TradeCityPro | LPTUSDT Weekly Watchlist Coin👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze our triggers before global markets open. It is expected that we might enter a range-bound market phase, experiencing both time and price corrections.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before our short analysis, let’s review Bitcoin: Unfortunately, Bitcoin did not break above 99079, which means the bullish momentum did not start. In my opinion, this will lead to an extended range-bound market, possibly lasting through the Christmas holidays.
Bitcoin dominance is also trying to create a lower high compared to 61.1%, and it is currently without much movement. This indicates that the range is likely to continue.
For now, I suggest avoiding new positions to protect your stop-losses for more critical levels. Instead, focus on learning, finding suitable coins, or engaging in DeFi activities because when the market moves, you won’t have time for these things.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, LPT is one of the coins that has created a higher low compared to the previous year. Its upward movement started in 2023, and currently, it is oscillating within its large weekly box, ranging from 9.14 to 22.189.
Usually, cryptocurrencies show sharp movements after breaking out of their weekly accumulation or re-accumulation zones, making them worth the risk.
Why Not Buy Within the Box? Personally, I do not buy within the box as part of my strategy because I don’t like to keep my funds idle for too long.
I want to use my capital actively to generate profits, rather than having it tied up for a year in a coin that may not perform. Instead, I wait for buying momentum with a defined stop-loss.
For your purchase, make sure not to miss the 22.189 breakout. After breaking this level, you can enter with a stop-loss at the bottom of the box and hold for the mid-term.
If you already hold this coin, I recommend exiting if the weekly candle closes below 9.143. You can re-enter the box later, even though fewer coins may be acquired. This strategy helps you avoid long-term downtrends.
Using Fibonacci based on the 2023 low, the coin’s correction reached 50% Fibonacci and Dow Theory. This demonstrates the critical nature of the 9.143 level as support, which will not be easily lost, Price targets based on Fibonacci levels - 37.632 - 55.317 - 90.262 - 168.239 (if 22.189 resistance is broken).
💡 BTC Pair Insight
The BTC pair of LPT is within its weekly box and has fake-broken its support, returning to the range. The current weekly candle is closing green, indicating the possibility of moving toward the upper boundary. Confirmation comes with a break of 0.0002088 and RSI above 61.23.
Due to the coin's low trading volume, we cannot analyze the lower time frames for this pair. Before buying, ensure a trigger exists in the BTC pair; otherwise, there are likely better coins available for investment.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Cryptocurrency
TradeCityPro | MNT: Momentum in Mantle's Layer 2 Network👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I’ll review MNT, the token for the Mantle Network, which is a Layer 2 solution on Ethereum. Over the past few weeks, this token has shown significant bullish activity. If you’ve been following our YouTube channel, you’ve likely participated in the Cook airdrop on Mantle and bought MNT at lower prices.
🔍 After the price reached the $1.2701 zone and made a false breakout, it failed to reach the $1.4386 resistance level and began a correction, retracing to the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
📊 Despite the ongoing correction, selling volume has decreased, and green candles exhibit higher volumes, indicating the strength of MNT’s bullish trend.
📈 If the price breaks through $1.2701, it can easily register a new all-time high. However, to determine the precise targets, we need to wait for the breakout confirmation and utilize Fibonacci extension levels.
🧩 If the price fails to hold the 0.236 Fibonacci level, it could drop further toward the 0.382 level, which overlaps with the $0.9248 support zone.
🔽 Further support zones include the 0.5 Fibonacci level at $0.83 and the range between 0.707 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, which intersects with the $0.655 support zone.
A breach of the $0.655 support would indicate the end of the uptrend, with the final major support resting at $0.5373.
✨ Additionally, breaking the 50 RSI support would increase the likelihood of a bearish continuation scenario.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️ above.
Ascending Triangle Breakout For ZCashDec 8 Private Post-
With privacy continuing to erode globally at an alarming rate we will continue to see an influx of capital allocated to assets like Zcash, Roger Ver & other OG Crypto investors will Ape into privacy coins due to an alarming enforcement.
