BTC Long or Short?Today's #CryptoWhale100Billion analysis indicates that BTC has broken a lower to target point of $19,750 resistance and has risen to $20,300. Many traders have taken profit, and the crypto market has reacted accordingly. Notable patterns such as the double top and backward W breaking lower low have been observed.
Based on my analysis, BTC resistant area is around $20,000. Furthermore, if BTC manages to hold above the next resistance near $19,500, it could rise back up to $23,500. I am bullish on BTC reaching this level.
The BTC market operates 24/7, which means traders must be vigilant in their analysis and trend-following. Hours of work are required to analyze market movements and trends, and it can be difficult to trust a single idea. However, by backtesting trading strategies and continually monitoring data, it is possible to understand market movements better and identify entry and exit points.
BTC's volatility provides insights into potential bullish or bearish movements, and keeping track of this data can help develop effective trading strategies.
Below are some past predictions from my analysis!
Please feel free to share your technical analysis and trading strategies with me by sending a message. Don't forget to press the thumbs up if you found this analysis helpful, and share your thoughts on where BTC is headed. Thank you for your support!
BTCUSDC
#BTC Uncertainty today, CPI TomorrowUncertainty today, CPI Tomorrow
A retest of the 21.4 area to see if this movement can be sustained appears to be the best course of action from here.
Many confluences at this level (BB Mid band, daily trendline, strongest 12H candle in 2023 etc)
Stay alert around news.
🧘♂️
FIRST LONG THEN SHORTIn my previous analysis, i stated that i expected a decrease to around $ 18,000.
But there is a possibility of these 2 rising moves before this fall.
First to the orange point which is two different resistance at the same time.
And the second it may retest the rising trend channel it broke down last week.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
BTCUSD is a buy nowBTCUSD is a buy now. The price has been retesting the lower boundary of the channel and now it's ready to continue the uptrend.
We can see that it's a potential higher low which is a sign that the uptrend is still in tack.
As long a 21350$ holds, BTC has a chance to continue the uptrend.
Target: upper boundary of the channel
Daily close below 21350 $ would be an invalidation of the thesis and then we should see more downside.
Good luck
BTC Ascending Channel Hello Traders. Hope you are having a great weekend. As you can see BTC is in an ascending channel and last couple of days, it dipped to the bottom
of the channel. I think price will dip below 22K zone and recover fast as the yellow arrow shows and will go up for the short term to 23K zone. After
that breaking the channel is expected.
What do you think guys?
Comment down below.
Bitcoin - Wyckoff Accumulation?Phase A
The selling force decreases, and the downtrend starts to slow down. This phase is usually marked by an increase in trading volume. The Preliminary Support (PS) indicates that some buyers are showing up, but still not enough to stop the downward move.
The Selling Climax (SC) is formed by an intense selling activity as investors capitulate. This is often a point of high volatility, where panic selling creates big candlesticks and wicks. The strong drop quickly reverts into a bounce or Automatic Rally (AR), as the excessive supply is absorbed by the buyers. In general, the trading range (TR) of an Accumulation Schematic is defined by the space between the SC low and the AR high.
As the name suggests, the Secondary Test (ST) happens when the market drops near the SC region, testing whether the downtrend is really over or not. At this point, the trading volume and market volatility tend to be lower. While the ST often forms a higher low in relation to the SC, that may not always be the case.
Phase B
Based on Wyckoff’s Law of Cause and Effect, Phase B may be seen as the Cause that leads to an Effect.
Essentially, Phase B is the consolidation stage, in which the Composite Man accumulates the highest number of assets. During this stage, the market tends to test both resistance and support levels of the trading range.
There may be numerous Secondary Tests (ST) during Phase B. In some cases, they may produce higher highs (bull traps) and lower lows (bear traps) in relation to the SC and AR of the Phase A.
Phase C
A typical Accumulation Phase C contains what is called a Spring. It often acts as the last bear trap before the market starts making higher lows. During Phase C, the Composite Man ensures that there is little supply left in the market, i.e., the ones that were to sell already did.
