Bitcoin update 11 Jan 2025I don't often post bitcoin updates, not because I don't have anything to say, but because I understand what phase of the market we are in.
This phase as I said earlier in the posts is called distribution which will last until September 2025. After that I am expecting a correction of 50%+ from the put peak.
I have already made an assumption what reversal formation we will make.
Locally, it's January 11, 2025.
It is the beginning of the year, the market has already played Trump's presidency and as a classic “buy on rumors, sell on facts” the inauguration will be very soon, and I think the market will react down in a week. But after the positive news will continue, but we are unlikely to see in this cycle 200k for 1 bitcoin, but for me it will be a surprise. There will be a lot of talk about bitcoin. At the end of the year there should be euphoria with the new head of SEC pouring honey in the ears of crypto holders.
I'm not listening to anyone, I'm moving forward with my plan.
If you're reading me, there hasn't been a post in this series in a long time that I've changed my point of view.
I've actually started trading less cryptocurrency, it's now position trades on cycles. And it got a little boring.
So I've tapped into the traditional markets. And I'm more actively focused on them. If you're interested in any question, ask in the comments.
Best regards EXCAVO
BTCUSDT
TRUMP PUMP? MORE LIKE TRUMP DUMP!!! WHERE DOES BITCOIN STOP?Bitcoin is losing support and on these higher timeframes it looks rough as a dogs bum.
Will the pain stop?Yes, but it will be shortlived, it will give bulls enough hope to fomo back into longs before crushing their souls and their pensions.
Good luck.
Why Bitcoin is going down, Reason? - fxdollars- {13/01/2025}Educational Analysis says BTCUSD may move DOWN from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - COINBASE
Because the BTCUSD pair showed some bullish weakness, it finally did liquidity, which was taken out on buy-side orders to show a sign of a downtrend, and I am looking to counter-trend this position.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
BTC.D Death Cross Formation:
The “death cross” occurs when the short-term moving average (50-day MA) crosses below the long-term moving average (200-day MA).
This is considered a bearish signal, often indicating a potential decline in the market.
In your chart, the highlighted circle represents this potential crossover or the situation after it.
The narrow trendline indicates a symmetrical triangle or wedge formation, where the price consolidates before the breakout.
The breakout direction appears to be initially upward, breaking above resistance but eventually moving downward.
The blue horizontal line at around 59.21% dominance is a key resistance area.
Bitcoin dominance has broken above the triangle for some time but may struggle to remain above resistance.
After initial upward movement, the chart suggests a downward trajectory, possibly retesting lower dominance levels (towards the 55.50% and 54% areas).
This implies a potential altcoin resurgence or broader market uncertainty if BTC.D declines.
The red and green moving averages are important in defining the current trend.
A bearish cross between these moving averages aligns with the death cross narrative and signals caution.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
#Bitcoin Latest Update!#Bitcoin
There's solid support around GETTEX:92K -$94K where the price has bounced back several times.
Strong resistance lies between $99K-$99.7K, with another resistance at $102.7K, as shown by recent rejections.
After the recent pullback from the December high, the price seems to be consolidating. Signs of potential recovery are emerging.
Keep a close watch on these key levels!
IMO, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will consolidate in this range, and #alts will likely bounce.
Stay tuned, and share your thoughts in the comments.
Follow for more updates.
#Crypto
DYOR, NFA
Bitcoin Aligns with the 2017 Cycle ModelThere’s growing speculation that the current Bitcoin cycle mirrors the market behavior seen in 2017.
Intrigued by this, I conducted my own analysis. I overlaid the 2014–2017 cycle pattern onto the current chart for comparison.
The results?
A striking resemblance in both the overall shape and the distinct correction and impulse phases.
It seems history may not repeat itself exactly, but it certainly rhymes. 📊
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack Heavy Support Zone!!!Today, January 10 , key U.S. employment data , including Average Hourly Earnings , Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate , were released, influencing global markets, including Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
Stronger-than-expected employment figures suggest a robust economy, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to maintain or increase interest rates. Higher interest rates can strengthen the U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ), making Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies less attractive as alternative investments , possibly exerting downward pressure on their prices.
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Bitcoin started to pump from the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) , as I expected . ( Bitcoin allowed us to enter a long position two times .)
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($96,800-$95,520) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , and near the 50_SMA(Daily) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to complete wave C of Zigzag waves(ABC/5-3-5) . At best, wave C could rise to $99,000 (but unlikely).
I expect Bitcoin to go down based on today's US employment data and the fact that the U.S. DoJ received court approval to sell 69,370 BTCs . Bitcoin will attack the Heavy Support zone($93,400-$90,000) again soon, and this attack may be able to break this zone .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $99,000, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️.
