BTC DOMINANCE WEEKLY SHIFT.. a SIGN of upcoming Crypto PUMPS?!I've been tracking btcdominance' weekly data and it looks like a major shift is starting to transpire.
Shorters seems to have found their peaks -- and altcoin bulls may take over anytime now.
Double top has been created -- and a strong order block resistance is being met with rejection.
Expect reversal to the downside from here on for BTCDOM (expect altcoins/overall crypto market to dominate the upside region again)
spotted at 1594 (target: extended downtrend)
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On crypto market, a coin dominance is a ratio of its market cap to cumulative market cap of cryptocurrencies. It's a great way to see how big a coin is relative to the whole crypto market — the value of everything is in comparison. It's calculated by dividing a coin market cap by the overall market cap of the top 125 coins and then multiplying it by 100.
It's only when Bitcoin's dominance increases while Bitcoin's price is stable or when Bitcoin's dominance decreases, and its price also decreases that the prices of altcoins remain rather stable. When Bitcoin's dominance increases, altcoins usually lose market share and therefore value vis-à-vis Bitcoin.
Btcdom
$BTC dominance' s bearish retest#btc #bitcoin dominance has bounced after leaving the channel. Now, #btcd performing a bearish retest. If reclaims the channel BTC.d may rise. But, in my previous posts, i have said BTCD chart has an important bearish divergence (now as seen on the chart with red lines). Thus, if bearish retest succeeds, BTCD declines here and fails to enter channel, money will likely flow into #altcoins or #usdt . USDT is more likely, because #memecoins sucked the money already.
Not financial advice.
Dominance the system core- for me it has always been very complicate to explain BTC.D to peoples, because it's complicate ! lol
- it's weird to understand the moves and many factors have to be compared together an alchemy have to happen to see something happening.
- So basically to explain it, i will tell you what "we want to see" or "what we don't want to see" in the future. if the story repeats again.
1/ BTC.D have to grow up, then Altcoins will struggle down trying to find a potential bottom.
- While BTC.D grow up, BTC price have to grow up also or at least stabilize ( this is a good sign )
2 / if BTC price down and BTC.D up, it's bad, it's just the normal way ( No Divergence )
- When BTC price + BTC.D both up together, it's a kind of " inversed divergence ", it means something good gonna happens. ( get it ?)
- Basically also if USDT/USDC Dom Grow and BTC price stabilize and not goes down anymore, it's a good sign.
- Normality the normal way is : BTC up / USDT/USDC.D Down OR BTC Down / USDT/USDC.D up.
- Before we had no reason to check those Stables coins because they had not much DOM in markets, but now have to count with them.
- So While BTC.D is growing, altcoins will just make some weak moves.
- When BTC will reach is next Dominance's ATH ( witch have to be lower than last years because more concurrence )
- BTC.D will crash and ALT SEASON will start.
- it took me many years to understand that, but it's pure logic ( Fibonacci is working perfectly on it )
- again it's not easy to get it.
- if you have any questions feel free to add a comment.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC.D has NEVER Broken Above This Line! Ever.Traders,
I know there's a first for everything but, as traders, we usually do our best work NOT guessing when that first will be. In this case, I have traced that descending purple TL back to sometime around November of 2016, which is nearly to the inception of dominance on this particular chart. In it's history, BTC.D has NEVER broken above our trend line with confirmation on the daily. You can observe a few wick ups but no body closes, let alone confirmation. Until we get a close above that TL with confirmation, I believe it's safe to conclude that we may see Bitcoin struggle a bit here vs. the Alts. Bitcoin needs to close above this trend line or larger cap alts, like Ethereum, will continue to outperform.
Stew
Dominance to drop to 35% if it can't reclaim 58%Should Bitcoin Dominance fail to reclaim an old neckline at 57-58%, it will likely drop back down to its recent lows and continue down to make a new ATL just below 35%
Presently, Bitcoin dominance may fail to get above 54.09% on the weekly chart, after losing its uptrend and getting stopped 3x.
If instead it does get above it, it still has to reclaim the neckline of a double-top that occurred the last time it tapped ~73.6%, and it appears to be facing resistance to that already, several percentage points below that level.
It also has never hit an old rising wedge's TP 2, which happens to line up with a 2x measured move down from the aforementioned double-top.
This idea is contrary to another post I've made that sees Bitcoin Dominance as long-term bullish, and headed back towards 100%, which I've linked to below and in the related ideas section as well:
If I were to trade Bitcoin Dominance (BTCDOM), I would sell now.Bitcoin Dominance (BTCDOM) has formed a distinctive double top at 2380, a key level marked by a bearish divergence observed in the MACD oscillator. While a strong support zone has emerged around the psychological level of 2000, a critical shift could be underway.
