Chart Patterns
BTC - Perfect Bullish SetupPrice Action Breakdown
After running the lows with a clear Sell Side Liquidity Sweep, BTC quickly reversed and printed a Market Structure Shift (MSS). This marked the first real sign that the market might be ready to transition from weakness into strength.
Retracement Zone
Price is now retracing into a very interesting area — the overlap of a Bullish Fair Value Gap, an IFVG, and the Golden Pocket. When multiple imbalances and Fibonacci levels line up like this, it often builds a high-probability zone where institutions look to re-accumulate positions before the next move higher.
Upside Target
If this area holds and buyers step in, the next logical draw on liquidity sits above Buy Side Liquidity. That pool of stops acts like a magnet, and with the prior lows already cleaned, the path of least resistance could be higher.
Invalidation
On the other hand, a failure to hold inside the Golden Pocket would weaken this bullish narrative. A clean break below the sweep low would suggest that this rebound was only temporary relief before further downside.
Final Thoughts
This setup is all about how price reacts inside the retracement zone. If we see strength here, the run toward Buy Side Liquidity is very much in play. If not, patience will pay, as deeper levels will likely come into focus.
What’s your take — do you see this zone holding, or are you expecting another flush?
AUDJPY looks ready for a big leg upLooking at AUDJPY and how it behaves right now, I find it quite interesting.
Price has been coiling and look at the way it rose. Step by step. Meaning buyers are stepping in slowly.
Now, I would way for a confirmation first, with a long position towards 98,300.
What makes this setup different could be the patience behind it. I will be waiting for price to revisit the highlighted level first and look for signs of volume and candles patterns.
Let me know in the comments what you think.
GOLD → Consolidation in the ATH zone. Risk zone...FX:XAUUSD hit a new all-time high of around $3,550 as investors worldwide rushed to safe-haven assets. As prices rise, the risk of profit-taking increases, especially with news coming up...
The key driver is the crisis in the bond market: long-term government bond yields are rising sharply in the UK and Japan. This is boosting demand for gold as a safe haven. We should also not forget about expectations of Fed easing: weak employment data could increase bets on a rate cut in September.
However, strong US employment data (starting with JOLTS today) could support the USD and limit gold's growth.
Correction: Record levels could trigger profit-taking, especially given that the price has come a long way since the last pullback, rising nearly 6% (7 days of growth).
Key factor: US labor market data (JOLTS today, NFP on Friday). Weak figures will strengthen gold, strong ones may cause a correction.
Resistance levels: 3546, 3550, 3575
Support levels: 3526, 3508, 3500
Technically, a retest of resistance at 3342-2246 could lead to a breakout and further growth. However, since the price has stopped updating its highs locally, I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of support at 3529-3526 before further growth. However, a weak reaction to support could lead to the formation of a pre-breakdown base, and a breakdown of support could trigger a decline to 3500.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & Distribution into new HighsMarket Context
BTC is currently printing a series of higher lows, which signals a bullish underlying trend despite short-term volatility. Each dip has been defended, showing that buyers are stepping in earlier with every pullback. This type of structure often builds the foundation for an eventual breakout higher.
Consolidation Phase
After the strong bounce from recent lows, price has moved into a tight consolidation range. This is a classic "cooling-off" period where liquidity builds up and traders wait for direction. Consolidations at this stage often precede expansion moves, and the side that breaks tends to dictate the next wave of momentum.
Bullish Fair Value Gap & Fakeout
Just below the consolidation lies a Bullish Fair Value Gap. Price may fake out to the downside into this zone, trapping breakout sellers and filling imbalance before reclaiming levels. This setup is particularly interesting because the higher-timeframe structure still favors the bulls, making the FVG a potential springboard for continuation.
Distribution into New Highs
If the FVG reacts as expected, the next phase would likely be distribution into new highs. That means clearing out liquidity above the consolidation and targeting the next round of upside expansion. In this scenario, the higher lows, the fakeout trap, and the FVG all align to fuel the breakout.
Final Thoughts
The higher-low structure gives this setup a bullish tilt, but the real clue will come from how price behaves around the Fair Value Gap. A clean reaction there could be the trigger for a sharp push into new highs.
If this breakdown gave you clarity on the structure, a like would be appreciated — and drop your thoughts in the comments. Do you expect the fakeout into the FVG, or are you positioned differently?
BTC — Bitcoin: Macro x ETFs x Hashrate → Real Flow, Real Volatil⭐️ BTC — Bitcoin: Macro x ETFs x Hashrate → Real Flow, Real Volatility
Buy/Hold bias long term; short-term: correction likely in September (seasonality), with bear target ≈ $88,000 in my playbook.
🔥 Latest headlines (spot check)
🔸BTC back near $111K as risk assets bounce to start September.