Zcash is showing multiple bullish indicators.
The Williams alligator is trending upwards in a bullish fashion, the bands are widening to the upside and the price is bouncing off the bands displaying strong support to the upside at the upward sloping support of the pattern.
We could see a retrace to the blue band of the Williams alligator at approximately $52 USD.
But why penny pinch, $370 USD incoming in 2025, Alt season hasn't even started yet and Zcash is going to go from an Alt coin to one of the main cryptos due to privacy features.
Zcash has tested the upward sloping support of the ascending triangle over half a dozen times and each time the price increases to create a micro higher high & lower low.
Ethereum VS Bitcoin has bottomed. BUY!!It has been a long while since I have made a chart as I have only been updating older charts.
It's time for a new one!!
Taking a look at this weekly chart of ETH VS BTC I do believe it has either bottomed or very near the bottom. Expect a strong reversal very soon, could start before this months end.
There is some bullish divergence in the RSI and the LAZY BEAR indicators, which is also a very positive sign.
This is one of the ultimate Alt season indicators, do not let the market or anyone else fool you. 2025 will be very good for the alts at least.
What to look for in 2025
Although I do expect another higher high from Bitcoin in quarter 1 of 2025, it is also possible that it might have topped already. Time will tell that.
Scenario 1 Assuming bitcoin has topped the rest of the rally will be about alts and them forming a top in quarter 1 which would mark the end of the bull market.
Scenario 2 This is the one I prefer and expect. I do see bitcoin making another move higher in quarter 1 and topping anywhere from 120k all the way to 170k area. Most likely 120k to 145k max. The sure bet is, bitcoin will surprise most people. Now during this run up expect Ethereum to make leaps and bounds along with most if not all altcoins.
KEY POINT Altcoins will most likely top after bitcoin tops. How far out this goes is the question and I do have a theory for it. No matter where
and when bitcoin tops out at, I do expect a strong rally latter in the year with a good chance that some or a lot of altcoins continue to make new highs while bitcoin does not. This would be the ultimate sell and don't look aback signal if it were to happen.
The RSI and where ETH could top vs BTC.
I would strongly look at the down trending yellow line I have added to the RSI as a strong resistance area and possible sell zone. The area of interest is at the 77 to 80 on the RSI.
That's all I have for now but be sure to follow as I will continue to update and add new info fairly often to this chart for the next few months or most of 2025.
Kind regards
WeAreSat0sh1
PS: Jesus is the reason for the season.
TradeCityPro | SUIUSDT The Best Coin of the Week?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s dive into the analysis of SUI, a coin that has recently caught significant attention for its impressive performance. Despite being a young coin listed in mid-2023, SUI has managed to climb to the 15th rank in the market.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, we begin by analyzing Bitcoin. On the 1-hour timeframe, after rejecting and setting a new ATH at $108,230, Bitcoin has entered a downtrend, which appears to have ended at $92,400.
However, the market is at a critical decision point. If Bitcoin fails to hold above $96,277 and breaks $99,079, a bullish continuation can be expected, proving this decline was merely corrective. Otherwise, breaking below $96,277 could signal shorting opportunities. Yet, caution is advised—secure profits quickly and avoid greed.
Bitcoin dominance, which has recently attracted much attention, saw a pullback to the 60% resistance level. This move, accompanied by market corrections, led to larger declines for altcoins, indicating the need for Bitcoin dominance to form lower highs—a shift that may be underway.
🕵️♂️ Previous Analysis
we had identified a PRZ area, and after breaking the 3.4295 support, it reacted to this zone. Following the rebound, it reached the resistance level we had previously identified at 4.7422. Currently, it is fluctuating just below this resistance.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, SUI has shown remarkable bullish momentum. After breaking the $1 resistance, it rallied toward $5 and currently trades at $4.5468.
The coin experienced strong volume inflows, maintaining RSI in the overbought zone for weeks. Yet, a breakout above 84.09 could justify additional entries.
