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$BTC Daily Update with key S/RCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC WOW! Bullish engulfing played out as expected taking $29,199 support, $30,282 resisted last climb, must hold $29,742 support to reattempt at $30,282. Previous 4h closed bearish, expect $29,742 support test, RSI in oversold region on 4H and 1D also suggesting test, $30,282-$30,623 next key resistance range to watch for and then $31,372, key support areas $29,199, $28,590, $27,994.
BTC bullish vs bearish scenariosBTC / USDT
After rumors of SEC approved Bitcoin ETF yesterday, price pumped hard and then most of the pump is absorbed …
right now BTC at very decisive area :
1- The Bullish scenario:
Since 2021 the key level (31-32k)is a very strong level, a breakout and stability above is a bull signal and will confirm double bottom pattern
2- The Bearish scenario:
completing the head and shoulders pattern and dropping below 25k will lead to further correction “if happened I believe it will be the last correction”
What is the most likely scenario for you and why ?
All questions and opinions are welcomed
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Market Symmetry show BTC dipping before pumping to 34kNOTE: Following is interesting stuff but don't take this seriously as this is just for fun.
I love market symmetry and use it to make models that predict what certain assets may do next, it works as long as model and symmetry remains intact.
Chart is self-explanatory, but still there is a lot going on so let me break it down.
This story began on 12th September as you can see on the left most part of the chart. That is when the current uptrend began and BTC started moving symmetrically on several parameters which are described below.
1. Time spent at the lows before making move that breaks Market structure:
From 12th September lows to the present lows at 26500 the time BTC
consolidated at the lows kept on increasing but in a symmetrical fashion.
As you can see in the chart on the 12th September lows it spent 7 bars , on the
24th September lows it spent 16 bars and on the 11th October Lows it spent 23
bars. So, we can deduce a pattern here. 7, 16 , 23 , the next number in the
series should be 29. Each number in this series is derived by adding a number
from another series 9,7,5,3 ....
2. Time taken from the previous lows to the next highs is constant, that is approx.
30 bars.
3. Percentage move between each low and the next high is also increasing in
symmetrical fashion:
First move was 6% highlighted in yellow vertical bars, second move was 10%, 3rd
Move was 16% , so logically the next number in the series is 24. Each number in this
series is derived by adding a number from another series 4,6,8,10 ....
Notice the curve shown in cyan color which I have fitted as close as possible to the highs and the lows.
So based on this data, we should get out next low on or around 25th Oct and we should spend around 4days consolidating there, then btc should give us an explosive PUMP to 33500 area which is 24% from the anticipated low at 27K on 25th Oct.
We can also make following conclusion based on information presented by above parameters:
Volatility on BTC has been expanding gradually over time, which is giving us bigger pumps, but we also notice that the time between each high and low remains constant while time spent at the lows increases every time, this tells us that each time the time it will take to pump to new highs will reduce hence giving us increasingly explosive pumps.
The target 33500 is also in confluence with the Cyan Curve in the main chart. It is also the measured move of the following large Diamond BTC has been trading in for a long time.
₿itcoin will go | Trade Analysis BTCUSDHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity BTCUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC broke $28,298 support, currently testing to hold. $27,994 support in effect, 4H RSI looking good, Previous daily close failed to follow bullish close from Tuesday, last daily closed bearish. Current support range $27,478-$27,994. Must hold $27,994 to reattempt $28,781
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Bearish engulfing played out dropping towards $26,650 support which held as expected being a key support, $28,781 resistance testing as of now, RSI on 4h oversold, bullish engulfing coming up on 1D with RSI approaching oversold region, next key resistance $29,742, Current support $28,298, gaining $29,742 will help test $30,623.
BTC has positive signs- The BTC price increase scenario I presented yesterday was completely correct. However, due to the news, BTC price rose faster and stronger than I expected. Stay tuned for today's BTC commentary!
