Btcd
Alt-season? Bitcoin BTC Dominance past cycles behavior analysis The best way to spot an altseason is looking at the Bitcoin BTC Dominance graph.
On this analysis, of the behavior of the Bitcoin BTC Dominance, I spotted in the graph , what happened on the last two cycles, 2017 and 2021, looking back to the 2013 BTC price top.
In the analysis I spotted three types of events:
All Time High (ATH)
Cycle Bottom
Attempts to break the past cycle's ATH
This brought me some interesting "coincidences" that leads to some insightful predictions.
My conclusion, so far, is that an All Time High breakout is a very important moment to the possible alt season beginning. One thing that should be considered is that the current cycle has some different characteristics as, probably in detail, all of them have. This means that maybe it could take some more time to the alt season start, as it did for the ATH be finally broken.
One thing I did'n mention in the video is that the BTC dominance has broken a theoretical downtrend line. That said, considering the end of the year calendar change that is a mentally important moment, I wouldn't be surprised if the altseason waits till January to pick up.
To be continued...
Bitcoin's Final Push: Altcoin Rotation LoomsBitcoin dominance seems to be nearing its peak, but as with every end, we often see one last strong push.
It’s clear that only specific coins are currently outperforming Bitcoin, so I suggest continuing to focus on those until January/February. I believe Q1 will bring a massive rotation of capital into altcoins.
Just remember: most Bitcoin dominance tops tend to come after strong surges. So, I expect Bitcoin to continue climbing before we start calling the top.
If, by some chance, dominance hits 72%, I’ll be shifting the majority of my BTC stack into altcoins.
Altseason, Microcaps & Bitcoin ATH | BTC | BTC.D | TOTAL3An important analysis as the first part of my ongoing outlook for Bitcoin, now that my target has hit.
Not too long ago, I did a focus on altcoins by market cap - and the order in which they rally. This mainly speaks to the top 10 altcoins by market cap, and how they follow BT closely.
However, throughout the cycle, you will see microcaps move independently, aka pump and dups, but the real parabolic increases will happen when BTC is trading bullish, especially towards the peak / just after the peak of BTC. Together with watching the Bitcoin Dominance chart, that is what we discuss in more detail today.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
Don't F@ck up the Banana zone!This is the Others marketcap vs the Bitcoin Market cap chart.
With their respective Banana zones for the past couple cycle and the current one we have already started.
The KEY takeaway is you should be feeling the FOMO and kind already have been deployed into your favourite #Alts
This #altseason may yield one of the worst performances in a cycle --- which I have warned a few times now. And finish sooner than you think.
If you had waited for confirmation of a altcoin breakout and rotated/bough at the sad face this how your returns would have been crippled.
21 X ----> 5.8X 2017
6.4X ----> 3X 2021
3/4X -----> 1.75X/2.3X 2025
Drastically different.
I hope you have found this chart informative. Smash the likes.
#BTC DOMINANCE, LAST OPPORTUNITY TO BUY CHEAP ALTS!Bitcoin Dominance is currently around 60.51%, keeping BTC in the 68k–70k range while altcoins drop 20-40% from recent highs.
This pattern is common in bull runs, as rising BTC dominance typically pulls altcoins down. In my experience, a rejection zone between 64% and 65.81% could trigger an altcoin rally while BTC hits new all-time highs and moves sideways.
Here are three key points to watch:-
1. BTC Dominance reaching rejection levels.
2. BTC closing above the monthly resistance of $71,378.
3. Altcoins holding higher time frame supports and showing reversal signs.
If these align, it could be a strong opportunity for altcoins.
Patience here pays off – holding USDT or stablecoins now could let you buy altcoins at lower levels soon.
I'll be sharing important updates as needed. Currently, I’m on complete bed rest due to a fractured wrist and some deep wounds, but my DMs are open if you need to reach out. I'll do my best to answer questions whenever I'm able.
Thank you for your understanding!
For now, stay focused, and let’s spot these opportunities.
