GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Apr22,Wk2GBPUSD is on a Bearish Trend, however, counter-trend traders could wait for a retest at 1.2983 for a buying opportunity based on the ABCD Pattern checkback.
Trend traders on the other hand could wait for a shorting opportunity at 1.3053 for a trend trading opportunity.
Countertrend
MATIC/USDT - LONG IDEA MATIC/USDT - LONG IDEA
The Market has moved into the Buy Zone off the Daily Timeframe and forming a nice up channel which acts as Support and Resistance moving towards our Target of 1.822.
A Gartley has just been fulfilled off the 4 hour timeframe which normally could signify the new low price for us buy the market on our way up to our daily target 1.822.
We have found that there's a inner up channel trendline and a outer trendline , the question would be will the Market reverse now or will the market want to test the outer trendline which also acts as a Support Level as well.
Trade :
TP : 1.822
SL : 1.195
DOT/USD LONG IDEADOT/USD LONG IDEA
DOT/USD has broken into our Buy Zone Area we now looking for low prices to Buy up towards our Daily Target of 27.87917600
A nice up channel has formed and we going to use it as Support Resistance Levels to guide us to put Take profit levels identified .
TP1 : 27.87917600
TP 2 : 25.32764000
SL : 13.79581645
TEZOS (XTZUSD)- LONG IDEA TEZOS (XTZUSD)- LONG IDEA
Tezos has broke into our Buy Zone Area off the Daily Timeframe we are now looking for low prices to Buy up towards our Daily Target of 4.3566.
We have established an up trend/channel and looking to buy the counter trend break towards our Target 4.3566.
Path 1 : If the channel holds then we could see the Market reversing off that support trendline towards our Target of 4.3566 .
Path 2: If the trendline fails we have seen a strong Support Level below the trendline which could start the reversal to the upside towards our Target of 4.3566 .
Take Profit : 4.3566
Stop Loss : 2.3736
GBP/USD Outlook (6 April 2022)GBP/USD broke lower from its consolidation towards the 1.3040 key support.
If price stays above 1.3040 and bounces towards the upside, the GBP/USD is likely to stay within the range of 1.3040 and 1.3220 (180 pip range).
However, depending on recent DXY strenght, look for short term selling opportunities of GBP/USD if it breaks below 1.3040.
NZD/USD Outlook (6 April 2022) Overall, NZD/USD have been trending upwards. With recent upside move capped at the 0.7000 resistance zone .
As the NZD/USD retraced from the key level of 0.7000 currently slightly below 0.6950. Look for short-term selling opportunities of NZD/USD if price remains below 0.6950. Its next support zone is at 0.68400.
AUD/USD Outlook (6 April 2022)Following the RBA rate decision and statement, the AUD/USD rose significantly towards 0.7650
This move was driven by the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate statement indicating possibility of earlier rate increases possibly in May (previously expected towards the end of the year)
Overnight FOMC members commented
- balance sheet reduction soon and 'at a rapid pace' (Brainard)
- accommodative policy has to be removed, 50 basis points will be option to consider (George)
This resulted in the US Dollar strengthening, retracing the AUD/USD from resistance zone 0.7650
Counter trend opportunity would be to sell the AUD/USD if price continues to move towards support zone of 0.7500
LONG IDEA - EURJPY LONG IDEA - EURJPY
Based off the Monthly Timeframe we have moved into the Buy Zone and now looking to Buy the market .
If the Analysis holds true we anticipate the market push Bullish towards our daily Target of 145.733.
The previous resistance could potentially become the new support round about 133.138 area .
We as see a strong support level between 127.892 - 128.433 which the market could Potentially come back to and rally towards our Target of 145.733.
TP 1 - 141.131
TP 2 - 145.733
SL - 121.425
Long Idea GBP/JPYLong Idea GBP/JPY:
Based on our Analysis we see a Strong Up Channel based off the Daily time frame Making HH and HL we anticipate a pull back and then a further push to the upside to our 3 Take Profit Areas highlighted .
TP1 : 169.067
TP 2 : 170.467 (Monthly Take Profit)
TP 3 : 174.707
SL : 147.034
If the market does a Deeper retrenchment to our second entry point highlighted round about 152.337
our Take profit analysis will stop at TP 2 : 170.467 (Monthly Take Profit) we will then anticipate a Larger than normal retracement.
AUDCAD - Bearish Shark CheckbackIf you had read my previous analysis, this is how Shark Pattern works, when the Shark Pattern hit its stop loss, it may present you another trading opportunity of a further entry price.
