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Why Recursion Pharmaceuticals RXRX Could Be the NVDA of BiotechRecursion Pharmaceuticals RXRX is rapidly emerging as a transformative force in drug discovery, leveraging cutting-edge artificial intelligence and automation to industrialize and accelerate the development of new medicines. Here’s why RXRX could be the next NVIDIA (NVDA) of biotechnology and why its stock could soar by year-end: 1. AI-Powered Drug Discovery Platform with Unmatched Scale Recursion integrates AI, machine learning, automation, and advanced data science to decode biology and chemistry, dramatically reducing the time and cost of drug discovery. The company’s proprietary BioHive-2 supercomputer, built with NVIDIA’s DGX H100 systems, is the most powerful AI computing system wholly owned by any biopharma company, enabling Recursion to process biological data at unprecedented speeds. By reducing the number of compounds needed for clinical candidates from thousands to just 136–200 and shrinking development timelines to under a year, RXRX is fundamentally changing the economics of pharmaceutical R&D. 2. Strategic Partnerships and Industry Validation RXRX has forged high-profile partnerships with pharmaceutical giants such as Bayer, Roche/Genentech, Takeda, and Sanofi, validating its platform and unlocking milestone payments that could exceed $20 billion over time. The company’s collaboration with AI biotech Exscientia in a $700 million deal further cements its leadership in the AI-driven drug discovery space, creating a pipeline of 10 clinical and preclinical programs with hundreds of millions in potential milestones. NVIDIA itself holds over 7.7 million shares of RXRX, making it one of NVIDIA’s largest biotech investments and a strong endorsement of Recursion’s technology and long-term vision. 3. Explosive Revenue Growth and Strong Cash Position Analysts forecast Recursion’s revenue to grow at a 65% CAGR from $58.8 million in 2024 to $263 million by 2027, far outpacing the broader biotech sector. The company ended 2024 with over $600 million in cash, providing a solid runway for continued investment in R&D, platform expansion, and clinical trials. Wall Street analysts expect more than 50% upside in RXRX stock over the next 12–24 months, with multiple clinical milestones and partnership announcements as near-term catalysts. 4. Disruptive Vision: The “Virtual Cell” and Beyond RXRX is building toward a “virtual cell,” where AI models can simulate biological processes with such accuracy that wet lab experiments shift from data generation to validating computational predictions. This approach could dramatically improve drug development success rates, addressing the industry’s notorious 95% failure rate and positioning Recursion as the go-to platform for next-generation drug discovery. 5. Market Sentiment and Institutional Support RXRX has caught the attention of growth investors and major funds, including Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest, further boosting its profile and liquidity. Recent stock surges and high trading volumes reflect growing investor confidence in Recursion’s disruptive potential and the broader AI-in-biotech trend.
NASDAQ:RXRXLong
by TopgOptions
5
MGY: Technical Breakout + Fundamental Momentum = Quiet Winner?Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) is showing one of the cleanest technical breakouts in the energy sector — and the market hasn’t priced it in yet. After months of pressure, price has broken above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with rising volume, signaling a clear phase shift from distribution to accumulation. Recent candles confirm control shifting to the buyers, with a tight structure, rising lows, and bullish momentum building underneath resistance. The fundamentals back the technical setup. In the latest earnings report, MGY delivered a 9.7% revenue increase, $110M in free cash flow, and continues to pay dividends with low leverage. UBS upgraded the stock with a $29 target, which aligns precisely with the post-breakout projection. Operationally, the company is expanding in key U.S. basins like Eagle Ford, while seeing growing demand from Australia and Latin America. With oil prices pushing higher and geopolitical tensions rising, MGY stands out as a stable energy play in a volatile world. Holding above the $24.00–$24.30 zone keeps the breakout valid, with $29+ as a natural magnet for price. Most investors are still asleep on this name — but the structure is already telling a very different story.
