USD- The REAL moment of truth!Since May's 2021 low, the Dollar Index was very bullish and the price has risen around 8%, but more importantly, has broken above 95 zone very important resistance.
After this important break, the price consolidated for one and a half months, but the price lacked continuation and, instead, has broken this consolidation to the downside.
At this moment we can't say out loud "reversal", but there are a lot of red flags coming with this development.
Technically the index is sitting on confluence support now and the trend remains up so far.
However, a clear break under this confluence support would be extremely bearish for USD with the confirmation of a false break and more importantly a lower high in place.
If this is the case, Dxy can drop and revisit the 90 zone if not even further
Dxytradingsetup
DXYThe weekly price chart below shows the U.S. Dollar Index printed a weakly bullish near-pin candlestick last week, after previously rejecting the resistance level identified at 12257 three weeks ago. Note how this key resistance level has held again – in fact, it held just after the FOMC release some weeks ago when it was tested, which may be a bearish sign. While this decline is not enough to invalidate the long-term trend (the price is still well above its levels from 3 and 6 months ago), it is very notable that there is clearly strong resistance here, which is having impact. This suggests that despite the long-term bullish trend, we may now have experienced a major bearish reversal. However, it is also worth noting that the price is now very close to a major support level at 12150 which continues to hold, so we may be seeing a consolidation between 12150 and 12257.
Overall, I would not look towards the USD as a key driver for any trades over the coming week.
DXY Jan 2021 PA and Divergence with Time Speculationas we had analyzed this index earlier in lower time frames (240,D), we are getting more confluences or trend reversal even in the higher time frames of weekly.
we can see the price has reached one of its significant support zones and it is diverging with MACD and Its Histogram so forming a Bullish Divergence, which is the sign of trend reversal and we may have more confirmation as Price Action analysis also show that.
the TP zone has been Specified by Fibonacci retracement levels and Fibonacci Time base tools.
we may have some range and Accumulation at the same Support zone which the price is Currently located or instant trend reversal as USA Administration policies are also changing Due to the presidential Elections or if Washington faces more riot and chaos so does the index fall are reaches the heavy Support zone (Green Box)
we can think of shorting the USD Quote Currency Pairs such as EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD...
and long the USD Base Currency Instruments like USDJPY...
what do you think about it?
DXY: A LITTLE BIT MORE DEPPER CORRECTION AND THEN UPWARD BOUNDPrice broke previous high with an Impulse and now making correction, This corrections seems deeper than previous ones, After applying Fibo we have 61% level exactly on Last high and Channel support. Where I exactly mentioned my INTEREST ZONE. Here is the area where I am expecting a long DXY again and all XXXUSD shorts
DXY- Can it reach 100 by year's end?After breaking above the rounded bottom neck-line in November, DXY has confirmed its long-term trend change.
The month of December is marked by consolidation in a rectangle with resistance in the 97 zone.
I expect a break to the upside soon and we can have a 3 digits Index quote by year's end.
As long as the price is above 94.50 USD is very, very bullish
Sell rallies on EurUsd, GbpUsd. AudUsd and NzdUsd can be a good idea
DXY is pressing higherAfter reaching a high of 97, DXY has started to correct and, after a few days of correction, the index has started to consolidate in a tight 0.5 points range.
Now it looks like is pressing to the resistance of this range and a break here could lead to further gains and a new local high.
My target for the index remains 100, and traders should look for opportunities to sell rallies in EurUsd, GbpUsd, AudUsd and NzdUsd.
A drop under 95.80 could mean that the index has further to correct and expose 94.50 very important support.
Overall USD is strongly bullish on medium-term and the safest way to play it is to buy it low.
U.S. Dollar IndexThe weekly price chart below shows the U.S. Dollar Index printed a bullish candlestick last week, again making its highest weekly closing price in over one year. The price has broken above the level at 12238 which I had identified as key resistance, although the closing price was not high enough to be very confident this resistance has been invalidated. The price is above its levels from 3 and 6 months ago, which shows that a long-term bullish trend in the greenback is present. Generally, these are bullish signs, and are supported by the risk-off market environment being at least somewhat supportive of the greenback.