It's important to note that BTCDOM has breached below the 50 Moving Average on a 3-Day chart, signaling a departure from its recent trend. The convergence of a bearish MACD divergence and the breach below the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) paints a picture of potential weakness in the BTC dominance dynamics.
The emphasis on this potential weakness raises a flag, presenting a reasonable selling opportunity. This decision is bolstered by the recognition of a solid risk-to-reward ratio, underlining the strategic nature of the suggested trade. Traders, take note – the current technical signals suggest that now might be the opportune moment to act on a bearish outlook for Bitcoin Dominance.
BTC.D at its support. May rise soon, Alts dump is expected!BTC Dominance is at its major support and is expected to rise soon from this level, if this happens then we will witness a major drop in alt coins from 20% to 50% retracement.
major drop in some coins like MATIC, XRP, FTM, DYDX, LUNA could be seen in few days.
BTC.D up, ALTS downBTC.D is made a retest but failed to create a lower low, instead given a break and close above of the Resistance Area. Alts were dumping aggressively right now, as #BTC make short-term aggressive moves, and money started flowing into it. Dominance Reached towards the Resistance area of 54.5%. Still, there's index reached area, so alts will react and might jump a little bit.
Bitcoin is reminding us who’s the KING
BTC grinding towards 45k while ETH stays at 2250
BTC dom keep going up after testing weekly EMA200 while sucking alts blood
ETHBTC about to break down
ETF or not, make sure you have enough exposure to BTC instead of 100% alts
Alts will have there time when BTC dom hits ~57%
Look for pairs that go strong against BTC not USDT
BTC.D (W)
Inverse ETHBTC (2W)
HAPPY TRADING!
Possible Move Down to Daily SupportBitcoin Dominance may move down to daily support around ~48-49%.
Confluence:
It has failed to remain above 53.2%, which is the bottom of a resistance area
Not pictured: it has also lost the 50 day SMA and is presently pushing on the 50 day EMA
It has formed a smaller rising wedge as it moved into resistance and broke down from the bottom of that wedge (light blue diagonal) targeting ~49% for its 1x measured move down.
There is a larger rising wedge (white diagonals) that will see a confirmed breakdown if the smaller one above hits its ~49% target, and its initial target is bottom of daily support @ ~48%
How this could be invalidated:
A reclaim of the 50 day SMA (not pictured).
Get back above the 53.2% level and continue pushing through resistance.
Move back above the smaller rising wedge's bottom and get above the shared top from both rising wedges
Here's a look at the chart above, but with the 50/200 day SMAs and EMAs:
Thanks ahead for reading and sharing your thoughts!
- dudebruh
#btcd #bitcoin dominance preparing a new leap? Beware!..#crypto market is greedy nowadays. But when everyone is greedy, take extra caution.
Money flowed into #altcoins , while #btc price is moving sideways and naturally #btcdom indice is slightly corrected. But BTC.D is about reach the support region and it' s probable that it may bounce there.
If bounces hard, that will surely take money from altcoins if there' s no money inflow to the crypto exchanges from outer globe. (While btc price goes up)
If there' ll be dump on btc, altcoins may have a blood bath.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Does This Give Alts a Chance to Shine?Dominance is performing nearly perfectly with only a few surprises along the way. I wasn't quite sure dominance wanted to test the underside of that channel you see in red. That channel started in November of last year. We broke to the downside in August of this year and never really retested. Well, here we are today. We have retested the underside of the channel and can now expect BTC.D to continue its drop. The big question is will alts drop with Bitcoin as they have mostly been accustomed to doing in this bear market or will this finally be a time in which we can witness some divergence? The chart is showing the latter as a strong possibility however, be careful with your picks. Small cap/high risk alts should for the most part, not enter the equation here yet. The divergence will probably most notably be witness in larger cap alts like Ethereum and XRP. Maybe a few mid-cap alts as well.
This is not fin advice.
Stewdamus.
BTCDOM Cup and Handle FailurePreviously, I shared a Cup and Handle formation on BTCDOM. The target for the Cup and Handle was 500 billion.
Yesterday, following the favorable ruling about XRP’s legal standing this pattern broke below the 340 billion support level.
It is still a bit early to call an altseason because there was no retest of the 340 billion level as resistance. Regardless, the drop in BTCDOM is a positive sign for altcoins.
NFA.
What do you think? Please share in the comments.
Best Wishes.
BTC.D Weekly resultsWeekly results show no signs of the trend continuing.
At two weeks, there are still 48% in the rejection area.
When the volume is viewed, there are no clear indications,
but it is clear that the 48% area is still quite powerful, and there is a chance that he will move back to the 47% area.