If this week’s candle closes green, it will highlight strong buyer activity, reinforcing SUI’s exceptional performance amid market corrections. For those who entered at $1 or $1.76, transferring assets to DeFi platforms could be a wise move for leveraging SUI’s growth.
Using Fibonacci retracement, we identified potential future targets at $5.73, $14.56, and $23.83, depending on market cap movements.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, after breaking the $1.0273 range, SUI initiated its primary uptrend, forming new resistances and continuing upward. Yesterday’s daily candle confirmed strong buying interest, showcasing the coin’s superior recovery compared to others in the market.
Even now, an entry with a stop-loss at $3.1340 could be considered for high-risk buyers. Volume data also clearly indicates significant inflows.
Key support levels align with Fibonacci retracements, with $2.3716 being the most crucial level—serving as both a 0.382 Fibonacci level and a previously broken resistance turned support.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, after the Fed meeting and Powell's speech caused market declines, SUI quickly rebounded from the $3.5013 support level, showing a sharp recovery back toward its highs.
📈 Long Position Trigger:
breaking $4.7955 offers an ideal entry point, with orders placed above resistance due to potential whale activity. Ensure a wide stop-loss to avoid being stopped out by volatility.
📉 Short Position Trigger:
while I wouldn’t short SUI personally, breaking $4.345 could justify a position with a tight stop-loss. Regardless, secure profits quickly to mitigate the risk of rapid reversals.
🔗 Chart: 4H SUI Chart
💡 BTC Pair Insight
Against BTC, SUI is one of the most bullish pairs in the market. While most coins show red candles against Bitcoin, SUI strives to close green. If it breaks the 0.00004306 resistance and RSI confirms above 74.98, a strong upward trend could follow, benefiting both BTC and USDT pairs.
🌞 Conclusion
SUI stands out as a strong contender this week, displaying exceptional resilience and bullish momentum. With clear triggers for both long and short positions, the coin offers opportunities for strategic trading. Ensure careful risk management and stay prepared for rapid market shifts.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
$BBLUSDT - seems we are almost on the bottomMy observation is that the pair BYBIT:BBLUSDT dropping becomes more and more horizontal. This can be a signal for the turn nearing.
If it shows a real jump out of descending channel, I waiting forward to the growing phase of this instrument during the next 2 quarters.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
#furoreggs #investing #currency #idea #forecast #trading #analysis
$MATICUSDT is loadedI believe that the pair BINANCE:MATICUSDT is ready to move up much faster. I propose x10 profit in 3 months.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
#furoreggs #investing #currency #idea #forecast #trading #analysis
If you want to discuss, please subscribe and challenge this point of view. If you want to get more, please join my channels
$LUNCUSDT - goal is move higherPropose 2 scenarios for BYBIT:LUNCUSDT - first moving up during the 6 months, second is the nearest correction and long after with the good potential in a year.
Does not constitute a recommendation.
#furoreggs #investing #currency #idea #forecast #trading #analysis
If you want to discuss, please subscribe and challenge this point of view
TradeCityPro | ENA : Navigating Parabolic Growth👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I’m reviewing the ENA token, which belongs to the Ethena project operating within the Ethereum ecosystem. This project has successfully ranked among the top 10 DeFi projects by TVL.
📅 Daily Timeframe: Parabolic Trend and Reaction to Supply Zone
This token was recently launched and distributed its airdrop approximately 9 months ago to its users. After the airdrop, the project faced significant selling pressure, with its price reaching new historical lows of $0.2619 and then $0.2020.
👑 As Bitcoin began its bullish movement and broke its important 72k resistance, ENA also gained momentum, with increasing purchase volumes. It managed to fully recover and return to its ATH at $1.45.
📈 In this upward trend, ENA has undergone two re-accumulations, one under the $0.4234 resistance and the second under the $0.6844 resistance. These consolidation phases beneath critical zones help maintain a healthy uptrend without overly sharp corrections. However, the parabolic nature of the trend still suggests a higher risk of sharp retracements.
🔽 Currently, as the price has reached the ATH ceiling—a strong supply zone—the likelihood of corrections has increased.