The best strategy in the Forex market over the coming week will probably be to look for trades long of either the USD or the CHF or JPY.
DXY tethering in the balance. We favour the upsideThe dollar index is holding the top of the channel and could break to the upside anytime from here. If in the off case, the macro sentiment changes, the price could break back down into the channel.
BULL CASE
Our price targets last week of 97.5 stands, price looks good at these levels if you can enter once market opens next week.
BEAR CASE
If there macro situation clears up and there is clarity on when the fed will raise rates, we should see price drop to 94.2. I'm less in favour of the bear case.
DXY- A lot of bullish confirmationsSince 10th November, DXY has become strongly bullish with the index breaking above VERY IMPORTANT 94.60 resistance.
If we look at a longer daily chart we can easily see that at this moment we have a major shift of trend and DXY has a lot of bullish confirmations, starting with this break, but also with a double bottom in 90 zone and, after the second bottom in June, a lot of higher lows and a major rounded bottom break.
I expect USD to remain strong for the rest of the year and 94.60 is now strong support
Rallies in EurUsd, GbpUsd, AudUsd and NzdUsd should be sold
DXYDear traders,
as I said on last weeks ... DXY went down but did not reach my target in the 93200 area ... and went up again in the strong area from 94250 from where it rejected ...
in the next period I will continue to look for an entry on SELL to the mentioned area but any closure even for 1 day over 94300 ... will make me enter BUY up to 96300!
THIS WEEK...DXY closed over the strong resistance at 94300 and climbed into an extremely heavy area!
even if maybe ... I expect it to go up a bit to 96300 ... I won't enter the trade unless it closes below 95100 this week
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*This information is not a Financial Advice.
DXY- Entering very strong resistance and sell zoneLast week I was wondering if we will have a break above 94.50 resistance, and indeed, we had it.
After this break, the index has accelerated its gains and now is trading near a very strong resistance and sell zone
I expect at least a correction from this zone and a drop to 93.50 support
Traders should look for buying opportunities in EurUsd, GbpUsd and NzdUsd
DXYDear traders,
As I have been accustomed to in recent months and this time my technical analysis had an accuracy rate of over 95% and I will try to continue to keep this percentage as long as possible
as I said on last weeks ...as I said last week, I will look for SELL on DXY if it closes even for 1 day below 93200 ... but because it did not make it ... DXY went up again to 94200 from where it rejected for the moment!
in the next period I will look for SELL again in the 93400 area but at a possible closure even for 1 day above the 94300 level I will look for BUY up to 96300
THIS WEEK...As I was telling you last week, DXY went down but did not reach my target in the 93200 area ... and went up again in the strong area from 94250 from where it rejected ...
in the next period I will continue to look for an entry on SELL to the mentioned area but any closure even for 1 day over 94300 ... will make me enter BUY up to 96300!
however ... I will rely on the theory of the letter W and will continue to search for SELL
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GREAT ATTENTION:
*This information is not a Financial Advice.
DXY- Will we have a break?Since the end of May, DXY is trading in a clear up trend, putting in higher lows and higher highs on our chart
At this moment the index is trading exactly in resistance and NFP today could be the trigger for a break
Such a break could accelerate gains towards the next important resistance at 96 zone
DXYDear traders,
As I have been accustomed to in recent months and this time my technical analysis had an accuracy rate of over 95% and I will try to continue to keep this percentage as long as possible
as I said on last weeks ...as I said, DXY went down and hit my lka 93500 target and now ... I will keep looking for SELL up to 92000, at the first close even for 1 day below 93200
THIS WEEK...as I said last week, I will look for SELL on DXY if it closes even for 1 day below 93200 ... but because it did not make it ... DXY went up again to 94200 from where it rejected for the moment!
in the next period I will look for SELL again in the 93400 area but at a possible closure even for 1 day above the 94300 level I will look for BUY up to 96300
NOTE: Please, give a LIKE if you find this idea useful!
GREAT ATTENTION:
*This information is not a Financial Advice.