NYSE:MGYLong
by TotoshkaTrades
8
Gold Takes the Throne as Safe Haven AgainThe recent escalation in the Middle East — particularly Israel’s surprise strike on Iran — has stirred up significant volatility in global financial markets. Oil prices surged, stock markets around the world turned red, just as many had predicted. However, in a surprising twist, capital did not rush into the usual safe havens like the US dollar or Treasury bonds. Instead, it flowed decisively into gold. In fact, US Treasury yields have soared from 3.98% in April to around 4.42% now. This surge doesn’t signal growing confidence — it reflects investor demand for higher returns to compensate for the rising risk of holding dollar-denominated assets. Against this backdrop, gold is emerging as an “unshackled safe haven” — immune to political instability tied to fiat-currency-issuing nations. The precious metal is once again proving its value in times of global uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
17
EUR/USD: Euro Pops Above $1.16 in Four-Year High. What’s Next?The dollar wobbles, Trump talks tariffs, and the euro’s got its dancing shoes on. The Euro Wakes Up, Stretching Its Legs at $1.16 Look who just rolled out of bed and decided to make a scene. For the first time in four years, the euro has finally leapt out of its slumber and sprinted to $1.16 — all at the expense of the US dollar, which continues to shed value. The FX:EURUSD isn’t just crawling higher. It’s flexing, fueled by dollar fatigue, political drama, and some very European stubbornness. So what’s behind the move? Why is the euro soaring while the European Central Bank is actually cutting rates? And what’s the dollar doing? Let's unpack it all — one central bank, one tweet, and one inflation print at a time. Trump’s Tariff Ping-Pong: Back On, Back Off Let’s start with the one thing that never quite leaves the headlines: Trump’s trade policy. Just when traders were catching their breath after some tariff reprieve on China, the market got pulled back into the mess. “WE ARE GETTING A TOTAL OF 55% TARIFFS, CHINA IS GETTING 10%. RELATIONSHIP IS EXCELLENT,” Trump posted on Truth Social late on Wednesday, reigniting fears that the trade war is getting heated up again. Especially after a US squad of negotiators touched down in London and walked away with some promising news . Markets don’t love confusion. Investors especially don’t love a US trade policy that changes faster than the Nasdaq NASDAQ:IXIC during CPI week. This kind of noise erodes confidence in US economic leadership and — more importantly — in the dollar. The world’s most important currency is starting to feel… less important, less relevant, and less reliable. And while it’s not collapsing, it’s definitely catching fewer friends at the FX party. On the other side of the pond, the euro isn’t rising because Europe is crushing it (even though it’s doing pretty well against rival currencies, just check the forex heatmap ) — it’s rising because the dollar is slipping off its pedestal. So yes, the euro’s up. But this isn’t a standing ovation for Europe — it’s more of a polite shrug away from America. US Inflation Creeps Higher — And That Means a Cut? US inflation picked up to 2.4% in May but still left the door open for a cut by the Federal Reserve. So what does the market do? It prices in a cut. Lower rates mean lower yields on Treasuries, which means less incentive for global investors to hold dollars. And when the yield game turns dull, guess what gets more attention? Gold OANDA:XAUUSD — because if your asset doesn’t yield anything, at least let it be shiny. ECB Cuts Again, and the Euro Still Rises? Now here’s the riddle. The ECB last week cut its benchmark rate to 2% , hitting a two-year low. By all textbook logic, a rate cut should weaken the local currency. Here’s why it’s rising instead: Markets are forward-looking . The rate cut was expected and already priced in. What matters now is whether more cuts are coming (spoiler: not too many). Traders are betting the ECB is nearing the end of its easing cycle — and may turn neutral soon. The Fed looks more dovish . Rate differentials still matter. Even if the ECB is cutting, the Fed is expected to cut more over the next 12 months. That narrows the gap between euro and dollar yields, making the euro more attractive in relative terms. Eurozone data isn’t great — but it’s not falling apart either. While growth in the eurozone isn’t setting any records, it’s been just OK to support the currency. Inflation is cooling in line with ECB targets, unemployment remains low, and key sectors like manufacturing are showing signs of life. Put it all together and you get a euro that’s rising despite rate cuts — a phenomenon that would make FX professors tear their hair out, but makes perfect sense when you zoom out. Technicals: This Isn’t a Flash in the Pan From a chartist’s perspective, the FX:EURUSD breakout above $1.16 was a big deal. That level had acted as resistance since November 2021. Now cleared, a flurry of algo buys and retail FOMO might fuel the next leg in either direction. From the bulls’ perspective, momentum is picking up, and the euro looks poised to test $1.17–$1.18 if the dollar stays fragile (that said, keep your eye on any hot news coming out of the economic calendar ). RSI is not yet flashing overbought, and MACD is still screaming “more grounds to cover.” Question is: How long can the euro dance before the music changes? And we’re asking you — share your thoughts on the euro-dollar pair and let’s see who gets it right!
