USDJPYMy view anticipates a potential short on USD/JPY. I have identified a very strong supply zone where the price has attempted to break twice without success, creating spikes that I have highlighted with circles. An hour ago, the price created another supply within the strong resistance zone, and I will wait for a possible retracement to enter a short position.
Let me know what you think in the comments:
Have a nice trading day!
Daytrader
EUR/USD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment?
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation? ✅
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present?
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)? ✅
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value?
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present?
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend? ❌
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
NZD/CAD LongPositive Confluence Factors... (15)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation? ✅
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)? ✅
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present?
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss?
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
NZD/CAD LongPositive Confluence Factors... (13)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation? ✅
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present?
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present?
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss?
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
EUR/NZD Short• If price impulses down, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (13)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment?
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)?
3. HTF candlestick confirmation? ✅
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)? ✅
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present?
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available?
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (2)
1. Counter to HTF trend? ❌
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available? ❌
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
NZD/CAD LongPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present?
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present?
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss?
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
AUD/USD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (13)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)?
3. HTF candlestick confirmation? ✅
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)?
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)? ✅
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present?
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
AUD/NZD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)?
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value?
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (0)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
EUR/USD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (15)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment?
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation? ✅
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)? ✅
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present?
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend? ❌
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
USD/SGD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)? ✅
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value?
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present?
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (2)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)? ❌
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ❌
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
EUR/JPY ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present?
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (2)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)? ❌
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
NZD/CAD LongPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present?
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)? ✅
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value? ✅
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present? ✅
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present?
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss?
Negative Confluence Factors... (1)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present? ❌
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
AUD/NZD ShortPositive Confluence Factors... (12)
1. LTF and HTF direction in alignment? ✅
2. At edge of HTF structure (in green zone)? ✅
3. HTF candlestick confirmation?
4. Trade setup visible on multiple time frames? ✅
5. Break out of structure and a break back in present? ✅
6. Near miss present (below price if looking to get short, or above price if looking to get long)?
7. Reliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
8. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of proportionate to preceding impulse? ✅
9. M style pattern present?
10. Structural approach to area of value?
11. Fairly flat structure present? ✅
12. Expanding pattern present? ✅
13. Equal spacing present?
14. Clearly identifiable middle section present? ✅
15. Head and shoulders pattern present? ✅
16. Decent R:R available? ✅
17. No hook point sat just beyond stop loss? ✅
19. Protection available for your stop loss? ✅
Negative Confluence Factors... (0)
1. Counter to HTF trend?
2. Not at edge of HTF structure (in red zone)?
3. Trade setup only visible on one time frame?
4. Price only wicked to area of value on multiple time frames?
5. Near miss present (above price if looking to get short, or below price if looking to get long)?
6. Unreliable looking sequence of flags present (if looking for further continuation)?
7. Correction/s I'm looking to get long or short within and/or on the break of disproportionate to preceding impulse?
8. Squeeze present (structure not parallel or expanding)?
9. Fairly steep structure present?
10. Very unequal spacing present?
11. No clearly identifiable middle section present?
12. Multiple possible entry types?
13. Limited R:R available?
14. Hook point sat just beyond stop loss?
15. Entry around swap hours?
16. Entry directly before major news announcement?
EUR/AUD Short• If price corrects and a larger three touch one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/JPY Short• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD Short• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EURUSDMarket in uptrend on daily and 1 hour time frame
Monthly resistance did not hold
waiting on pullback to support zones marked on chart
once market reaches support I will wait for wick rejection before entering bullish
Retail sentiment is bullish on USD, as we know most retail traders lose money this is therefore bearish for USD
Fundamentals still in favour of USD, however with lower than expected CPI numbers yesterday we
can expect FEDS to pause or slow down on interest rate hikes
Stop loss will go below structure
Take profit 3x risk
EUR/AUD Short• If price pushes up above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SUGAR/USD Short• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/AUD Short• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Short• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SUGAR/USD Short• If price pushes up above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.