NWS likely to miss earnings expectation on Feb 7th.Media companies have been getting the pants kicked off them lately, and NWS - News Corporation is at the top of an all time high on the charts, which may provide an incredible opportunity to capture a very sharp decline in the price.
Earnings will be released on Feb 7th (next week), and with price sitting at/near an all time high, if earnings are missed, it could present a very rare opportunity for short positions/short plays.
Good luck, and always use a stop.
Earningsplay
$AAPL Long SwingNASDAQ:AAPL just recently had earnings and released the new VR-headset, Apple Vision Pro.
I'm looking at swinging calls for NASDAQ:AAPL next week because the Jeanius Algo Suite (Indicator/Screener) gave me multiple buy confluences:
Fell through 2 untested lows (~$180.17), grabbing liquidity
Partially filled a Fair Value Gap
Tested an uptrend line formed on the monthly timeframe
In a long term and short term structural uptrend
The indicator shows "Combo" signals every time this combination of signals happened in the past. It also automatically painted the lines/zones
ENPH Enphase Energy Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold ENPH before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ENPH Enphase Energy prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 102usd strike price at the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-2-9,
for a premium of approximately $7.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMD: Targeting HOP Level at $208.051: Holding 3.618 as SupportLast week during earnings, INTC reversed at the PCZ of a Bearish 5-0 after trading just below the highly contested 50 dollar strike. Now AMD is doing something similar, except its highly contested strike is below it at $170-$175. I find it a little bit more likely that AMD goes for a move up towards the 200 level which would align it with the Bearish HOP level where then one may consider switching to a Bearish bias.
I will be playing it via synthetic longs and vertical spreads
This is an updated Post after realizing that AMD just filled a gap visible on the daily, I also felt like reposting it on the daily timeframe because after hours activity does not really matter for the options position.
QCOM: Bearish Hammer at Resistance on the Weekly TimeframeThere is a Bearish Hammer at weekly Resistance on QCOM with the RSI pushing back down from its second test of the overbought level. This seems like Bearish RSI BAMM that could lead to QCOM coming back into the support range around $120. As a result I'v decided to open Bear Call Spread spreads on QCOM to offset my Bullish AMD Call Spread.
AMD: Targeting HOP Level at $208.051Last week during earnings, INTC reversed at the PCZ of a Bearish 5-0 after trading just below the highly contested 50 dollar strike. Now AMD is doing something similar except it's highly contested stike is below it at $175. I find it a little bit more likely that AMD goes for a move up towards the 200 level which would align it with the Bearish HOP level where then one may consider switching to a Bearish bias.
I will be playing it via options spreads, in a way that gives some credit in order to reduce risks either being a Vertical or a Butterfly call spread though I may increase my risks a bit and go synthetic long.
Time to buy into the GTA 6 hype?Tomorrow will be the day the first trailer for GTA 6 will be released. It's been nearly ten years since GTA 5 was released and broke world records. The wait for GTA 6 can not be compared to another game. The hype and anticipation are off the charts. This creates a unique investment opportunity.
Looking at the historical prices news related to GTA has created considerable share price movements. Especially when related to GTA 6.
In September 2022, a leak about GTA 6 caused Take-Two’s stock to plummet. Recently, when Rockstar announced in November that early December is when we would see the first news around GTA 6 the shares gapped up and rose around 17.17% in 30 days.
There is considerable space for big gains when Rockstar releases the trailer tomorrow. It all rides on the investor's expectations, which will largely be following the customer's expectations. If the customers see it being good and the trialer receives a lot of attention, positive of course, then the share price will inevitables go up.
Trailer released => Large positive response by customers => investors excited and happy => share prices rise.
Now of course this is the short-term outlook. What about the long-term? The game will most likely be released next year in the fall. But this game will no doubt break records and will allow Take-Two, the company that owns Rockstar, to profit handsomely. Just as GTA 5 did. This therefore seems like a great opportunity to buy the shares before the short-term rapid rise and possible long-term outlook. However, speaking long-termly this would need a different piece of analysis that I'm not doing right now. But all I will say is the potential for long-term growth is there and this could be a good buying in price right now.
It would be difficult to put a price range for tomorrow. But I would say between 20% - 30%, which is around the all time high. But I do see potential for further upside tomorrow.
USAU Gold Penny Stock with impeding EarningsUSAU has been in an ascending channel on the 30-minute chart with the rise in spot and future
gold prices. With earnings coming in the next day, price broke out of the channel the top line
of which is now supported albeit without a retest. The relative volume indicator shows
in 3-4X volume surge in the past week while the RSI level is now up from 50 to 75-80.
