BITCOIN fractal alert! Happening exactly like last October!We talked a while ago regarding the 'October effect' (August 28, see chart below) on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). But today we need to make an urgent analysis as it appears that the market is repeating almost the exact sequence of a year ago (October 2023).
The similarities are more obvious on the 1D time-frame where the price is currently ranged within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The most recent time it traded like this was exactly one year ago, back in the first two weeks of October 2023.
As you can see, during that time BTC also made a marginal break above the 1D MA200 before quickly pulling back below it. After it tested and held the 1D MA50 (as it did no on October 01 2024), is started the long-term aggressive rally of the Channel Up that peaked on March 14 2024.
As long as the 1W MA50 continues to hold as the long-term Support, there are high probabilities of seeing 100k, even before the end of 2024.
But what do you think? Do you see realistic the scenario of repeating the post October 2023 rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrency
ADAUSD Breakout confirmed. Target 1.0500.Cardano / ADAUSD has broken above the Descending Triangle pattern and despite a pull back on the 1day MA200, it is now resuming the uptrend.
This is a similar price action with 2023. Break above Triangle, consolidation before the 1day MA200 break and then huge rally to the 2.618 Fibonacci extension.
Buy and target 1.0500.
Previous chart:
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SasanSeifi|Will the 0.30 Cent Level Hold?Hey there, ✌ BINANCE:ADAUSDT In the daily timeframe, as observed, the price followed a downward trend from the 0.80 cent range, extending the correction down to 0.30 cents. Afterward, the price entered a consolidation phase within the 0.30 cent range, which has since been maintained. Currently, we’re seeing a breakout of the long-term descending trend line, and the price is trading around the 0.35 cent level.
The scenario we can consider in the daily timeframe is that, given the preservation of the demand zone and after accumulating liquidity, the price could see an upward movement towards the target of 0.39 cents and the supply zone in the 0.42 cent range. To confirm further upward movement, we need to observe the price’s reaction to these zones. (For a continuation of the uptrend and reaching the 0.50 cent target, the supply zone needs to be broken, with the price stabilizing above it.)
On the other hand, if the price falls below the 0.30 cent range after a consolidation phase and stabilizes, the probability of further correction increases.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
SasanSeifi| Will DOT Break Out Above $4.50?Hey there, ✌ By analysing the daily chart of BINANCE:DOTUSDT , we can see that the price has been in a downward trend for some time and is currently trading in a range around $4. The current key support level is at $4.
One scenario to consider in the daily timeframe is that if the price breaks the downtrend and stabilizes above $4.50, it could reach short-term targets around $5, as well as targets in the range of $5.80 and the supply zone at $6.
To better understand the future price movements, it’s essential to observe how the price reacts to these levels.
(For a continued bullish trend in the long term, breaking the significant supply area at $6 and stabilizing above it is crucial.) Conversely, if the price breaks below the $4 level and stabilizes after a range-bound period, the likelihood of further price corrections may increase.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
WIFUSD is breaking above its 6-month Channel Down and targets 75Dogwifhat (WIFUSD) closed last week above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the week of July 22 and hit the top of its 6-month Channel Down. On the long-term cyclical outlook, this Channel Down can technically turn out to be nothing but a Bull Flag in the continuation scale of the Bull Cycle.
If this week's 1W candle manages to close above the Channel Down/ Bull Flag, we expect at least another +6842% rise, similar to its first one, and target $75.000.
The 1W RSI and MACD both support this bullish scenario as the first already broke above its MA line on September 16, while the 1W MACD just completed a Bullish Cross, its first ever.
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64.5K seem as breakeven pointMorning folks,
NFP report almost had no impact on BTC action. But now we still have raising USD and US yields, which are definitely headwinds for BTC performance.
Although we see some bullish signs as well, we prefer to wait for better confirmation before considering long positions again. And would like to see 64.5K level upside breakout.
Otherwise, if 64.5K will not be broken up, BTC keeps chances on deeper downside AB=CD action.
Cleaned out the longs. Now, it's time to clean out the shorts.Traders,
You guys know my target during this uptrend has been 68k BTC which is the top of our channel and that large order block with mostly sell orders. This last sudden dip cleaned out quite a few longs. Now, it is time to go after those shorts. You will start to see a lot of shorts liquidated around 68k (the top of our channel). This will only add fuel to the bullish fire. I think we'll go right through that liquidity order block and clean out all remaining shorts. Supply is low on centralized exchanges so, expect big movement to come!
A couple of things to watch before we get there though.
