DXY(Dollar Index) seems bullish now for future weeks!!!I see US dollar index (DXY) bullish for next weeks.
When we finish correction period, my expectation is that US dollar will regain its power against other currencies during next months.(April,May,June)
Technical Analysis details:
-I see divergence in squeeze indicator for trend reversal.(on weekly chart)
-Wave trend analysis shows that we are at the bottom on the weekly chart.
-Stoch seems healthy for future.
Also i observed a similar action on the past data of DXY which happened in 2010-2011 therefore it could be a good example for future movement.
I hope you like my analysis, have a nice day.
Berk
Dollar_index
US Dollar Indexweekly ...
USD Index was put up on 8th April and we pointed out the fact about the rise for the next couple of months.
After completing wave 5 which is a downtrend wave, a new uptrend wave has started in form of wave “B” and can rise upto the indicated area.
And after that we can expect a fall for USD Index.
In case Donald Trump gets re-elected for the next US president; this scenario becomes stronger and more valid...
DXY Nearing Confirmation Point for Larger count.Price is yet to breakout of this latest congestion zone and allows for two competing counts.
The chart has the easiest description pictorially...with the WXY for the wave 4 of the major wave ii of 3/B bottom, Or, we already have the wave ii of 3/B bottom in place at the mid Feb low completion.
Both counts look for strong upside into 2019, just timing of kickoff...already or into summer.
US Dollar Index in an Ascending PatternThe Head and Shoulder's Pattern started forming on the Dollar Index from the Beginning of October 2017 to the End of December 2017. It break out of the Neckline and retested it on the Mid of January 2018 and fell sharply thereafter. The Dollar consolidated in the Mid of January 2018 in the price range of 91.00 - 90.10 but the consolidation did not remain much long as the unexpected US Govt Shut Down pushed the price even lower to test the Support, but didn't break through it and created a low of 88.25 on the 16th February. After this huge fall of the Dollar it again started consolidating in a Ascending Triangle from the last 60-65 days. Now the Price has already tested the Resistance twice, now it may again test it one or two times then it might break the resistance and test the next resistance of 91.5. If the Price on the daily closes above this mark then the dollar will be bullish from thereafter. Let's see how this price action plays out.
Note: This is my first ever post on trading view. Do let me know in the comments if you liked it or not.
Happy Trading ;)
DXY/Dollar Index re-tested channel resistanceDXY is in a down channel and last week price re-tested the channel resistance with inverse H&S failure around 90 level and has broke the counter trend line. Given the well respected channel will price fall back to channel support area around 80.50-70 coming week ?
A stronger USD in the next months?Are you worried about rate hikes by the Federal Reserve? There is something more alarming. Rising Libor rates is a bigger concern right now. Libor has been rising since Feb. 7 for 31 consecutive sessions, reaching 2.27% last March 21 (next release today at 19:30 ET). Not only, Libor tends to be a 3-month leading indicator to the dollar (I can't insert the Bloomberg chart). It would mean in the next three months a surge in the USD.
From the weekly chart of the Dollar Index, it could be a bullish signal. Indeed, the bearish trend has stopped on the 50% of Fibonacci Arc and, even though I haven't drawn it in the chart, the low (highlighted with the letter "L") has retraced the 61.8% of the previous bullish movement. The bullish signal there will be with the breakout of the rectangle resistance within which DXY it moved in the last weeks (above 90.80 approx.).
However, there is an important consideration. If there will be a tightening-up of the "trade war", we will see a weakening, a depreciation of the dollar. So, prudence.
Happy Easter to you all!!
Bull Riding - Rodeo Trading – Intraday Market Orders (Part1)Bullish Correction does not seem to be complete as the DXY Pattern keeps on becoming more and more Complex. In other words, DXY could commence a Bullish Swing in order for the entire Corrective Pattern to complete. This is because the Bearish Swings previously predicted in the FOMC Press Conference - DXY - Triple Three article do not really fit a proper Impulse sequence.
Don’t get me wrong, the analysis was good and the DXY got trashed, as predicted. Traders were happy and looking green, everyone was nice and cool. The thing is that, I don’t like the way the Impulse looks, not strong enough, with overlaps and also showing Bearish structures on EUR, Gold, GBP. I’m about step way outside my comfort zone with this view, because I can’t just ignore these signs and hints.