by TradingView
16
ETHEREUM: THE NEW BOND OF THE DIGITAL WORLDPrice isn’t the goal. Price is the side effect. Meanwhile, BlackRock - a black hole with a trust-backed logo - just absorbed 42,000 ETH more. Yesterday, you may have read this "regular" headline: BlackRock increases its Ethereum exposure to $4 billion, adding $109.5 million via ETFs. But here’s what you missed: there are no random numbers on the market. When a player like this moves - it’s not hype. It’s a blueprint for the future. Ethereum is no longer an altcoin. It’s no longer speculation. It’s a financial infrastructure, already recognized by law, exchanges, and institutions. What does this mean? 💡 Ethereum is now a digital bond - with yield flowing from blocks. Profit is no longer built on promises, but on the structure of the chain itself. Trust lies not in faces, but in code. Growth is not artificial — it’s architectural. And here’s why this is terrifyingly beautiful: While you sleep, they are building an era. Each ETF purchase removes ETH from circulation - permanently. Because: ✅ This ETH is gone from the open market ✅ It won’t be panic-sold ✅ It becomes income-bearing collateral, not a speculative asset Still waiting for an entry signal? The big players are already in. This is no longer crypto - this is cash flow infrastructure, embedded into the digital economy. And when pension funds, insurers, and sovereign investors move into Ethereum - they will come via ETFs. Not because it’s trendy, but because it’s regulated, stable, and profitable. 📉 When institutional demand meets vanishing supply - the price won’t simply rise. It will explode, not as growth, but as a structural liquidity shift. Ethereum is: 💸 Staking = passive yield 🔗 Backbone of DeFi 🖼 Fuel for NFTs ⚙️ Millions of transactions per second ⚖️ A regulated ETF asset This is the new digital bond system, where the bet isn’t on the dollar - it’s on ETH as an income-producing asset. 💥 While you're reading this, the game is already on. ETFs are rewriting the rules of time-ownership. No hype. Just filings. Just intention. Best regards EXCAVO
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by EXCAVO
21
NO TRADE? THAT IS THE TRADEToday, I took no trades and I’ll be honest, it was really tempting to break that discipline. I stared at the chart longer than I needed to. My cursor hovered around the Buy and Sell buttons. My brain tried to convince me that “maybe” this candle meant something. Even though there was no valid sweep, no BOS, and no clean entry into an FVG , the desire to just “be in a trade” was strong. But I reminded myself: 📌 No Setup = No Trade 📌 Your edge is your lifeline 📌 Discipline is what pays you, not activity What I felt today is something every trader battles, setup hoping . It’s that mental trap where silence feels wrong, and boredom feels dangerous. But the truth is, boredom is part of being a consistently profitable trader. There are days where your best trade is the one you don’t take. And I’m proud to say I did nothing. No revenge trade. No gambling. No deviation from plan. Instead, I observed. I journaled my emotions. I stayed in control. That’s the work behind the scenes: the mental reps that build longevity in this business . So if you had a quiet session today too, and you resisted the urge to jump in without reason, celebrate that. You're training your mind to trust your system, not your feelings. Sometimes, the most powerful trade you’ll ever take… is the one you never place.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Crusade1Jay
17
Silver surge has more bullish upsideSilver is breaking out. Its strength is no accident. The US is running a structural deficit north of 6% of GDP in a full-employment economy. The bond market has absorbed the pain so far, but pressure is building. Investors are starting to look for insurance. Silver is one of the cleanest ways to play the dollar’s long-term debasement. The metal is trading well above its 200-day moving average. The US$31.50-32.00 zone now acts as solid support. Any pullback into that range is likely to be short-lived. Silver doesn’t move in straight lines. It runs, consolidates, then runs again, usually in 50–90 day cycles. The current setup fits that rhythm. The gold-to-silver ratio is still near 100x. Historically, the average is closer to 60-70x. That gives silver more room to catch up. Traders can short gold and go long silver to play that mean reversion. Or simply buy silver outright and short the dollar. ETF inflows into silver have picked up, showing broader market interest. The main risk? A sudden shift in Fed tone or falling inflation expectations. But that seems unlikely near term. Silver isn’t just a trade. It’s a message. A hedge against fiscal irresponsibility and the cost of kicking the can too far.