📉 In case of a downward move:
The first support is the curved ascending trendline, acting as a dynamic support.
If the trendline is broken, the next support lies at $0.6844, which seems logical during a correction phase.
The final critical support is at $0.4234, and breaking it would signify the end of this bullish trend. The market would then require building a new structure for further momentum, either upward or downward.
🧩 From a technical perspective, volume is aligning well with price movements, confirming the upward trend. Meanwhile, the RSI above 50 indicates that corrections are less likely to lead to sharp declines unless the 50 level is breached.
🚀 If the ATH at $1.45 is broken, the next targets would be $2, $2.5, and $3.2, based on 6-month pivot points. Monitoring these levels closely for potential trend reversals is advisable.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Futures Triggers
In this timeframe, the focus is on specifying futures triggers for both long and short positions.
🔼 The market has managed to recover entirely from its correction and is among the few coins to successfully engulf its entire pullback.
📈 Breaking the $1.2423 resistance could confirm a long setup. However, trading in the $1.2423–$1.45 supply zone will be challenging due to its significant resistance.
📉 It’s recommended to wait until the $0.8550 level is breached for a short position. This would signal a trend reversal, providing a safer entry for shorts.
Currently, given the strong resistance, it’s better to avoid opening short positions without a confirmed trigger.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️ above.
ATCryptoScan: BTCUSD upside target in mid-Dec, what's next?Previously marked that BTCUSD would make a Mid-Dec 2024 top, at about 107K.
Happened 17 Dec as previously marked!
DONE and checked sweetly.
This was folllowed by an a large bearish marubozu candlestick downwards which broke back into the decision box, indicating that it would go out the other side. And it did, just yesterday, but it rebounded within the day to end off back in the box with a dragonfly doj i like candlestick... this is a bullish indication.
Thing is, technicals are bearish, including the modified VolDiv (dotted line, lower panel) which shows some weakening; and includes a MACD crossdown.
Waiting to see if the supports are going to break.
Am expecting it to break down... Previously downside target 75,000
But tendency for over estimates for downside in a bull run, so the new moderated downside target is 88,000 at the end of 2024.
BTCUSD is looking for a nice bullishs start to 2025...
Watch for it.
BTCUSD is holding its MA50 (1d). Bullish!Bitcoin touched the MA50 (1d) today and immediately rebounded, making a strong statement of how important of a support level that is.
The last time it hit the MA50 was on October 11th.
The pull back resembles March 20th from Bitcoin's last major rally, which rebounded and hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 105000 (the 0.786 Fib).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) patterns of the current correction and March's are virtually identical and in fact today it hit the exact same Support leve (46.50) it had when the price rebounded on March 19th.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
BITCOIN 1month RSI showing the Bull Cycle is far from over.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has had a pull back this week but that shouldn't cloud your long term outlook.
That remains bullish and even more so on the 1month chart where the RSI turning flat is a sign that the parabolic rally has only just begun.
The 1month RSI is trading inside a Channel Down since the very first trading day and with this week's sideways turning, it remains under the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
This suggests that relative to past Cycles, we may be on a similar stage as February 2017 and January 2013.
Both took 10 months until their Cycles topped.
This shows that we can stay bullish until at least September 2025 or if the RSI hits the top of the Channel Down first.
Take all the above into consideration and start taking profits in September the latest.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
SUIUSD: The 1D MA50 held again. Bounce incoming.SUI turned stayed bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.166, MACD = 0.287, ADX = 25.285) as the short term pullback stopped right on the 1D MA50, touching it for the first time since November 5th. This kept the Channel Up intact while the RSI hit and bounced on its own 4 month S1 Zone. This is the buy signal for the new bullish wave. We are bullish and aiming for the minimum +140% increase (TP = 7.000).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
SPX500 Rebounds: Market Optimism or Fed Reassessment in Focus"The SPX500 is bouncing back from the FOMC sell-off, signaling market optimism or reassessment of the Fed's stance. Key drivers include rate expectations, upcoming economic data, and sector performance. Watch for sustained momentum or signs of caution.