* Image D1 above: Yesterday's candlestick D1 was a strong bullish candlestick with a long top shadow, which suddenly increased in volume and closed half of its amplitude. From a technical point of view, this candle shows strong selling forces on the upside, which have succeeded in pushing the price lower and closing half of the range. However, due to the influence of fake news related to the BlackRock Bitcoin Spot ETF, yesterday's D1 candlestick did not have much meaning in terms of technical analysis. - Overall, BTC's short-term uptrend is likely to continue as it is trading in a new price appreciation channel. * Total3 comments (total market capitalization of virtual currencies excluding BTC and ETH)
- Total3 is accumulated in the last part of the symmetric triangular model, which is a bipolar model. However, this model was formed during a very long sideways phase, and the BTC trend is currently very positive. From a personal perspective, I'm leaning towards the scenario where his Total3 breaks the ascending triangle pattern. Therefore, I still believe that there will be a wave of altcoin recovery in the near future.
BTC Hovers at $28,000 with Strong ResistanceAs you may already be aware, BTC has reached an astonishing value of $28,000 with an alarming level of resistance. It was due to a fake story of a Blackrock ETF approval story. It is during times like these when it becomes crucial for us to reassess our strategies and approach trading with caution.
In light of the current situation, I strongly encourage each one of you to consider pausing your BTC trading activities momentarily. This is not a call to panic or to suggest that the market will crash, but rather an opportunity to reflect on the potential risks involved. As experienced traders, we understand that it is imperative to exercise prudence and vigilance as we navigate the ever-changing dynamics of the crypto market.
By pausing our BTC trading momentarily, we can gain a better understanding of the developing patterns and indicators that may guide our future decisions. It grants us the chance to reassess our risk management strategies, conduct thorough analyses, and seek advice from trusted experts in the field. This brief pause can help us avoid impulsive decision-making and allow us to approach the market with a clear and calculated perspective.
As we tread this uncharted territory, uncertainty can be overwhelming. However, it is in these challenging times that we have an opportunity to learn, adapt, and grow as traders. Pausing BTC trading now may potentially save us from unforeseen losses and provide us with a chance to regroup ourselves for the next profitable move.
Let us remember that our success as traders is not measured solely by our ability to act swiftly, but also by the wisdom and prudence with which we approach the market. So, take a moment and pause your BTC trading activities, reassess your strategies, and embrace this opportunity to ensure the long-term success of your trading journey.
Long trade #14 for Bitcoin BTC price. FOMC Fed rate todayWe have found a very interesting fractal movement of the BTCUSDT price, which now has a chance to repeat itself at least partially.
So, we'll try to take a long position.
Entry = buy zone $26456-26681 with a potential average price of $26569
Stop = $25764 (-3%)
TP = $29180 (+9.8%)
P/L ratio = 3.25
We allocate $10,000 for this trade
In the event of a mistake, we will lose $300
If the trade will be a success, we will receive a profit of $980
We also remind you that today, 20.09, is the announcement of the new Fed rate. Currently, the market expects the rate to remain unchanged at 5.50%.
Therefore, we assume that there will be increased market volatility at 18:00-20:00 UTC, during Powell's speech.
We plan to enter the trade on this volatility.
We also have a few of our old ideas that "subtly hint" that growth is still possible in the coming weeks:
Idea from 03/03/2023 "Inverted Head and Shoulders"
The BTCUSDT price has tested the base twice. It's time for the BTC price to grow, the minimum target for this pattern is $40-41k.
Idea from 04/28/2023 The BTCUSDT price has been skillfully moving with the green fractal for over six months. If it continues like this, then by the new year, $50-51k is real.
Idea from 11/18/2022. The total capitalization of the crypto market. Almost a year ago, the crypto market bottomed out. Since then, the total capitalization has grown by +25-30%, which is not much, to be honest. But if the fractal movement continues, we can see +60-70% in the total capitalization of the crypto market by the end of the year.
What do you think about this trade, and what is your vision? Write about it in the comments!
BTC H4 LONG SIGNALHello dear friends
Bitcoin in the H4 time frame can touch the level of $26,400 to $26,000. It can be suitable for a long position if there is a buying trigger.
It should be noted that the existing low base can also have a suitable position if the losses are accumulated behind the surface
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