The Spring often breaks the support levels to stop out traders and mislead investors. We may describe it as a final attempt to buy shares at a lower price before the uptrend starts. The bear trap induces retail investors to give up their holdings.
In some cases, however, the support levels manage to hold, and the Spring simply does not occur. In other words, there may be Accumulation Schematics that present all other elements but not the Spring. Still, the overall scheme continues to be valid.
Phase D
The Phase D represents the transition between the Cause and Effect. It stands between the Accumulation zone (Phase C) and the breakout of the trading range (Phase E).
Typically, the Phase D shows a significant increase in trading volume and volatility. It usually has a Last Point Support (LPS), making a higher low before the market moves higher. The LPS often precedes a breakout of the resistance levels, which in turn creates higher highs. This indicates Signs of Strength (SOS), as previous resistances become brand new supports.
Despite the somewhat confusing terminology, there may be more than one LPS during Phase D. They often have increased trading volume while testing the new support lines. In some cases, the price may create a small consolidation zone before effectively breaking the bigger trading range and moving to Phase E.
Phase E
The Phase E is the last stage of an Accumulation Schematic. It is marked by an evident breakout of the trading range, caused by increased market demand. This is when the trading range is effectively broken, and the uptrend starts.
Wyckoff’s five-step approach
Wyckoff also developed a five-step approach to the market, which was based on his many principles and techniques. In short, this approach may be seen as a way to put his teaching into practice.
Step 1: Determine the trend.
What is the current trend and where it is likely to go? How is the relation between supply and demand?
Step 2: Determine the asset’s strength.
How strong is the asset in relation to the market? Are they moving in a similar or opposite fashion?
Step 3: Look for assets with sufficient Cause.
Are there enough reasons to enter a position? Is the Cause strong enough that makes the potential rewards (Effect) worth the risks?
Step 4: Determine how likely is the move.
Is the asset ready to move? What is its position within the bigger trend? What do the price and volume suggest? This step often involves the use of Wyckoff’s Buying and Selling Tests.
Step 5: Time your entry.
The last step is all about timing. It usually involves analyzing a stock in comparison to the general market.
For example, a trader can compare the price action of a stock in relation to the S&P 500 index. Depending on their position within their individual Wyckoff Schematic, such an analysis may provide insights into the next movements of the asset. Eventually, this facilitates the establishment of a good entry.
Notably, this method works better with assets that move together with the general market or index. In cryptocurrency markets, though, this correlation isn’t always present.
Mathematical Proof the Bear Market is Over?This is the log of the difference between the 80 Week SMA and the 20 Week SMA and its first derivative (slope) on the BTCUSD chart
The white line = and the red and green waves are the first derivative of said measurement.
This measurement quite clearly indicates that we are moving out of a bear market and into a bull market.
18.2k incoming! Here's a quick look at the 8 hr . BTC chart. As we can see, the price broke below the rising channel and is currently on a mission to close the fair value gap at 18.2k! It has already closed the gap at 20k.
These gaps tend to get filled at some point! Also, the DXY is expected to rally from its current level - when the DXY goes up, the BTC price will go down!
I firmly believe the bottom will be close to the 10-12k area. We have yet to see the last capitulation, IMO, yet! Trade Safe!
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Key Dates to Watch in March:
10 Mar: US Non-farm Payrolls
10 Mar: Mt. Gox Distribution
14 Mar: CPI Data Release
15 Mar: PPI Data Release
21/22 Mar: FOMC Meeting
30 Mar: GDP Report
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What's a Fair Value Gap?:
A fair value gap is the difference between a financial instrument's theoretical value and market value, such as a derivative or security. It can indicate a misprizing opportunity for traders to profit by buying or selling at the misprized level. In other words, there is a gap in the price in which some open orders still need to be filled. The price will return to fill the orders.
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BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will drop as well. Trade safe!
