Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Correction Ahead?hello guys
The Bitcoin/USDT chart shows an ascending channel with recent price action forming a divergence at the top, indicating potential weakening momentum. A bearish breakout from a smaller triangle suggests a short-term correction. The price may test the ascending trendline around $85,400, where a key support zone exists. If this level fails, a deeper correction toward the major support area around $76,800 could follow. However, if Bitcoin holds above the trendline, the uptrend could resume.
Traders should watch price action around the $85,400 level for confirmation of further downside or a potential bounce.
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BTC Today's strategyIn the short term, it will continue to adjust around 88,000. Once it builds up momentum, it’s likely to break through 90,000.
Each downward movement could present an opportunity for us.
BTC/USDT
buy@86.5K-87K
tp:88.5K-89K
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BTCUSD: Sell or buy? You can tell at a glance.BTCUSD combined with the four-hour trend, the bulls still have momentum. Formed two big supports for bottoming out. After 87,000 stabilizes. It will also hit above 88,000 in the short term. Because the opportunity to go long still exists. Short-term trading continues to buy near the current price of 87,000, TP88,000, SL86,000
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BTC/USD Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?Introduction: Understanding the Market Structure
This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart presents a technical setup with a mix of bullish and bearish formations. The analysis focuses on key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and chart patterns to determine the next possible move.
🔍 The key takeaway? BTC has formed a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, signaling potential downside unless a breakout invalidates the setup.
1. Market Structure & Current Trend Analysis
📌 Market in Curve Formation – The Accumulation Phase
Before the recent rally, Bitcoin was in a downtrend, making lower lows and lower highs, suggesting a period of price weakness.
However, price found strong support at around $77,600 - $80,000, forming a curved bottom structure—an early signal of an accumulation phase.
This bottoming pattern transitioned into a bullish uptrend, leading to the formation of a rising wedge.
🔹 Key Observations:
✔ Accumulation near $77,600 created a base for buyers.
✔ The gradual recovery curve suggests a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
✔ Bitcoin later formed higher lows, confirming a temporary uptrend.
⚠ Shift in Momentum – The Rising Wedge Appears
The price rallied from the support zone but started forming a Rising Wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal.
A rising wedge indicates that although buyers are pushing prices up, they are losing momentum.
The narrowing price range suggests that sellers are entering at higher levels, weakening bullish strength.
2. Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔵 Resistance Zone ($92,000 - $94,957)
The shaded area near $92,000 - $94,957 is a major resistance level, where BTC previously failed to sustain a breakout.
This supply zone has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength.
The Stop Loss for short positions is placed above $94,957—any breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
🟠 Support Zone ($77,600 - $80,000)
The strong demand zone between $77,600 - $80,000 aligns with previous support levels.
If the rising wedge breaks down, this is the first major price target where BTC could find support.
A strong breakdown below $77,600 could lead to further declines toward $75,000 or lower.
3. The Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Warning!
🔍 What is a Rising Wedge?
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms during an uptrend when price moves within two converging trendlines.
It indicates that buyers are losing strength, and sellers are preparing to take control.
Once the lower trendline breaks, it confirms bearish momentum, leading to a price drop.
📝 Current BTC/USD Rising Wedge Analysis:
BTC has formed higher highs and higher lows, but the price range is narrowing.
The lower trendline is critical—a breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp decline.
The bearish target aligns with the support zone near $77,600.
4. Trading Plan – Possible Scenarios
📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (High Probability)
✅ Entry: Short BTC if the price breaks below the rising wedge (~$86,000 - $85,500).
✅ Stop Loss: Above $94,957 to protect against invalidation.
✅ Take Profit Target: $77,600 - $80,000 (first support level).
✅ Extended Target: If BTC drops below $77,600, watch for $75,000 - $72,000.
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Ideally 1:3 or higher for optimal trade management.
📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Low Probability but Possible!)
If BTC breaks and closes above $94,957, the bearish setup becomes invalid.
