GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4275 and a gap below at 4229. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
275
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4275 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4320
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4320 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4360
BEARISH TARGETS
4229
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4229 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4194
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4194 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4151
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4151 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4122
4075
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4075 WILL OPEN THE SECONDAARY SWING RANGE
4022
3955
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Chart Patterns
Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE
🏆 High/Close: $4,379 → ~$4,252 — higher close vs. last week’s pullback finish.
📈 Trend: Uptrend intact > $4,000; dip buyers continue to control rhythm.
🛡 Supports: $4,180–$4,140 → $4,100–$4,050 → $4,000 must hold.
🚧 Resistances: $4,260 / $4,300 / $4,350 → stretch $4,380–$4,420.
🧭 Bias next week: Buy-the-dip > $4,140–$4,200; momentum regain targets $4,300–$4,380+. Invalidation < $4,050 → risk $4,000/3,980.
🌍 Macro tailwinds:
• Fed: Markets lean to another cut into Oct 28–29; softer real yields buoy gold.
• FX: DXY under pressure = constructive backdrop.
• Flows: ETF interest & CB buying remain supportive on dips.
• Geopolitics: Tariff/trade and regional risks keep safe-haven bids live.
🎯 Street view: Several houses float $5,000/oz by 2026 scenarios on easing policy & reserve diversification narratives
________________________________________
🔝 Key Resistance Zones
• $4,260–$4,280 near-ATH supply / immediate ceiling from close
• $4,300–$4,350 extension target band
• $4,380–$4,420 stretch zone toward prior spike high and measured extensions
🛡 Support Zones
• $4,220–$4,200 first retest band just below close
• $4,180–$4,140
• $4,100–$4,050 deeper pullback shelf; $4,000 remains the big psych
________________________________________
⚖️ Base Case Scenario
Expect shallow pullbacks into $4,220–$4,140 to be bought, followed by rotation back into the $4,260–$4,300 resistance stack for an ATH retest.
🚀 Breakout Trigger
A sustained push/acceptance > ~$4,280 unlocks $4,300 → $4,350, with room toward $4,380–$4,420 if momentum persists.
💡 Market Drivers
• Fed cut expectations into late Oct(lower real yields = gold tailwind
• USD softness / DXY sub-100 tone supports metals
• Ongoing central-bank bullion demand; ETF inflows stabilizing
• Geopolitics & trade/tariff headlines keeping safety bids active
🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
• Bullish above: $4,140–$4,200
• Bearish below: $4,100–$4,050 risk expands under $4,000
🧭 Strategy
Accumulate dips above $4,140–$4,200.
On breakout > $4,280, target $4,300–$4,350+. Maintain tight risk under stepped supports; invalidate momentum below $4,050–$4,000.
________________________________________
Gold Extends Its 8-Week Winning Streak👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Over the past week, gold prices climbed close to the $4,400 mark before pulling back sharply and closing the week around $4,250, up $223 from the weekly open of $4,022 — nearly a 6% gain, marking the eighth consecutive week of growth. Despite the volatility, Main Street investors remain confident that the precious metal will continue to rise this week.
Trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties have been the key drivers supporting gold’s rally. Meanwhile, the Fed’s rate cut and the U.S. government shutdown have strengthened the dollar while simultaneously providing support for gold prices.
At the time of writing, gold is fluctuating around $4,255, showing little change since the start of the session. Overall, the bullish trend remains intact, and as long as the confluence zone holds, buying opportunities are still favored.
What about you — what’s your outlook on XAUUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below, and let’s discuss!
Good luck!
Gold Analysis: Break Above $4,293 Could Trigger a New HighHi guys!
Gold has been moving inside a clear ascending channel, respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Recently, we saw a double top formation near the upper trendline , which triggered a corrective move down to the $4,190–$4,200 support zone, an area that has already shown strong buying interest.
After the rebound from this support, the price is now aiming toward the $4,293 resistance.