TradeCityPro | Theta : Navigating Deep Corrections👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will examine Theta in both the weekly and daily timeframes, providing a detailed breakdown of its market dynamics and critical levels.
📅 Weekly Timeframe: Price Reaches Supply Zone Again
In the weekly timeframe, after forming a bottom structure around the $0.58 level, Theta initiated its first bullish wave, reaching the supply zone between $3.251 and $4.184 for the first time in this uptrend cycle.
🔍 Following the initial test of this resistance, the price corrected and established a higher low at $1.009, reinforcing its support. With the breakout above $1.654, the next bullish wave towards the supply zone began.
🚀 Currently, the price has been rejected from this supply zone with significant selling volume and has pulled back to $1.654. Sustained bullish momentum, characterized by sharp upward movements and dominant green candles, will require a breakout and consolidation above the supply zone.
✅ Upon clearing this resistance, Theta could rally towards the ATH at $12.978, with potential for further targets and a new ATH if $12.978 is surpassed.
🔽 A break below RSI 50 may lead to continued corrections, potentially revisiting $1.009. Despite this, as long as the price holds above $1.009, the market outlook remains bullish. Confirmation of a trend reversal would occur with a breakdown of this level, targeting the key $0.58 support, which remains a critical demand zone.
📈 RSI support at 50 and renewed buying volume could propel the price back towards the supply zone with stronger momentum.
📅 Daily Timeframe: Deep Correction in Progress
On the daily chart, the most recent bullish wave is visible in greater detail. Applying a Fibonacci Retracement, the price initially corrected to the 0.382 level, followed by a deeper correction after breaking the $2.257 low, extending to the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
📉 If the correction continues, the final retracement level, 0.786 Fibonacci, aligns with the $1.628 support, forming a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). A failure to hold $1.628 could see the price drop to $1.009, as noted in the weekly analysis.
Currently, bearish volume is increasing, signaling potential challenges for a bullish recovery in the short term.
🔼 A bullish breakout would require strong buying volume, but opening long positions near the supply zone carries significant risk. Instead, consider entering positions at lower levels where price action provides a clear trigger to reduce stress as the price approaches the supply zone.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️ above.
Is the Top In? Bitcoin's Diminishing ReturnsMany of us have seen the Bitcoin Rainbow chart before. Right now, it implies that there is still room for another leg higher. According to Blockchain Center's 2023 chart , the 'Is this a bubble?' price range is around $111,914 to $143,429.
However, we also see the highs diminish over time. The first peak is outside of 'Maximum Bubble Territory,' the second reaching the same area, and the third hitting 'Sell. Seriously, SELL.'
While this pattern suggests BTC may only reach 'Is this a bubble?' or 'FOMO intensifies' this cycle, there's another pattern that indicates 'HODL' might be as far as it goes.
In the logarithmic chart above, we can see that BTC's price follows a pattern of diminishing returns. It has moved from low to high as follows (rounded):
1. 2010/2011: 0.01 to 31.91 = 3,191x
2. 2011/2013: 1.99 to 1,242 = 624x
3. 2015/2017: 162 to 19,785 = 122x
4. 2018/2021: 3,125 to 68,977 = 22x
5. 2022/2024: 15,479 to 108,367 = 7x
That means the multipliers from low to high have decreased with the following factors:
624.12 ÷ 3,191 ≈ 0.1957 (a 5.10x factor decrease)
122.09 ÷ 624.12 ≈ 0.1955 (a 5.11x factor decrease)
22.07 ÷ 122.09 ≈ 0.1809 (a 5.52x factor decrease)
7.00 ÷ 22.07 ≈ 0.3170 (a 3.15x factor decrease)
The most recent bullish run appears to be an outlier; if there'd been a 5.52x factor decrease from 22.07, that would've meant a rough 4x (22.07 ÷ 5.52) from the low, or a peak of 61,916.