First, we have to beat our 200 DMA. This is absolutely critical! If bulls can't handle this then it's game over for the time being and I think we'll drop all the way to 48k.
Secondly, we have to beat the top of our channel. That currently sits at around 68k.
If we beat those two major resistance points, it's game on. Shorts will be in serious trouble.
Stew
BITCOIN after the FOBO ! ( FAKEOUT BREAKOUT)
BITCOIN, after the FAKEOUT BREAKOUT, has re-entered the bearish channel that we’ve been monitoring for several months. This was a false breakout, which left many of us hopeful for a bullish market, but it turned out to be the opposite!
But no worries, we must wait. The important thing here is that, within the bear market we saw last week, the price bounced off a very important and key zone that we’ve been tracking for several months.
This purple zone is what I call my inefficiency zone, which I also consider one of the strongest areas where Bitcoin has previously made strong impulses.
The only thing we should consider here is that Bitcoin will likely try to break the channel again. We can’t do anything until the price is on the other side of the channel. It’s that simple! Don’t try to enter right now because the price could pull back. Always pay attention to the immediate structure being presented and WAIT!
We already have confirmation that the price has bounced within our inefficiency zone. Now, we just wait for the breakout, so patience is key!
That’s my advice for this week.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
DreamAnalysis | CRVUSDT Whales Exiting Positions👋 Welcome back to DreamAnalysis! Today, we’re analyzing CRV (Curve), a major player in the DeFi space, and exploring its future potential.
🔍 What is Curve (CRV)? Curve is a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform specifically designed for the efficient exchange of stablecoins and similar low-volatility assets. Using liquidity pools and automated market-making (AMM) algorithms, Curve allows users to trade their digital assets with lower transaction fees and minimal price slippage.
📊 Weekly Timeframe Analysis: Key Support Lost
In the weekly timeframe, we lost a crucial support level at 0.4070, resulting in a massive 40% drop. After this steep decline, a new support has formed. This drop occurred with significant volume, and it’s clear that most whales have exited their CRV positions, leading to a sharp reduction in total value locked (TVL) on the Curve platform. Many of these whales seem to have migrated to AAVE.
⚠️ Selling Strategy: If you haven’t sold your CRV yet, it’s recommended to sell after a break below 0.2441. Until CRV recovers above 0.4070, it’s too risky to consider buying.
📈 Daily Timeframe Analysis: Sellers in Control
On the daily timeframe, the downtrend continues. We were unable to break above the previous high at 0.3517, highlighting the strength of sellers.
We are currently sitting on a significant support level, but if it breaks, further declines are likely. Given the lack of support from whales and major holders, a further drop seems more probable.
📉 RSI Watch: If this support is broken and RSI enters the oversold zone, crossing below 26.28, we could see an even more severe decline.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis: Short-Term Range
In the 4-hour timeframe, after getting rejected at the 0.3193 resistance, CRV has now dropped into a short-term range between 0.2496 and 0.2650.
📉 Short Position:
Our trigger for a short position is clear. After a break below 0.2496, you can open a short position with a target of 0.2245.
📈 Long Position:
For long positions, better coins are available, like SUI. However, if necessary, you can consider opening a long position after breaking above 0.2650, but only if a higher high and higher low form. Be warned—this is a highly risky move.
🔍 Conclusion: At the moment, CRV shows more bearish potential. It’s crucial to manage risk, wait for confirmed signals, and keep an eye on market developments before taking any action.
💬 This wraps up today’s analysis. If you found this helpful, feel free to share it with your friends and leave a comment with your thoughts or any other pairs or coins you’d like us to analyze.
📌 These analyses are merely our ideas based on a chart that doesn’t follow strict rules. Technical analysis is an art, and these insights are not financial advice.
Bitcoin Weekly Analysis : Bull or Bear? Let's See (READ CAPTION)By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the current price is around $62,640. We observed that after dropping to $60,000 due to the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel, the price was met with strong demand and, as mentioned earlier, has rebounded 4% to the current level. If the conflict continues, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will See target levels below $60,000 and even $52,000. Therefore, keep in mind that the most crucial support level for Bitcoin at the moment is between $60,000 and $60,200. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Cryptocurrency market at the cusp of bullish explosion?The total crypto market cap chart CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL has broken out of its falling wedge and currently retesting its previous resistance, but on the larger picture, the chart has formed a macro cup and handle structure, signalling a reversal into a bullish environment with targets in the range of $7T-$10T.
Altseason soon? Rising wedge + Bearish Divergence on BTC.D chartThe Bitcoin dominance chart has been coiling up in a rising wedge for about a year now, while simultaneously seeing bearish divergence on the monthly RSI chart.