🔸Hashrate sets a fresh record (~1 zettahash/s 7-day avg); a >7% difficulty hike is expected within days. Network is the strongest ever, but miner margins tighten.
🔸U.S. spot BTC ETFs show renewed net inflows (e.g., +$333M on Sep 2 across funds). Flows remain a key daily demand gauge.
🔸MicroStrategy (now “Strategy”) bought more BTC last week (~4,4k coins; holdings ≈ 636.5k BTC)—ongoing corporate bid.
🔸Europe angle: a Winklevoss-backed bitcoin treasury firm plans an Amsterdam listing, signaling appetite for listed BTC exposure in the EU.
🗓 Near-term event & data catalysts (September)
🔸Fri, Sep 5 — U.S. Jobs (NFP, Aug) at 08:30 ET. Labor softness would bolster rate-cut odds and risk appetite; a beat could do the opposite.
🔸Wed, Sep 11 — U.S. CPI (Aug) at 08:30 ET. Inflation surprise drives real-rate expectations → BTC beta.
🔸Tue–Wed, Sep 16–17 — FOMC + press conference. Policy path & dot plot = macro volatility for BTC.
Fri, Sep 26 — Options/Derivs expiry:
• Deribit monthly BTC options expire 08:00 UTC (last Friday rule).
• CME Bitcoin monthly options settle Sep 26 as well.
These expiries often amplify gamma flows and spot-vol.
Early Sept — Next difficulty adjustment likely >7% up (tightens miner economics short-term).
Medium-dated overhang
Mt. Gox creditor deadline: Oct 31, 2025. Any schedule/details update could swing “supply overhang” narratives.
📈 Flows & on-chain/market structure
🔸ETF flows remain the cleanest real-time demand proxy; watch daily creations/redemptions. 🔸Sustained positives tend to align with spot strength; outsized outflows can weigh on price.
🔸Network health is stellar (ATH hashrate), but rising difficulty + a softer tape can pressure high-cost miners → potential miner selling into weakness.
🔸Corporate treasuries (e.g., Strategy/MSTR) keep adding on dips—bullish signal for supply absorption on red days.
🧠 Seasonality & tone check
September is historically a weak month for BTC (average ~−3% to −4% since 2013), which fits the current “pullback/mean-revert” setup.
📣 Social/flow buzz (signals, not noise)
🔸ETF flow posts (Farside, Bloomberg desks) are getting traction again—watch after U.S. close for prints.
🔸Saylor/Strategy buying headlines keep the “corporate bid” narrative front-and-center.
🧭 Levels & plan (author’s framework)
🔸Bias: Long-term constructive; near-term: correction mode likely extends through September (seasonality + event risk).
🔸Bear target: $88,000 (where I’d expect volatility to attract responsive buyers).
🔸Invalidation for bears (tactical): A strong reclaim/close above ~$113K–$115K with improving 🔸ETF inflows would weaken the pullback thesis.
🔸Sizing: Respect macro data days (NFP/CPI/Fed) and options expiry week—expect higher realized vol.
🗺 What to watch next (checklist)
🔸Daily U.S. spot BTC ETF flows (post-close updates). Momentum if creations persist; caution on redemptions clusters.
🔸Sep 5 — NFP (Aug) 08:30 ET. Risk-on if soft; risk-off if hot.
🔸Sep 11 — CPI (Aug) 08:30 ET. Headline/core surprises steer the FOMC tone.
🔸Sep 16–17 — FOMC + presser. Watch guidance on cuts, balance sheet, and growth.
🔸Sep 26 — Deribit & CME monthly expiries. Positioning/“max pain” dynamics into that Friday.
Difficulty adjustment (early Sept). If >7% up as projected, monitor miner behavior/sell pressure.
Gold Continues to Create New HistoryHello, it’s a pleasure to see you again in today’s discussion about OANDA:XAUUSD . In this analysis, I have chosen the D1 chart for evaluation.
At the time of writing, gold continues to rise higher. The metal has reached the highest level in history, trading at 3535 USD. Previously, we had expected the 3500 USD level to be filled, and that target has now been achieved.
After a strong breakout, a clear candle close has made the Bulls even stronger, as gold continues its upward search with no new peak yet established. The previous resistance has now turned into new support. If a correction occurs, I believe that will be the area for buyers to step in. After that, the medium-term target will be in the range of 3600 – 3700 USD.
And you, how do you evaluate the next move of XAUUSD? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
Events to watch this week:
Wednesday, Sep 3: JOLTS Job Openings
Thursday, Sep 4: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Claims, ISM Services PMI
Friday, Sep 5: Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate
These are all key U.S. economic data releases with the potential to create strong volatility in gold.