There are multiple ways to interpret this pattern, and why it may or may not be holding this time around:
On the bullish side:
It's 'different' this cycle
A pro-crypto Trump administration/SEC chair shifts fundamentals
Growing legitimisation of BTC in institutional and regulatory circles
More funds flowing in via BTC ETFs
Currency debasement means more demand for BTC
The Rainbow chart indicates there's more room to grow
The halving pattern is still playing out
Search interest is below previous peaks on Google Trends , implying more potential interest
On the bearish side:
The culmination of bullish fundamental factors has overextended the pattern (much like how RSI can show an asset overbought for a long time before an eventual correction)
A risk-on year for assets more broadly has dragged BTC up with it, taking it past the established pattern
A larger market cap makes it harder to continue expanding exponentially as the market matures. BTC's market cap is $1.8t right now.
There is diminishing marginal demand—those already interested in BTC have bought in, reducing the pool of potential buyers
The Fear and Greed index has already reached levels see in previous peaks, like 2021
The feverishness surrounding meme coins is reminiscent of previous bubbles, like the ICO bubble and Dotcom bubble
Discussion
I think there are strong arguments to be made on both sides.
On one hand, it's true that it really might be different this time around. There's certainly more institutional adoption and regulatory clarity than ever before, with Trump even talking about a strategic Bitcoin reserve. There weren't Bitcoin ETFs in previous cycles, and the halving pattern suggests a peak usually around 1-1.5 years later; it's only been 8 months since the halving in April.
While the dollar will likely get stronger under Trump (potentially weakening BTC), there is the argument that weakening purchasing power in many countries is driving entities towards 'hard' assets, like gold, silver, and Bitcoin.
Then there is the room for more retail investors to participate, given search results for ' Bitcoin ' and ' buy Bitcoin ' are lower than previous highs (though I will note that 2021 was also lower than 2017). Lastly, while the Rainbow chart does show diminishing peaks, it does suggest we could still hit 'Is this a bubble?' or higher.
On the other hand, this recent run to $100k+ was mostly fueled by Trump's election win and his backing of crypto-friendly Paul Atkins for SEC chair. BTC jumped from around $69k on the day of the election—a bit above the top projected by the factor decrease pattern—and Trump's win may have temporarily distorted the pattern.
It is also possible that the market is reaching maturity. Assuming that BTC will move to $250k in 2025 as some predict, its market cap would be around $4.9t. That would put it above Apple's market cap of $3.775t but still decently below gold's $17.6t .
However, there's a reason gold is the most valuable asset in the world by market cap: it has historical, cultural, and social significance. Its durability and lustre meant it was used to decorate temples in ancient times and as a symbol of divinity. Over time, that led to it being valued as currency in ancient empires and eventually backing the dollar.
In contrast, Bitcoin is relatively young; while feasible that it could eventually overtake gold and still remarkable that it's achieved such a large market cap in around 15 years, it does beg the question if $250k would be too far, too soon. After all, central banks are hoarding gold right now, not Bitcoin.
This ties in with the reducing marginal demand for BTC. Those who already believe in its potential have bought in; while the number of participants is likely to go up over time, there don't seem to be many catalysts for many more to join in the near-term (besides rumours of a strategic BTC reserve).
2017 was the first time BTC really went mainstream. Alongside relatively low interest rates and a weak dollar, FOMO drove the rally; BTC jumped more than 20x that year. 2021 was similar; cheap money, pandemic boredom, a broader awareness of crypto, and FOMO, pushed BTC to new ATHs.
Looking ahead to 2025, there appear to be more bearish catalysts than bullish. Most notable is a Fed worried about inflation and whether it's appropriate to pause easing of rate cuts ( Deutsche Bank expects no cuts in 2025 , which while a bit extreme, is indication of the current state of affairs). At the time of writing, that's already pushed BTC down to GETTEX:92K from $108k.
There is a US stock market that has risen over 60% since the start of 2023, compared to an average annual return of around 10-11% since 1980. There's also the promise of inflationary tariffs, discretionary spending cuts, rising yields, etc. all of which are the opposite of bullish signals.