TVC:SILVER
by Blueberry
16
Position Sizing 101: How Not to Blow Up Your Account OvernightWelcome to the trading equivalent of wearing a seatbelt. Not really exciting but entirely recommended for its lifesaving properties. When the market crashes into your stop-loss at 3:47 a.m., you’ll wish you’d taken this lesson seriously. Let’s talk position sizing — the least flashy but most essential tool in your trading kit. This is your friendly reminder that no matter how perfect your chart setup looks, if you’re risking 50% of your capital on a single trade, you’re not trading. You’re gambling. And also — if you lose 50% of your account, you have to gain 100% to get even. ✋ “Sir, This Isn’t a Casino” Let’s start with a story. New trader. Fresh demo account turned real. He sees a clean breakout. He YOLOs half his account into Tesla ( TSLA ). "This is it," he thinks, "the trade that changes everything." News flash: it did change everything — his $10,000 account turned into $2,147 in 48 hours. The lesson? Position sizing isn’t just about managing capital. It’s about managing ego. Because the market doesn’t care how convinced you are. 🌊 Risk of Ruin: The More You Know There’s a lovely concept in trading called “risk of ruin.” Sounds dramatic — and it is. It refers to the likelihood of your account going to zero if you keep trading the way you do. If you risk 10% of your account on every trade, you only need to be wrong a few times in a row to go from “pro trader” to “Hey, ChatGPT, is trading a scam?” Risking 1–2% per trade, however? Now we’re talking sustainability. Now you can be wrong ten times in a row and still live to click another chart. 🎯 The Math That Saves You Let’s illustrate the equation: Position size = Account size × % risk / (Entry – Stop Loss) Example: $10,000 account, risking 1%, with a 50-point stop loss on a futures trade. $10,000 × 0.01 = $100 $100 / 50 = 2 contracts That’s it. No Fibonacci razzle-dazzle or astrology needed. Just basic arithmetic and a willingness to not be a hero. 🤔 The Myth of Conviction Every trader has a moment where they say: “I know this is going to work.” Spoiler alert: You don’t. And the moment you convince yourself otherwise, you start increasing position size based on emotion, not logic. That’s where accounts go to die. Even the greats keep it tight. Paul Tudor Jones, the legend himself, once said: “Don't focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.” Translation: size down, cowboy. 🔔 Position Size ≠ Trade Size A common mistake: confusing position size with trade size. Trade size is how big your order is. Position size is how much of your total capital is being risked. You could be trading 10 lots — but if your stop loss is tight, your position size might still be conservative. So yes, trade big. But only if your risk is small. You’ll do better at this once you figure out how asymmetric risk reward works. 🌦️ Losses Happen. Don’t Let Them Compound Let’s say you lose 5% on a trade. No big deal, right? Until you try to “make it back” by doubling down on the next one. And then again. And suddenly, you’re caught in a death spiral of revenge trading . This is not theoretical. It’s Tuesday morning for many traders. Proper position sizing cushions the blow. It turns what would be a catastrophe into a lesson — maybe even a mildly annoying Tuesday. 🌳 It’s Not Just About Risk — It’s About Freedom Smart sizing gives you flexibility (and a good night’s sleep). Want to hold through some noise? You can. Want to scale in? You’re allowed. Want to sleep at night without hugging your laptop? Welcome to emotional freedom. Jesse Livermore, arguably the most successful trader of all time, said it best: “If you can’t sleep at night because of your stock market position, then you have gone too far. If this is the case, then sell your position down to the sleeping level.” ⛳ What the Pros Actually Do Here’s a dirty little secret: pros rarely go all-in without handling the risk part first (that is, calibrating the position size). If they’re not allocating small portions of capital across uncorrelated trades, they’ll go big on a trade that has an insanely-well controlled risk level. That way, if the trade turns against them, they’ll only lose what they can afford to lose and stay in the game. Another great one, Stanley Druckenmiller, who operated one of the best-returning hedge funds (now a family office) said: “I believe the best way to manage risk is to be bullish when you have a compelling risk/reward.” 🏖️ The Summer of FOMO Let’s address the seasonal vibes. Summer’s here. Volume’s thin. Liquidity’s weird. Breakouts don’t follow through. Every false move looks like the real deal until it isn’t. And every poolside Instagram story from your trader friend makes you want to hit that buy button harder. This is where position sizing saves you from yourself. Small trades, wide stops, chill mindset. Or big trades, tight stops, a bit of excitement in your day. No matter what you choose, make sure to get your dose of daily news every morning, keep your eye on the economic calendar , and stay sharp on any upcoming earnings reports (GameStop NYSE:GME is right around the corner, delivering Tuesday). ☝️ Final Thoughts: The Indicator You Control In a world of lagging indicators, misleading news headlines, and “experts” selling you dreams, position sizing is one of the few things you have total control over. And that makes it powerful. So next time you feel the rush — the urge to go big — take a breath. Remember the math. Remember the odds. And remember: the fastest way to blow up isn’t a bad trade — it’s a good trade sized wrong. Off to you: How are you handling your trading positions? Are you the type to go all-in and then think about the downside? Or you’re the one to think about the risk first and then the reward? Let us know in the comments!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