If you enjoy these insights, hit like and share your thoughts. Let me know if you’d like any specific chart requests.
Thank you!
BTC.D Keep calm, don't lose your headThe market will do what it always does—play with our emotions. We're all eagerly anticipating an altseason, right? But the market will test everyone’s patience, so it's wiser to stick with spot purchases and use DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) for entry. Don’t give up, and above all, don’t sell now—you’ve weathered a tough bear market.
Dominance is set to decline, just as it has in previous cycles within these Fibonacci parameters. Stay calm, keep your emotions in check, and remember: patience and strategy are key.
Bitcoin Dominance Update: BTC.D is about to surge to %68Bitcoin dominance has broken the main long-term resistance on the weekly and monthly charts, making it very bullish and likely to reach new highs.
In this case, we expect Bitcoin to dominate the crypto market and surpass altcoins in gains. After reaching the target of 67%, we can anticipate the alt-season to start, marking the time for altcoins to make moves.
I'm not sure if we’ll have an alt-season like before, but some altcoins are likely to experience good returns. DYOR
BTC Dominance explained - Impact on Altcoins and Market CyclesBTC Dominance Explained 📊 – Impact on Altcoins and Market Cycles
Understanding Bitcoin dominance is crucial for navigating the crypto market, especially when planning moves with altcoins. Let’s dive into this BTC.D chart to get a clearer view of what BTC dominance signals and how it can shape your portfolio strategy.
The BTC Dominance Range and Altcoin Opportunities 🌐
Bitcoin dominance measures BTC’s market share relative to all cryptocurrencies. Currently, we’re moving within an upward channel, nearing a significant resistance at 59%. Historically, levels above 58% have been challenging for altcoins, as a strong BTC dominance means funds flow primarily into Bitcoin rather than altcoins. The higher this percentage, the more “BTC-centric” the market becomes.
However, if BTC dominance reverses from this resistance, which the chart suggests as a possibility, it could open the door for altcoins to perform strongly. Key levels where altcoins tend to gain traction are around 54%, 50%, and ideally below 48%. Dropping to or below these levels is often where we see capital shifting into altcoins, allowing them to shine as BTC consolidates.
Why BTC Dominance Matters for Ethereum and Other Alts 🚀
As noted in my recent Ethereum analysis, a breakout for ETH could coincide with a decrease in BTC dominance. Ethereum, currently flirting with a big breakout level around $2,800, could see significant upward movement if BTC dominance declines. The fundamentals of ETH are also aligning with this technical picture, setting up a favorable environment for Ethereum to absorb some of Bitcoin’s market share.
How to Use BTC Dominance in Your Trading Strategy 📉
When BTC Dominance Rises: High BTC dominance typically signals caution for altcoin investors. When dominance is around 58% or higher, the market is likely to favor BTC over other coins. This is a “BTC season,” where Bitcoin absorbs most of the inflow, leaving altcoins with reduced momentum.
When BTC Dominance Declines: If BTC dominance drops below 54% and further towards 50%, it becomes “altcoin season,” a period where alts, especially high-cap projects like Ethereum, tend to outperform. Watch these support zones closely; they often indicate when BTC is overextended and funds may rotate into alts.
Channel Boundaries for BTC Dominance: This channel on the 8-hour BTC.D chart shows BTC dominance’s cyclical nature. Every time dominance reaches the channel’s top, altcoins often benefit if BTC reverses. Conversely, approaching the bottom of the channel can signal potential BTC strength, drawing funds away from alts.
Current Market Setup: Preparing for an Altcoin Move?
We’re at a tipping point, with BTC dominance testing upper resistance. Should we see a reversal, we could enter a favorable phase for alts, particularly Ethereum, which is primed for a breakout. The combination of Ethereum’s strong technical position and the possibility of BTC dominance declining is a powerful signal for the alt market.