👉 If the price breaks and holds above $4,293 , it’s likely to continue the bullish momentum and head toward a new higher high inside the channel.
Overall, the structure remains bullish as long as the price stays above $4,190 , with the next key resistance at $4,293 being the level to watch for a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Gold’s bullish bias remains supported by the ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty over global interest rate paths, and softening U.S. dollar. Investors are also increasingly turning to gold as a safe-haven asset, especially amid concerns about economic slowdown and central bank gold purchases remaining strong.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
USD/CAD: Bearish Reversal Confirmed!?The 📉USDCAD pair has broken and closed below a significant intraday horizontal support level.
The blue area, which is underlined, is also the neckline of a cup and handle pattern.
This violation suggests the potential for a continued downward movement.
The subsequent support level is anticipated to be at 1.3985.
JP Morgan (JPM) - H4 - Breakout Pattern (20.10.2025)📊 Setup Overview:
J.P. Morgan ( NYSE:JPM ), presenting a bearish outlook based on the price action.
📈 Trade Plan:
Bias: Bearish below $310
1st Target: $272 ✅
2nd Target: $258.52 🎯
Resistance Zone: $311 – $318
🧩 Technical Confluence:
1.Price Breaks the Wedge Pattern.
2.Trendline break confirming reversal
3.Ichimoku Cloud crossover indicating bearish momentum
🏦 Key Fundamentals & Recent Performance
1.JPM reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted revenue of ~$47.12 billion, topping estimates.
2.Net interest income (NII) rose only ~2% YoY in Q3 to $24.1 billion, and the bank raised its 2025 NII outlook to ~$95.8 billion.
3.JPM itself flags major risks: ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, elevated asset valuations, potential credit stress and slower growth.
#JPM #JPMStock #NASDAQ #USStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #wedgePattern #BearishSetup #PriceAction #EarningsWatch #StockMarket #SwingTrading #TradingView #Ichimoku #CloudCrossover #ChartsDontLie #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Always perform your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately before taking any position.
💬 Support the Analysis:
If this chart helped you — LIKE 👍, COMMENT 💬 your thoughts, and FOLLOW ✅ for more daily stock & forex chart breakdowns from Kabhi_TA_Trading!
ETH: Another Attempt To Resume Upward MovementETH: Another Attempt To Resume Upward Movement
Ethereum is showing strong bullish momentum after forming a bullish flag pattern on the chart. The price has broken above the flag, confirming the potential for further upside movement.
As long as ETH stays above the breakout zone, the next target levels are around $4,125 and $4,285.
If the price fails to hold above the breakout area, a short pullback could occur before another attempt to move higher.
Overall, the structure remains bullish while ETH trades above the $3,900 support zone.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold Consolidates Before Next MoveGold Consolidates Before Next Move
Gold is currently showing a short-term correction after reaching the $4,380 area. The price has pulled back as expected near $4180, and remains above this strong key support area.
From the current data we have, the price could rise from the market price where it is now or it could move a little lower before a recovery could occur towards the next targets at $4,250, $4,300, and $4,350.
A break above $4,380 would confirm a continuation of the bullish trend.
⚠️ However, if the price of gold falls below $4,180, then this could be caused by a strong sell-off that may not be related to normal movements. The decline could be caused by profit-taking by investors who are holding the price up.
⚠️ So, never trade without a stop loss. The market is positioned only for long trades and this carries a high risk. It is not a normal way for the price to develop.