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BTC Price Live Data
The live Bitcoin price today is $19,916.96 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $37,571,784,387 USD. We update our BTC to USD price in real-time. Bitcoin is down 8.02% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #1, with a live market cap of $384,660,279,834 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,313,206 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
If you would like to know where to buy Bitcoin at the current rate, the top cryptocurrency exchanges for trading in Bitcoin stock are currently Binance, OKX, Bybit, Deepcoin, and BingX. You can find others listed on our crypto exchanges page.
What Is Bitcoin (BTC)?
Bitcoin is a decentralized cryptocurrency originally described in a 2008 whitepaper by a person, or group of people, using the alias Satoshi Nakamoto. It was launched soon after, in January 2009.
Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer online currency, meaning that all transactions happen directly between equal, independent network participants, without the need for any intermediary to permit or facilitate them. Bitcoin was created, according to Nakamoto’s own words, to allow “online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”
Some concepts for a similar type of a decentralized electronic currency precede BTC, but Bitcoin holds the distinction of being the first-ever cryptocurrency to come into actual use.
Who Are the Founders of Bitcoin?
Bitcoin’s original inventor is known under a pseudonym, Satoshi Nakamoto. As of 2021, the true identity of the person — or organization — that is behind the alias remains unknown.
On October 31, 2008, Nakamoto published Bitcoin’s whitepaper, which described in detail how a peer-to-peer, online currency could be implemented. They proposed to use a decentralized ledger of transactions packaged in batches (called “blocks”) and secured by cryptographic algorithms — the whole system would later be dubbed “blockchain.”
Just two months later, on January 3, 2009, Nakamoto mined the first block on the Bitcoin network, known as the genesis block, thus launching the world’s first cryptocurrency. Bitcoin price was $0 when first introduced, and most Bitcoins were obtained via mining, which only required moderately powerful devices (e.g. PCs) and mining software. The first known Bitcoin commercial transaction occurred on May 22, 2010, when programmer Laszlo Hanyecz traded 10,000 Bitcoins for two pizzas. At Bitcoin price today in mid-September 2021, those pizzas would be worth an astonishing $478 million. This event is now known as “Bitcoin Pizza Day.” In July 2010, Bitcoin first started trading, with the Bitcoin price ranging from $0.0008 to $0.08 at that time.
However, while Nakamoto was the original inventor of Bitcoin, as well as the author of its very first implementation, he handed the network alert key and control of the code repository to Gavin Andresen, who later became lead developer at the Bitcoin Foundation. Over the years a large number of people have contributed to improving the cryptocurrency’s software by patching vulnerabilities and adding new features.
Bitcoin’s source code repository on GitHub lists more than 750 contributors, with some of the key ones being Wladimir J. van der Laan, Marco Falke, Pieter Wuille, Gavin Andresen, Jonas Schnelli and others.
What Makes Bitcoin Unique?
Bitcoin’s most unique advantage comes from the fact that it was the very first cryptocurrency to appear on the market.
It has managed to create a global community and give birth to an entirely new industry of millions of enthusiasts who create, invest in, trade and use Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in their everyday lives. The emergence of the first cryptocurrency has created a conceptual and technological basis that subsequently inspired the development of thousands of competing projects.
The entire cryptocurrency market — now worth more than $2 trillion — is based on the idea realized by Bitcoin: money that can be sent and received by anyone, anywhere in the world without reliance on trusted intermediaries, such as banks and financial services companies.
Thanks to its pioneering nature, BTC remains at the top of this energetic market after over a decade of existence. Even after Bitcoin has lost its undisputed dominance, it remains the largest cryptocurrency, with a market capitalization that surpassed the $1 trillion mark in 2021, after Bitcoin price hit an all-time high of $64,863.10 on April 14, 2021. This is owing in large part to growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, and the ubiquitousness of platforms that provide use-cases for BTC: wallets, exchanges, payment services, online games and more.
Related Pages:
Looking for market and blockchain data for BTC? Visit our block explorer.
