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USD/JPY shows a bearish setupUSD/JPY shows a bearish setup, both in terms of technical patterns and fundamentals.​ Technical: Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.​ Key levels 140-142 break below, then 135-137. Fundamental: Strengthening the yen - BOJ might raise rates twice, and possibly inflation will remain around 3% as recent wage hikes fuel inflation Weakening the Dollar - falling U.S. Treasury Yields possibly to 3.5% range and below, Trump's intentions to weaken the dollar to make exports competitive and imports expensive. Note: Last time, Trump handed over to Biden with DXY at around 90, and the current direction is towards the same.
Short
by DonsTrading1M
1
S&P500 - What's next - Tariffs , Interest Rate decision? As of March 18, 2025, the S&P 500 index has experienced significant volatility, influenced by President Donald Trump's recent tariff policies and anticipation surrounding the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. Scenario 1: Upside Potential Towards All-Time Highs The S&P 500 has recently shown signs of recovery, with a 0.6% rise on Monday following a 2.1% surge on Friday, marking its best performance since Trump's re-election. This rebound suggests that, despite earlier corrections, investor sentiment may be improving. ​ If the Federal Reserve decides to maintain current interest rates in its upcoming meeting, it could signal confidence in the economy's resilience amid trade tensions. Such a stance might encourage further investment in equities, potentially propelling the S&P 500 towards its all-time highs. Additionally, some analysts believe that the market's recent correction is a healthy adjustment, and with improved earnings revisions and seasonal strength, a continued rally is plausible. ​ Scenario 2: Downside Risk Towards the 5,000 Support Level Conversely, the aggressive tariff policies introduced by President Trump have raised concerns about inflationary pressures and potential slowdowns in economic growth. UBS analysts project that if the U.S. implements a 60% import tax on Chinese goods and a 10% tariff on other imports, the S&P 500 could end next year at 5,200, an 11% decline from its recent record close. ​ Furthermore, Goldman Sachs estimates that the current tariff plans could lead to a 5% drop in the S&P 500 in the coming months, as increased costs may squeeze corporate profit margins. If the Federal Reserve responds to these inflationary concerns by maintaining or even raising interest rates, borrowing costs could rise, potentially dampening consumer spending and business investment. Such developments might exert downward pressure on the S&P 500, bringing it closer to the 5,000 support level.​ Summa Money Our conclusion. The S&P 500's trajectory in the near term is intricately linked to the outcomes of trade policies and monetary decisions. While the market has demonstrated resilience, the dual forces of tariff-induced economic adjustments and the Federal Reserve's interest rate stance will play pivotal roles in determining whether the index ascends towards new highs or retreats to key support levels. In these volatile times, it is definitely a tough time to predict how the market would move , so this is why we are looking into the different options as how things would pan-out in the upcoming months in regards to the S&P500! Positive outcome - Enter here with a target just below the ATH at 6,000 points, with your stop loss being above the bottom at 5,125 points Negative outcome - Entere here with a target around the bottom at 5,000 , with a stop loss around the resistnace 5,750 I am interested to hear out your thoughs on this analysis and overall the idea behind whats happening with the U.S. economy and what would be the reaction for the S&P500!
SP:SPX
by DG55Capital
DeGRAM | DXY dollar in the turbulence zoneDXY is in a descending channel under the trend lines. The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel. After breaking the trend line, the chart went sharply lower amid the announcement of trade duties, after which it formed a gap. On the main timeframes indicators have gone into the oversold zone. We expect that the index will seek to close the gap after testing the lower boundary of the channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYLong
by DeGRAM
1
USD/JPY 4H AnalysisUSDJPY Trade Idea: Bearish Flag Breakdown and Key Technical Levels Trade Setup Overview Pattern Identified: Bearish Flag breakdown (continuation pattern) after a prior downtrend. Key Resistance: 100-period Moving Average (MA) acting as dynamic resistance. Entry Trigger: Retest of the broken flag's lower boundary near 149.300. Targets: TP1: 148.30 (100 pips, aligns with the flag's measured move). TP2: 146.60 (270 pips, targets a major swing low and psychological level). Stop Loss: 150.00 (70 pips risk, above the flag's upper boundary and recent swing high). --- Critical Technical Factors 1. Bearish Flag Dynamics: The flag's "pole" (prior decline) suggests a measured move target of ~148.30 (TP1). A close below the flag confirms momentum; watch for follow-through selling. 2. Confluence with Moving Averages: The 100-MA resistance reinforces bearish pressure. A rejection here adds confidence to the downtrend. A break below the 200-MA (if applicable) would signal a deeper bearish shift. 3. Key Support Levels: 148.30: Near-term target (previous swing low). 146.60: Long-term support (2023 lows, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 2021-2023 rally). --- Risk Management Risk-Reward Ratio: TP1: 1:1.4 (70 pips risk vs. 100 pips reward). TP2: 1:3.8 (70 pips risk vs. 270 pips reward). Adjust Stops: Trail stops to breakeven if TP1 is hit to lock in gains. --- Fundamental Catalysts to Monitor 1. Fed Policy: Dovish signals (rate cuts) could accelerate USD weakness. 2. BOJ Intervention: Watch for verbal or direct action to defend JPY above 150.00. 3. Risk Sentiment: JPY strength may surge if equity markets sell off (safe-haven flows). --- Execution Plan Sell Entry: 149.300 (wait for price to retest the broken flag boundary). TP1: 148.30 (partial profit-taking). TP2: 146.60 (requires sustained bearish momentum). Stop Loss: 150.00 (avoids false breakdowns). --- Your trade plan is now structured and polished for sharing. Let me know if you need any tweaks!