If a downward wave occurs, it will occur without any pattern or confirmation, so be prepared for it at any time.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
GBP/NZD - Wedge Breakdown (20.10.2025)📊 Setup Overview:
GBP/NZD has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern on the 30-min chart, signaling a potential trend reversal from the recent bullish structure. The pair has also completed a Cloud Cross, indicating early bearish momentum as price begins to break below the wedge support line. OANDA:GBPNZD
📈 Trade Plan: Bias: Bearish
Sell Entry Zone: Below 2.3400 (after candle close confirmation)
1st Target: 2.3288 ✅
2nd Target: 2.3277 🎯
Resistance Zone: 2.3479 – 2.3523
🧩 Technical Highlights:
1.Rising Wedge pattern breakdown – early bearish signal
2.Ichimoku Cloud Cross confirms downside pressure
3.Volume profile thinning below 2.34, showing potential liquidity vacuum
4.Clean bearish structure with clear risk–reward setup
#GBPNZD #ForexAnalysis #WedgePattern #BearishBreakout #Ichimoku #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartSetup #SwingTrade #TradingView #FXMarket #Kabhi_TA_Trading #ChartsDontLie #TradersDontQuit #ForexSignals
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Always confirm setups with your own analysis and manage risk properly before entering any trade.
💬 Support This Analysis:
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BTCUSD – Three Drives Pattern + RSI DivergenceHi Teams!
Bitcoin has recently completed a three-drive pattern while also showing a clear bearish divergence on the RSI. This confluence has led to a strong rejection from the third drive area, confirming short-term weakness.
The three-drive trendline was broken last night, signaling that the bullish momentum has temporarily cooled down. However, as long as $97,900 remains unbroken, the bullish structure can still hold.
Here’s the current plan:
Key support zone: $108,600; this looks like a good potential long entry area if the price stabilizes and shows confirmation.
Upside target: around $118,045, which also aligns with the previous swing high.
Invalidation: if the price breaks below $97,900, the setup turns bearish, and we can expect deeper retracements toward the $86,500–$88,000 region.
In short, BTC is at a critical decision point, holding above $97,900 keeps the bullish structure intact, but a breakdown below that level could shift the market sentiment sharply bearish.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD (Euro vs U.S. Dollar) chart Pattern this is a 4-hour..EUR/USD (Euro vs U.S. Dollar) chart Pattern this is a 4-hour timeframe Ichimoku Cloud, and my marked two target levels labeled “Target Point.”
Here’s the breakdown:
Current price: around 1.1660 – 1.1670
Structure: price has broken above a descending trendline and is holding above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a bullish continuation.
My chart shows two upward projection levels (target zones).
🎯 Target Levels (as marked on my chart)
1. First Target Point: ≈ 1.1740 – 1.1750
→ This corresponds to the first measured breakout target — a moderate move above the current resistance.
2. Second / Final Target Point: ≈ 1.1800 – 1.1820
→ This is the extended target from the larger breakout structure, aligning with prior highs and resistance on the left side of the chart.
---
📈 Summary
Element Level (Approx.)
Current Price 1.1660
Target 1 1.1740 – 1.1750
Target 2 1.1800 – 1.1820
Support / Stop-Loss (suggested) Below 1.1630 (below the cloud base)
This setup indicates a bullish bias as long as price remains above 1.1630, aiming first for 1.1750, and then 1.1820 if momentum continues.
GOLD → Consolidation. 4269 - trigger. Chances for growth?Gold is consolidating due to uncertainty. On Friday, the market broke its local structure, which slightly changed sentiment. Focus on current consolidation.
Key drivers of the week: Trump's threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports and China's response supported demand for safe havens. Problems with regional banks (Zions, Western Alliance) and the fall in Treasury bond yields below 4% increased the inflow into gold. Powell maintained a neutral tone, but markets are expecting two rate cuts in 2024.
All eyes are on inflation data, US-China negotiations, developments between Russia, the US, and China; any de-escalation of the situation could trigger a correction.
Technically, the upward trend in gold remains relevant. Corrections will be bought up as long as uncertainty surrounding trade policy, the banking sector, and the Fed's monetary policy persists.
