DXY - somewhere in high time frame demand zone 101.700 - 100.600 is the demand zone on weekly time TF
price has pierce down in the demand zone to its mid's
the last 4 days of downfall was sharp that it has left only one resistance that could be noted on 103.250
what are the sign to start building long >>>
* just on the top of demand zone we have a daily bearish fvg marked (in red) if we have any coming day break that zone with one strong bullish candle will grab the confidence of the bulls
* meanwhile with 100.900 low could be sweeped or tested
* if that one candle breach that bearish fvg we likely see new daily Order block which will like fuel station to built one by one instead of putting full quality at once
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yellow line = prediction line
red zone = bearish fvg
green zone = high time frame demand
orange zone = time time frame supply
more updates will be done on the comment as per the action goes further
Dxyforecast
8.14 USD Trend AnalysisCPI is lower than expected, gold falls off a cliff, can the US dollar survive the desperate situation?
Today, the US seasonally adjusted CPI annual rate for the end of July was lower than expected. With gold and silver slightly bullish, gold price fell from a high of 2474 to 2050, a drop of 24 US dollars.
Everyone knows that if gold price falls, the US dollar will rise. Gold price currently lacks momentum. The war in the Middle East is still unclear. It may continue to fall. Will there be new entry opportunities for the US dollar?
What do you think of this view? Welcome to comment below
US dollar market trendYesterday, the deputy governor of the Bank of Japan said that "the market is unstable and there will be no interest rate hikes". This is a relatively "dovish" statement. In addition, the upcoming September interest rate cut conveys a good opportunity to enter the market.
That is, the US dollar will still fall. Although the market is narrow today, the US dollar continued to rise at the end of the trading day, but it should not last long.
Personal analysis: looking for high points and shorting
DXY New Week MovePair : DXY Index
Description :
DXY Index is following Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and It has breakout the Lower Trend Line. According to Elliot Waves theory it has Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves. Rejecting from Strong Support Zone and Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
Will the dollar continue to fall?Market trends and analyst Ang Kar Yong, according to the CME Fed watch Tool, the market currently expects the Fed to cut interest rates in September with a probability of nearly 100%. Overall, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates twice before the end of the year. If the July non-farm report is lower than market expectations, the unemployment rate rises and/or average income growth slows, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates more than twice before the end of the year will increase.
This will undoubtedly bring additional bearish pressure to the US dollar index.
US Dollar Index Daily TF DXY
None Farm Payroll outcome from 13:30 today
U.S PRIVATE NONFARM PAYROLLS (JUL) ACTUAL: 97K VS 136K PREVIOUS; EST 148K
U.S PARTICIPATION RATE (JUL) ACTUAL: 62.7% VS 62.6% PREVIOUS
U.S MANUFACTURING PAYROLLS (JUL) ACTUAL: 1K VS -8K PREVIOUS; EST -1K
U.S AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS (JUL) ACTUAL: 34.2 VS 34.3 PREVIOUS; EST 34.3
U.S GOVERNMENT PAYROLLS (JUL) ACTUAL: 17.0K VS 70.0K PREVIOUS
looks like it is going to close below 104.018
The DXY has dropped 100 pips following the non-farm payroll results and is expected to close below 104.024, indicating a bearish trend. Consequently, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and GOLD are likely to swing bullish. My area of interest is around 102.959, where I anticipate a rejection due to the presence of a -0.27 Fibonacci level and an order block. This should lead to a pullback before resuming the bearish trend to create new lower lows.
Gold 4hr TF
Gold is moving higher as a result of the non-farm payroll outcome. I expect this upward trend to continue until it hits my area of interest at 2,482, where I anticipate a rejection. After this pullback, I foresee gold resuming its upward movement to achieve a new all-time high (ATH).https://www.tradingview.com/x/tuk0BSO7/
Can the dollar's dominance be maintained?I believe everyone knows that when the dollar rises, gold falls. But this year, an abnormal thing happened. Both the dollar and gold rose. Many people thought it was due to inflation, war, and geopolitical influences. In fact, everyone overlooked an important detail, which is "U.S. debt". In 2017, the U.S. national debt was about 20 trillion U.S. dollars. By the end of 2023, the U.S. national debt was as high as 34 trillion U.S. dollars. In fact, you can calculate how much debt the United States has issued in 6 years according to the speed of the expansion of the U.S. debt? The answer is "70%". All the money in the world will depreciate if it is printed too much, but will the U.S. dollar be immune? The answer is definitely "no". The reason why everyone is seeing the rise of the US dollar now is because not only the United States but other countries are also printing a large amount of currency. At the same time, the US dollar is a leading currency. When it continues to tighten liquidity, The U.S. dollar seems to be scarce, but it is reflected in real assets: For example, in , when we go back and compare the values of the two, it is not difficult to find that the U.S. dollar is actually depreciating? Why do we say that when the price of gold rose in April and May this year, the United States immediately The very strong non-farm payroll data came out and immediately pushed the price of gold back. However, in In July, the previous non-farm payroll data was significantly revised downwards. This wave of expectation management can be said to have made everyone stupid. In fact, the United States is Want to maintain the dominance of the US dollar. But now the global wave of de-dollarization and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut are about to depreciate the US dollar, which is already unstoppable.