USD/CHF - Wedge Breakout (02.09.2025)The USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8048
2nd Resistance – 0.8067
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Trend ContinuesGOLD is currently exhibiting a robust bullish trend, having recently reached a new higher high.
Following this upward movement, the market entered a phase of consolidation within a narrow parallel channel on the hourly time frame.
The recent violation of the resistance indicates a likely continuation of this upward trend.
Given these technical indicators, I anticipate that GOLD will reach the significant psychological level of 3560, reflecting sustained bullish momentum in the market.
Gold Under Pressure Time To Short XAUUSD?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3533, and bearish momentum is gaining strength as sellers dominate the market. Price action indicates a strong rejection from the recent highs, signaling potential continuation to the downside. The next major target is 3450, and if selling pressure remains strong, we could see further dips toward deeper support zones. Keep an eye on key levels and trend confirmations before entering positions. Maintain strict risk management and adjust positions according to volatility. A break below current support could open the way for extended bearish movement, making this a crucial opportunity for short traders."
GBP/USD –> Bearish Channel in Play, Watching for Short EntriesHello guys!
The pair remains under pressure, trading inside a descending channel that has been guiding price action for several weeks. Each rally attempt has been capped by the channel’s upper boundary, confirming the overall bearish sentiment.
Observations:
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the channel near 1.3520 – 1.3560 continues to reject bullish attempts.
QML Zone: Around 1.3340 – 1.3360, this level has provided support, but repeated tests are weakening it.
Bearish Structure: Lower highs and lower lows inside the channel confirm sellers are still in control.
📉 Bearish Scenarios:
Aggressive Entry: Short positions could be considered on rejection from the mid-level resistance inside the channel (1.3480).
Conservative Entry: Alternatively, waiting for a deeper retest of the channel’s upper boundary (1.3520–1.3560) offers a safer confirmation before entering short.
🎯 Targets:
Initial target: 1.3380 (QML zone)
Extended target: 1.3313 (channel support and marked key level)
As long as the price trades within this descending channel, the outlook stays bearish. A confirmed break below 1.3313 could open the door for further downside in the coming sessions.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After wrapping up our 1H chart idea, here’s the update on the 4H chart we shared Sunday. Absolute perfection. We saw the EMA5 cross and lock above 3424, which opened 3499, target hit. Then another EMA5 cross and lock above 3499 opened 3561, also hit perfectly, right to the point.
We were able to map a range target without any historical data, relying on the law of averages and it played out beautifully.
From here, we now need an EMA5 cross and lock above 3561 to open 3615. Failure to lock will likely see lower Goldturns tested for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3499 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3347
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3277
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3277 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3234
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2996
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
EURNZD: Rose steadily and created a Bullish FlagEURNZD looks quite interesting at the moment. Price rose to the upside steadily and now seems to have created a well known pattern: a bullish flag.
My expectation is for the price to continue, but first I would wait for a full strong candle to confirm the signal. I would target 2.00500.
If, on the other hand, price will decline below the flag, that would invalidate the continuation, and we can expect a short-term pullback incoming.
What do you think?
XAUUSD: Very Risky for Either SideXAUUSD has recently seen a strong move to the upside. But I believe that is about to end.
A correction after such a move up is high probability, as price is starting to show early signs that sellers are stepping in discreetly.
I would target a level at around 3,400. But only price will give us some obvious signs of selling pressure first.
And, if price gives us a confirmation cue here, that might be the signal to get involved: not just in candlestick structure but also in volume behavior.
The second scenario, would be for the move to continue more to the upside, but that would require a bigger effort from the buyers.
Leave a comment if you agree, or disagree.
Gold may make correction, after strong upward movementHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The prolonged period of consolidation for Gold has decisively resolved to the upside, following a powerful breakout from a multi-week symmetrical wedge. This event signalled a clear shift in market control to buyers, invalidating the prior ranging environment and initiating a new, impulsive bullish phase. The price action for XAU since the breakout has been characterised by a strong, high-momentum rally that has pushed the asset to new highs. Currently, this upward movement appears to be overextended, suggesting that the market may be due for a healthy corrective pull-back. The primary working hypothesis is a short, counter-trend scenario designed to capture this anticipated correction. The expectation is that the current rally will soon find a peak, exhaust itself, and undergo a sharp decline back towards the breakout point. This corrective fall would be a natural part of a healthy uptrend, allowing the market to test the old resistance as new support. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at the 3420 level. This target is highly significant as it corresponds precisely with the current support level and the support area where the breakout originated. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Nvidia - The rally is still not over!🔌Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) still heads much higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past decade, Nvidia has perfectly been respecting a major bullish rising channel formation. Currently, Nvidia is still far away from the upper red resistance trendline, which indicates another potential move higher. Just understand that the trend is your closest friend.
