$USDCAD Elliott wave analysis ahead of BOC decisionFX:USDCAD is supported by 1.3600 into BOC decision. Look for the levels mentioned in the video and a trade for today
CAD
Potential bullish rise?CAD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 113.02
1st Support: 111.66
1st Resistance: 114.23
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURCAD is approaching a significant supportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a buying opportunity around 1.47700 zone, EURCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.47700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Falling towards a pullback support, could it bounce from here?USD/CAD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3590
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.3563
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.3658
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
R2F Weekly Analysis - 1st June 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. Without any prior preparations on the chart, I'm going to go through various pairs, and giving a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends before the new week. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what i'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
If you are lazy to watch the video, which is your loss as you will miss how I analyse the market:
We are at a new month, the month of June. I am still monitoring how the DXY acts this month to validate the monthly SIBI I've been talking about to turn into an iFVG. However, on the lower timeframes it looks very much like lower prices are in the making, which would be bullish for XXXUSD pairs and vice versa for USDXXX pairs.
- R2F
NZDCAD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a buying opportunity around 0.83600 zone, NZDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance level which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3661
1st Support: 1.3615
1st Resistance: 1.3723
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?USD/CAD has just reacted off the resistance which is a pullback resistance and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3734
Why we like it:
There is resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 76.4% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.3762
Why we like it:
There a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.3659
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CADJPY Buy signal initiated. Channel Up intact.The CADJPY pair extended the Channel Up flawlessly and hit our latest Target (April 02, see chart below):
The price is now breaking above the short-term Ascending Triangle, which within the long-term Channel Up has always issued a buy signal after the price approached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The immediate Target on both previous break-outs has bee the -0.382 Fib extension.
The 1D RSI is also posting that pre break-out consolidation. As a result we turn bullish again on this pair, targeting 116.500 (slightly below the -0.382 Fib).
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AUDCAD About to test the 1W MA200 after more than 1 year.The AUDCAD pair has been on a structured rise since the September 25 2023 Bottom, which technical is a Double Bottom formation for the long-term. The price is about to test the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 20 2023 as well as the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the February 22 2021 High.
Every time the pair approached the 1W MA200 to this distance, it broke above it, even just for the medium-term. We expect a similar development, which would be conveniently a Lower Highs test. Our Target is 0.92250.
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USDCAD Bearish trend intact. Not too late to sell.The USDCAD pair gave us a wonderful sell trade on our last analysis (April 17, see chart below) as we caught the exact moment of the rejection and reversal of the 4-month bullish trend:
The price has now broken below not just the (dotted) Channel Up but closed below the 1D MA50 too, confirming the trend shift to bearish. As you can see on this 1W chart, the pair always declined more following a break below the 1D MA50 and the minimum drop it has has been -3.23%.
As a result, our 1.34500 Target remains intact. A Bearish Cross on the 1W time-frame may confirm an even deeper drop.
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Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3664
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3694
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3615
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Sell GBPCAD Bearish ChannelThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Poin ts:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.7405, positioned close to the top of Channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.7373
2nd Support – 1.7352
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.7425 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?EUR/CAD is falling towards a support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.47802
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.47368
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.48804
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/CAD has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?Price is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.7329
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.7207
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.7620
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURCAD Short-term buy signal.The EURCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Down for the past 15 months and right now is on a Bullish Leg towards its top. The 1D RSI is approaching the overbought barrier of 70.00 and we believe it will give a sell signal after it breaks above, just like November 21 2023 and July 14 2023.
Until then, we will stay bullish, targeting the top of the 15-month Channel Down at 1.49750.
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Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot and could potentially bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3644
1st Support: 1.3589
1st Resistance: 1.3735
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Key Canadian trading events this week On Friday, alongside the US PCE data release, Canada will publish its Q1 GDP growth figures. Earlier in the week, Canada will also release its producer prices data. Note that US markets will be closed on Monday for Memorial Day.
According to the Royal Bank of Canada, the Canadian economy likely grew more quickly in Q1 2024 based on headline figures. However, this growth was still insufficient to keep pace with the surging population. Consequently, GDP per capita contracted for the seventh consecutive quarter.
Speaking of the Royal Bank of Canada, they will also be reporting its earnings this week, along with other major Canadian banks.
Tuesday, May 28
Earnings: Bank of Nova Scotia
Wednesday, May 29
Earnings: Bank of Montreal, National Bank, EQB Inc.
Thursday, May 30
Earnings: CIBC, Royal Bank of Canada
Friday, May 31
8:30 a.m. Canada Q1 GDP
Earnings: Laurentian Bank, Western Bank
The USD/CAD ended its four-day winning streak on Friday, closing down by half a percent at approximately 1.3660. Declining crude oil prices had been putting pressure on the CAD until now. Buyers could step in around this level for a potential bounce back though. Additionally, the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on June 2 could influence this pair. Market participants are watching for potential output cut extensions by major producers to address global oversupply concerns and support prices, which might cause hesitation among USD/CAD buyers at the 1.3660 level.
AUDCAD high probability setupBefore price's previous break, it was in a consolidation where it eventually swept liquidity below support. It preceded to push to the upside with massive momentum where it eventually consolidated again, forming liquidity above an external range double top(or head and shoulders) and below an internal range support. Since price is currently in a bullish trend, it could look to clear out this internal range liquidity first before clearing the external range liquidity and breaking further to the upside. This gives as an opportunity of a trend following entry, which is an identified golden zone below the identified internal range liquidity with a tp target of the latest high.
USDCAD Strong sell following today's rejection.USDCAD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.081, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 32.778) as it formed a Lower High yesterday and today got sold aggressively. This is a Channel Down since the April 16th High, which having broken under the 1D MA50, has confirmed the continuation of the bearish price action. We expect the 1D RSI to at least hit the 30.000 level, as every rejection on the R1 Zone, saw the pair reach at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. We are bearish, aiming at that level (TP = 1.34350).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Buy AUDCAD Triangle BreakoutThe AUD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9075
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.9114
2nd Resistance – 0.9131
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 0.9160. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Opportunity Breakdown:
Triangle Breakout: Price action recently broke above a bullish triangle, a continuation pattern suggesting further upside potential.
Retest Confirmation: The price has retested the broken resistance line of the triangle and held, indicating strong buying pressure. This retest adds confidence to the breakout.
Ichimoku Cloud Support: The current price sits comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum when the price is above the cloud.
Thank you.
Sell AUDCAD Symmetrical TriangleThe AUD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position below The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9070.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9028
2nd Support – 0.9007
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9090. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Bearish Breakdown:
Triangle Breakout Retest: The price action recently broke above a bullish triangle, indicating a potential uptrend. However, it has now returned to retest the broken resistance line of the triangle. This retest often precedes a reversal.
Ichimoku Cloud Resistance: The price is currently hovering near the Ichimoku cloud, which can act as a resistance zone. A rejection from this area could further strengthen the bearish case.
Thank you.