DXY Q3 bearish bias confirmed. Quarterly: Based on the Quarterly theory this is Q3 of this year 24, & Q2 was the manipulation of this year, which has been formed upside, So the Q3-Destribution the price will go down whole August-September 2024,
Draw on Liquidity: If I draw a FIB from the last year low to this year high the OTE Level is around 102-389 to 101.917. levels. So we will check any monthly PDA in this levels for the DOL, for the price.
Weekly: As there was 2 W-FVG- 's bellow the PQM level's so POI of price revarsal was that 2 W-FVG- 's for revarsal.
Now before the NFP Day, there are a possible W-SMT has been forming, So this confirmed me that the price is giving us a sign of revarsal. We need h4 confirmation for that to be more clear.
H4: In this H4 the price has formed a bearish H4-Breaker/Unicorn formation, which is a strong sign of revarsal, in a W level of POI, which gives me farther confirmation that in the up coming week the price will move lower.
So when all this 4 analogy
1. Quarterly Q3, Bearish analogy,
2. W-FVG- as a resistance,
3. H4-Bearish Breaker,
4. W-SMT in W-FVG-
When placed all to-gather in the chart, it gave me a confirmation that the DXY is going down up coming 2 months.
US economic recovery, good news for the global economyDXY: The USD index last week maintained an accumulation status around the 104.10-104.50 range and has not broken out yet. It is likely that the market will need information from this week's FOMC to have clearer trends. In the short term, it is expected that today, DXY will continue to accumulate around this price range, so you can consider buying USD when DXY retests 104.10.
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On July 25, the US Department of Commerce released a report showing that the world's largest economy grew by 2.8% in the period from April to June 2024 (twice as high as the previous quarter).
This growth is considered solid, as the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) inflation control measures seem to be effective.
Inflation, one of the key factors influencing the Fed’s monetary policy, is showing signs of cooling. The annual inflation rate fell to 3.2% in June, down from a peak of 9.1% last year. This development is believed to be the result of the Fed’s continuous interest rate hikes over the past year.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade Idea In this video, we analyze the DXY Dollar Index. It's clear that the DXY has been exhibiting bearish momentum recently. However, it is currently range-bound, and we need to wait for the market to reveal its direction. My strategy involves monitoring the 15-minute chart for signs of a breakout. I am leaning bearish, but this will be confirmed later today as we approach the London and NY sessions. A breakout could present a trade opportunity, as described in the video.
It's important to note that these observations are speculative and not a definitive forecast. Confirming specific price movements is crucial before considering any buying or selling decisions, as elaborated in the video. The video provides a comprehensive analysis of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. Remember, this educational content is designed to enhance understanding and does not guarantee outcomes. Trading inherently involves substantial risks, so employing robust risk management techniques is essential.
Next Week Trading Plan (DXY analysis)we have drawn some high lows of weekly and monthly swings
after that,
we have spotted a chart pattern on 4h of DXY indicating it was head and shoulder (incomplete)
although the idea was the left shoulder of the pattern is bigger and on the right shoulder it will be shorter than the left shoulder
neckline comes at 104.510
first target will be 104.900 which is derived from the right shoulder length and
2nd target is at level of 105.300 which is the length of head
incase the first condition couldn't break through the neckline we then have to wait for price to retest the monthly and weekly support which is around 103.900 to 103.600
DXY
The DXY price is currently in a bearish trend, moving within a major descending channel. However, our plan is to enter on the bullish side since the price has broken out of the descending trendline and completed an Elliott Wave 12345 pattern. We will enter after a bullish confirmation at a key level, anticipating the price to follow the Elliott Wave ABC correction pattern.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉🔍 We can observe that DXY has been in a bearish trend recently. However, it has experienced a significant move into a key support zone. In the video, we discuss market structure, price action, and the trend. I'm expecting to see a potential reaction and an opportunity to go long if the price action unfolds as described in the video. As always, this is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
DXY: UP or DOWN ?Hello traders, hope you are doing great.
For upcoming Days, I think we'll probably see a downtrend correction in DXY at first and after that we'll probably see growth up to the specified Level and beyond that.
and finally tell me what do you think? UP or DOWN? leave your comment below .
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DXY declined when Biden withdrew from the White HouseDXY: The USD index in today's session has reacted to a decrease and correction right after the information last weekend. Showing a bearish outlook in the context of Biden's withdrawal from the white house. The scenario in today's trading session is that DXY is expected to continue to weaken. Ace, please consider selling with USD
US President Joe Biden introduced the stop of his re-election marketing campaign on July 21 (US time) and nominated Vice President Kamala Harris to update him because the Democratic presidential candidate.
In the assertion on
This week, he's scheduled to present a public speech.
Being your president is the greatest honor of my life. Although I intend to run for re-election, I believe that for the best interests of my party and the country, I should stop and only focus on completing my presidential duties," Mr. Biden wrote.
A few minutes after the above message, he wrote another message supporting Ms. Harris. "I chose Ms. Kamala Harris as my vice presidential candidate in the 2020 race. And it was the best decision I made," he continued.