⚠️Note: We should expect more dumps if Bitcoin touches $93,500 before reaching the Resistance zone($96,800-$95,520) again⚠️.
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Top?BTC has potentially formed a top, as mentioned in my previous article, where I discussed the psychological significance of the $100k mark and how the market might react around it.
The market appears uncertain at this level, and if the $92,500 support breaks, we could see a sharp move toward the $79,500 region. Key levels to watch are $73,000 and $53,000.
I am currently short at $100,200, with a trailing stop set at $97,500.
"INJ support at $17.30-$18.30, potential reversal to $27-$45." INJ/USDT Detailed Chart Analysis and Trade Plan
This analysis aims to provide an in-depth view of the current market structure for INJ/USDT, highlighting a potential reversal zone and long-term upside targets.
---
#1. Current Market Structure Analysis
- Support Zone: $17.30 - $18.30
- This range aligns with a visible **Fair Value Gap (FVG)** and a potential **bullish order block** from historical price action.
- INJ has consolidated around this zone, indicating a strong **buying interest** from previous liquidity sweeps.
- Why is this important?
- FVGs are areas where price has moved rapidly, often leaving inefficiencies that the market tends to revisit. Coupled with the order block, it strengthens the probability of reversal.
- RSI Oversold Signal:
- The **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** is at **38.49**, nearing oversold levels. Historically, bounces occur when RSI enters this zone, indicating that sellers may lose momentum.
- EMA Levels (Resistance):
- The **50 EMA ($23.62)** and **200 EMA ($23.52)** are acting as resistance. A breakout above these levels would likely confirm a stronger bullish reversal.
---
2. Reversal and Upside Targets
- Take Profit Levels:
- Target 1 (TP1): $27.30
- This corresponds to a prior liquidity zone where sell-side pressure emerged. Price may face resistance here before breaking higher.
- Target 2 (TP2): $35.00
- This level aligns with a significant **swing high** and an untested order block, providing a more ambitious long-term target.
-Target 3 (tp3) :45$-50$ for long term .
---
3. Key Levels and Trade Setup
| **Zone** | **Price Range** | **Action** |
|-----------------------|------------------|--------------------------|
| **Support Zone** | $17.30 - $18.30 | Look for long entries |
| **Stop Loss (SL)** | Below $16.80 | Risk management |
| **Take Profit 1 (TP1)** | $27.30 | Partial exit |
| **Take Profit 2 (TP2)** | $35.00 | Final exit |
**Position Scaling** | Add $45-$50 near confirmation signals to build a stronger position |
---
4. Sentiment and Fundamental Factors
- Injective Protocol's Key Strengths:
- Known for **high-performance Layer 1 blockchain** optimized for DeFi and decentralized exchange (DEX) applications.
- Recently, INJ has seen increased adoption with features like **decentralized perpetuals**, cross-chain bridging, and seamless liquidity.
- Bullish Catalysts to Watch:
- Ecosystem Growth: Partnerships or developments in **DeFi adoption** and higher trading volumes on Injective-based DEXs.
- Protocol Upgrades: Any enhancements that improve the scalability, security, or interoperability of the platform.
- Macro Market Trends: Bullish momentum in the broader crypto market could act as a tailwind for INJ.
---
5. Risk Management
- Entry Precision:
- Set limit orders near $17.30–$18.30 to capture entries at optimal levels.
- Risk/Reward Ratio:
- Assuming a stop loss at $16.80 and TPs at $27.30/$35.00, the
-risk/reward ratio exceeds 3:1, offering a favorable trade setup.
6. Final Notes
This trade is structured around the following:
- Strong confluence of technical indicators.
- Positive sentiment in the **DeFi space**.
- Potential for a broader crypto market rally.
If the price holds above the $17.30–$18.30 zone and breaks the EMAs, the likelihood of a bullish breakout increases significantly.
Should we expect the market to crash in the next few days?I have always believed in Bitcoin's bullish market, but the current state of Bitcoin and altcoin charts is disastrous. For the first time during a bull run, the price growth is moving very slowly, and altcoins are unable to rise.
It seems that in the coming days, we might witness another drop, which could lead to Dogecoin experiencing a correction of around 30%, and other altcoins could also face similar declines to varying degrees.
The state of Bitcoin dominance is not promising at all, and it’s likely to return to the +60 range.
Altseason might happen in about six months, but a market crash could occur during Trump’s inauguration ceremony. Perhaps Trump could be assassinated or make remarks that trigger this crash (these are all speculations).
#BTC complex consolidation phase📊#BTC complex consolidation phase📊
🧠From a structural point of view, we are still in a weekly uptrend. Before a short structure at the same cycle level is built, we still need to maintain a bullish view.
