
Alternative Scenario:
If the price fails to break above the wedge and breaks below the support line, consider reversing the position or waiting for further confirmation of a bearish trend before shorting.
By following my plan, traders can capitalize on the potential upward breakout from this falling wedge continuation pattern while managing their risk effectively.
The key is whether it can rise above 61K
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It was created using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool based on the candlestick of the selected point used when drawing the parallel channel.
Therefore, from a short-term trend perspective, you can see that the area around the right Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (59369.59) ~ 0.5 (60650.13) is an important support area.
-
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 61099.25 after October 11.
If not, and it falls, it is possible that it will finally touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising around 52K.
The expected crossover area is expected to be around 56K (56150.01-56950.56).
-
(Chart under test)
If the M-Signal on the 1W and 1D charts breaks through the convergence area (1), it is expected to create a new rising wave.
If not, we need to check whether there is support in the area (2).
-
BW v1.0 indicator's BW is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates DMI, OBV, and MACD.
The interpretation method is
1. The horizontal line created by touching the 100 point becomes the trading reference line.
2. When it falls below the 80 point, the high point section is displayed.
3. The position is switched around the 50 point.
4. When it rises above the 20 point, the low point section is displayed.
5. The horizontal line created by touching the 0 point becomes the trading reference line.
2, 3, 4. are likely to have volatility, so the corresponding lines are the sections that must be responded to.
In other words, they correspond to the time when split trading is conducted.
---------------------------------------
The point to watch is whether USDC can be maintained above 26.153B as the gap decline decreases.
The important support and resistance area for USDC is 32.435B.
If the selling volume of BTC confiscated by the US government decreases and USDT gaps up, I think the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
If not, it may not be able to digest the selling volume and lead to further decline.
----------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
We need to check whether there is support near 20313.8.
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, even if it rises, it will eventually fall.
At this time, the point of interest is whether it can receive support near 20313.8.
The most important support zone at the current location is 19582.6.
----------------------------------------
The chart consisting of parallel channels and Fibonacci ratios is a chart for chart analysis.
Therefore, if your trading strategy is not properly established when trading with the support and resistance points confirmed by the Fibonacci ratio, you need to be careful because the transaction may proceed in the wrong direction.
Therefore, you must mark the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
The chart that has been used since the past is the chart that shows the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
I think the support and resistance points shown on this chart are the most accurate among the charts I am introducing.
However, it is difficult to see because it is too complex a chart to use for publishing as an idea.
-
I am testing whether I can trade with the trend, momentum, and market strength by comprehensively evaluating MACD, DMI, and OBV.
I am testing it for use on time frame charts below 1D charts.
When using it on time frame charts below 1D charts, you can disable indicators corresponding to 2 and 4 and use it.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BITCOIN below the 60k again! Is this alarming??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today below the $60000 market again for the first time since September 18. The first headlines are already hitting the market calling for more downside. We highly doubt that as no only has the priced formed the first Higher High on September 27 in 6 months, but more importantly the uptrend since the August 05 bottom is supported by a Higher Lows trend-line.
Also, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) may have been broken, but as long as the price holds the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has held twice already on August 05 and September 06, the chances of a break-out above the 7-month Lower Highs trend-line are high.
In fact, the pattern since the August 05 bottom appears to be an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The standard technical target on such occasions is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which gives us a $80000 price tag. As long as the 1W MA50 holds, this is the most likely scenario in our opinion.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
My FINAL Bitcoin chart and Idea (forever)Everyone is too busy focusing on the wrong Technicals. Fear and Greed, RSI, MACD, Stock Markets, etc. All of these are good tools but we have to remember a few things:
1. Zoom out (Bitcoin follows the same 4-year cycle every time... this time is NOT different)
2. Keep it Simple (I'm tired of messy charts, only put what you need for the current timeframe)
3. Avoid Leverage (These areas are too risky and much too volatile... liquidity is getting grabbed at almost every level) Stay safe.
I expect Bitcoin to retrace to $57k and then bounce back up... clear skies ahead if we can break out of this pattern I have drawn up. (If not we keep ranging as follows until we break significantly above the previous ATH)
Peace out! It's been fun... I may return to crypto one day (if ykyk)