Resistance levels: 4269, 4316
Support levels: 4251, 4218
At the moment, a pre-breakout base is forming around 4269. If the structure remains intact and the price continues to attack resistance, the chances of a breakout and growth will be high. Otherwise, a close below 4251 could trigger a retest of 4218.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Trend reversal. Is there a chance for growth?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is breaking the trend and local market structure, forming a rally. Giving hope to buyers, we see a strong reaction from the Asian session. Are the bulls returning?
The fundamental background is unstable; if Trump continues to escalate the trade war, the cryptocurrency market may close within the range. However, technically, we have positive signs of a bull market. BTC is breaking through the resistance level of 107,350 and entering a rally, which only confirms the change in trend and the breakdown of the structure. Since the Asian session, the price has strengthened by 3%, and a retest of the nearest strong resistance at 112K-113.6K could lead to a pullback before growth.
Globally, there is bearish pressure, but if the bulls can hold their defense above 110K, then in the medium term, the market will be able to fight for the 115K-120K zone.
Resistance levels: 111960, 113600, 115730
Support levels: 109700, 109200
In the short term, I expect a false breakout of the specified resistance and a correction of 1/2 of the local impulse, i.e., a retest of the 110K - 109200 support zone, which, in turn, could lead to another bullish run to 115K - 120K.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSDT: Short Setup Active Below $110,700Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
On the 1H timeframe, Bitcoin continues to move inside a descending channel, maintaining a clear bearish structure.
After multiple tests and breakouts, the price is still unable to break through the Resistance Area around $110,700, which remains a strong supply zone.
Recently, we saw a fake breakout, followed by a return below the resistance area — confirming that buyers are losing strength. Currently, the price is forming a range near the Support Zone ($104,500–$105,000), which indicates a short-term consolidation phase before a possible next move.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect that after the range is broken to the downside, BTC will continue its decline toward the Support Zone ($104,500). If this level fails to hold, the next potential target will be the lower boundary of the descending channel around $102,300.
However, a breakout and close above $110,700 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could indicate a shift in market structure.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD – Structure Analysis (4H Chart)EURUSD – Structure Analysis (4H Chart)
On the EURUSD chart you can find a well-defined structure analysis with key support and resistance areas highlighted.
At the moment, the pair is trading near 1.1650, positioned between a support zone at 1.1630 and a resistance zone around 1.1720.
If price holds above 1.1630, we could see a short-term bullish move toward 1.1720, followed by 1.1770–1.1785, and possibly 1.1870, which is the upper resistance zone.
However, if EURUSD fails to stay above 1.1630, a deeper correction may take place. The next support levels are found at 1.1547 and 1.1400.
Overall, the structure shows that EURUSD is currently at a decision point — holding above support favors a bullish continuation, while a break below could open the door for further downside movement.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
USDJPY – Yen Weakens as Japan Forms New Coalition👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on FX:USDJPY ?
At the start of the new week, USDJPY is showing interesting movements following news that Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Japan Innovation Party have agreed to form a coalition government. This development paves the way for Sanae Takaichi to become Japan’s first female Prime Minister, sparking market expectations of increased fiscal spending and a more accommodative monetary policy.
From a market perspective, these expectations tend to weaken the yen, as investors anticipate low interest rates to continue and ample liquidity support from the Bank of Japan.
As a result, USDJPY is likely to maintain its upward momentum, with potential for further gains if the U.S. dollar continues to be supported by higher Treasury yields and solid U.S. economic data.
What about you — do you think USDJPY will keep rising or start to fall? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Good luck!
Inverse Head & Shoulders on Bitcoin – Breakout or Bull Trap?Right now, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving within its Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) .
Over the past couple of days, it tried twice to break this area but couldn’t. One big reason is that recently, there was news that Japan is considering allowing banks to invest in crypto . Also, yesterday, Trump confirmed he’ll meet with China’s president on October 31st , which the market took as a positive sign that US-China tensions might ease. Previously, the market dropped on news of potential tariffs, and now it’s reacting to the possible easing of those tensions.