A confirmed breakout above resistance could push BTC towards $98,000 - $100,000.
Traders should wait for volume confirmation before entering long positions.
5. Risk Management & Final Thoughts
⚠ Risk Factors to Consider:
If BTC breaks the wedge with low volume, the move might be a false breakdown.
Macroeconomic events, such as interest rate decisions, can influence price behavior.
Watch for bullish divergences in indicators like RSI or MACD before shorting aggressively.
🔎 Conclusion:
The Rising Wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal—a breakdown could send BTC toward $77,600.
Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades.
If BTC breaks above $94,957, a bullish continuation could push it toward $100,000.
🔥 Bearish Bias Until Breakdown Confirmation!
Would you like an indicator-based analysis (e.g., RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages)? 🚀
BTCUSDT: Today's SignalsToday, Bitcoin is fluctuating within the range of 86,000 and 88,000. It's attempting to touch the resistance level of 89,000. The upward trend is weakening, and eventually, the price will drop.
BTCUSDT sell@88500-89000
TP 1:86000
TP 2:83000
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BTCUSD:Wait for a rebound before going shortThe fluctuations are not big now, judging from the structure of the 30M icon. The probability of rebounding and then falling later is relatively high. My trading idea is to wait for the rebound to go short. The short orders entered near 88K yesterday are now generally profitable. They can be closed first and then entered after the rebound to prevent the price from rising directly.
Losing profits is a trivial matter, but turning from profit to loss would be very uneconomical.
BTC's Bull Run: Profit Realized, Resistance AheadCurrently, BTC is hovering around $88,000. We had already achieved our profit target yesterday. Ever since BTC broke through the $85,000 mark, it has been rising continuously. The market is in a bullish - dominated trend, with strong buying power driving the price up steadily. Although it's in an uptrend, there's uncertainty about its future movement as it hasn't broken through the $89,000 - $90,000 resistance range. If it fails to break through this resistance zone effectively, the price may decline again eventually.
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BTC/USDT:Pay attention to the resistance zone.BTC fluctuated within the forecast and reached the profit point. However, the 88K-89K resistance area needs to be watched, and if it cannot be effectively broken this week, then it will fall
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Trading Setup 📊 Chart Overview & Market Context
The provided chart represents Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) price movement on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe, highlighting a Rising Wedge pattern. This pattern is generally bearish and signals a potential reversal or breakdown.
Over the past few trading sessions, BTC has been moving inside an ascending wedge formation, making higher highs and higher lows. However, this movement is narrowing, indicating weakening bullish momentum. As BTC approaches a critical resistance level, sellers appear to be gaining control, increasing the likelihood of a sharp decline.
This chart outlines a well-structured bearish trading setup, identifying key areas of resistance, support, stop-loss placement, and potential downside targets.
📌 Technical Analysis & Key Levels
🔹 1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal Signal)
A Rising Wedge is a technical pattern characterized by:
✔ Two upward-sloping trendlines, converging over time.
✔ Diminishing bullish momentum, as higher highs become weaker.
✔ Breakdown expectation, where price typically falls below the lower support trendline.
📉 Why is this pattern important?
The rising wedge signals that buyers are losing strength and that a reversal is likely.
When price breaks below the lower boundary, selling pressure increases, leading to a strong downward move.
Traders often anticipate a breakdown from this pattern to enter short positions.
🔹 2. Resistance Level (Key Rejection Zone)
📌 Zone: 88,500 - 89,500 USD
This area has acted as a strong resistance, preventing further upside movement.
Sellers stepped in, causing the price to reject and start declining.
A confirmed rejection from this level adds bearish confluence to the setup.
🔹 3. Rising Wedge Support (Breakdown Level)
📌 Zone: 85,000 - 84,500 USD
This is the lower boundary of the wedge pattern.
If BTC closes below this level with strong volume, it confirms the breakdown.
A retest of this level as resistance after a breakdown would provide an ideal short entry.