Short
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
BTCUSD to 72,000Since it's following the bearish order flow, I'd expect it to go further until it hits some breakeven level for the premium price. Following are the things I've checked and viewed as confluences for the trade: 1. In premium 2. Bearish order flow 3. Responded from the flip zone 4. Recently responded from the 4H supply zone 5. Anticipating it to breach the recent swing low (which can be a good confirmation of entry) 6. Price is also always pulling from the LTF demand area, so if it breaks the demand area with a strong bearish candle and reverses back to it, I can think of that as another signal for a good pull that can be used to break the swing low 7. Slightly taking on the shape of a bullish wedge formation These are the intersections that encouraged me to seek an opening here. I hope you are doing well, and kindly ensure you check from your side before taking any decision—this is my opinion only. Thanks for your time..
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by Naren_2410
1
"SPX500/US500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SPX500 / US500" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. Stop Loss 🛑: (5730) Thief SL placed at the nearest / swing high level Using the 8H timeframe swing / day trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 5300 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. "SPX500 / US500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Thief_Trader
#FILUSDT remains under bearish pressure📉 SHORT BYBIT:FILUSDT.P from $2.616 🛡 Stop loss $2.645 🕒 1H Timeframe ⚡️ Overview: ➡️ The POC (Point of Control) BYBIT:FILUSDT.P is located at $2.766, far above the current price — this highlights strong historical selling pressure. ➡️ Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. ➡️ The breakdown below $2.616 triggered the short setup with further downside potential. ➡️ Volume spikes during red candles indicate continued seller activity. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $2.605 💎 TP 2: $2.584 💎 TP 3: $2.570 📢 Watch the $2.616 zone — holding below increases downside probability. 📢 If price moves above $2.645, the setup becomes invalid. BYBIT:FILUSDT.P remains under bearish pressure — short bias stays valid under current structure.
Short
by MoriartyTrading
Analysis of gold market outlookTechnical analysis of gold: Gold fluctuated on Wednesday, and the price went back and forth repeatedly. After the US market retreated on Tuesday, it did not fall below the 3100 mark. Only after breaking this position can it open up further downward space. The upper side is the 3140 mark. It should be noted that even if it breaks higher, it is necessary to prevent long risks, and it is only suitable for short-term. Gold is currently continuing to fluctuate along the short-term moving average in the daily trend. The current price is supported around 3100. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flatness. The K-line has insufficient downward momentum in the short-term trend after the continuous lower shadow line is formed. Attention should be paid to the possible sideways shock repair and the secondary upward trend after the technical pattern repair is completed. Gold's 1-hour moving average has gradually begun to show signs of turning around. Gold's 1-hour moving average is also in the shape of a head and shoulders top. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There will be more data in the second half of this week, and there will also be news of important events, so gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold move in a new direction. Gold has not broken through the intraday high, so we will continue to focus on high-altitude trading in the US market. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting and callback longing. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support. Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3138-3140, short (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break the position and look at 3100 Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3100-3103, buy long positions in batches (buy up) of 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break the position and look at 3130
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by Oliver389
1INCH/USDT: A Potential Bullish ReversalThe daily price action of the 1INCH/USDT trading pair, revealing a downward trend within a descending channel. Recently, the price has moved above the channel's lower boundary and is testing a critical resistance zone, suggesting a potential reversal. A strong demand zone has previously halted declines, and bullish momentum here may indicate a trend shift. Targets at $0.2550, $0.3089, and $0.3542, with a final target around $0.5167, implying a potential 125% increase if bullish momentum persists. Overall, the breakout from the descending channel and firm support levels indicate a bullish outlook, though monitoring volume and market sentiment is essential to confirm the uptrend's strength.
Long
by BrytJoy
#BTC/USD ANALYSIS. (BULLISH)Bitcoin Price Action Analysis. The Next Big Move? Bitcoin is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong bullish momentum! However, a key decision point is approaching as the price nears a critical support zone (highlighted in blue). If BTC holds above this level, we could see a strong push towards the $91,500 resistance and potentially break into the $94,700 range. A well structured risk-to-reward setup is in play, with a potential bullish breakout targeting new highs. Will BTC sustain its momentum, or will we see a retracement before the next leg up? Stay sharp and trade wisely! We will execute our trades only after receiving bullish confirmation. Use proper stoploss and proper money management. This is just my analysis. Observe the behavior of price how it will react. #BTCUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
1