10 years total return 23K, max drawdown 41%BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Can't you invest Bitcoin for it's price fluctuations too big ?
I backtest the Bitcoin long-term strategy using historical data in 10 years and new Bitcoin factor indicator, total return is 23K, maximum drawdown is 41%, annualized sharpe ratio is 3.27.
In the chart above, the yellow line is the net value of account, $10000 on October 1, 2011, to 230 million dollars on November 8, 2021.
The red line is the total return, its value on November 8, 2021 is 23269.
The green line is the sharpe ratio, its value on November 8, 2021 is 3.27.
Blue line is the factor indicator, I start to buy when it is less than -0.8, and open positions for 5 days. I start to sell when it is greater than 1 , and close positions for 5 days. My last article "Accuracy of the new Bitcoin factor indicator for 10 years is 92%" was introduced in detail. On November 8, 2021 it has a value of 0.84, it is near to 1.Please pay attention to the risk.
Olive green line is annual return, its value on November 8, 2021 is 1.7.
Yellow line is the proportion of positions, a maximum of 1, minimum value is 0, this strategy doesn't use leverage.
Purple line is the ratio of the maximum drawdown, the background is red when maximum drawdown ratio is greater than 40%, on Febrebry 18, 2012 it's value is 41%. The maximum drawdown ratio is decreasing year by year, it' max value in 2021 is 25% on January 27, 2021.
In strategy tester overview, the number of transactions is 31, winning percentage is 100%, the average rate of return for trading is 750, the average holding time was 599 days.
This strategy is suitable for ordinary investors, is a weapon to realize the freedom of wealth.