🔹 4. Key Support Levels & Bearish Targets
Once BTC breaks down, the next areas of interest are:
📌 First Bearish Target: 80,500 - 79,500 USD
A previous demand zone where buyers previously pushed prices higher.
BTC could pause here before continuing lower.
📌 Final Target (Full Breakdown Projection): 76,802 USD
If the wedge pattern fully plays out, BTC could drop toward this level.
This aligns with a major historical support zone, where significant buying interest could emerge.
🔹 5. Stop-Loss & Risk Management
📌 Stop-Loss: 90,483 USD
If BTC moves above this level, it invalidates the bearish setup.
Keeping a tight stop-loss ensures controlled risk while maximizing potential rewards.
📉 Trading Plan: How to Trade This Setup?
✅ Short Entry Strategy:
Enter a short trade once BTC breaks below 85,000 USD, confirming the wedge breakdown.
If BTC retests the broken support (now resistance), it offers a second entry opportunity.
✅ Stop-Loss Placement:
Place a stop-loss above 90,483 USD, in case of a bullish breakout.
✅ Take-Profit Levels:
First Target: 80,500 - 79,500 USD (Support zone)
Final Target: 76,802 USD (Full wedge breakdown projection)
📌 Key Takeaways & Market Sentiment
🔸 Bearish Structure Formation: BTC is losing momentum inside a rising wedge, signaling a potential downturn.
🔸 Breakdown Confirmation Needed: A close below 85,000 USD with volume confirms the bearish trade setup.
🔸 Risk Management is Key: The stop-loss above 90,483 USD protects against invalidation.
🔸 Watch for Retests: If BTC retests the breakdown level, it can provide an ideal entry point.
🚨 Bitcoin is showing early signs of a bearish reversal! If the rising wedge breaks down, a significant decline toward 76,802 USD could follow. Traders should monitor price action carefully and execute the setup accordingly. 🚀
Title: Bitcoin Targeting $56,000? Fibonacci Shows the Way!
On a specific timeframe, it’s clear that the 50% retracement level from Fibonacci has not been tested yet. By applying the Fibonacci retracement tool to the recent downward impulse, we can see that after testing this level, Bitcoin could potentially move toward the 161% extension, which aligns with a target of $56,000 per BTC.
The price dropped impulsively, yet the recovery has been slow and weak. However, in my opinion, this target remains achievable. What do you think? Will Bitcoin reach this level? Share your thoughts in the comments!
BTC Today's strategyYesterday's chart already shows an upward channel for BTC, let's continue to hit the resistance area of 88K-89K
btcusdt buy@85.5K-86K
tp:88K-89K
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BTCUSD: Current price trading opportunities have been updated.
BTCUSD from trend observation. The current market bullish sentiment is stronger, both support and pressure need to be tested. Real-time trading opportunities have been announced in the exclusive experience analysis circle. If you don't know how to trade. Follow me.
BTC Today's strategyHi guys, it's a new week and the charts show it's moving up the channel
Looking back on the trading strategy we developed last week, we were undoubtedly successful. Now that the price has exceeded 87K, we still need to pay attention to the resistance of 88K, as it is the determinant of whether the upside can be
btcusdt buy@84.5K-85K
tp:87.5K-88K
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BTCUSD:If you don’t know how to trade. You can see here.Last week, a large number of traders followed my exclusive trading opportunities and made great progress on BTCUSD, and they all made good profits.
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BTCUSD: The US President spoke again at the weekend, which is good for Bitcoin's trend. It is said that as a strategic reserve. One million Bitcoins will be purchased in the next period of time. After the BTCUSD market was boosted, it rose 3k points in the short term. But after the news is digested, whether the market is stable. This is very critical. From the trend observation, there is also the meaning of falling back to test support. If the position of 86000-85000 stands firm, then continue to go long. If it does not stand firm, it is still mainly short.