In the last 24-48 hours , Bitcoin has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern , which could signal a short-term bullish reversal. However, there are still important resistance levels and cumulative short liquidation areas overhead. We need to see if Bitcoin can break through those.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin still seems to be in a corrective structure, and until it gets above around $116,000 , there’s still a risk of further downside. So we shouldn’t get too excited about the recent 48-hour bounce.
In short, I expect Bitcoin might push up to those Resistance lines , the Resistance zone($114,300-$113,000) , and Cumulative Short Liquidation($115,241-$113,454) , thanks to the inverse head and shoulders, but it could face resistance there and possibly drop again.
Note: It seems that we may see an increase in Bitcoin with the opening of the US market, but because the SPX500 index( SP:SPX ) is in a correction situation, we can expect Bitcoin to fall again.
Note: Crypto market conditions depend on many parameters these days, and be sure to observe capital management.
New CME Gap: $107,690-$107,220
Cumulative Long Liquidation: $107,000-$105,782
Cumulative Short Liquidation: $112,241-$111,398
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD (XAU/USD): Bullish Move from SupportIt appears that there is a possibility of a continued bullish movement on 📈GOLD price, potentially originating from an underlined blue support cluster.
Furthermore, a brief liquidity sweep below that level, followed by a bullish breakout above a minor resistance on an hourly timeframe, seems to be observed.
The anticipated target for this bullish movement is 4300.
Your Token, My Analysis — Let’s Do This!Hey Traders!
Hope you're all enjoying an amazing weekend !
Want me to analyze your favorite token next?
Just drop your request below using this format
Request Format:
Project Name: Bitcoin
Token Symbol: BTC ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )
Important Rules:
I’ll analyze only the first 10 requests.
One request per person — so choose wisely!
I’ll reply directly under your comment .
If this sounds good, smash that Like button , Share with your friends , and let’s find the next big move together !
Here’s to your success — health, wealth, and great trades!
RIOT: strong trend pump?Having the narrative of Bitcoin mine company that transform it’s facilities to become AI data center.
PA previous monthly candle closed, broken out of a 2 years consolidation bullish flag to the upside.
If this is turn out to be a start of a strong trend/fomo pumping price action ,
Potential upside target based on historic pump $170-$600
Main Watch - GBPCAD 20.10.25Good morning guys!!
As you know I am in Italy until Thursday, so my morning forecast videos will be paused until I return back home. I thought I would try and keep some consistency and post up my main pair I am watching for that day with a description of what I am looking for.
Main Watch - FX:GBPCAD
BTC/USD 1-hour chart Pattern..BTC/USD 1-hour chart Ichimoku Cloud with a breakout above the cloud and a descending trendline.
Here’s the analysis breakdown based on what’s visible:
Current price: ≈ $110,395
Previous resistance zone: around $111,000
Target point (as marked on my chart): ≈ $116,000
So my target level — as per your chart setup — is around $116,000 USD.
This aligns with a potential breakout continuation move, possibly measured from the height of the consolidation range (≈ $108,000 – $111,000) projected upward.
📈 Summary:
Entry (breakout): around $110,000
Target: $116,000
Stop-loss (suggested): below $108,000 (below the cloud / breakout zone)
Ethereum’s Hidden Fractal Points to $33K by November 2026Most of the space seems to think that the bull market is officially over, that the four-year cycle has come to a close. For most of the cycle, I have thought that way too. 1,064 days is up, and that’s the longest a Bitcoin cycle has ever gone for. So, the idea that the same thing will play out again is very valid, and it’s entirely possible that it is indeed the end. However, my stance is very different — I still think we have one year left in the tank, and I will present a lot of evidence to support why I believe this and why I’m sticking to it.
If you’ve been following me for a while, you know that we’ve found some very interesting bar patterns in history that keep on repeating, and this will be the primary source of evidence used in my thesis.