26
Quick Lesson: Slow & Fast Flows (Study it & Benefit in Trading)It is always important to look not only at levels (supports/resistances), but how exactly price moves within them. On the left side , we see a slow flow—a controlled and gradual decline. Sellers are patient, offloading positions over time into visible liquidity levels. Each dip is met with small bids, creating a staircase-like drop. This kind of move doesn’t trigger panic immediately, but it’s dangerous because it builds up pressure. Eventually, when buyers dry up, a larger breakdown happens. On contrary, the right side shows a fast flow. Here, a large sell order slams into a thin order book, causing an immediate price spike down. There's little resistance, and multiple levels are skipped. This creates an inefficient move, often forming a sharp wick. These fast drops are typically caused by fear, liquidation, or aggressive exit orders. But what’s interesting is the recovery: because the move was so aggressive and liquidity was so thin, price can snap back up quickly. These are often V-shaped reversals with low resistance on the way back. Try to look for such setups on the chart and learn how the price behaves . Studying such cases will help you identifying upcoming sell-offs/pumps and earn on them.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by RobertMercer
13
When Intuition Beats the Algorithm█ When Gut Feeling Beats the Bot: How Experience Can Improve Algorithmic Trading In today’s world of fast, data-driven trading, we often hear that algorithms and rules-based systems are the future. But what happens when you mix that with a trader’s intuition, the kind that only comes from years of watching charts and reading price action? A recent study has some surprising results: A seasoned discretionary trader (someone who trades based on what they see and feel, not just rules) was given a basic algorithmic strategy. The twist? He could override the signals and use his instincts. The result? He turned a losing system into a winning one, big time. █ What Was the Experiment? Researchers Zarattini and Stamatoudis (2024) wanted to test whether a skilled trader’s experience could boost a mechanical system. They took 9,794 stock “gap up” events from 2016 to 2023, where a stock opens much higher than the day before, and let the trader pick which ones looked promising. ⚪ To make it fair: All charts were anonymized — no names, no news, no distractions. The trader had only the price action to guide his choices. He could also manage open trades — adjusting stop-losses, profit targets, and position sizing based on what the price was doing. ⚪ The Trading Setup █ What Did They Find? The trader only selected about 18% of all the gap-ups. But those trades performed far better than the full list. Here's what stood out: Without stop-losses, the basic strategy lost money consistently (down -0.25R after just 8 days). With the trader involved, profits rose fast, hitting +0.80R just 4 days after entry. Risk was tightly managed: only 0.25% of capital was risked per trade. ⚪ So what made the difference? The trader could spot things the system missed: Strong momentum early in a move Clean breakouts from long sideways ranges Patterns that had real follow-through, not just random gaps He avoided weak setups and managed trades like a pro, cutting losers, letting winners run, and trailing positions with smart stop placements. ⚪ Example An experienced trader can quickly identify a breakaway gap, when a stock gaps up above a clear resistance level. Unlike random gaps, this setup often signals the start of a strong move. While a system might treat all gaps the same, a skilled trader knows this one has real potential. █ What Does This Mean for You? This research shows that trading experience still matters — a lot. If you’re a systematic trader, adding a discretionary filter (whether it’s your own review or someone else’s) could drastically improve your results. A clean chart read can help you avoid false signals and focus only on the best setups. If you’re a discretionary trader, this study is proof that your skills can add measurable value. With the right tools and discipline, you don’t need to throw away your instincts, you can combine them with structure and still win. █ Key Takeaways ⚪ Gut feeling isn’t just noise, trained instincts can spot what rules miss. ⚪ Trade selection matters more than just following every signal. ⚪ Managing risk and exits well is just as important as picking good entries. ⚪ Hybrid trading, rules plus judgment — might be the most powerful combo. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Zeiierman
7
Soaring platinum breaks a 3 year high at $1,152.50/ozChina, the world’s largest consumer of platinum, imported its highest amount in a year last month. Retail investment demand (bars and coins) in China more than doubled, overtaking North America as the top market for platinum investment. Analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence predict that global platinum demand will exceed supply for the rest of the decade. Key technical levels: • Platinum futures hit a 3+ year high at $1,152.50/oz. • Next resistance levels: o $1,197.00 (March 2022 high) o $1,281.40 (May 2021 high) o $1,348.20 (February 2021 high) • All-time high: $2,308.80 (March 2008) The strong Chinese demand and lagging EV transition may fuel a sustained bull run in platinum prices. Investment opportunities may exist if technical resistance levels are broken, potentially retesting highs from 2021 and 2022 even aiming toward the 2008 peak. Supply constraints and investment interest make platinum a strategic metal to watch in both industrial and financial markets.