Combined with the Fear and Greed index hitting 94 in November (just under the 95 peak in early 2021, late 2021 saw peaks of 74) and extraordinary runup in memecoins recently—Fartcoin is worth $1.25 billion right now, up from $40 million at the end of October—the vibes are feeling a bit toppy.
Conclusion
In my opinion and on the balance of probabilities, the combination of the currently-overextended diminishing returns pattern and the fundamental factors described skews Bitcoin bearish from here.
There are certainly many counter-arguments to be made and I respect the fact that markets can stay irrational for a long, long time and I could be completely wrong (along with the fact I have my own biases). But, I do think it's at least difficult for me to be bullish or buy into Bitcoin here. The risk-reward isn't great; maybe a 2x is achievable, and that also possibly explains a lack of further retail interest and the pump in meme coins recently.
As an aside, it's interesting that this pattern would theoretically continue to produce diminishing returns until
the multiplier eventually reaches near-zero. I don't think that would be how it works in reality, but it does indicate that Bitcoin could reach a ceiling as cycles continue. Does that imply the pattern has to break at some point, or that there is a true 'natural' high for BTC?
I'd be interested to hear your thoughts. Thanks for reading.
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred based on this information. The opinions expressed are solely those of the author and are based on current data and analysis, which may not be accurate or complete. Always conduct your own research.
Bitcoin technical analysis + trade planThe chart shows a clear falling wedge formation. This is a bullish reversal pattern that suggests a potential upward breakout.
Price is nearing the wedge's apex, indicating that a breakout might be imminent.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
$88,671.83 (near-term critical support)
$86,000.00 (strong psychological support)
Resistance Levels:
$95,497.11 (short-term resistance near breakout zone)
$108,329.96 (target resistance post-breakout)
Indicators:
VWMC Cipher B Divergences:
Bullish divergence appears on the indicator, aligning with the falling wedge's bullish potential.
RSI:
RSI is below 30, indicating oversold conditions, which often precede a rebound.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI is oversold, suggesting incoming buying pressure.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Stochastic is in the oversold region (<20), showing high potential for a bullish reversal.
Market Sentiment:
Given the oversold indicators and bullish pattern, the market is primed for a potential upside movement. However, confirmation of the breakout is critical.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Enter long near the wedge's lower boundary (~$90,000), with a tight stop loss below $88,000.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a breakout above the wedge's resistance (~$96,000) and enter after confirmation with a retest of the breakout level.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place stop-loss below the nearest support level:
Aggressive traders: $87,500
Conservative traders: $92,000 (post-breakout retest failure)
Profit Targets:
First Target: $108,329.96 (major resistance level post-breakout)
Second Target: $114,000 (psychological level, based on historical price action)
Risk Management:
Risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio per trade.
Use position sizing to balance risk-to-reward ratios (minimum 1:3).
Monitoring
Volume: Ensure the breakout is accompanied by increased volume.
Candle Structure: A solid close above $96,000 validates the move.
Invalidation:
If the price falls below $88,000, the wedge pattern is invalidated, signaling further downside.
Alternative Scenario (Bearish):
If Bitcoin breaks below $86,000, expect a test of lower levels. Potential targets include $82,000 and $78,000.
Bitcoin is poised for a significant move. The falling wedge, oversold indicators, and strong support levels suggest an imminent bullish breakout. However, patience for confirmation is key to minimizing risk and maximizing gains. Adjust your strategy dynamically based on market conditions.
BNBUSD Patience! One more month of consolidation before $2350.Binance Coin (BNBUSD) has been in Accumulation Mode since early March (March 11 1W candle), trading sideways within initially the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) Mean (black trend-line) and the 1st SD above (grey trend-line) and since July within the 1st SD above and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
With regards to the 1W MA50 in particular, not only has it been the support since the late December 2023 bullish break-out but was successfully tested and held on the most recent pull-back, the August 05 Low.
This solidifies its position as the Support throughout the remainder of the Bull Cycle, which was in fact also the case during the previous Cycle where BNB had the final accumulation phase (blue ellipse) from September to December 2020, again within the same MMB - 1W MA50 zone, which initiated the most aggressive part of the Cycle (parabolic rally). Check also how similar their RSI sequences are.