Bar Pattern Fractals
I have tested hundreds of indicators over the last six years and bought thousands of dollars’ worth of indicators, and in the end, the highest success rate has come from simply following bar pattern fractals. They repeat over and over. They are hard to find, but once you do, you can ride them for months.
ETH 2017 Fractal
What you see above is a fractal I have been following for months now. It has been mirroring the 2017 cycle, with some parts nearly identical in movement and timing, with only a few small deviations here and there. The macro pattern continues to play out like clockwork.
Take a look at this TA from March 2025. We caught near the bottom, called for max pain, and discussed this fractal that could be playing out. The ETH call was under 2000 back then.
I also published TAs on Chainlink and its repeating bar patterns. It was straightforward for catching big macro moves for LINK.
As you can see, these are just two examples of many fractals I’m following. The main one is ETH because it’s been a 1:1 mirror for the most part. The last spike down was a deviation for sure — well, at first I thought it was on the Bitstamp chart because it has the most historical data for ETH, but when I switched to the Binance chart, I found something very interesting.
A view of the bar pattern fractal is telling us where we are.
When switching to the Binance chart, we see a very interesting wick of 26% that nuked the market during that time — very similar to what Binance has done this time around. You cannot make this stuff up. So at first, I thought it was a small deviation, but in fact, after looking at this chart, it’s still a mirror, even including that huge scam wick of 27%. Amazing.
So as you can see, in terms of the bar pattern fractal, I simply cannot ignore the fact that this keeps mirroring, and if it continues, it’s possible that we have one more year left in this bull market, and that this four-year cycle thesis is, in fact, a massive bear trap.
If we take a look at the monthly candle that shook a lot of players out last cycle before the run-up, we can see that we printed a candle with wicks on both ends — very similar to what we are forming right now.
If we zoom into that moment on a smaller timeframe, you can now see the moves are similar — a big drop into a double bottom followed by a slow grind up. This is how ETH normally puts in bottoms.
Looking at ETH’s RSI levels on the monthly chart — during the first cycle, when it broke the all-time high, RSI was extremely overbought at 87. On the last cycle, it was 82. This cycle, ETH is at an all-time high and the RSI is only 59. We’re not even in the overbought range yet — there’s so much room for ETH to expand, it’s crazy.
Since its inception, ETH has always pulled off the same move: one very aggressive wave with an aggressive pullback, followed by one smaller wave that creates a higher high to finish off the cycle. It’s done this every time.
Which means that if the bar pattern fractal continues to mirror, then wave 1 tops in the first week of January 2026, followed by a massive correction that will again fool everyone into thinking the four-year cycle is 100% over. But what if ETH puts in a bottom in February 2026 and rallies back up to all-time highs? Nobody would believe it — the disbelief would be strong because everyone would have sold the top in Q4 2025 due to the four-year cycle theory.
The second major piece of evidence I’m leaning on is the Russell 2000. Since its inception, the Russell 2000 has done the exact same thing before expansion comes:
Double top
Second drop bear trap
V-shaped recovery back to all-time high
Expansion breakout
Same thing every time. Look at the chart and tell me we’re not going into expansion — there’s a very high chance. The last two times, we got that massive monthly candle breakout in November.
Which brings me to the main point — every time the Russell goes into expansion, Bitcoin has started its most aggressive run. The last three times, Bitcoin went on to break its all-time high and put in a cycle top within an average of 355 days.
Gold, shown above, is so close to the 4.236 extension right now that it would be crazy to buy here. There’s a high chance of a major top coming in, and we’re about to see a major rotation back into Bitcoin with those gains.
Just take a look at the Power of Law model for Bitcoin — the bull market hasn’t even started yet.
It’s crazy that people are calling the cycle top with the Mayer Multiple sitting at 1.19.
Conclusion
My view is that there is one more year left in this uptrend in crypto. Bitcoin has turned into a different beast. It has completely detached itself from the rest of crypto for the most part, but the first expansion is coming in 2026. If the bar pattern does not deviate, then greatness lies ahead.