EURUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-May22,Wk1EURUSD has fallen to 27Feb2017 low, the closing candle on the Weekly Chart suggests that the dovish movement has not ended.
However, that doesn't mean that we should avoid the counter-trend trading setup that forms on the 1-hourly chart. With that said, it is important not to overtrade on this Bullish Gartley setup.
A 3-bar reversal could be a good indication for a buying opppotunity.
Countertrend
SGDMYR - Exchange RatesOn 20 Apr 2022, SGDMYR shot up to 3.1466. To most Singaporeans who have commitments in Malaysia or Malaysian who are earning SGD, is a no brainer to change their SGD to MYR.
But that night at 10.25pm, right after my Live Session, I've told a group of entrepreneurs NOT to change their SGD to MYR just yet.
If you could wait for a few days. On Fri, 22Apr2022 market close at 3.1538. Based on the candlestick pattern and the Harmonic Patterns formation, Bearish Crab Pattern, it would be a good idea to change some MYR that could cover your monthly expenses or commitment for the next 3-5months.
It would not surprise me if the market retraces back to the 3.1255~3.0990 range when Market Open.
Share this with your friends as they might benefit from this and there are a couple of hours for them to make the arrangements.
Forex Trading doesn't always mean that one should only trade on the Spot Market, but you can benefit from your day to day expenses, your investment planning and such.
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Apr22,Wk4GBPUSD has broken and closed below the channel, trend traders can wait for a retest of the channel for a shorting opportunity.
Counter-Trend Traders can wait for the market to consolidate at 1.2796 and wait for a 3-bar reversal to long based on the Bullish Crab Pattern.
NZDUSD - Bearish SharkAs mentioned before, Shark Pattern can have as many as 3 different entry prices. Lucky for us, this is the only opportunity left for this setup.
There's no need to rush into the trading setup, we could wait for market confirmed by seeing the candlestick break and close below the PRZ zone(rectangle at Point D) and retest back to the entry price.
ETH - ABCD PatternABCD Pattern is the fundamental/building block of the Harmonic Pattern. Like its counterpart, the pattern is designed on a counter-trend trading opportunity.
What I like about this setup is that it came into the previous consolidation zone.
I'm not a big fan of trading crypto but is no harm to consider buying at this range.
Conservative traders can wait for consolidation and 3bar reversal before considering engaging in the buy trade.
AUDUSD - 5-0 PatternIf you have followed last week's analysis(link at the bottom), you could have caught some profit from the Bearish Shark Pattern setup.
It's a bad idea to jump in the trade and take the short trade now because you won't have an edge over the market.
Instead, you could wait for the 5-0 Pattern completion for a counter-trend move. The formation can complete as early as 0.7263. It is a 316pips profit potential trading setup. All the best to you.
#iToldYouSo
EURUSD - Bullish Shark checkbackIf you are looking for a reliable setup for a countertrend move, we have spotted a Bullish Shark Pattern that has checked back.
If you are looking to stretch the target to the daily chart, Bearish Bat Pattern, I find that could be far-fetched for the time being, but I leave that decision to you.
EUR/USD (Counter Trend Trade) 1HRPAIR: EUR/USD
TRADE: COUNTER TREND TRADE
POSITION: BUY
TIME-FRAME: 1HR
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Looking at a lovely Counter Trend opportunity here on the EUR/USD.
We're at major structure support on the daily and this is a wonderful
level, to look for a long opportunity.
We had an equal level move, with fibonacci extension 127% and 1414%
with a double bottom here, however, the only thing missing on my filter
is the RSI going oversold along with RSI divergence.
Other than that, this is a good trading opportunity, to look for a pop out
of the markets from the EUR/USD. Nice intraday setup.
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Truly grateful to be here and share my thoughts with
everyone. Always appreciate your thoughts and what
you have to say and share, let's experience Trading in
a positive way, together. Time is precious, be kind to
everyone and be safe in the markets, always.
"See yourself as love and only have that, to give away."
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Phil C.
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Apr22,Wk2GBPUSD is on a Bearish Trend, however, counter-trend traders could wait for a retest at 1.2983 for a buying opportunity based on the ABCD Pattern checkback.
Trend traders on the other hand could wait for a shorting opportunity at 1.3053 for a trend trading opportunity.
MATIC/USDT - LONG IDEA MATIC/USDT - LONG IDEA
The Market has moved into the Buy Zone off the Daily Timeframe and forming a nice up channel which acts as Support and Resistance moving towards our Target of 1.822.
A Gartley has just been fulfilled off the 4 hour timeframe which normally could signify the new low price for us buy the market on our way up to our daily target 1.822.
