Dax30short
Brexit Impact on DAX - Polls versus Odds See the diferencesBrexit Financial Times poll 6 June:
Stay: 45%
Leave:43%
Odds Betfair
Stay: 70%
Leave: 30%
Something is not right, someone is lying and i bet are polls.
Base on that i design a new up channel and a possible buy are to get long. Make your comments.
DAX 9733 May Lows Critical Level to WatchMy stop profit was actived at 10.037 (DAX futures) during this night. For now i am out, waiting where DAX wants to go. May lows is the key for bulls and bears at this moment. Has you see DAX break the ascendant channel. If DAX close below 9.733 a re-test of february is a option.
DAX Key Support at 9,900DAX Look: return to levels of demand
The key short-term support is at 9,900 points.
DAX drop 1,03% which falls at about 14:30 hours of today's session. This has led to the price of our indice to close the gap at 10.057 points. Short-term the trend is bullish (until the price stay inside the channel DAX still in bullish mode) . We do not appreciate any sign of weakness but to see a very bullish signal should wait for a close above 10.365 points (highs of this week).
DAX 30 Bearish CYPHER PATTERN @ 10014Hi guys,
This is my first post regarding any indices or stocks as I was performing some back-testing of pattern formations on them.
This is a bearish CYPHER pattern @ 10014 and stop loss will be placed above the X leg which we use as good resistance in this case. Targets will be at the 38.2% and 61.8% retracement levels. IF/WHEN first targets are met, half of the position would be closed for profit and stop loss for the second half of the position will be moved to break-even, ensuring a risk-free trade.
Thank you for your support.
Trade Numbers:
Risk: 97 points x 2 = 194 points
Reward #1: 97 points. R:R = 1:1
Reward #2: 156 points. R:R = 1:1.6
Plan your trade... Trade your plan.
Time to short sell german 30 From April 07 lowest point 9467 until the highest point in April 21 1044 pipps 9.95% increased ! Does the ger30 will continue going up without any big drawdown ? No way ! i wil start short sell this index now so set sell limit around 10450-10500 first target 10240 second target 10160 ! . other scenario if German 30 continue going up and break 10500 resistance. then first target 10650 second target 10860 .. if it hit 11000 OMG i will strong sell this index !! !
Another Story: Bears Resting. We have seen a Strong Bear move with 4 of 5 days as bearish.
However the previous swing low hasn't been breached yet.
Bears will make second attempt to do so, at favorable levels.
Current bulls, unless they get reinforcements will likely give way to next swing low.
So,
IF Bulls gets re-reinforcements a double top or retest of consolidation zone.
IF More Bears join the party, looking for break of previous lows.
More,likely a consolidation phase coming up.
DAX to go down lower the next days??Alongside negative divergences in RSI, MACD and AO i spotted that price action is making lower highs and lower lows.. also kijun crossed tenkan to bearish and ichimoku cloud turned to bearish. I think not confirmed yet. But when it goes on with lower highs and lower lows this should lead down south.
DAX30, shorting setup!DAX30 is about to hit a resistance level that previously got double topped+the current bearish trend line.
Chances are high that it will not break 9560-ish level. Thus I would see it a very good and relatively safe opportunity to go short on this one!
Safe and successful trading!
DAX - impulsive decline, picture looks increasingly bearishIt's been a while since I updated the long term count.
My intermediate bearish view was confirmed in the mean time with DAX putting in a spike above the previously indicated magenta TL from the ATH, however quickly losing momentum and failing also to keep above the 200d MA. The decline from ATH was very choppy, with waves which were difficult to count, so there is a possibility that this big wave is all just a corrective wave 4 in the form of a double 3 (see the blue count - A-B-C, then the red A-B-C up, and now could be just another bigger A-B-C down). The other option is the more bearish one in which we have a nested wave down (a series of 1-2 waves, with the current wave being either a 3 or yet another serie of 1-2).
However, regardless of the bigger term picture, what is more worrying for longs is the fact that the decline off the 30th of November lower high developed into 5 waves and took out the September low, therefore cancelling the more bullish counts which were based on the red C wave being a 5 waver and actually not a C wave but a 1 or a wave part of a bullish move. This means that the next bounce (which could be quite big) will most likely be a corrective wave only, so an A-B-C, which would be a nice short opp, since the following decline will take out the lows at which we will bottom these days (or maybe weeks).
On the more immediate term, it's difficult to say where we will bottom. We have already 5 waves in place, but the 5th could always extend. In any case I would use the next bounce as a short opp, rather than try to buy it.
What is most interesting is that the LT projection from mcm, nailed a very important intermediate top - the high of the red 2 from Dec 30th.
mcm-ct.com
For questions about the analysis feel free to visit the site or contact me via email at alex@mcm-ct.com.
GL to your trades!