This post implies more risk than usual but due to the importance and duration of the projected swings, it could be worth it.
Please consider holding this one out if you are not up to it and don’t want to take the risk.
Trades & Orders
XAU/USD – SELL Positions:
• Aggressive – 1245.00 with SL @ 1360.00
• Moderate – 1350.00 with SL @ 1370
• Targets – 1325.00 / 1310.00 / 1295.00 / 1285.00 / 1265.00
XAG/USD – SELL Positions:
• Aggressive – 16.65 with SL @ 16.87
• Moderate – 16.70 with SL @ 17.00
• Targets – 16.40 / 16.15 / 15.85 / 15.50
EUR/USD – SELL Positions:
• Aggressive – 1.24250 with SL @ 1.2480
• Moderate – 1.24500 with SL @ 1.25100
• Targets – 1.2340 / 1.2250 / 1.2180
DAX30 – BUY Position:
• 11900.00 with SL @ 11700.00
• Targets – 12200.00 / 12450.00 / 12650.00 / 12850.00
Decision coming soon...Resembles a pretty repetitive pattern. Didn't get fuzzy until the fifth wave which was prolonged due to the combination of futures launching and investors trading to maintain the parabola. Bullish divergence on RSI. This could be a reset of the cycle. A break out upwards will likely lead to a retest of 20,000. Risk reward is pretty nice here if one is looking for a trade. Stop loss around 7200 to protect the trend line and you're risking a few hundred dollars for thousands.
DXY - LAST DRIVE DOWNThe Dollar index seems to be making it last drive down. It has made 2 drives so far. after the last one is made we will see a strong swing to the upside.
BUY LIMIT
ENTRY - 87.04
SL - 84.50
TP - 92.45
TP - 96.64
Red Dotted lines are temporary S&R levels
Orange lines are more well respected S&R levels
FOMC Press Conference - DXY - Double Three - USD Getting TrashedFOMC Press Conference is right around the corner and the outcome is being watched by traders all over with much interest.
Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a Triple Three Pattern which would mean that USD could get trashed once more, just as it did on my previously posted "FED December Rate Hike – DXY Technicals – Elliott Wave Analysis" article when I said that the FED would increase the rates but expecting a Bearish trend.
Now the Market is in a similar spot and it looks like the USD is positioning once more.
My 2 cents on the event:
Rate Hike to occur from 1.50% towards 1.75% benchmark points, making the USD Bullish until the Press Conference
Jerome Powell not to signal more than 3 Rate Hikes this year, making the USD Bearish and forcing traders to trash the dollar
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Dollar index (DXY) Bollinger Squeeze 90.52 to 90.30 area saw bear momentum take the dollar down, but ever since its been coming back up to retest broken support. We are currently seeing bollinger bands narrow down and likely a move will happen soon. Price action tells me that we are still in a bear trend and we would have to be careful if thinking about buying with the landmines around 90.30 and 90.52. If we are able to break it clean we could see the next target being in the upper 91's. If the price keeps getting rejected at resistance we will likely head back down to local support.
Dollar index (DXY) bollinger squeeze 90.52 to 90.30 area saw bear momentum take the dollar down, but ever since its been coming back up to retest broken support. We are currently seeing bollinger bands narrow down and likely a move will happen soon. Price action tells me that we are still in a bear trend and we would have to be careful if thinking about buying with the landmines around 90.30 and 90.52. If we are able to break it clean we could see the next target being in the upper 91's. If the price keeps getting rejected at resistance we will likely head back down to local support.
DXY waiting on the Dust to SettleWith the Dollar consistently producing strong data its only a matter of time before the chart reflects it. I'm starting to be more bullish especially with the stall and range the EURO has itself currently in. I'm expecting the index to break to the top but we will see as anything can happen in the markets.
If the index breaks north the target will be the 90.40 area and the further north 90.92 area.
If we see a break south our target will be the 89. 40 area and further south 89.00 area.
As always do your own do due diligence.
Keep Calm and Forex.