Dxyanalysis
EURUSD 1.09085 +0.71% short idea INTRA-DAY SET UP...HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The EURUSD NY FROM AM - PM SESSION
* With a bullish run into Monday CLOSE (PO3) today will be looking for some retracement.
* looking at the daily HIGH taken which is a sign of weakness on EU.
* Looking at the VI below as targets as well.
* on the 4H looking for a bullish open to take ASIA high LQ✔.
* PO3
* Push higher before going for lower structures✔.
* looking for an aggressive move above out of the range to sweep.
* and aggressive in.
* this where I would look for entries short.
* Looking for the take of that ERL WHICH we saw friday.
* with two possible OTE ( ASIA HIGHS, AND LONG TERM HIGH) , EXECUTION IS BASED ON RR & RISK MANAGEMENT.
* DXY 15M
- Will wait for the DXY to take ASIA lows and trade back in the range as a confirmation as well...
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
GBP/USD: PAT + VPA 11/02/2024Good morning,
The GBP/USD currency pair continues to exhibit characteristics indicative of a sustained bearish trend, currently favoring the U.S. Dollar.
Several analytical indicators support this assessment:
1. The weekly chart for GBP/USD has been in a downward trajectory since September 30, 2024. Candlestick patterns suggest that "Market Makers" are gradually entering the market, purchasing at lower price levels. The weekly low is established at 1.26650, with a demand zone identified between 1.26650 and 1.2815.
2. On the daily chart, GBP/USD appears to be approaching a support level at 1.28168, coinciding with an untapped supply zone in that vicinity.
3. Since September 30, 2024, the market has experienced a decline of approximately 600 points, characterized by minimal daily pullbacks. This downward movement occurred following the formation of a new weekly high. I project that prices will descend to the 1.28168 level, where support may be found on the daily chart. This area could serve as a critical juncture for a potential pullback. Should the 1.28168 level hold, targets may extend to 1.132, representing the last significant low breached prior to the bearish trend that commenced on September 30, 2024, and continues to the present date of November 2, 2024.
Volume analysis indicates that market makers are incrementally entering long positions, although they are not yet prepared to fully influence the market direction. The overarching weekly outlook remains bearish, yet a corrective pullback appears necessary.
OANDA:GBPUSD
TVC:DXY
ThePipAssassin
Dollar DXY - Bullish ContinuationDollar Index / DXY Analysis :
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Fridays NFP event dropped price and finished this week with signs of reversal to the upside.
Following price action we see a nice 4Hour Break Of Structure, indicating buying pressure.
This following week we will look for any retracements (Higher Low) to come back into our impulsive NFP candle (point of interest) and look for confirmations to take it higher and close above previous high.
Dollar index on the floor of the trading rangeAccording to the weekly chart of the dollar index and since tomorrow and next week we have important data such as unemployment claims, and also these data will probably strengthen the strength of the dollar, it is expected that the dollar index will rise to the middle of the trading range in the first step. .
Next Stage of Bull MarketUSDT.D is testing the 20 W SMA which has been a key level for Bull Markets.
The zone and MA has acted as Support 4 times previously in 2024 which have correlated with BTC Local Tops
A close under that SMA is indicating that we are entering the next stage of the Bull Market. I prefer a few Daily Closes under, Weekly Close under is Gold Dust and tells me the Next Stage has begun.
Read this to understand the Context of that SMA:
Main reason I'm more Bullish this time compared to that precious Idea is because of DXY.
Confluence:
BTC has shown Strength since Oct 10th despite the continued Upward Trend in DXY that started on Sept 30th.
1 Day RSI on DXY is close to 70(Currently 69) which is a general sign that it is close to Topping.
DXY is also testing the 200 EMA since it broken down below in July.
My expectation is that the 200 EMA acts as Resistance for DXY and it rejects to continue its downtrend. This would be Bullish for Risk Assets like BTC/Crypto and would correlated with USDT.D breaking below the 20 SMA.
EUR/USD FACING SELLING PRESSURE. $DXY MULTIPLE PIVOTS POINTSGood morning everyone.
Going to try to keep this short and sweet.
DXY, as of about 0830EST, broke through all hourly Camarilla resistance levels. The last being 104.560. The next targets would be at 104.795, 104.833, 104.871, and 104.987.