Want to buy Bitcoin? Use CoinMarketCap’s guide.
Want to keep track of Bitcoin prices live? Download the CoinMarketCap mobile app!
Want to convert Bitcoin price today to your desired fiat currency? Check out CoinMarketCap exchange rate calculator.
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What is wrapped Bitcoin?
Will Bitcoin volatility ever reduce?
How to use a Bitcoin ATM
How Much Bitcoin Is in Circulation?
Bitcoin’s total supply is limited by its software and will never exceed 21,000,000 coins. New coins are created during the process known as “mining”: as transactions are relayed across the network, they get picked up by miners and packaged into blocks, which are in turn protected by complex cryptographic calculations.
As compensation for spending their computational resources, the miners receive rewards for every block that they successfully add to the blockchain. At the moment of Bitcoin’s launch, the reward was 50 bitcoins per block: this number gets halved with every 210,000 new blocks mined — which takes the network roughly four years. As of 2020, the block reward has been halved three times and comprises 6.25 bitcoins.
Bitcoin has not been premined, meaning that no coins have been mined and/or distributed between the founders before it became available to the public. However, during the first few years of BTC’s existence, the competition between miners was relatively low, allowing the earliest network participants to accumulate significant amounts of coins via regular mining: Satoshi Nakamoto alone is believed to own over a million Bitcoin.
Mining Bitcoins can be very profitable for miners, depending on the current hash rate and the price of Bitcoin. While the process of mining Bitcoins is complex, we discuss how long it takes to mine one Bitcoin on CoinMarketCap Alexandria — as we wrote above, mining Bitcoin is best understood as how long it takes to mine one block, as opposed to one Bitcoin. As of mid-September 2021, the Bitcoin mining reward is capped to 6.25 BTC after the 2020 halving, which is roughly $299,200 in Bitcoin price today.
How Is the Bitcoin Network Secured?
Bitcoin is secured with the SHA-256 algorithm, which belongs to the SHA-2 family of hashing algorithms, which is also used by its fork Bitcoin Cash (BCH), as well as several other cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin Energy Consumption
Over the past few decades, consumers have become more curious about their energy consumption and personal effects on climate change. When news stories started swirling regarding the possible negative effects of Bitcoin’s energy consumption, many became concerned about Bitcoin and criticized this energy usage. A report found that each Bitcoin transaction takes 1,173 KW hours of electricity, which can “power the typical American home for six weeks.” Another report calculates that the energy required by Bitcoin annually is more than the annual hourly energy usage of Finland, a country with a population of 5.5 million.
The news has produced commentary from tech entrepreneurs to environmental activists to political leaders alike. In May 2021, Tesla CEO Elon Musk even stated that Tesla would no longer accept the cryptocurrency as payment, due to his concern regarding its environmental footprint. Though many of these individuals have condemned this issue and move on, some have prompted solutions: how do we make Bitcoin more energy efficient? Others have simply taken the defensive position, stating that the Bitcoin energy problem may be exaggerated.
At present, miners are heavily reliant on renewable energy sources, with estimates suggesting that Bitcoin’s use of renewable energy may span anywhere from 40-75%. However, to this point, critics claim that increasing Bitcoin’s renewable energy usage will take away from solar sources powering other sectors and industries like hospitals, factories or homes. The Bitcoin mining community also attests that the expansion of mining can help lead to the construction of new solar and wind farms in the future.
Furthermore, some who defend Bitcoin argue that the gold and banking sector — individually — consume twice the amount of energy as Bitcoin, making the criticism of Bitcoin’s energy consumption a nonstarter. Moreover, the energy consumption of Bitcoin can easily be tracked and traced, which the same cannot be said of the other two sectors. Those who defend Bitcoin also note that the complex validation process creates a more secure transaction system, which justifies the energy usage.
