XLE: Rising Wave PatternTechnical analysis chart of the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), with Elliott wave analysis overlaid. Let's break down the analysis based on the chart and labels:
Overall Analysis:
The chart suggests a bullish trend for XLE, based on the Elliott wave structure. It indicates that we have completed wave ((4)) of wave V and are now in the unfolding wave ((5)). Within wave ((5)), we have started wave (1), and are currently in wave (3) of (1).
Wave Counts and Labels:
V Red: This represents the fifth and final wave of a larger Elliott wave pattern.
((4)) Black: The fourth corrective wave within V.
((5)) Black: The fifth and final impulsive wave within V.
(1) Blue: The first impulsive wave within ((5)).
1 Red: The first wave within (1).
2 Red: The second corrective wave within (1).
3 Red: The third impulsive wave within (1) (currently unfolding).
Price Projection and Invalidation as per Waves:
Bullish Projection: The chart suggests a potential target of 105 for wave ((5)).
Invalidation Level: A break below 83.02 would invalidate the current bullish analysis.
Educational Notes:
Elliott wave theory is a technical analysis tool that identifies patterns in price movements based on a series of five waves.
Impulsive waves (1, 3, 5) move in the direction of the overall trend, while corrective waves (2, 4) move in the opposite direction.
Wave labels use brackets to indicate different levels of analysis. For example, ((5)) is a larger wave than (1).
Colors are often used to visually differentiate between different waves and patterns.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Elliottwaveprojection
Tesla are we going to 268 or 272 which one is IT???? Good morning Traders
Grab some coffee or a tea and lets get into it
First I do a little bit of wave counting to get you up to speed on where we are going and why
Second I do some four hour projections and 30 minute to figure out our levels going up
Third add in a little spice and throw that pitchfork in to wrap it up all nice
Enjoy the video, if you want more videos or different types of videos please let me know in the comments section.
My ultimate goal is give you the audience what you need and the skills to become a more profitable and better trader so you too can hit your trading and lifestyle goals
Happy hunting for those trades
MB Trader
Nividia How HIGH ARE WE GOING; 135 is on the horizon Good morning Traders
Hope you got your tea and coffee ready I recorded a long video for you to give you the scoop from 4 hour all the the way to 30 minute
First in store we continued with our wave counting: which we always love :)
Second did some projections from our four hour and 30 minute time frame going up
Third we put on a pitchfork to wrap it up like a present
and for a bonus I threw in where we might expect time wise to hit these levels
Enjoy
If you have any feedback on what you like , what you want to learn more about or even what you dont like post it below.
My simple goal is if I can make better videos for you which helps you become a better trader
Happy Hunting for those trades
MB Trader
Yahoo
BTC & Crypto Market Forecast. 4 Yr Cycle Top and Elliot WavesIn this video, I've pulled up an old chart from 2022 I've had on my desktop (not my original chart) that shows potential Waves 3-5 for Bitcion and the 4 year cycle high time targets.
In my new chart, I've re-created this showing that we're ahead of schedule from the dark study, and the 4 year past cycle time targets for reaching ATH around 539 days after the halving.
But as we know, we hit ATH's this cycle already BEFORE the halving, so it's unclear how that's going to affect the next phase. It would certainly make sense, that everybody (Big money, smart money and even us dumb money retail traders) will be looking to 'go all in' early...
But also to GET OUT early.
Remember, it's a game of musical chairs.. and the music is speeding up.
For these reasons, and other global economic and political influences...
I think we could STILL see a left-translated cycle and a parabolic bull rally going into Dec of this year... Unsure if that would be THE Top, but I'd be looking for some profit taking and correction there, which most likely WILL LOOK like the top. But may not actually be.
We may still see the 4 year cycle play out, and continue to push higher until October '25 as the original study suggests (539 days post-halving).
On the one hand, some are suggesting a deflationary market bust in early 2025 for both the stock market and Bitcoin / crypto.
We'll have to wait and see.
But it does look like we're experiencing the Wave 4 pullback, and poised to beging the final Wave 5 phase of the bull-run.
What do you think?
Would appreciate any likes, comments, or compliments below. Cheer always welcome!
To the moon 🚀
BTCUSD: Key Levels and Projections Based on Elliott WavesBTCUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the daily timeframe, identified as a W-X-Y structure with seven distinct waves. The price found support at the 200 EMA, reaching a low of 49,577 before bouncing back. The sub-waves within this structure are clearly visible, with wave (1) and wave (2) completing at 62,729 and 52,546 respectively.