EUR/USD has broken through first 1HR/4HR support level at 1.0782. Next two levels would be 1.0772, and 1.0762. After these levels are broken. I'll look to trade to 1.07.
Going into this selloff, we were in a bearish symmetrical triangle.
Though I do not rely heavily on indicators, MACD, RSI (both reg. and sto.) are aligning with this downward momentum.
Stop loss around previous around 1.0830 which the hour 200-EMA is peaking under.
The DXY upward pressure is also supported by the election anticipation of Donald J. Trump winning.
Rising 10-year yield is also support the greenback.
BOJ is not looking to hike rates this week.
Listened to a few earnings calls. Everyone is beating earnings so far. VIX is up. Feels like risk-on but keep in mind that the market made a major move up prior to any reports. Folks getting greedy and anxious going into election and big data week.
Let's see if JOLTS today, IJC on Thursaday, and NFP on Friday still show a strong labor market. If so, definitely can forget about a 50 bps cut. 94.8% priced in for a 25 bps cut and 5.2% with no cut.
Of course, like Socrates, I'm objective and humble to accept that it's possible for none of this to happen. If we get a break back about 1.0805, a level got from my brother @ThePipAssassin I'm tracking resistance levels at 1.0825, 1.0851, 1.0877, and 1.0919. If we get anywhere near these, believe I'll be looking for 1.10 because I did identify a FVG to the downtrend in DXY.
Of couse none of this is to be taken as trading or financial advice. I am simple giving you my own analysis. Trade at your own risk and I encourage everyone to do your own research and check my thoughts. Please give feedback. Going to start doing this a lot more. Follow, like, and share por favor. God is love!
A Bullish Turn: Investors Embrace the DollarA Shift in Sentiment
In a surprising turn of events, hedge funds, asset managers, and other speculators have shifted their stance on the US dollar, moving into bullish positions in the week ending October 22nd. This significant shift, totaling approximately $9.2 billion in long dollar bets, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) compiled by Bloomberg, marks a dramatic departure from the previous week's net short position.
A $10.6 Billion Swing
This abrupt change in sentiment represents a substantial $10.6 billion swing from the previous week, when traders were actively betting against the greenback. The reasons behind this bullish pivot are multifaceted, primarily driven by a confluence of factors, including stronger-than-expected US economic data and heightened demand for safe-haven assets as the US election approaches.
A Recalibration of Fed Expectations
A series of positive economic reports released throughout October has forced a recalibration of previously dovish Federal Reserve expectations. The robust economic indicators have raised the possibility of a more hawkish monetary policy stance from the Fed, which could potentially lead to higher interest rates. Historically, a stronger US dollar has been correlated with higher interest rates, making the greenback an attractive investment for global investors.
Election-Year Uncertainty
As the US presidential election draws near, geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility tend to increase. In such times, investors often seek refuge in safe-haven assets like the US dollar. The dollar's perceived status as a reliable store of value, combined with the potential for increased market volatility, has likely contributed to the recent surge in demand for the currency.
Implications for the Global Economy
The shift towards a bullish dollar position has significant implications for the global economy. A stronger dollar can negatively impact emerging market economies that rely heavily on dollar-denominated debt. Additionally, it can make US exports more expensive, potentially hindering economic growth. However, for countries with strong economic fundamentals and current account surpluses, a stronger dollar can be beneficial.
A Cautious Outlook
While the recent bullish trend in the dollar is notable, it is essential to maintain a cautious outlook. The global economic landscape remains uncertain, and a variety of factors, including geopolitical events, trade tensions, and central bank policies, could influence the dollar's trajectory. As such, it is crucial for investors to carefully consider the risks and rewards associated with dollar-based investments.
In conclusion, the recent shift towards a bullish dollar position reflects a significant change in market sentiment. A combination of stronger-than-expected US economic data and heightened demand for safe-haven assets has driven investors to embrace the greenback. While the implications of this trend for the global economy are far-reaching, it is essential to remain vigilant and adapt to evolving market conditions.
DeGRAM | DXY tends to growDXY is moving in a descending channel.
The chart has broken the descending structure, the price has entered the channel and is now above the correction level.
We expect the growth to continue.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Important Support & Resistance Levels
As the bull run continue on Dollar Index,
here are the significant resistance zones to pay attention to.