By understanding and leveraging BTC dominance in your strategy, you can more effectively time your altcoin entries and exits, aligning with macro movements rather than just isolated setups. This cycle-driven approach is essential for maximizing gains across different market phases.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BTC Dominance Analysis📌 Trading Instrument: 📌
🔶 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) 🔶
📝 Detailed Market Overview: 📝
Bitcoin Dominance has reached an extremely bullish zone, nearing parabolic levels. Historically, such parabolic moves are often followed by a strong and fast correction. Currently, BTC.D is showing signs of bearish divergence, making it difficult to invalidate this signal. Additionally, BTC.D is around the 0.61-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, a critical resistance zone.
Over the next 2-3 weeks, I anticipate a breakdown in BTC dominance. A confirmation of this will come if BTC.D breaks below the green diagonal support trendline, which has supported this uptrend for over 700 days.
Upon breaking this support, a retest of the previous key resistance, which is now expected to act as support, will likely occur around the 47-48% dominance level. This zone has not been retested since the breakout, and it aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. If BTC.D moves a bit higher before the rejection, this key level would coincide with the 0.61-0.65 Fibonacci zone, often referred to as the golden pocket, making it a high-probability reversal zone.
Following this correction, I expect BTC dominance to resume its upward momentum, targeting a minimum of 79-80% dominance in the longer term.
🔍 Key Signals:
Bearish divergence on multiple timeframes.
Proximity to the 0.61-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level.
A potential breakdown of the 700-day diagonal support.
🎯 Bearish Target:
47-48% dominance (retest of key support)
🚀 Bullish Outlook After Rejection:
A strong reversal after testing support could propel BTC dominance to 79-80% in the long run.
⚠️ Confirmation Needed:
Watch for a break below the green diagonal trendline to confirm the top and initiate the bearish retracement.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Markets are highly volatile, and you should only invest money you are prepared to lose.
Rising Wedge Targeting Weekly SupportBTC Dominance has formed a rising wedge right into weekly resistance. If it loses local support around ~54-55%, it may drop to weekly support around 44-47-49%.
This could mean the entire market drops hard, or if Bitcoin holds up for the most part, it could instead mean a potential run for altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance breaking 59% and holding above it invalidates this idea.
USDTD important to whole crypto market ‼️ ❣️Already we are seeing present CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is dumping with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Sign they money 💰 is going out 😬
Is really big player going out 😬 ??? Or manipulation before big players in 🟡📌
To get know only metric index we have CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
above red ♥️ box day close 📌 whole market dump comfirm 👍
BINANCE:BTCUSDT won't go new low 🔅 instead test FWB:25K below 📍 ALTS will make new low 🔅
Below yellow 🟡 box day close 📌 present dump is nothing but manipulation ⚡
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD pump & CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is important role for alts then
If USDTD reach 9% just BUY #BTC
If USDTD reach below yellow 💛 box meanwhile BTCD also dumping buy alts if pump 📌 sell alts
Understand index with market is very important ☺️
I already made CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart 📉 analysis ⏰ when to buy alts once I got cleared view i will update under that post ⁉️ this CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D is important only for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Sell Signal For Bitcoin DominanceOn Friday, my indicator combo gave us a big old SELL, meaning dominance by Bitcoin is about to dump. This does not mean the price of BTC will drop. In fact, it could continue to rise.
What it signals is that the altcoin market is about to 🚀🚀🚀! Therefore, if Bitcoin rises, Altcoins will rise even faster. Get ready! The rocket ship is about to launch for alts. Bull run incoming.
BTC DOMINANCE / BTC.DI think #BTC.D is done>>
Good Luck >>
• Warning •
Any deal I share does not mean that I am forcing you to enter into it, you enter in with your full risk, because I'll not gain any profits with you in the end.
The risk management of the position must comply with the stop loss.
(I am not sharing financial or investment advice, you should do your own research for your money.)
BTC.D is going where I thoughtTHere isn't much to say beside BTC dominance is going up to that resistance between 60% and 62% as I anticipated many months ago. It's likely we'll still have some bleeding for altcoins but as soon as BTC.D will reach that level I expect it to range close there after a rejection and follow the scheme you can see here
Just keep buying what you like, altseason is close!