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BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (80000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
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📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (84000) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
The BTC/USDT "Bitcoin Tether" Crypto Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness).., driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis assesses Bitcoin's core metrics and market position. Here are the key factors:
Market Capitalization: Approximately 1.68 trillion USD, calculated using the circulating supply of 19.83 million BTC multiplied by the current price of 85,000 USDT. This reflects Bitcoin’s significant presence in the crypto market.
Trading Volume (24h): Around 31.44 billion USD, indicating robust liquidity and active trading activity over the past day.
Circulating Supply: 19.83 million BTC, out of a maximum supply of 21 million BTC, meaning 94.4% of the total supply is already in circulation.
Price Context: Bitcoin’s current price of 85,000 USDT is below its all-time high of 109,356 USD (reached on January 20, 2025), suggesting it is in a corrective phase but still well above historical lows (e.g., 2 USD on October 20, 2011).
Key Insight: Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong with a high market cap and active trading volume, but the price being below its recent peak indicates potential vulnerability or a consolidation period.
⭐Macroeconomic Factors
Macroeconomic conditions influence Bitcoin’s price as a global asset. Here are the relevant factors:
Global GDP Growth: Forecasted at 3.0% to 3.3% for 2025, suggesting moderate economic expansion worldwide. This level of growth may support risk assets like Bitcoin but isn’t strong enough to trigger significant inflation concerns.
Commodity Prices: Expected to decline by 5% in 2025, potentially reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as an inflation hedge since falling commodity prices signal lower inflationary pressure.
Stock Market Performance: U.S. stock indices are up 5% year-to-date (YTD) as of early 2025, reflecting a positive risk-on sentiment that often correlates with Bitcoin’s performance as a speculative asset.
Interest Rate Policies: The U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to cut interest rates in 2025, which could weaken the USD and make Bitcoin more attractive relative to USDT (a USD-pegged stablecoin). Conversely, the Bank of Japan may raise rates, though this has a limited direct impact on BTC/USDT.
Key Insight: Macroeconomic conditions are mixed—declining commodity prices may dampen Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge narrative, but stock market gains and potential Fed rate cuts could bolster its price.
⭐Global Market Analysis
Global market trends and events provide context for BTC/USDT’s performance:
Geopolitical Events: No significant geopolitical tensions are currently reported as of March 5, 2025. This reduces demand for Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, unlike during periods of global unrest.
Central Bank Policies:
Federal Reserve: Expected rate cuts could weaken the USD, potentially driving BTC/USDT higher as investors seek alternatives.
Bank of Japan: Anticipated rate hikes may strengthen the JPY, but this has minimal direct influence on BTC/USDT unless it triggers broader currency shifts.
Commodity Trends: A projected 5% decline in commodity prices may ease inflation fears, indirectly reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value.
Global Risk Sentiment: Mixed stock market performance globally suggests a neutral stance on risk assets, with no strong directional push for Bitcoin.
Key Insight: Without major geopolitical catalysts, Bitcoin’s price may hinge on central bank actions, particularly Fed rate cuts that could weaken the USD and support BTC/USDT.
⭐Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
COT data offers insights into large trader positions, though specific BTC/USDT COT reports are not directly available. Here’s an inferred analysis:
Technical Ratings: Current indicators for BTC/USDT show a “sell” signal, with oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and moving averages (e.g., 50-day, 200-day) trending strongly bearish.
Trader Positioning: The bearish technical outlook suggests large traders (e.g., speculators) are likely net short, anticipating further price declines.
Market Implications: This positioning could amplify downward pressure if selling continues, though a reversal in sentiment could trigger a short squeeze.
Key Insight: The inferred COT data points to bearish sentiment among large traders, aligning with technical signals and suggesting a downward bias.
⭐On-Chain Analysis
On-chain data reflects Bitcoin’s blockchain activity and holder behavior:
Unmoved BTC: Approximately 151,000 BTC, acquired at an average price of 97,800 USDT, has not moved despite recent volatility. This indicates strong conviction among holders at higher levels, potentially acting as resistance.