With BITSTAMP:BTCUSD sitting near its ATHs, this potentially signals the imminent start of altseason (Q4'2024 going into 2025), given that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D starts rolling down to macro support levels.
Furthermore, large caps/BTC pairs, such as BINANCE:ADABTC , appear to be bottoming.
NOTHING !!As I mentioned last year, Bitcoin could return to its peak, and it has. Now, as you can see, Bitcoin is in a cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. This can be an incredibly strong signal for a price increase. If the breakout happens, Bitcoin's price could reach $125,000 in the new year, which is not far-fetched, just like the AB=CD pattern.
previous Analysis
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTCUSD : Why BITCOIN Remains Bullish and Its Next Potential MoveI still haven’t changed my mind that Bitcoin should reach $73,000. Now let’s analyze this technically. Recently, Bitcoin managed to break out of this triangle sharply and reached above $66,500. However, after that, we faced a short-term correction that reduced the price to around $60,000. Now, the price can increase strongly, break the head and shoulders pattern, and eventually reach the top of the megaphone.
important patterns:
Butterfly Pattern, Megaphone Pattern, Head and Shoulders .
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTCUSD: Holding the MA50 (1w) and parabolic rally starting.Bitcoin tested and held the MA50 (1w) twice in the past 2 months.
Based on the last 2 Cycles and in particular October 2020 and 2016, such a rebound on the MA50 (1w) initiates the parabolic rally of the Cycle.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price and hold until maximum August 2025.
Targets:
1. 100000 (minimum psychological target for those who don't want much risk on their holdings).
2. 230000 (maximum extension based on the notion that the price will rise approximately the same degree (+368%) as it did from the 2022 bottom to the March 2023 High).
Tips:
1. It is important to keep in mind that the Bull Cycle is far from over. It tends to peak towards the end of each year on a 4 year Cycle. First December 2017, then November 2021. This is why it is recommended to be out of the market by August 2025.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
JASMY jasmy "wedge view"This is the wedge view for Jasmy based on 100 day and 50 day past moving averages trajectory leading up to Nov 1st 2024. The range anyway. This does not mean the price is subject to necessary stay within the boundaries of the purple lines drawn as much as the projected outcome for the price in a variable sense according to today from the indicator I use. Obviously, BTC movement seems to always impact the rest of exchange traded cryptocurrency tokens or coins so when the price of BTC fell so did everything else. Seems like a cop out for the price of cryptocurrency trends to always fallowe BTC necessarily considering how indicators should in some ways tell a different story for different cryptocurrency.
SOLANA Go for sure targets not fairytales.Solana / SOLUSD is about to close a day of strong gains above the 1day MA50.
This is coming straight on Higher Lows since Sep 6th in a similar way as the May 1st Channel Up that hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level on the Falling Resistance.
Buy and target 171.00 (Fib 0.786).
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BITCOIN Cup and Handle on full motion looking for the break-out.Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) full Cycle since the November 2021 High can be illustrated as nothing more than a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern with the Channel Down since March 2024 being the Handle of the formation.
Simple yet a technical reality, the Handle found support both in early August and September on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), keeping the bullish trend valid. In fact, the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) and the 1W MA50 have been the bottom formation zone during its previous 6-month consolidation in August - September 2023.
All Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom have been within +90% and +100%. Even if the minimum (+91.68%) of the last rally is followed, we can expect Bitcoin to reach at least $94000 during that run by the end of the year.
But what do you think? Will this Cycle-long Cup and Handle serve its purpose and break-out aggressively? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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LEOUSD targeting now $9.00 on the second cyclical rally.UNUSD SED LEO (LEOUSD) has completed the 6-month consolidation by making a Higher High. As it trades now above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it looks now ready to start the 2nd rally of the Bull Cycle.
In the previous Bull Cycle (2020 - 2022), the two major rallies were almost of the same % rise (+194.50% and +198.50% respectively). Since the December 2023 - March 2024 rally peaked after a +72.26% rise, it is technically justified to assume at least a similar Bullish Leg based on the pattern.
As a result, we are expecting at least $9.00 by early 2025.
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DreamAnalysis | DYDXUSDT Breaking the Last Support ?👋 Welcome back to your favorite channel, DreamAnalysis! Today, we're diving deep into one of the major utility coins in the crypto space, DYDX, and evaluating its future potential.
🔍 What is dYdX? dYdX is a decentralized exchange (DEX) platform that specializes in advanced financial derivatives, margin trading, and spot trading. Built on Ethereum, it offers users the ability to trade perpetual contracts, engage in margin trading, and even participate in lending and borrowing. Unlike simpler DEXs, which only provide token swaps, dYdX offers more complex services in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space.
📊 Weekly Timeframe Analysis:
In the weekly timeframe, DYDX has reached its final major support level, and if this level is lost, we could witness a significant drop. If you're holding this coin, I recommend exiting your positions below this key support of 0.8396.
The current weekly candle is an engulfing candle, indicating strong selling pressure. It has engulfed several prior candles, suppressing buyers, and comes with significant selling volume.
I wouldn’t consider buying this coin again until it breaks the daily resistance at 1.1266. Right now, I’m focusing on other projects with more bullish potential.
📈 Daily Timeframe Analysis:
On the daily timeframe, we are also testing the last significant support. According to Dow Theory, the fact that we have set a lower high indicates increasing selling pressure.
Given that this is the final support level, we can calculate potential downside targets using Fibonacci retracement. If DYDX breaks the 0.8396 support, the next targets are: 0.6726 ,
0.5609
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, the dominance of sellers is obvious, as shown by the large red candles and the failure to reach the 1.2269 resistance level, followed by a sharp drop to the current key support.
📉 Short Position:
Before opening a short position, it’s better to wait for a minor pullback and a lower high to set a better stop-loss point. However, if 0.8261 is broken, I’ll consider opening a short position.
📈 Long Position:
At the moment, there are better coins to consider for long positions, such as SUI and FTM. DYDX is not currently in my long position strategy.
💬 This wraps up today’s analysis. If you found this helpful, feel free to share it with your friends and leave a comment with your thoughts or any other pairs or coins you’d like us to analyze.
📌 These analyses are merely our ideas based on a chart that doesn’t follow strict rules. Technical analysis is an art, and these insights are not financial advice.
XRPUSD Impulse wave to reach 1.2500XRPUSD / Ripple is having a strong bearish candle on the 1week timeframe, erasing the gains so far of the previous 3 weeks.
Even though that is shaking out many traders off the market, this doesn't affect the long term bullish outlook.
The reason is that XRP is repeating a pattern that seems like an Inverse Head and Shoulders of 2022-23.
You can see that when it finally crossed above Resistance one, it rallied strongly to the 1.786 Fibonacci extension.
Buy and target 1.2500
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Bitcoin Potential Bull Flag w/ $35K (91%) Gain on Valid Break!Here I have BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the Daily Chart!
2024 has been an Exceptional Year for Bitcoin after its nearly 2 Year Monumental Recovery from the Nov. 2022 Low @ $15,512 to pushing price up past the 3 Year High of $69,000 on Nov. 10th 2021 to the now New 8 Month High @ $73,835 on Mar. 14th 2024!
Fall '21/Summer '22 - Bitcoin is in a Declining Stage
Fall '22/Summer '23 - Bitcoin is in an Accumulation Stage
Fall '23/Spring '24 - Bitcoin is in a Advancing Stage
Spring '24/Fall '24 - ( Distribution or Accumulation) ???
Fall '24/Summer '25 - ???
Currently, Bitcoin is exhibiting signs of a Potential Bull Flag with a Flagpole suggesting a potential 91.78% or $35,334.57 Gain with a Valid Bullish Break!!
We can see Bitcoin has been in a Descending Channel since the Spring of 2024 came but Price Action has made a few key movements that I'd like to point out:
- After traveling the Descending Channel from the Higher High @ $73,835.57, Price makes a False Break of the Channel that touches the Previous Level of Structures Higher High and makes a 38.2% Retracement of the Current Higher High and is immediately brought back up into the Channel.
- Price continues to stay magnetized to the 200 EMA since its entered the Channel but Price seems to be trading Above it with ease in this Consolidation Zone.
Now this current Channel or Consolidation Price has been in from this Summer '24 going into this Fall '24 can either be an Accumulation OR Distribution Stage, all based on if we get a Bullish or Bearish Break to this Channel and something tells me we are looking at a Potential Bull Flag in the Making with the potential to reach
-Bullish Bias on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Fundamentals:
- BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been gaining not only Domestic but Global traction with stories like El Salvador this year making Bitcoin its Official Currency!
-Economics now accepting more transactions Crypto-wise showing honest Expansion and Integration into society
-A lot of statistics show that people believe the USD may be looking at a downfall in the coming years and Crypto, specially BITSTAMP:BTCUSD potentially being a savior! People are not only fleeing to Commodities and Bonds when devaluation peers its head, but Crypto seems to start being another sector to look towards!