The problem with most trader is the hesitance to engage the trade, and I can understand that, you just got stop out. You aren't certain if this should be the trade to take.
The Shark Pattern could present as much as 3 entry price to engage the same trade. It is common that a trader can feel distraught when they get stop-out 3 times within the same trade. But once you get comfortable with the Shark Pattern, it brings you more profits and losses in the long run.
What I love about this Bearish Shark Pattern is that this is the last possibility of the Shark Pattern on this setup.
I got stung out on the previous Shark Pattern, but luckily for me the Stop-Loss is only 39pips. Well, that's possible because of my background on structure trading for the past 17years.
What about you? Are you comfortable tading the Shark Pattern?
USDCAD - Bullish BatThis is one of the trading setups that could give us an entry opportunity once the market opens on Monday(GMT +8). A 3-bar reversal will be a safer bet to engaged the trade.
However, if you are comfortable taking some risks, the reward is much better now. Stop goes below X of the Bat Pattern by using my secret formula of the buffer.
AUDUSD - Bearish CrabI had profited 212pips on the AUDUSD Bullish Deep Gartley Pattern(check out the link at the bottom). It's only 212pips because I got in late.
Now I had shorted the Bearish Crab Pattern at HOP level. One of the perks of this is the Reward:Risk Ratio.
What I didn't like the candlestick consolidation looking left.
GBPUSD - Bearish SharkIt is important to wait for Candle Confirmation even on the most familiar currency pair and most familiar setup.
The close of the current candle will determine if the Shark Pattern is valid. The Bearish Shark Pattern formed at 1.3177 and was confirmed once the candle closed at 1.3173.
As this is a 1-hourly chart setup at 1700(GMT +8) or latest by 1900, it will give us a clear picture if the trade is valid.
CADJPY - Bearish SharkCADJPY has been giving us an amazing trading experience. Once again, another Bearish Shark Pattern has formed up. What's different from this setup is that the 4-hourly candle has broken and closed above X. This is something that you shouldn't treat lightly.
You can head to the lower timeframe and wait for a Double Top setup with RSI Divergence on the 1hourly chart. That should significantly reduce your initial stop-loss providing and reward of up to 5x.
Long Idea : DOT/USD Long Idea : DOT/USD
If the research holds true we are anticipating the market to turn bullish once the market breaks into the buy zone and Long term we anticipating the market to push to our target 62.64038683 .
Take Profit (TP)1 : 53.98448969
Take Profit (TP) : 62.64038683 Long term
Stop Loss (SL) : 6.80493256
CADJPY - Bullish SharkBefore I talk about the Bullish Shark, I like to talk about the Bearish Shark Pattern(check out the related ideas posted within TradingView). That trade's target one has been attained{90.44} a total of 192pips captured, and its first target provides a 2.74 reward: risk ratio.
The market has to break and close below 89.81 will significantly increase the odds of the 2nd target being hit.
I will be shifting target2 further to 88.80, giving a 4:1 ratio to its risk profit.
If you have not engaged in the trade, do not chase the market.
I will then reverse the trade by counter-trend trading it as I engage the Bullish Shark setup.
EURJPY - 5-0PatternA Bullish 5-0 Pattern complete on the Weekly Chart. If you had engaged the Bearish Shark Pattern I've shared last year, you would have gained a total of 848pips by just waiting for it to hit the profit level.
Trading the Shark Pattern isn't an easy task as it can have up to 3 different entry zone, which means when you get stopped out the 1st time, you should engage the 2nd and 3rd times as long as formed up in those areas.
But if you did short this, you would have gained a total of 848pips.
5-0 Pattern is much easier as it has only 1 entry zone and 1 profit level. You only need to wait for candle confirmation to trade back up to the profit level.
I will be waiting for a double bottom setup with RSI Divergence on a lower timeframe to take advantage of the setup.
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Mar22,Wk2We have a Bullish Deep Gartley on the Daily Chart. There are 3 things that I'm not comfortable with this Deep Gartley Pattern are:
1) A retest at Point C
2) Consolidation right before the Gartley Pattern completion.
3) Strong Bearish Candle as the Terminal Bar of the Harmonic Pattern.
However, what's comforting to see is that the Weekly Support Zone(1.3220~1.31402) coincide with the Deep Gartley Pattern completion.
What you can look out for is a Double Bottom with RSI Divergence that can strengthen the bullish movement of this trading setup.