I see this as an earnings play with a stop loss just below the upper channel line at 3.75 and
a target of 4.5 and 4.75 for a good reward-to-risk ratio. This is a quick swing trade earnings
play to compliment my much larger long-duration swing trade in GDXJ. While an expected
earnings beat is probably baked into the price I am betting that the beat will be significant and
will keep price momentum intact.
Nvidia Is Still Bullish💸Hello Traders,
My name is Philip and I am just an average stock and indices trader with over 4 years of trading experience💻
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➡️In today's video, I will analyse Nvidia for you🫡
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➡️Let me know your opinion about today's analysis in the comments below👇
➡️I will only enter a trading position if ALL of my trading/entry criterias are met!
Keep your long term vision!
P.S. Trading is risky and most beginner traders lose money!
INFA (Long) - AI play with a robust baseFundamentals
The market right now is full of companies acting like prime AI bets . From what I can tell, NYSE:INFA is one of the more legit ones, building an AI-powered platform for multi-cloud system
The valuation is slightly stretched but that is to be expected in a hot sub-sector. Hence, we need to gauge it against the industry, where INFA is exactly at the average
Sales growth has been reliable and strong over the past decade, and the firm is nearing profitability
Debt is stable at 1:1 ratio with equity. One fun fact is that CEO's compensation is $32m a year; the average in the industry is $8m, That's a major red flag, but we do not really care in a 6-month window; just something to be aware of
On this one though, we are here for the technicals
Technicals
The technicals on this chart are gold
Starting, as always, with a robust base which has accumulated over a longer time period
The break out of the base came on news of blockbuster earnings , which is the kind of support a name like this needs
Because of the positive news, the move was accompanied by higher-than-average volume as depicted on the graph
Indicators also further support the break : (i) volume, represented by Chaikin Money Flow, has been showing divergences long before the move actually happened (orange circles) and (ii) a factor I consider crucial, a high relative strength against the market; the indicator is clearly breaking out and pointing higher
Momentum is strong (stochastics) and supported by the rally in the broader indexes
The stock clearly broke through all the moving averages ; another important factor when looking for an uptrend with legs
Trade
On the daily, the trade is slightly stretched. However, it still provides a good entry considering the proximity to the breakout line
Ideally, the stock would oscillate around this line for a couple of days and let the moving averages catch up with the price
It is up to you whether you wait or enter here. I choose to wait just because I feel the price action in the whole market needs to consolidate for a few days
Caveat? The stock does not hold the line and breaks lower. However, considering the magnitude of the move, it is not unrealistic that this happens. In that case, I would wait for the price to break again and re-enter
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UDMY (Long) - Edutech reversal playFundamentals
Not my usual play, but I do like to tell myself that I have developed a keen eye for reversals. So let's see if this one works out
Udemy is an Edutech firm with surprisingly good fundamental s, considering the stock price would probably be telling you otherwise
Valuation is not extended (compared to the current market standards - P/S = 2.8), the sales growth is reliable and strong while the firm is nearing profitability
The business carries high margins and if it remains on the current trajectory, it is bound to become a highly profitable firm.
And as a bonus, it does not have any debt!
The thing I like the most though is the support the stock is getting from the overall education sector. Look at the charts of NASDAQ:DUOL or NYSE:COUR (which I recently covered in another post) to see how strongly these stocks have been performing
Technicals
Reversals are very tricky, but there is a couple of signals to always look out for
The stock broke the series of lower lows and lower highs and is establishing a new higher high
The price broke cleanly through all moving averages
And it has done so on very positive news that carried the stock 30% higher . Most importantly, we can see follow-through in price; not collapsing higher or consolidating, but rather marching higher
RSI is breaking towards new highs despite the stock being price-depressed and stochastics are showing a strong momentum
I do not know if this trade lives up to the expectations, but this is how I would imagine an ideal reversal
Trade
Putting on the trade is rather tricky , I am not going to lie. Hence why I have not put it on myself either
The next support levels are unfortunately 10% away (the black line) and the stock price has not properly pulled back. A good sign of the underlying strength, but bad if one wants to enter the trade
One option is to wait a bit but risk the trade running away from you. This is what I am going to choose because my own risk managemen t would not let me enter the trade at this price.