Currently, BTCUSD is encountering strong resistance at the upper boundary of the corrective channel, posing a significant challenge for bullish momentum. Although wave (3) has managed to rise above wave (1), it has not yet confirmed a strong bullish breakout. To establish a decisive upward move, wave (3) needs to hold above wave B and breach the upper boundary of the channel. The breakout can help the price to get 100% of the whole correction.
Failure to break out of this resistance zone could result in the corrective structure extending into an X-Z formation, leading to a prolonged consolidation phase. This would suggest more time is needed for the pattern to play out, causing frustration for traders looking for a clear bullish trend.
We will provide further updates to our followers soon.
- Trade technique by KP
TESLA is looking to make a run for $345 during the 5th wave.Tesla looks like it might make a run to $345 in the 5th and final Elliott Wave over the next 2 to 3 months. This identical pattern appears to have already played out in an earlier instance, which makes it slightly more likely that the pattern will repeat itself.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss.
Gold Spot Elliott Wave Analysis: Bearish Reversal Ahead ?FX:XAUUSD FX_IDC:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
📊 Analysis Overview:
We're seeing a potential completion of the 5th wave in this Elliott Wave structure, signaling a possible end to the bullish momentum. A corrective move down is expected to follow soon.
🔺 Rising Wedge Formation:
The price is currently testing the resistance of a rising wedge, a bearish reversal pattern. If this pattern plays out, a break below the wedge's support could signal a sharp move down.
📉 Critical Resistance Level:
The key level to watch is $2,564. If the price fails to break and hold above this level, it will likely confirm the start of the anticipated correction.
🔻 Bearish Target:
After the 5th wave, we could see a decline towards the $2,350 - $2,400area, aligning with a corrective ABC pattern.
📈 Trade Idea:
A potential short opportunity could arise once we see a clear break below the wedge's support. Keep an eye on price action around $2,564 for confirmation of the bearish scenario.
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This analysis suggests a short-term bearish bias after the completion of the current bullish wave. Always ensure proper risk management!
Are we headed to an incremental new high?With Nvidia breaking tp the upside of the target box for circle-b, that means if we continue to follow through in the Minor B wave, as I am forecasting, we stand an excellent chance to making new all-time highs on a very marginal basis . Nonetheless, this will still be part of the overall primary degree correction that Nvidia is involved in.
Read my last post of Nvidia to see the previous target box
Larger Timeframe Analysis Showing Primary Degree Correction
From Correction to Impulse: Elliott Waves in Jindal Steel power Technical Analysis of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. based on Elliott Wave Principles
This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory and structures, offering one potential market scenario among multiple possibilities. The information is for Educational purposes only and should not be taken as trading advice . There is always a risk of being incorrect, and users should not make trading or investment decisions based solely on this analysis. The content does not guarantee profits, and we are not responsible for any financial outcomes. It is recommended to consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory:
Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, identifies repetitive price patterns in financial markets, driven by investor psychology and crowd behavior. Here are some key Elliott Wave rules:
1. Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
2. Wave 3 is often the most powerful and cannot be the shortest of the impulse waves.
3. Wave 4 should not overlap with the price territory of Wave 1 (except in diagonal patterns).
4. Impulse waves move in five smaller waves (1-2-3-4-5), while corrective waves move in three waves (A-B-C).
Wave Counts and Analysis:
On the 2-hour chart of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD., the completion of Wave (4) in blue is likely at the 896 low. This corrective phase may have concluded, signaling the start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Current Structure: Wave (5) in Blue Unfolding
We may now be at the start of Wave (5) in blue, which suggests further upward momentum. Within this wave, the internal structure shows:
- Wave 1 in red of Wave (5) has been completed.
- Wave 2 in red of Wave (5) also seems to have finished, a typical pullback phase.
- Wave 3 in red of Wave (5) appears to be starting, signaling a potential strong upward move.
Characteristics of Wave 3:
Wave 3 is typically the most extended and powerful part of an impulse wave. It often accelerates rapidly, fueled by market sentiment, and can deliver outsized price gains. This wave is expected to push the stock price higher with more conviction.
Based on Fibonacci levels, potential targets for Wave 3 are:
- The first target could be 1020 (100% Fibonacci extension).
- A further target lies at 1076, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a common level for extended third waves.
- An extended target is 1111 at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Moving Averages Confirmation:
Adding to the bullish outlook, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. is currently trading above both the 200-period EMA and the 50-period EMA on the 2-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes, which signals strong strength to show upward momentum across multiple timeframes. The alignment of these exponential moving averages (EMAs) indicates that the stock is maintaining long-term support, which provides additional strength to the current bullish wave count.
