Market Environment is key to any strategy. If we're in a bear market and the environment shifts to a sideways market (like I think we're seeing temporarily happening right now in the E-mini S&P 500 ES1!, then you have to adjust how you execute your strategy. If we're in a bull market and the market environment shifts to short term bearish or sideways like I...
How can we tell whether a downturn is just a normal part of a solid bull market, or the beginning of a major downdraft? We need to have a way to identify when long-term trends are changing. One way to guard against being caught on the opposite side of a trend is to apply technical indicators that can isolate major trend shifts and reduce psychological biases....
Hey traders, Once you mature in trading and become a consistently profitable trader, the question arises: are you ready to trade full time? Becoming a full time trade is a very significant step and my things must be taken into consideration before you make it. ✨Becoming a full time trader implies that you quit your current job, that you give up a stable...
NYMEX:RB1! While the U.S. stock market performed miserably lately, energy commodities have a banner year. According to the American Automobile Association (AAA), the national average gasoline price reached an all-time high of $5.016 a gallon on June 14th. Diesel logged its own record on June 19th, at $5.816 a gallon. Crude oil price hike is certainly a major...
Current Market 79 Billion Up an impressive 200,000% over the last 20 years, Netflix reached an all time high of $700.99 back in November 2021. It has since corrected a whopping 77% and hovers around the $165-$180 range. The biggest correction Netflix had to endure was back in 2011-2012, it reached an all time high of around $43 before a staggering 82.5%...
Phrases such as: Technical analysis, Price action break, Trendline, etc., turn us on, but it's not that often we discuss POSITION MANAGEMENT and TIME of DAY. MOST movement occurs during the 1st two hours of the European Session and the 1st two hours of the US session. Price tends to STALL OUT, or PULL BACK right before the lunch hour, (European and US) and...
Bear markets, economic slow downs, recessions, inflation, the Fed, Jerome Powel, etc... It's enough to make anyone feel sick. Well, step right into the Doctors office because I have the cure for what is making you ill. But before I start writing prescriptions, we need to apply a diagnosis. First let us review the causes: Soaring Commodities. Crashing...
My idea is simple. We are going long retailers (AMZN, TGT, WMT, COSTCO, etc..) and we are going to short energy (USOIL). Hear me out before you cringe at this unusual trading pair. The US econ has felt some serious effects from inflation. Oil prices are ridiculously high due to the war and it has caused the price of gas to go up. When gas goes up, it costs more...
#longshortcompetition Long: TCEHY / Short: ATVI Not only do the technicals show a downtrend with support for Tencent. I for one can see the writing on the wall for activision blizzard . They aren't a "bad" company. But boy oh boy have they been taking L after L after L. Whether its corporate structure, actual incompetence, etc. As someone who grew up on games...
Hi Everyone! Simply letting you know we are at serious risk of falling down to PROXIMITY of Orange Lower B-Band in this 11-Day time frame. As you can see, the Orange Lower B-Band is currently at $14,4xx. We have 7.5 days remaining in the current 11-Day candle. The 7.5 days remaining includes the 4th of July U.S. Holiday. I simply wanted to inform you of this...
⚡️ #BTC OUTLOOK ⚡️ 80:20 Bearish:Bullish Broken Local Support - very Bearish Fundamentals with 3Arrows Liquidation Bull Play Getting back above $20k before US comes online & breaking out of RSI Daily Trendline to then target CME Gaps Bear Play Sub $20k when US comes online likely to test $17.5k max pain could be $14k territory Analysis on chart
US real rates drive everything in markets right now, and if they are going up then so is the USD, while equity will head lower – for context, the 1-month rolling correlation (assessed by value, not percentage) between US 10-yr real rates and the USDX sits at +0.94 – so there is an incredibly strong relationship. This is also true of equities, where the US real...
It is critical to analyze indices when choosing stocks ! SPN (Energy sector of S & P ) outperformed SPX since start of new year . While SPX is officially in bear market , SPN gained above 30 % so far and was above 60 % at it's latest major high !. SPX bounced back last week raising hopes for bulls however, I think it is just a bear market rally and worst may...
I wanted to hop in the latest TradingView contest and present my pair trade idea. This chart shows XLE vs. TAN. XLE is the mostly oil ETF while TAN is the mostly solar ETF. I think the recent spike in oil made perfect sense because of the supply disruptions, but I have also been following green energy for years now and the simple reality is that the...
This is a crazy idea for the TradingView's 1st July 2022 Long&Short Competition entry. Long Germophobic War Technology: NASDAQ:AERC We're betting in the success of the FDA Clearance provided after review of patented germicidal UV-C LED Air Purification Technology from AeroClean. It was proven effective at eliminating harmful airborne microorganisms. The...
Mid-Year Update: Part 1: Bonds/Rates: I begin each year looking at monthly perspective charts of Equity, Rates, Commodities and DXY. Those posts can be found in their entirety, with extensive fundamental support, in the links below. I will update views on the four markets over the next few weeks. The early 2022 the conclusions were: - Bonds: A bull market...
Hey guys, Thank you for organizing this interesting competition. If anyone is interested ! Join in the fun Thanks for checking out my thesis and hope you guys enjoy it. ========================================== Basically, i will be doing a TOP-DOWN analysis approach for my thesis between the two major economies. We will be looking at simple macro and...
For those investors new to Virgin Galactic and Square, I want to introduce some key background trends affiliated with all things innovative with flying to outer space and using a mobile wallet. Virgin Galactic went to space successfully with 7 astronaut types including their own well trained pilots, some of which are superceded by NASA's own program, left NASA...