Another point that Bitcoin proponents make is that the energy usage required by Bitcoin is all-inclusive such that it encompasses the process of creating, securing, using and transporting Bitcoin. Whereas with other financial sectors, this is not the case. For example, when calculating the carbon footprint of a payment processing system like Visa, they fail to calculate the energy required to print money or power ATMs, or smartphones, bank branches, security vehicles, among other components in the payment processing and banking supply chain.
What exactly are governments and nonprofits doing to reduce Bitcoin energy consumption? Earlier this year in the U.S., a congressional hearing was held on the topic where politicians and tech figures discussed the future of crypto mining in the U.S, specifically highlighting their concerns regarding fossil fuel consumption. Leaders also discussed the current debate surrounding the coal-to-crypto trend, particularly regarding the number of coal plants in New York and Pennsylvania that are in the process of being repurposed into mining farms.
Aside from congressional hearings, there are private sector crypto initiatives dedicated to solving environmental issues such as the Crypto Climate Accord and Bitcoin Mining Council. In fact, the Crypto Climate Accord proposes a plan to eliminate all greenhouse gas emissions by 2040, And, due to the innovative potential of Bitcoin, it is reasonable to believe that such grand plans may be achieved.
What Is Bitcoin’s Role as a Store of Value?
Bitcoin is the first decentralized, peer-to-peer digital currency. One of its most important functions is that it is used as a decentralized store of value. In other words, it provides for ownership rights as a physical asset or as a unit of account. However, the latter store-of-value function has been debated. Many crypto enthusiasts and economists believe that high-scale adoption of the top currency will lead us to a new modern financial world where transaction amounts will be denominated in smaller units.
The smallest units of Bitcoin, 0.00000001 BTC, are called Satoshis (or Sats in short), in a nod to the pseudonymous creator. At Bitcoin price now, 1 Satoshi is equivalent to roughly $0.00048.
The top crypto is considered a store of value, like gold, for many — rather than a currency. This idea of the first cryptocurrency as a store of value, instead of a payment method, means that many people buy the crypto and hold onto it long-term (or HODL) rather than spending it on items like you would typically spend a dollar — treating it as digital gold.
Crypto Wallets
The most popular wallets for cryptocurrency include both hot and cold wallets. Cryptocurrency wallets vary from hot wallets and cold wallets. Hot wallets are able to be connected to the web, while cold wallets are used for keeping large amounts of coins outside of the internet.
Some of the top crypto cold wallets are Trezor, Ledger and CoolBitX. Some of the top crypto hot wallets include Exodus, Electrum and Mycelium.
Still not sure of which wallet to use? Check out CoinMarketCap Alexandria’s guide on the top cold wallets of 2021 and top hot wallets of 2021.
#BTC/USDT Down 21% New Trade Strategy!#BTC is down 21.60% from the recent top of $25k.
It was a much-needed correction.
The question is whether we will hold the .618 level which is around $19180.
$20.8k is important weekly support too.
I think it's not wise to open short here.
it is time to look for long opportunities in the short term.
I have started accumulating longs on LTC ETH and other big caps.
INVALIDATION:- Daily Close below $18889
DYOR, Not Financial Advice.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
BITCOIN: With the DXY Threatening to Spike, BTC Might Fall a BitI'm watching the DXY carefully. It is long overdue for bounce since peaking in September. With the DXY threatening to spike and Bitcoin jumping 66% from the $15k lows to a key resistance level at $25k, it wouldn't surprise me to watch the DXY to run for a bit while Bitcoin retraces. Naturally it makes sense if the dollar index becomes stronger that every thing measured in dollars becomes weaker. We have a possible completed 5wave pattern. If BTC were to correct from here, we could have an inverse head and shoulders setup. With things so bullish, I would be looking for a shallow right shoulder. However given the bullish sentiment around BTC and the crypto over the past 6 weeks, I would not be surprised to see a wick down to the .618 as big money tries to flush out the over-leveraged longs. BTC has fallen $500 since I started writing so we may have already begun. Be patient and don't get greedy. I'll be using the DXY and BTC/Dow price action as my barometers.