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Dollar-index

DXY Dollar Index: Approaching reversal pointDXY Dollar Index Long Term We've been aggressively bearish of the Dollar since that first break below 98.5 back in early May last year. Down another 11% since then it's coming time finally to think about reversing back long again soon. DXY has already hit and bounced from the support line at 88.44. Below here lies a long term dynamic support line which has effectively stalled all Dollar declines since 2011. It lies at 87.70 and even if DXY suffers one last decline from here it should halt at 88.44 and at absolute worst at 87.70 during the course of this week - we should see the final low put in this weekcoming , and likely by the following week at latest if we don't hit the bottom this week. Look to close out most shorts across the dollar pairs into this final selling climax if we see it materialise over the next few days. Swing traders should now, finally, be looking to follow suit too. DXY Shorter Term Last week DXY made a new low at 88.44 before bouncing 1% to 89.51 resistance line with a high at 89.53...The 88.44 level is one of two likely levels to look for a reversal in trend, the other being the longer term dynamic support line, at 87.70 now. If the first level is to be the reversal point DXY will continue rallying from here and not break below the tiny rising dynamic directly under price right now...then comes the bigger test: it has to break above the upper parallel and break 89.53 and then hold on the retest - that would flip DXY back to near term positive and send it back to 92.62 and the falling dynamic resistance line shown on the chart above, where it's next major challenge will most likely lie. Follow that break if we see it materialise at any point this week Downside If in the alternative DXY loses the little dynamic holding it up and then falls below 88.88 it will fall back to 88.44 again and if it cannot base there and make a double bottom it will fall away to the second key level at 87.70 - at which point it should start to find some support. If so start closing out dollar shorts and look to build longs from here. Otherwise, the safer/less risky option for swing traders is to forget about bottom fishing wait to see at what point DXY finally exits the upper parallel of this impulse wave - which has, so far, controlled all upside potential for DXY throughout this current down-wave - and follow that break when it eventually comes, looking for 92.60 initially.
TVC:DXYLong
by sumastardon
DXY Dollar Index Trying to put up a stand at 91.76 supportDXY Dollar Index The Dollar Index has fallen to the next blue line of support 91.76 after an intra-day low at 91.75. It's trying to hold here. It's still trapped in a near term downwave and struggling to escape. It's already made one attempt to escape the down-trend and is trying again now. There are pins forming below the low and above it too on the 2 hour chart, denoting conflict/confusion here. For the bulls to win some respite they need to force DXY above 91.95 and hold it there (and no lower than 91.92 on a retest once 91.95 is taken) to attract more buyers up to 92.05-92.12 range where DXY will likely turn back down again. For DXY to show it's turning back up from that point it will have to take back 92.12 and then turn 92.04 into support when tested from above. Will need to see something like this kind of price action to convince that DXY has more upside to 92.49-92.55 On the downside the next support below 91.76 lies at 91.52 with major support/maximum likely downside target at 91.02. A move below any blue line by more than a couple of pips is likely to trigger further weakness back to the next one.
TVC:DXYShort
by sumastardon
1
DXY Dollar Index Trying to Base hereDXY Dollar Index Update Near Term Neutral but Dollar Trying to Base DXY did come off from where it was meant to last week but has put up more than just a fight so far in the 92.74-92.50 range. The fight back was to be expected, but it's doing better than envisaged so far here - and these conclicting signals urge caution now ...no interest in getting involved in a battle of whipsaw here but will look to back the winner again here when one emerges...DXY has gapped up today, double bottomed and left a pin bar lying around in the space between the two blue lines of fixed support shown on chart...bullish signals. But it's still trapped within the parallels which are trying to force price lower. Something has to give here soon. ...A break above the upper parallel would be the next bullish signal from DXY - look to get long DXY on the next retest of the parallel from above, once broken to upside, and get long USDEUR and short Gold on this development too. On downside DXY has to stay under the upper parallel for the bears to keep control from here - then they have to force DXY down to fill the gap today at 92.89 and then push it below 92.55 again for DXY to turn negative again from here. As it stands the bears are beginning to lose this battle, not enough fire-power to force DXY lower from here by the look of the chart. Early hours of this battle, still, but increasingly the bulls are beginning to wrest back control here. Confimation will come when the upper parallel is broken and survives the next retest. At that point we look to short gold (if signals there are not already given) and get long USDEUR.
TVC:DXY
by sumastardon
DXY Dollar Index Close to collapse againDXY Dollar Index Close to collapse once more The last rally was 77 pips. this one at 93.27 high is the same. DXY will either fail here, the most likely spot, or at 93.49, just 22 pips higher. It should fall away by 2.4% to 91.05. Good for EUR gold, silver, copper longs and baby Alts who need a break and maybe oil too for the next few days. Asusual about 3 wise men will read this comment. It's probably one of the most important there is. Sensible you:)
TVC:DXYShort
by sumastardon
Dollar Index: DXY Update and Key levels for next breakDollar Index: DXY So far DXY is displaying precisely the kind of technical price action you'd expect of something in the process of breaking down lower...the tiny continuation pattern with a bearish upwards slope, every move contained within the parallels that control this inverted flag formation. The dollar will try to rally from the lower parallel of the flag so we need to step off the gas around now if shorting USD across the pairs. Contrarians may look to go long USD again here but be careful if you do...at some point soon DXY is going to fail, breaking below the lower parallel - the point to go aggressively short USD again and to go long Gold once more, looking for 92.62 on DXY and 1305 on Gold.
TVC:DXYShort
by sumastardon