Accumulation Patterns: Some accumulation occurred near 83,000 USDT, suggesting buying interest at lower levels. However, rapid selling has dominated, with one-third of BTC accumulated between 96,000–97,500 USDT redistributed during the recent decline.
Supply Concentrations: Thin supply exists between 93,000 and 83,000 USDT, with notable clusters at 84,200 USDT (23,000 BTC), 86,900 USDT (25,800 BTC), and 88,900 USDT (46,000 BTC), indicating key price levels where holders may act.
Key Insight: On-chain data shows a mix of strong holding at higher prices and selling pressure at current levels, hinting at capitulation but also potential support forming near 83,000–85,000 USDT.
⭐Market Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader and investor psychology:
Social Media Sentiment: Posts on platforms like X reveal a split outlook—some traders predict a drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT, citing technical weakness, while others see a potential bullish reversal if support holds.
Sentiment Index: Total positive sentiment is estimated at 0.75 (on a scale from -1 to 1), suggesting moderate optimism despite recent declines.
Fear and Greed Index: Specific data is unavailable, but the mixed sentiment aligns with a neutral-to-slightly bullish stance.
Key Insight: Sentiment is mixed but leans slightly bullish, indicating cautious optimism amid uncertainty.
⭐Positioning
Positioning reflects how traders are aligned in the market:
Speculative Positions: Likely net short, inferred from bearish technical signals and COT-like trends, suggesting traders are betting on a decline.
Institutional Positioning: Hedge funds have increased exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, indicating growing long-term interest that could counterbalance short-term selling.
Market Dynamics: Short positions may dominate near-term price action, but institutional buying could stabilize or reverse the trend.
Key Insight: Short-term bearish positioning contrasts with potential long-term bullish institutional interest.
⭐Next Trend Move
The next likely price movement is based on current data:
Direction: Downward pressure is favored, driven by technical sell signals and bearish positioning.
Key Levels:
Support: 80,000 USDT; if breached, 75,000–73,000 USDT becomes the next target.
Resistance: 95,000 USDT, a level that would need to be overcome for a bullish reversal.
Triggers: A break below 80,000 USDT could accelerate selling, while holding above 85,000 USDT might signal stabilization.
Key Insight: The next trend move likely tests lower support levels, with a potential drop to 75,000–73,000 USDT if momentum persists.
⭐Other Data
Additional factors impacting BTC/USDT:
Institutional Adoption: Hedge funds are increasing exposure to Bitcoin ETFs, a bullish signal for long-term price support as institutional capital flows in.
Regulatory Changes: The SEC’s employee buyout program in 2025 could lead to shifts in crypto regulation, introducing uncertainty and potential volatility.
Market Trends: Bitcoin’s limited supply (21 million BTC cap) and growing mainstream acceptance bolster its long-term value proposition.
Key Insight: Institutional interest is a positive wildcard, but regulatory uncertainty could shake confidence in the near term.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
Overview: On March 5, 2025, BTC/USDT at 85,000 USDT exhibits a cautiously bearish outlook. Technical sell signals, bearish trader positioning, and recent on-chain selling pressure point to downside risks. However, strong holding behavior at higher levels (e.g., 97,800 USDT), potential institutional support via ETF exposure, and a slightly bullish market sentiment suggest a reversal is possible if support holds. Macroeconomic factors like expected Fed rate cuts could weaken the USD and provide tailwinds, though declining commodity prices may temper Bitcoin’s inflation-hedge appeal. Risks include a drop below 80,000 USDT or volatility from regulatory shifts.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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3/24 BTCUSD Trading Signal: LongThis is a relatively healthy rebound. After breaking through the first resistance, it slowly rose to the second resistance, where it has been tested many times. The current shape is good and there is room for further rise.
Therefore, in the current transaction, it is recommended to take long as an important reference direction, and the target is near the resistance of 86K.
When the price rises to this point, the market is likely to confirm the validity of the area near the 85K support. If the support is confirmed to be valid, the price may rise to 86.8K-88K.