➡️The current adjustment cycle is only at the daily level and is in the yellow support area. Maybe we will test the support level near $90,000, but we can't be too bearish because the bull market is still healthy.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Pro Tips for Crypto Trading and ask about your coinsMy Best Tips for crypto trading :
I have been trading crypto since 2017 and here my advices for newbies and average traders :
1- Don't try to catch falling knives 🔪, it's better to let the coins fall until they finish falling, stabilize, and wait for confirmation to enter a buy setup even if it comes after the asset rises from the bottom by 20 - 30%
2- Love your profits more than your coins... If you love the asset more than profits, it will become an emotional trading , which we try to avoid
3- In a bull market: hold your coins as much as possible, do not sell early
and try to buy the trendy coins Every cycle has its trend, must have some in your portfolio
4- In a bear market: sell the weakness (the trend is your friend)
Dont hold coins in bear market no matter how good the projects, they will crash by 85-99% and many will be delisted..
5- Do not put ur 100% trust in only one exchange (ex: FTX shutdown) and do not trust any project too much (ex: LUNA crash to zero), diversify your capital and the best thing you can use are the cold wallets (ex : ledger)
6- If you make a lose and get angry, take a break from the market and come back later... Don’t do revenge trading which will lead to more losses after losses
7- Always follow the news related to your coins/assets , as they can have a big impact on their price
8- There are times when you should not do anything (no trade zones) wait for triggers
9- Finally: One of the most important advantages of the crypto market is that the opportunities in it are renewable/endless ..and one of its most important rules is that : no matter how much profits you make, you are not rich unless you transfer it to your bank account because you may lose it all
10- Do not give up
$BTC BTC on a micro timeframe is about to breakdown with the next target of around $73.000, And if that ocured there is a two side of a coin always.
1. It could possibly doing a minor retracement following a retest of the neckline on a bigger timeframe there is a cup and handle pattern, if the BTC rebound very strong and rejecting the downside around 73.000 there is a strong possibility of uptrend with the next target around 129.000
2.It could possibly consolidated around 70-100k waiting for the next catalyst for it to move up or down, but i would suggest the breakdown of this pattern is slightly worrying if it happen it would likely doing a major correction phase after a bull phase on these few years !
If you wanted to ask for some types of technical analysis, chat me and donate to the tipjar would likely help you ! Cheers
BITCOIN - Price can little correct and then continue growHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, the price rose to resistance line and then turned around and dropped to support line, which started to grow.
Then BTC rose to almost to resistance level, after which made a correction to support line and then continued to rise.
Soon, BTC broke $102000 level and reached resistance line, after which price turned around and made downward impulse.
Price broke $102000 level with support line and started to trades inside flat, where it reached $92600 level.
BTC some time traded inside this level, and later price bounced and reached resistance level.
Recently it fell to support level and then started to grow, so, I think it little correct and then continue to grow to $99900
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and rise to 97300 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago started to trade inside the upward channel, where it at once rebounded from the buyer zone and rose a little. After this, it corrected to the support level and then in a short time rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, but when it reached this level, BTC at once made a small correction. Next, the price finally broke this level and rose to the channel's resistance line, after which it made a correction and some time traded inside the seller zone. Later, the price made an upward impulse, exiting from the upward channel and when it reached 102K points, BTC turned around and started to decline inside the downward pennant. In this pattern, the price dropped to the support line of the pennant, breaking the 97300 and 93300 levels, after which it started to grow. Recently, Bitcoin reached the resistance line of the pennant pattern, breaking the 93300 level. So, given the current market conditions, I expect that BTC can exit from the pennant and then make a correction to the support level. After this movement, the price can start to move up to the 97300 resistance level. For this case, I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSDT - its Dead cat bounce ? what's next??#BTCUSDT.. well guys market perfectly holds our area that was discussed in our last idea and now market again make a resonable high for now,
that is 25800
keep close that level because it will be next key level and if market hold it then you can see again drop from here.
downside areas are mentioned on chart..
good luck
trade wisely
Bitcoin potential reset with Head and Shoulders / WyckoffEven though I am long BTC, GETTEX:92K (target of daily brekout) has been used as liquidity (support). As a antithesis to my long bias, if the HnS / Wyckoff formation breaksdown, the target could be $75K. More realistically I thiknk it will go and test the $81K - $84K zone. Until $85K ish I am bullish.
BTC/USDT CHART UPDATE !!#BTC breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the 50-day MA, it could signal renewed bullish momentum.
The breakout will likely initially target $97,500-$100,000, and further upside towards $107,500 is possible.
Failure to hold the support zone ($92,500) could lead to a deeper correction.
The next major support is near $87,500, with extended downside risk towards the beige zone (around $80,000-$75,000).
A continued sideways movement is possible if BTC remains range-bound between $92,500 (support) and $97,500 (resistance).
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA