BITCOIN 1D Death Cross formed and its ugly! How bad can it be?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) couldn't avoid the Death Cross formation on the 1D time-frame as a result of August's decline. This is technically a bearish pattern, where the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). So how bad can it be?
To answer that, we can look into the historic price action of course through past occurrences of the Death Cross pattern. On this analysis you see the last five (5) crosses (included the current one). Let's look into them with more detail one by one:
a) September 2023 (current)
The Death Cross was formed while the price is still above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which is supporting since March 13 2023 (6 months).
At the same time, the 1D LMACD hit -0.03 and is rebounding following a Bullish Cross.
b) January 2022 (Bear Cycle)
The Death Cross was formed while the price had already dipped below the 1W MA50, indicating the confirmed transition to the Bear Cycle.
The 1D LMACD was already declining after a pre Death Cross hit at -0.06.
c) October 2019 & March 2020 (Bull Cycle)
The 2019 Death Cross was formed while the price was above the 1W MA50, but eventually hit it. The 1D LMACD was rising on a Bullish Cross after a pre Death Cross hit at -0.06.
The 2020 Death Cross was formed while the price was below the 1W MA50 and after the actual bottom. This was due to the COVID global asset wide market flash crash, which of course was an irregularity, a Black Swan event that can't offer any meaningful conclusions to our current analysis.
d) September 2015 (start of Bull Cycle)
The Death Cross was formed while the price was below the 1W MA50 (which was still unbroken throughout the Bear Cycle) and after the actual bottom. This was due to the Bitfinex flash crash. That was the actual bottom of the Bear Cycle and the start of the new Bull Cycle, which was confirmed by the breaking of the 1W MA50. The 1D LMACD was rising on a Bullish Cross after a pre Death Cross hit at -0.06.
** Conclusion **
This is a mix of results but we can agree that the key here will be the 1W MA50. As long as the price holds it or even at the event of a marginal break, rebounds immediately, BTC most likely avoids a new Bear Cycle. If not, then the price action in the following weeks/ months will most likely draw more comparisons with the January 2022 Death Cross.
So what do you think? How bad do you feel this Death Cross pattern is? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrencysignals
ENJUSD +20% profit potential on this buy opportunityEnjin Coin (ENJUSD) broke last week above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Descending Triangle pattern that has been in effect throughout the whole year. This is a major bullish break-out signal and despite the rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the price action being similar to the June fractal, provides a strong short-term buy opportunity.
Even on 1D RSI terms, the fractals are identical and it appears we are at the stage of the final leg up as this pull-back is completed. This gives a profit potential of +20% and as a result, our short-term target is 0.30000.
ENJ can turn bullish on the long-term only if a weekly candle closes above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been the long-term cyclical Resistance since February 2022 and is currently about to test Resistance Zone 1 and the 0.382 Fibonacci level. If we get this closing above it, we will buy again and target 0.43000 (Fibonacci 0.618).
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$DAR Performing Falling wedge NYSE:DAR Performing Falling wedge in 1D Keep eye on Breakout
Falling Wedge
The falling wedge can either be a reversal or continuation signal.
As a reversal signal, it is formed at a bottom of a downtrend, indicating that an uptrend would come next.
As a continuation signal, it is formed during an uptrend, implying that the upward price action would resume. Unlike the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern.
In this example, the falling wedge serves as a reversal signal. After a downtrend, the price made lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how the falling trend line connecting the highs is steeper than the trend line connecting the lows.
If we placed an entry order above that falling trend line connecting the pair’s highs, we would’ve been able to jump in on the strong uptrend and caught some pips!
A good upside target would be the height of the wedge formation.
$Tru is still Looks beautiful All the Low cap Coin bounce NYSE:TRU is still Looks beautiful All the Low cap Coin bounce TRU has not pumped strongly.
NYSE:TRU gains good following from this region with a lot of potential than I gave 0.0280 0.0307 contradicts support. It will be like that until we break the resistance .0.0363 with high volatility.
BITCOIN Pay attention to VIX. Big gap upwards for BTC.On today's analysis we compare Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to the Volatility Index (VIX) on the 1W time-frame. An often neglected instrument, which measures the market volatility (decline = risk on conditions, increase = tension), VIX has been trading within a Channel Down for the past 12 months. Almost for the same period of time, BTC has been trading within a Channel Up, showcasing the negative correlation of the two instruments, as a decline on VIX favors investment on risky assets.
Naturally, if this trend continues on VIX, Bitcoin should extend its Channel Up. Even more so, we can notice a big divergence in the past 3 weeks, with VIX on 3 red candles having tested the June - July Support Zone, while BTC is on 3 flat red ones at the bottom of its Channel and June Support Zone. As you can see the gap to fil is almost a respectable $5000.
But what do you think? Will it catch up to VIX and even more so break higher, if the Volatility Index declines on new Lows? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$HOOK Retesting Falling Wedge also Try to Break RangeNASDAQ:HOOK Retesting Falling Wedge also Try to Break Range
Falling Wedge
The falling wedge can either be a reversal or continuation signal.
As a reversal signal, it is formed at a bottom of a downtrend, indicating that an uptrend would come next.
As a continuation signal, it is formed during an uptrend, implying that the upward price action would resume. Unlike the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern.
In this example, the falling wedge serves as a reversal signal. After a downtrend, the price made lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how the falling trend line connecting the highs is steeper than the trend line connecting the lows.
If we placed an entry order above that falling trend line connecting the pair’s highs, we would’ve been able to jump in on the strong uptrend and caught some pips!
A good upside target would be the height of the wedge formation.
RLBUSDT Triangle into Rectangle tradeRollbit Coin (RLBUSDT) has been trading within a Triangle pattern on the 4H time-frame for the past month. The price has completed 4 days of trading below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
We may gradually see the transition of this Triangle to a Rectangle (yellow) pattern, within the 0.618 - 0.236 Fibonacci range. Our trading plan is to buy as long as the 0.236 Fib holds and target 0.2100 (Just below the 0.618 Fib) or sell if it breaks below it and target 0.1100.
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Bitcoin Bullish Momentum at Risk as Monthly Stochastic IndicatorBitcoin (BTC) enthusiasts might face some headwinds as a key monthly technical indicator, the stochastic, signals an "overbought downturn" according to Fairlead Strategies.
The stochastic indicator recently dipped below 80, which indicates a loss of upward momentum. This indicator typically oscillates between 0 and 100, with readings above 80 signaling overbought conditions and readings below 20 indicating oversold conditions. A downturn from overbought levels suggests a weakening of upward momentum.
Strong Resistance Causes Downturn
Katie Stockton, the founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, highlighted this development, stating that "at the end of August, Bitcoin confirmed an overbought downturn in its monthly stochastics in a setback." She added that this downturn might prolong the basing process for Bitcoin, especially considering the resistance around $31.9K posed by the monthly cloud model, a level Bitcoin has struggled to breach.
Historically, overbought downturns in the stochastic indicator in early 2021 and December 2017 have marked significant price peaks.
The monthly MACD histogram, which measures trend strength and changes in trend, is near zero, indicating a neutral long-term bias. Crossings above zero suggest a bullish momentum shift, while drops below zero signal a bearish trend change. However, the MACD has yet to turn positive, implying that a sustainable uptrend has not yet taken hold, according to Stockton.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $25,700. Stockton identified immediate support at $25,200 and noted that the 50-day simple moving average at $28,200 is a critical resistance level.
RUNEUSD This Bull Flag can take it to 3.1500 by end of the yearWe last looked into THORChain (RUNEUSD) 3 weeks ago (see chart below) when we called for a pause of the enormous uptrend within the Resistance Zone:
As expected, the price got rejected on the 1.9750 Resistance and pulled-back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Needless to say that after breaking above the Falling Wedge pattern, as well as the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), the cryptocurrency has entered a new long-term bullish trend. The very same 1W MA50 has turned into a Support and held twice already (August 18, 16), while the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is crossing today above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), forming a Golden Cross.
Now the last 1D Golden Cross (February 17) had a bearish outcome but at the time not only was the price below the 1W MA50 but also the 1D MACD failed to form a Bullish Cross. As a result, it the 1D MACD forms the Bullish Cross (which is in course of completing in 2 days), we expect the current consolidation to be just a Bull Flag pattern that will break this time above 1.9750 (Resistance 1) that has been holding since February 02. Our long-term target is 3.1500 (Resistance 2) on the long-term, which is the August 11 2022 High.
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Buying $BAKE$Bake
-Belonging to the group #seed being pushed. Small cap vol is ok to buy in bulk. I bought this price hoping to make a profit 🌹🌹
What is a Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. These trend lines should be converging at a roughly equal slope. Trend lines that are converging at unequal slopes are referred to as a rising wedge, falling wedge, ascending triangle, or descending triangle.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Symmetrical triangles occur when a security's price is consolidating in a way that generates two converging trend lines with similar slopes.
The breakout or breakdown targets for a symmetrical triangle is equal to the distance between the initial high and low applied to the breakout or breakdown point.
Many traders use symmetrical triangles in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as a confirmation.
$ATA ready with Bullish DEVASX:ATA
- This child #ata plays 5 rounds and wins, seeing that this child is suitable for feng shui. I will buy again at this price, hope to pump big this time 🔥🔥
A bullish divergence occurs when prices fall to a new low while an oscillator fails to reach a new low. This situation demonstrates that bears are losing power, and that bulls are ready to control the market again—often a bullish divergence marks the end of a downtrend.
SNXUSD hit both the 1D MA50 and MA200. Bullish or bearish?Synthetix (SNXUSD) is testing today both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) following a 6 day rise after a -42.20% decline from the July 14 High. Such a decline was last seen on the May 12 low, where the price rebounded like now but failed to close above the Resistance of the previous Lower High and dropped more to touch the Higher Lows trend-line (bottom) of the 1-year Triangle pattern.
As a result we are buying short-term but our target is limited to the 2.6500 Resistance. If it closes a 1D candle above it, we will extend buying to 3.1300 (Resistance 1). If the price closes a 1D candle below the 0.618 Fib (which didn't happen during the June rebound), then we will wait for a lower risk buy near the Higher Lows trend-line again (targets will remain the same).
Note that, as with now, there has been a MACD Bullish Cross on both May's and June's price increases.
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$PHB Soon BREAKOUT and FLIP LEVEL #PHB Massive Falling Wedge making here!
Can breakout above 0.60$ for a MASSIVE BULLISH IMPULSE WAVE! 📈
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) is reaching new highs, indicating strong buying pressure.
Since June, it has maintained an upward trend.
A close above 0.56 would serve as confirmation for further upside potential.
$perp near to range breakoutWhat is range trading?
Range trading is an active investing strategy that identifies a range at which the investor buys and sells at over a short period. For example, a stock is trading at $35 and you believe it is going to rise to $40, then trade in a range between $35 and $40 over the next several weeks. You might attempt to range trade it by purchasing the stock at $35, then selling if it rises to $40. You’d repeat this process until you think the stock will no longer trade in this range.
$BTC 1W showing Hidden BullishCRYPTOCAP:BTC 1W showing Hidden Bullish
What Is Hidden Divergence?
Hidden divergence is created when the price of a cryptocurrency carves a higher low, while the indicator creates a lower low. Typically a hidden divergence can also be categorized by a bullish or bearish hidden divergence.
For example, a bullish hidden divergence happens during a correction of an uptrend when the value of an asset makes a higher low. However, the oscillator is still showing a lower low. This usually translates that the bullish trend continuation signals trader to take profit.
Bearish hidden divergence, on the other hand, is the opposite. Meaning the value of an asset makes a lower high, but oscillators are showing a higher high. This signals a trend reversal in which a trader should stop loss and sell-off as soon as possible.
$REEF Keep eyes On breakout EURONEXT:REEF Performing Falling wedge in 1D Keep eye on Breakout
Falling Wedge
The falling wedge can either be a reversal or continuation signal.
As a reversal signal, it is formed at a bottom of a downtrend, indicating that an uptrend would come next.
As a continuation signal, it is formed during an uptrend, implying that the upward price action would resume. Unlike the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern.
In this example, the falling wedge serves as a reversal signal. After a downtrend, the price made lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how the falling trend line connecting the highs is steeper than the trend line connecting the lows.
If we placed an entry order above that falling trend line connecting the pair’s highs, we would’ve been able to jump in on the strong uptrend and caught some pips!
A good upside target would be the height of the wedge formation.