Resistance 1: 104.45 - 105.12 area
Resistance 2: 106.05 - 106.14 area
Resistance 3: 106.37 - 106.52 area
Support 1: 101.65 - 101.92 area
Support 2: 100.14 - 100.56 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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DXY Index at Critical Resistance: Possible Clues for USD Pairs👀👉 The US Dollar Index (DXY) is nearing a key resistance zone, repeatedly tested on both the monthly and weekly timeframes, which often signals a potential market reaction or rejection. While the US dollar has maintained a strong bullish trend, these factors suggest a possible near-term reversal, offering potential opportunities in both correlated and inversely correlated currency pairs. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
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USD Index at 104 Resistance: Strategies for the Next MoveIn early October, I wrote that the multiple attempts to break below the support level given by the beginning of the year price were likely false breaks.
I suggested that the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) was primed for a reversal to the upside, which could potentially push the price toward the 104 resistance level.
As anticipated, the USD Index reversed and touched this key resistance.
Looking ahead, a correction from this point seems probable, with the 102.50 zone being a possible target in the coming days.
My strategy is to look for buying opportunities in EUR/USD and AUD/USD.
Dollar Index Consolidation: Will NFP Trigger an Upside Breakout?Since its recent touch on the support zone back in August, the U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has entered a period of consolidation, characterized by multiple attempts to break through this critical support level.
Despite several instances where the price briefly dipped below the technical support zone, each time, the market witnessed a strong reversal, with bulls stepping in to defend the level successfully.
From my perspective, we are nearing a potential upside reversal, and the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll report on Friday could serve as the catalyst for this move.
Currently, 102 is the key level to watch for confirmation of an upward breakout. Should the DXY break above this threshold, the next reasonable target would be around 104, marking a significant bullish shift in momentum.
Waiting for #DXY correction H4. 21.10.2024Waiting for #DXY correction 📉
The dollar index has reached a strong daily sellers zone 103.63-104.23 and from this range I expect a downside exit. Special attention to the level 103.90 which is the border of a strong segment of accumulation in the past. It is logical to rebound above and enter the middle of the zone, and there we will consider reversals for the dollar and other currencies relative to it.
TVC:DXY
DeGRAM | DXY preparing for a reversal of movementDXY is moving above the trend lines and descending channel.
The chart has formed a harmonic bat pattern.
The price has not yet consolidated above the upper trend line.
We expect a reversal after consolidation under the dynamic resistance.
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Waiting for the DXY correction H4. 17.10.2024 Waiting for the DXY correction
Ahead of the ECB meeting, the dollar index has reached a strong rotation level of 103.57 and the main question is whether there will be a reaction and correction downwards! There is also a spare resistance level at 104.20 and I do not rule out reaching it and then a serious correction to at least 102.28. There will definitely be volatility and it is important to watch the reaction through other currencies.
TVC:DXY
DeGRAM | DXY strong resistanceDXY is moving above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The chart has broken the descending structure.
The price has reached an important psychological resistance level.
We expect a decline if the chart fails to consolidate above the current level.
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DeGRAM | DXY descending channel breakoutDXY is moving above the descending channel and trend lines.
The price broke through the resistance level, which coincides with the 50% retracement level of the bearish momentum.
We expect further growth after consolidation above the resistance.
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DXY Bullish again? rally from 102.600 back upOnce price mitigates and retests the daily demand zone I’ve marked out, I’ll be looking for the dollar (DXY) to trigger another bullish move within this point of interest (POI), potentially leading to a rally that could take out another all-time high (ATH).
Upon reaching this daily demand, I’ll focus on finding a lower time frame entry. As price pushes up, taking out the liquidity and filling the imbalance, I’ll be watching for potential short-term sell opportunities from the daily supply zone, which looks like a high-quality area.
Confluences for DXY Bullish Move:
Recent Bullish Momentum: Price has been strongly bullish.
Break of Structure (BOS): A clear BOS to the upside, leaving behind a demand zone.
Liquidity and Imbalance: Liquidity targets and imbalance above, providing room for a rally.
High-Quality Daily Demand: The daily demand zone is strong and has a good potential for a bullish push.
P.S. I wouldn’t be surprised if the daily supply also holds and causes a deep retracement, but we’ll see how the market reacts.
Have a great trading week guys!