Good luck!
Bitcoin Dominance Keeps Rising: Alts Will Keep Getting Rekt!Most altcoins have been underperforming BTC by quite a big margin over the last ~2 years. If you look at most alts, they are edging around the bear-market lows or trading slightly above it. A far cry from BTC's ~4x above the bear market low.
The result of BTC's overperformance is the sharp rise in Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D).
As of last week, BTC.D has made a new high this cycle. With the risk of a recession increasing, there's a high probability that Bitcoin is going to be the investment of choice for crypto holders (apart from stablecoins).
My assumption is that the BTC.D will continue to rise towards the yellow area, potentially even higher if the recession actually hits.
Alts are prone to lose against BTC, and are likely to keep losing value against BTC for the foreseeable future. On the other hand, if the BTC.D keeps rising it will also come down at some point and cause a massive alt season.
Patience is key.
Bitcoin FULL Analysis PART 2In a previous analysis, I discussed the relationship between Bitcoin, the Altcoin market and Bitcoin Dominance.
An important rotation exists between these three; and by using TOTAL3 together with BTC.D, you can get a clearer picture of where BTC is trading in the current cycle.
In this video, I make an important suggestion based off Elliot Wave Theory. This theory is backed up by the points mentioned but also by the Logarithmic view:
From the log scale, we can see BTC is still trading relatively low compared to previous cycle top-outs. So the question remains - the end... or just the beginning?
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COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
BTCD / BTC DOMINANCEBTC Dominance (BTCD) Analysis: Weekly Timeframe 📊
The chart displays Bitcoin’s dominance (BTCD) on a weekly timeframe, marking significant dates for potential opportunities.
🟢 September 16, 2024 - Buy Date (Green Line):
This line indicates a potential local bottom in Bitcoin dominance, suggesting an opportunity to accumulate BTC or Bitcoin-dominant assets as dominance may increase.
🟢 October 7, 2024 - Buy Date (Green Line):
Another local bottom is forecasted for this date, offering another entry point to increase Bitcoin-related positions as dominance is expected to rise after this period.
🟢 January 13, 2025 - Buy Date (Green Line):
A significant bottom in BTC dominance is expected around this date, making it a favorable time to enter long positions in BTC as dominance may rise moving forward.
🟢 February 10, 2025 - Buy Date (Green Line):
This date marks another forecasted low in BTC dominance, which could be another ideal opportunity to accumulate long positions.
🟢 March 24, 2025 - Buy Date (Green Line):
A potential local bottom around this time offers another chance to enter Bitcoin dominance-related positions before a forecasted increase.
🕒 Note: All times are based on Los Angeles time (UTC -7). Cross-reference this analysis with higher timeframes and always account for a potential 1-2 candle margin of error.
BTC.DAnalysis for BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance): Weekly Timeframe 📊
The chart highlights the market cap dominance of Bitcoin (BTC.D) on a weekly timeframe. Several important points are marked, including projected levels for Bitcoin dominance and significant forecast dates:
🟢 October 7, 2024 - Buy Date (Green Line):
This marks a local bottom, suggesting a potential opportunity for Bitcoin to experience a decrease in dominance. This could indicate the start of favorable conditions for altcoins, as investors might rotate into altcoins while Bitcoin consolidates or trends downward.
🟢 February 10, 2025 - Buy Date (Green Line):
This date highlights another expected local low in Bitcoin dominance. If Bitcoin’s dominance declines around this time, altcoins might outperform, leading to potential opportunities in the altcoin market.
Expected Level for Major Altcoin Season:
The horizontal lines and red markers indicate the anticipated level of Bitcoin dominance required for an incredible altcoin season to occur. When Bitcoin dominance reaches the circled area, it could be an optimal time for altcoins to rally, as money may flow out of Bitcoin and into the broader cryptocurrency market.
Note:
All times are based on Los Angeles time (UTC -7). A small margin of error of 1-2 candles is possible depending on the timeframe.