CAPITALCOM:PLATINUM
by Blueberry
26
Elon Musk vs Trump: Who you betting on?Elon Musk and Donald Trump have recently had a public falling-out, with their feud playing out on social media and in political circles. The dispute seems to have started over Trump's new budget bill, which Musk has criticized for increasing the national debt. Trump, in turn, accused Musk of being upset because the bill removes electric vehicle subsidies that benefit Tesla. The tension escalated when Trump suggested that Musk had known about the bill beforehand and had no issue with it until after leaving his government role. Musk denied this, claiming he was never shown the bill and that it was passed too quickly for proper review. Trump then took things further by threatening to cut Musk’s government contracts and subsidies, which amount to billions of dollars. Musk responded defiantly on social media, calling Trump "ungrateful" and claiming that without his financial support, Trump would have lost the election. TSLA violated key levels and will be looking for a sharp technical bounce off the $260-$257 zone
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Trading-Capital
31
VWMA : Example Volume weighted Moving Average 🔍 VWMA in Crypto Trading Smarter than simple MAs. Powered by volume. What is VWMA? 🎯 VWMA = Price + Volume Combined Unlike SMA/EMA, VWMA gives more weight to high-volume candles. ✅ Shows where the real trading pressure is. Why Use VWMA? 💥 Volume Confirms Price Price movement + High Volume = Stronger Signal VWMA adjusts faster when volume spikes 📊 More reliable in volatile crypto markets. Some VWMA Settings 📊 Optimal VWMA Periods by Timeframe 🕒 15m – VWMA 20 → For scalping 🕞 30m – VWMA 20/30 → Intraday breakouts 🕐 1h – VWMA 30/50 → Trend filter + RSI combo 🕓 4h – VWMA 50/100 → Swing trading 📅 1D – VWMA 50/100/200 → Macro trend + S/R levels Go through different settings to see what suits you best. VWMA in Action 📈 Price Above VWMA = Bullish Strength More confidence in uptrend Especially valid during high volume surges 🟢 Great confluence with MA 7/9 in short-term setups Dynamic Support/Resistance 🛡️ VWMA Reacts to Market Strength Acts as dynamic support or resistance—especially when volume increases. Useful in catching pullback entries or trailing SLs. 🚦 Filter Fakeouts with VWMA + MA ✅ Use in confluence for stronger edge. Tips for VWMA 📌 Use shorter VWMA (20–30) for entries 📌 Use longer VWMA (50–200) for trend validation 🎯 Works best in trending, high-volume conditions
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CmpCryptoInsights
1
Volume Droughts and False Breakouts: Your Summer Trading TrapsThe market’s heating up — but is your breakout about to dry up? Here’s a word about the importance of summer trading success (helped by volume — the main character). ☀️ Welcome to the Liquidity Desert Summer’s getting ready to slap the market with a whole flurry of different setups. Picture this — the beaches are full, your trading desk is half-abandoned, and the only thing more elusive than a decent breakout is your intention to actually read that big fat technical analysis book you bought last year. And yet, here you are — eyes glued to the chart — watching a clean breakout above resistance that’s just begging for you to hit “buy.” Everything looks perfect. Price rips through the level like it’s made of butter. But there’s just one tiny problem: no volume. None. Nada. Niente. Congratulations. You’ve just bought the world’s most attractive false breakout. 🏝️ Summer Markets: Where Good Setups Go to Die Let’s set the scene. It’s June. The big dogs on Wall Street are golfing in the Hamptons and sipping mezcal espresso martinis, interns are running the order flow, and every chart you love is doing just enough to get your hopes up before crushing them like a half-melted snow cone. This isn’t your usual high-volatility playground. Summer markets — especially between June and August — are notorious for thin liquidity . That means fewer participants, smaller volume, and a much higher likelihood of being tricked by price action that looks strong… until it’s not. And it’s not just stocks. Forex, crypto, commodities — even the bond boys — all face the same issue: when fewer people are trading, price becomes more fragile. And fragile price = bad decisions. 🚨 Why False Breakouts Love Quiet Markets False breakouts happen when price appears to break above resistance (or below support), only to reverse sharply — often trapping late traders and triggering stop hunts. But in summer? It’s a whole different beast. Here’s why: No liquidity cushion : In normal markets, you need strong volume to fuel a breakout. Without that, the breakout doesn’t necessarily have the gas to keep going. Market makers get bored : Thin markets mean it’s easier for a few big orders to push prices where they want. Welcome to manipulation season (there, we said what we said!). Algos go wild : With fewer humans around, algorithms dominate. And they love playing games around key levels. 🧊 The Mirage Setup: A Cautionary Tale Let’s say you’re watching GameStop NYSE:GME stock. Resistance at $30. Price hovers there for days, teasing a breakout. Then — boom — a sudden 6% pop above. You buy. Everyone buys. The trading community goes nuts. “This is it bois!” But there’s a problem. Look at the volume: a trickle. Not even half the average daily volume. Ten minutes later, NYSE:GME is back below $30, your stop loss is hit, and you’re left explaining to your cat why you’re emotionally invested in a ticker. Moral of the story? Don’t trust breakouts when no one’s trading. 