The other choice is to get in now. In that case, I am going to leave it to each and every one of you to pick your own spot for a stoploss. At this point, there is only one viable level that I can see, which is around the black line depicted on the graph
By the way, a really good pick for a long-term investmen t if someone is interested in that
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CYBR (Long) - Cybersecurity charts are too good right nowFundamentals
I have recently published a trade idea for another cybersecurity stock ( NASDAQ:QLYS ) and seems to have become a theme. The cybersecurity sector is rallying on the back of geopolitical tensions and some stocks, like NASDAQ:CYBR have put some lovely technical setups
The fundamentals here are not as pristine as in the case of NASDAQ:QLYS , but they are still robust
The revenue growth is strong and has remained robust and consistent; the sales have grown nearly 1500% in the past decade, from 47m to $700m
The company has a healthy balance sheet with a reasonable level of debt
The valuation is elevated , but that is to be expected for stocks with a lot of momentum. However, here I am attracted more to the technical setup
Technicals
Anyone who has seen my other trade ideas knows that a solid base with a high-volume breakout is a vital part of my analysis. Here, we have a base which has been forming over a three-year period . Usually, the longer the period, the more robust the base.
Last week, the base broke on a release of strong earnings followed by a higher-than-average volume, and most importantly, we have seen follow-through in price, suggesting the breakout likely has legs
Other indicators suggest continuing momentum and the overall sector is also remaining strong and in support of the rally
Trade
The price is a bit far off from the breakout point, so it currently does not offer the most ideal entry point. I would probably suggest waiting for a pullback or at least a consolidation as the stock is slightly extended on the daily.
However, for someone with a more long-term outlook , this price represents an entry as good as any
Suggested stop-loss is at the breakout point. A caveat would be if the stock fell back and through the breakout point.
One should also watch for the performance of the overall industry . For that, I can recommend the cybersecurity ETF AMEX:HACK
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QLYS (Long) - Ideal time for a cybersecurity betFundamentals
With the Israel/Ukraine situation developing, countries and companies will certainly not mind some extra cybersecurity spending. Hence, companies like NASDAQ:QLYS are well-positioned to benefit
Any company making new all-time highs during a challenging time in the markets should catch your interest. This one just did it on impressive earnings and with a substantial buying volume.
I wish you could see the chart of revenue, which has grown by a consistent 20% year after year for the past decade (just a straight line up). Margins are fabulous with an 80% gross margin and a 23% profit margin .
The firm is incredible at handling its own capital with an ROCE of 41.7% (the industry average is 8.9%). The ROCE figure means that the firm has grown 309% over the last 5 years while using the same amount of capital - highly efficient
The firm has no debt (!) and earnings are expected to grow 10% next year.
I could go on and on, but I know that you all degenerates are here for the charts. Just to say, if you are thinking about something longer-term, this is a perfect pick
Technicals
What else to say than to just to look at the chart setup
Clean break on an earnings announcement. The base could be slightly better, but I do not feel like letting this one run away.
RSI pointing higher, good volume, relative strength is high and the industry is driven by various robust tailwinds
Strong growth, solid fundamentals and a lovely chart - William O'Neill would be proud
Trade
I entered the stock today; I wanted to wait for a better base, but I do not think this one will be waiting
However, the weakness in the market might drag it down a bit and offer a better entry
For the stoploss , I would suggest that if the stock falls back down back to the black line and below, that would be a clear sign of a failed breakout.
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Is not a bad idea Market has punished unfairly this stock after earnings. It way overreacted. This is good company and earnings weren't bad at all. It will go up very soon. I bought some calls (you can just buy the stock and hold it forever is that good). Expr Nov 10 strike 230. Careful with the 238 resistance, you may want to close almost all your calls on that level.
#Verizon a recovery buy? NYSE:VZ Verizon Communications Inc. has recently released an impressive earnings report, surpassing expectations across the board and increasing their Free Cash Flow (FCF) guidance by a substantial $1 billion compared to their previous guidance. This announcement has injected new life into the stock, and it's evident in the pre-market trading where VZ has surged by almost 4%.
The current outlook for VZ is highly favorable, and here's why: A bullish divergence is emerging on both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators, particularly on the weekly timeframe. This divergence suggests that the stock is poised for a recovery, possibly leading to a profitable swing trade opportunity for investors.
Furthermore, VZ presents an additional allure for long-term investors. With a generous dividend yield of over 8%, this stock becomes a compelling choice for those seeking a stable, income-generating investment.
In summary, the combination of robust earnings, a notable increase in FCF guidance, and the promising technical indicators on the chart indicate a strong potential for VZ to recover from recent losses. Whether you're looking for a shorter-term swing trade or a long-term income play, Verizon is shaping up as an attractive option in the current market landscape
Unity : Bottom Fishing before Nov Earnings
Simple technical chart analysis and trading plan :
- accumulate at support zone $25-28 which also fall into oversold lower Midas zone . Cut loss when fall outside this support zone.
- target exit points will be at $40, $42 or upper overbought Midas zone.
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