That rally peaked on the MM 3rd SD above (red trend-line) so a $2350 price tag, which will 'only' come close to the 2nd SD (orange trend-line), appears to be a realistic Target. So in conclusion, BNB investors need to have 1 more month of patience before they see a real rally, as it was on the week of February 01 2021 that BNB's Parabolic Rally started.
As a side-note, check how the Sine Waves serve as an excellent tool in roughly estimating the timing of the Cycle's peak, as it was very efficient during the previous two Cycles. That could be anywhere around June - July 2025.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis 💰💰
🌟🚀In 8hr chart we can see a formation of "Rising Channel Pattern in #BTC. Right now we can see that there is an instant support level. We would see a pullback from support level.
🔖 Current Price: $96800
Target Price: $107500
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #BTC. 🚀💸
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #DYOR #PotentialBreakout
Phemex Analysis #45: Pro Guide to Enter ENA - The DeFi Giant!Ethena Labs, the force behind the ENA token ( PHEMEX:ENAUSDT.P ), is making waves in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space. Its synthetic stablecoin, USDe, recently became the third-largest stablecoin by market cap, marking a milestone for decentralized finance. Adding to this success, Ethena introduced USDtb, a stablecoin backed by BlackRock’s USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL). This strategic partnership bridges the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and DeFi, offering a credible and secure platform for institutional investors to participate in the evolving digital asset space.
ENA holders stand to benefit significantly from these developments. As the native token of the Ethena ecosystem, ENA is central to governance, stability mechanisms, and incentives tied to USDe and USDtb. With a growing ecosystem and increased adoption, ENA’s value proposition continues to strengthen, presenting a compelling opportunity for traders and investors.
When to Enter ENA?
The market for ENA/USDT is dynamic, influenced by broader crypto trends, including Bitcoin’s price movements. Key support levels offer potential entry points for different risk appetites:
Weak Support: $0.90
This level might hold if Bitcoin maintains its current momentum. However, if Bitcoin drops to the $90,000 area, this support could break.
Medium Support: $0.79 & $0.68
These levels present a higher probability of entry and are ideal for traders seeking to accumulate ENA while managing risk effectively.
Strong Support: $0.60 & $0.50
If the market takes a bearish turn, these levels are likely where the price will stabilize, offering a safer entry for risk-averse investors.
Entry Strategy for ENA
1. Placing Entries Near Support Levels
Decide your risk tolerance and position accordingly:
• For aggressive traders, consider entering at higher support levels, such as $0.90 or $0.79.
• For risk-averse investors, place orders closer to $0.68 or the stronger supports at $0.60 and $0.50, though you may risk missing the entry if the price rebounds early.
2. Utilizing Scaled Orders on Phemex
Phemex’s scaled order feature is an excellent tool for entering positions.
For Example: If your target is the medium support range ($0.79-$0.68), set a scaled order to gradually accumulate ENA across this range. This approach minimizes risk while ensuring you don’t miss out entirely if the price rebounds from higher levels.
Conclusion
The recent positive developments surrounding ENA, including the success of USDe and the introduction of USDtb, highlight the token’s growing importance in the DeFi landscape. These innovations are likely to attract significant capital inflows, benefiting ENA holders as the ecosystem expands.
By carefully selecting entry points and employing strategies like scaled orders, traders can position themselves to capitalize on ENA’s growth potential while managing downside risk. Whether you are a high-risk investor targeting immediate support levels or a conservative trader waiting for deeper corrections, ENA presents a compelling opportunity to participate in the DeFi revolution.
Trade wisely and leverage these strategies to secure your place in the future of decentralized finance.
Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Cartesi (CTSI)Cartesi is an application-specific rollup execution layer with a Linux runtime. After CTSI made a double top, price entered a corrective phase, and the right leg of a harmonic pattern was made. Then price broke the downtrend line and it seems the next upward move has started. Let's see what happens.