📝Levels to watch:
$200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
XAU/USD | Gold Breaks $3500 – New ATH Hit! What’s Next?By analyzing the gold chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that today, gold finally managed to print a new All-Time High (ATH)! As anticipated, price broke above $3500 and rallied up to $3508, hitting our previous bullish target and sweeping the liquidity resting above the key $3500 level.
After reaching $3508, gold entered a correction phase, dropping to $3470, but quickly bounced back and climbed to $3494. At the time of writing, gold is trading around $3478, showing a bearish reaction — but it's best to wait and see whether price gets rejected again from this level or not.
If gold is to undergo a deeper correction, the next potential downside targets are $3465, $3454, and $3420. This analysis will be updated — stay tuned for more confirmations from the market!
MY LATEST ANALYSIS :
Gold Daily Chart Analysis –> Triangle BreakoutHello guys!
Gold has finally broken out of a large triangle consolidation pattern that has been building for weeks. The price action respected both the top resistance line and the bottom support line multiple times, showing clear compression before the breakout.
🚀 Recently, the price broke above the top line of the triangle, confirming a bullish breakout. This kind of move usually signals the start of a continuation phase with momentum in the direction of the breakout.
Based on the measured move from the triangle formation, the projected target sits around 3,591.60 USD. Price is currently trading near 3,476 USD, which still leaves room for further upside.
💡 Typically, after such a breakout, the market may retest the broken resistance line (now turned support) before resuming its move higher. (but the pullback is not certain now)
Summary:
Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Breakout Direction: Bullish
Current Price: 3,476 USD
Target: 3,591.60 USD
As long as Gold holds above the broken triangle resistance, the bias remains bullish toward the projected target.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold Analysis – ATH Again, But Correction Ahead?1. Yesterday’s Move
Yesterday, after a small intraday correction to the 3470 zone, Gold quickly reversed and pushed higher, printing a new all-time high near 3550. The bullish trend remains intact, but the latest surge looks overextended.
2. Key Question
Has Gold finished its run for now, or will we see another immediate push higher without a deeper correction?
3. Why a Correction is Probable
• The recent move is stretched, with limited room for risk-reward on the long side at these highs.
• 3470 stands out as a confluence support, and markets often retest such levels before continuation.
• Chasing longs at ATHs leaves traders vulnerable to sharp pullbacks.
4. Trading Plan
The best setup is to wait for price to retrace into 3470 and look for buying opportunities in that zone, aiming to rejoin the broader uptrend.
Selling here is very risky – high probability of upside spikes could easily hit stop losses before any meaningful retracement.
GBPNZD → Retest 2.276 before resuming the bullish trend FX:GBPNZD is testing a key support level as part of a correction after breaking through consolidation resistance. The trend is bullish, and liquidity capture could resume the upward movement.
GBPNZD is testing a strong support level within the uptrend during the correction phase. Against the backdrop of the long-term decline of the NZD, the currency pair has every chance of continuing to grow.
On the daily timeframe, we have a fairly strong upward structure, with the previously broken consolidation resistance and the 0.5f area playing a key role. This tandem hides a liquidity area that could become a driver for the market. A false breakdown of 2.276 could trigger a resumption of growth.
Support levels: 2.276, 2.2682
Resistance levels: 2.2983, 2.3215
The bullish trend may support the main trend. The current correction is a healthy movement within an uptrend that may continue after a pullback and consolidation.
Best regards, R. Linda!
CAD/CHF – Bullish Channel in PlayCAD/CHF – Bullish Channel in Play
Price is moving inside a rising channel, showing a clear bullish trend.
The pair is expected to rise further to the first target area at 1.6840.
If the momentum continues, the next possible target is 0.6850.
As long as price stays within the channel, the bias remains bullish. Watch for reactions near the target zones—these could act as resistance and trigger short-term pullbacks.
Be careful: A break below the channel could shift the bias to bearish, so keep an eye on support levels.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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USDJPY Holds Strong — Key Data AheadUSDJPY Holds Strong — Key Data Ahead
The U.S. dollar strengthened across many currency pairs yesterday, with USDJPY standing out as one of the top performers.
A brief pullback could be followed by another upward move, especially if price action holds above the 148.00–148.50 support zone.
Today’s JOLTS Job Openings data could give USDJPY a boost if the numbers beat expectations. July’s forecast is 7.4M vs 7.437M, but this release often surprises to the upside, so it’s more of a reference than a reliable signal.
The main focus remains on Friday’s NFP report, which could be the real catalyst. If USDJPY stays above the current support zone, the odds of a bullish continuation increase.
Key resistance levels to watch:
149.50
150.70
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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