📉 Volume: Your Summer Lie Detector Volume is more than just a histogram under your chart. It’s your truth serum. Your smoke alarm. Your buddy who tells you to think twice before jumping in that trade. Here’s how to read it right when everyone else is checking out: Confirm the move : If price breaks out, but volume doesn’t spike at least 20–30% above the average — be suspicious. Look for acceleration : Healthy moves gather steam. You want to see volume growing into the breakout, not fizzling. Watch for volume cliffs : A sudden volume drop right after a breakout often signals that the move is running on fumes. Add Volume Profile Indicators : Just to be safe, you can always add Volume Profile Indicators to your chart — they analyze both price and volume and can highlight what your keen eye might miss. Remember what happened last summer? And how we all learned the downside of something called "carry trade"? Those who were short the Japanese yen remember . 🧠 Context Over Candles: Be a Liquidity Detective Let’s say you see a double top pattern — your favorite. Clean lines. Tight price action. Perfect setup. But now zoom out. It’s July 3. Pre-holiday half-day. No volume. And the S&P 500 SP:SPX has moved 0.04% all day. Still want in? Technical analysis doesn’t work in a vacuum. Chart patterns lose their predictive power when the environment they live in is compromised. And thin liquidity is a compromised environment. 🐍 Snakes in the Sand: How Market Makers Bait Traps Market makers (and large players) are like desert snakes — quiet, patient, and very good at making you move when you shouldn’t. Here’s how they bait traders in illiquid markets: Run stops above resistance to trigger breakout buyers. Dump shares immediately after breakout to trap retail. Ride the reversal as trapped longs scramble to exit. They’re so powerful some say they run the game — and can stop it anytime it’s not going their way (remember the GameStop freeze? ) It’s a psychological game — and in the summer, it’s easier to do shenanigans because most players aren’t watching. Don’t be the one jumping at shadows. Be the trader who expects the trap. 🛠️ How to Survive (and Thrive) in the Summer Slump Not all is lost. You can still trade — smartly. Here’s your Summer Survival Toolkit : Wait for volume confirmation on every breakout. Lower your position size . Less liquidity = more slippage risk. Set wider stops , or better yet, sit out the chop. Focus on trending names with relative strength and solid weight (think: tech titans, oil plays, or financials). Use alerts instead of staring at charts . Don’t mistake boredom for opportunity. And most importantly: Know when not to trade . Discipline is a position too. 🔚 Final Word: This Isn’t the Off-Season. It’s the Setup Season. Summer might feel slow, but it’s not dead. Smart traders know that the best trades of Q3 and Q4 often begin in July — as early trendlines form, consolidation patterns develop, and institutional footprints quietly appear in the tape. So use this time wisely. Don’t force trades. Watch volume like a hawk. And never forget: the best breakouts don’t need hype — they bring their own thunder. Stay cool, stay patient, and trade smart. The mirage may be tempting, but the oasis always belongs to the ones who go far enough and don’t give up. Off to you : How are you navigating trading during the summer months? Staying poolside with one eye on the charts or actively seeking out opportunities while folks catch a break? Share your insights in the comments!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
13
How to Choose Chart Types in TradingViewThis tutorial covers the 21 chart types available in TradingView, explaining what each one is, how to read it, as well as the advantages and drawbacks. Learn more about trading futures with Optimus Futures using the TradingView platform here: www.optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by OptimusFutures
4
Is Bitcoin Crashing or Just a Psychological Trap Unfolding?Is this brutal Bitcoin drop really a trend shift—or just another psychological game? Candles tell a story every day, but only a few traders read it right. In this breakdown, we decode the emotional traps behind price action and show you how not to fall for them. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: 📈 Bitcoin is currently respecting a well-structured ascending channel, with price action aligning closely with a key Fibonacci retracement level and a major daily support zone—both acting as strong technical confluence. Given the strength of this setup, a potential short-term move of at least +10% seems likely, while the broader structure remains supportive of an extended bullish scenario toward the $116K target. 🚀 Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🧠 The Power of TradingView: Tools That Spot the Mind Games When it comes to psychological traps in the market, a huge part of them can be spotted by just looking at the candles—with the right tools. TradingView offers several free indicators and features that, when combined wisely, can act like an early warning system against emotional decisions. Let’s walk through a few: Volume Profile (Fixed Range) Use the “Fixed Range Volume Profile” to see where real money is moving. If large red candles appear in low-volume zones, it often signals manipulation, not genuine sell pressure. RSI Custom Alerts Don’t just set RSI alerts at overbought/oversold levels. When RSI crashes but price barely moves, you’re watching fear being injected into the market—without actual sellers stepping in. Divergence Detectors (Free Scripts) Use public scripts to auto-detect bullish divergences. These often pop up right during panic drops and are gold mines of opportunity—if you’re calm enough to see them. These tools are not just technical—they’re psychological weapons . Master them and you’ll read the market like a mind reader. 