We have found that there's a inner up channel trendline and a outer trendline , the question would be will the Market reverse now or will the market want to test the outer trendline which also acts as a Support Level as well.
Trade :
TP : 1.822
SL : 1.195
DOT/USD LONG IDEADOT/USD LONG IDEA
DOT/USD has broken into our Buy Zone Area we now looking for low prices to Buy up towards our Daily Target of 27.87917600
A nice up channel has formed and we going to use it as Support Resistance Levels to guide us to put Take profit levels identified .
TP1 : 27.87917600
TP 2 : 25.32764000
SL : 13.79581645
TEZOS (XTZUSD)- LONG IDEA TEZOS (XTZUSD)- LONG IDEA
Tezos has broke into our Buy Zone Area off the Daily Timeframe we are now looking for low prices to Buy up towards our Daily Target of 4.3566.
We have established an up trend/channel and looking to buy the counter trend break towards our Target 4.3566.
Path 1 : If the channel holds then we could see the Market reversing off that support trendline towards our Target of 4.3566 .
Path 2: If the trendline fails we have seen a strong Support Level below the trendline which could start the reversal to the upside towards our Target of 4.3566 .
Take Profit : 4.3566
Stop Loss : 2.3736
GBP/USD Outlook (6 April 2022)GBP/USD broke lower from its consolidation towards the 1.3040 key support.
If price stays above 1.3040 and bounces towards the upside, the GBP/USD is likely to stay within the range of 1.3040 and 1.3220 (180 pip range).
However, depending on recent DXY strenght, look for short term selling opportunities of GBP/USD if it breaks below 1.3040.
NZD/USD Outlook (6 April 2022) Overall, NZD/USD have been trending upwards. With recent upside move capped at the 0.7000 resistance zone .
As the NZD/USD retraced from the key level of 0.7000 currently slightly below 0.6950. Look for short-term selling opportunities of NZD/USD if price remains below 0.6950. Its next support zone is at 0.68400.
AUD/USD Outlook (6 April 2022)Following the RBA rate decision and statement, the AUD/USD rose significantly towards 0.7650
This move was driven by the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate statement indicating possibility of earlier rate increases possibly in May (previously expected towards the end of the year)
Overnight FOMC members commented
- balance sheet reduction soon and 'at a rapid pace' (Brainard)
- accommodative policy has to be removed, 50 basis points will be option to consider (George)
This resulted in the US Dollar strengthening, retracing the AUD/USD from resistance zone 0.7650
Counter trend opportunity would be to sell the AUD/USD if price continues to move towards support zone of 0.7500
LONG IDEA - EURJPY LONG IDEA - EURJPY
Based off the Monthly Timeframe we have moved into the Buy Zone and now looking to Buy the market .
If the Analysis holds true we anticipate the market push Bullish towards our daily Target of 145.733.
The previous resistance could potentially become the new support round about 133.138 area .
We as see a strong support level between 127.892 - 128.433 which the market could Potentially come back to and rally towards our Target of 145.733.
TP 1 - 141.131
TP 2 - 145.733
SL - 121.425
Long Idea GBP/JPYLong Idea GBP/JPY:
Based on our Analysis we see a Strong Up Channel based off the Daily time frame Making HH and HL we anticipate a pull back and then a further push to the upside to our 3 Take Profit Areas highlighted .
TP1 : 169.067
TP 2 : 170.467 (Monthly Take Profit)
TP 3 : 174.707
SL : 147.034
If the market does a Deeper retrenchment to our second entry point highlighted round about 152.337
our Take profit analysis will stop at TP 2 : 170.467 (Monthly Take Profit) we will then anticipate a Larger than normal retracement.
AUDCAD - Bearish Shark CheckbackIf you had read my previous analysis, this is how Shark Pattern works, when the Shark Pattern hit its stop loss, it may present you another trading opportunity of a further entry price.
The problem with most trader is the hesitance to engage the trade, and I can understand that, you just got stop out. You aren't certain if this should be the trade to take.
The Shark Pattern could present as much as 3 entry price to engage the same trade. It is common that a trader can feel distraught when they get stop-out 3 times within the same trade. But once you get comfortable with the Shark Pattern, it brings you more profits and losses in the long run.
What I love about this Bearish Shark Pattern is that this is the last possibility of the Shark Pattern on this setup.
I got stung out on the previous Shark Pattern, but luckily for me the Stop-Loss is only 39pips. Well, that's possible because of my background on structure trading for the past 17years.
What about you? Are you comfortable tading the Shark Pattern?