SPX500 - Will this be the top of the Dead Cat Bounce?Looking at the SPX500 Futures:
1. Looks like we could be at the top of a Dead Cat Bounce
2. If this is not the top, a potential tap off the 200 EMA would be where I would expect it to dump
Fundamentally due to covid and the world being under house arrest, I would not expect markets to continue to rally and I am bearish as you can be on a Macro Level.
Technically this is presenting a great short opportunity on open. I will go in with 50% of my position around where we are when we open, the other 50% I will add at the 200EMA and set a stop above it with room for a wick just in case.
Trade, Chart, Learn, Repeat
Coach K
CAT
Short BEL 20 indexAs seen there is a historical low resistance level @3123.7, and a fibonacci ratio of 0.382 @3091.265
I've tried to draw the small bullish trendline which will be colliding with these very soon.
This might indicate an end of this short term increase and a fallback to the bearish trend known as the CoVid19 crash or atleast a long term battle trying to break through this heavy resistance level.
Inverted Dead Cat BounceAnalysis on BTCUSD with the pattern Inverted Dead Cat Bounce, that happens after a Dead Cat Bounce. Price rises more than 15% in one day after a downtrend, showing a 4 weeks possible scenario. At the end of this period, there would have some opportunities to buy again. Sell on the 1-2 day of the event. A White Spinning Top candle pattern appeared at the start of the second week of the event, with high wicks on top and bottom of the candle, showing indecision.
S&P Dead Cat Bounce?So I have shorted the S&P on the 4 hour due to this pattern:
Very nice break, and as you can see on the 4 hour we have YET to make a lower high swing in this downtrend move. Trends are composed of multiple swings.
I do like what I see on the daily chart. When an instrument has moved down close to 3% in a day, it is likely over extended. I can see a bounce here before a move down lower forming our first lower high swing on the daily chart and also a head and shoulder pattern. So a dead cat bounce perhaps on the cards here. But to me, it is just plain old market structure.
CAT ShortEntry @ 136.73 Stop @ 140 and Take Profit @ 129.
30 shares.
Max loss is $98.1 max profit will be at least double that if it breaks support at 129 I'll add to it and hold for another $3.
98.1 is less 0.981% capital less than 1%. Good Risk and reward.
Reasons for the trade - Divergence from Range previous to the breakdown as the reversal began that's 1+ point.
Volume in sell off and earnings were mediocre. Trending below 20/50 MA. +3
Grade A Trade. Should work out well.
Let's see how it pans out.
FB active with $6282.9 of capital// Roku active with $3807 // CAT active with 4101.9// with remaining of $5808.2 remaining. All Shorts.
3/100 on the 100 Trade Challange.
CAT ShortI'm shorting cat with a stop loss at 1% @ 147.60 it may continue a bit lower my target exit will be 144.60 with my entry at 146.60. Making 2% if it passes the 50 MA I may add and continue holding for a few more % points.
Divergence on RSI could move lower, however it may still bounce at 50 MA.
Earnings Jan 31, I will exit before then.
MATICBTC Dead cat bounce 100%+As you can see MATIC experienced a severe drop to the upward trend line but then rebounded ~100%, dead cat bounces are a great way for swing traders too make money if they are paying attention..
Adam Eve Cup of Tea! I see a nice break of this flag range, Im feeling a stretch punch after this nice W formation with a possible cup but from there we need to be caution around tp1 & tp2. A horizontal range can begin around the caution orange circles. Orange eye represents us to be watchful.
It seems on the hourly we are expanding and collecting orders in order to get that next push up. It is possible to revisit the purple horizontal line depending on fundamentals.
Price is holding above red ribbon
Should CAT go bearish upon tp1 zone and go bearish around spring through fall of next year, I feel it will be the last time we visit 100 for a long time and we will make our way to 200. This would give us an ABCD pattern breaking the daily low @ purple circles.
Orange - watchful
Red - Sellers are watching
Blue - Buyers are watching
As long as we stay above 142.00 I see us staying bullish. A break below that will take us to a 140 retest and buyers will be watching for impulses. This kind of scenerio would create an INV head&shoulder formation on the daily and have the onion effect of a slanted version on weekly marked by the green shoulder circles and take us to the 78-88% fib correction zone where "head" formations can form. This would also lead into a new flag formation outside the daily flag range we just broke out of creating a new trend.
As always please trade safely, manage risk, peace. love. trade.
CAT nyse Long (how to use the RSI in a slightly different way)NYSE:CAT
CAT Nyse is looking to continue the push to the upside after breaking the downward Trend, I took the depth between the low and the downward trend and projected a price target. After a higher low and a Higher high which is clearly shown on the chart gives us a better probability that a continuation move is expected to the upside.
Also if we look at the RSI, the indicator has pushed into the boundaries of the oversold area suggesting a strong bullish stance as shown on the green box, before it was consistently hitting the oversold area as shown in the red box which is translated to continued weakening.
Price is currently trying to find support on the 140.50 which is considered strong support.
If buyers are able to maintain price above this support, the bulls can be expected to take price towards the 156.50 level as a target
In regards to the RSI, one way to use it besides the divergence method is that as the indicator continues to push within the oversold it means that the negative stance is expected to continue and vice-versa of course, this helps when price sometimes gives us a hard time to speculate if it indeed reversed into a positive stance from a negative one.
BITCOIN TARGET HIT - WHAT'S NEXT?What a week we had in crypto market!!!
Our target of $6650 was met precisely! I mentioned that we should expect $500-$1000 candle, and we had 500$ move couple days after.. :)
I expect consolidation of some sort to be seen before bullish rally.. Orange box is consolidation zone 0 if we close above on daily - longs can be opened with best R/R ration depending on your trading management.
Next target is $7750-$7850 region with possible spikes to ~$8000.. Only closing daily above $8500 would switch my bias and it can turn out to be strong bull rally - until then, I'm sticking to the green regions as my TPS
Keep in mind that we have important zones to cover lower than our recent low - that's why I think it will be just a "dead-cat-bounce" before continuation lower.. A lot of choppy price action to be expected too! *Don't forget to take profits if you see market turning around at crucial zones.
This is not a financial advise. Have a good one!