🔍 The Candle Lies Begin One big red candle does not equal doom. It usually equals setup. Panic is a requirement before reversals. 💣 Collective Fear: The Whales' Favorite Weapon When everyone on social media screams “sell,” guess who’s quietly buying? The whales. Fear is their liquidity provider. 🧩 Liquidity Zones: The Real Target If you can’t see liquidity clusters on your chart, you're blind to half the game. Sudden crashes often aim at stop-loss and liquidation zones. 🔄 Quick Recovery = Fake Breakdown If a strong red move is followed by a sharp V-shaped bounce within 24 hours—it was likely a trap. Quick recovery often means fake fear. ⚔️ Why Most Retail Traders Sell the Bottom The brain reacts late. By the time retail decides it’s time to sell, the big players are already buying. 🧭 Real Decision Tools Over Emotion Combine RSI, divergences, and volume metrics to make your decisions. Your gut is not a strategy—your tools are. 📉 Fake Candles: How to Spot Them A candle with huge body but weak volume? Red flag. Especially on low timeframes. Always confirm with volume. 🔍 Timeframes Trick the Mind M15 always looks scarier than H4. Zoom out. What feels like a meltdown might just be a hiccup on the daily chart. 🎯 Final Answer: Crash or Trap? When you overlay psychology on top of price, traps become obvious. Don't trade the fear—trade the setup behind it. 🧨 Final Note: Summary & Suggestion Most crashes are emotional plays, not structural failures. Use TradingView’s tools to decode the fear and flip it to your advantage. Add emotional analysis to your charting, and the market will start making sense. always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
50
The MSCI World index sets a new all-time record!The MSCI World stock market index set a new all-time record during the trading session of Monday June 2, wiping out the entire stock market shock of February/March, which saw the global equity market lose 20%. This technical signal still needs to be confirmed at the end of the week at the next weekly technical close. If this bullish technical break were to be confirmed, then this would be a very positive signal for the global equity market, which is still hoping that trade diplomacy will lead to solid trade agreements between the USA and its main trading partners (China and the EU). The chart below shows the weekly Japanese candlesticks of the MSCI World index. 1) Composition and calculation of the MSCI World index The MSCI World Index (Morgan Stanley Capital International World Index) is a benchmark stock market index that measures the performance of large- and mid-cap equities in developed countries. Here are the main elements of its composition: The MSCI World Index is a benchmark global stock market index that measures the performance of large- and mid-cap equities in 23 developed countries. Created by Morgan Stanley Capital International, it offers a global view of the equity markets in the most advanced economies. Among the countries included are the United States, Japan, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Canada and Australia. The index comprises some 1,600 companies, with a strong dominance of the USA, which accounts for almost 70% of its total weighting. The most represented sectors are information technology, healthcare, financial services and consumer discretionary. The MSCI World is calculated using a weighting method based on free-float market capitalization, i.e. taking into account only those stocks actually available for purchase on the markets. This means that companies with a higher market value and a larger free float have a greater influence on the index's performance. The MSCI World is updated regularly to reflect market developments and the entry or exit of companies. Although it offers broad geographic diversification, it does not include emerging countries; these are covered by the MSCI ACWI index, which is also close to setting a new all-time record and is 13% composed of emerging countries (China, India, etc.). 2) Trade diplomacy and the FED's monetary policy outlook are key to keeping the global equity market bullish in the months ahead. Trade diplomacy and the FED's monetary policy outlook are closely linked fundamental factors which have a direct impact on global equity market trends. While the US inflation rate continues to trend towards the FED's 2% target, the FED is waiting for trade agreements to be signed to ensure that the risk of a second wave of inflation is averted, so that it can resume cutting the US federal funds rate. These two fundamental conditions are essential if the global equity market is to confirm its new record highs over the coming months. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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AMEX:URTH
by Swissquote
9
Do bulls have enough steam to drive gold higher?A lot of things to consider this week, a lot of data and geopolitical tensions. Will the economic uncertainty and potential bad US jobs data drive TVC:GOLD higher? Let's dig in. FX_IDC:XAUUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
by Marketscom
8