Critical Level to Watch: 988
Once the price closes above the 988 level, we can expect further confirmation of strength. This price level is crucial as it would signal a breakout, paving the way for additional bullish momentum and targeting higher Fibonacci levels, such as 1020, 1076, and 1111.
Invalidation Level:
The wave count remains valid as long as the price stays above 896, the low of Wave (4) in blue. A break below this level would invalidate the current wave structure, implying that the bullish trend may be in jeopardy.
Summary:
In conclusion, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. appears to have completed its corrective Wave (4) in blue, with the price now starting to unfold into Wave (5) in blue. With Wave 1 and Wave 2 in red complete, the stock is likely entering Wave 3 in red, which typically exhibits strong price advances. The stock’s upward trajectory is supported by its position above the 200-period EMA and 50-period EMA across multiple timeframes (2-hour, daily, weekly), further strengthening the bullish case. Key levels to watch include 1020, 1076, and 1111, while 988 acts as a near-term breakout level. The invalidation point for this wave count remains at 896.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
PTTGC| Wave Analysis - Ending Diagonal Pattern - Doubled BULL DIA possible ending diagonal pattern scenario - final 5-wave extension confirmation - 161.8% - 200% of 1-wave downtrend target at 27 and 22 baht zone
RSI weekly doubled bullish divergence indicator supporting 5-wave downtrend status
Long Entry: breakout falling wedge/ending diagonal pattern 33-36 baht zone.
Always trade with affordable risk / respect your stop
Good Luck
$AVGO | Watchlist | Buy Limit |Technical Confluences:
- Stochastics is moving towards Oversold conditions
- Elliot Wave count seems to have completed a Wave 4 (A,B,C count) and is starting it's Wave 5 move (assuming it is not an extended Wave 4
- Price has formed new Supply Zone area with the price rejecting that Zone 3 times and has formed a descending Trendline
Fundamental Confluences:
- Broadcom is considered a leader in semiconductor domains and it has a diverse product range; making them sought after in technological ecosystem
- Good management team that focuses on M&A for strategic growth and market pentration
- Good amount of FCFs which helps in their dividend policies
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NASDAQ:AVGO will be releasing it's earnings soon and if there is any opportunity arising, I have placed orders to buy AVGO at my Buy Limit Zone areas.
If earnings is stellar, price should continue to test the Supply Zone again and if that breaks, I will likely aim for a Buy Stop order above the Supply Zone.
Will be putting this on my Watchlist.
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BTC Bull move Needs Daily Close Above 62.5kNeeds daily close above 62.5K then first fib extension target is 82K area. BTC has completed bear correction on daily renko thus BTC will likely not go under 55K until it makes a new ATH. BTC though likely stays in this regression channel for a few years to complete this wave 3 up. I believe that this next leg goes at least to 82k next fib extension to complete smaller wave 1 on the medium wave 3 up on the larger wave 1 up.
Dell (DELL): About the wild ride - what's next after a 31% pump?No way Dell follows the analysis like this for months 😳 We told you about the wave B at the top, the wave ((ii)) a little lower, and our must-hold zone was just barely tagged—and now it’s pumped 31%...
Incredibly accurate, but we didn't enter as this stock is too volatile for us personally. Still, we’re going to monitor it from time to time for you because it remains highly interesting.
After the latest surge, we’re expecting a pullback for wave ((ii)). The best case for this pullback would be the golden pocket between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
That said, this stock is very volatile, and it could pump even more before coming down to make this essential pullback.
Spotting the Trend: The Birth of Wave 3Technical Analysis Using Elliott Wave Principles on exampled chart of SBI Cards (Daily Time Frame)
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or trading advice. Market movements are inherently uncertain, and the analysis is based on one possible interpretation of the Elliott Wave structure. Please consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Principles:
Elliott Wave Theory is an analytical framework that helps traders and investors understand market psychology through price movement patterns. The theory suggests that market prices unfold in waves, which are driven by collective investor behavior. The patterns consist of five waves in the direction of the main trend, followed by three corrective waves. Understanding these wave patterns allows us to anticipate future price movements with greater accuracy.
Key Elliott Wave Principles:
1. Five-Wave Impulse Pattern: The primary trend unfolds in five waves (1-2-3-4-5). Waves 1, 3, and 5 move in the direction of the trend, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective.
2. Three-Wave Corrective Pattern: After a five-wave sequence, a correction typically follows, consisting of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the primary trend.
3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios play a crucial role in Elliott Wave analysis, often governing the length of the waves.
4. Wave Characteristics: Each wave has its own set of characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is usually the most powerful, showing the strongest price movement, while Wave 5 may signal the final push before a significant correction.
Current Elliott Wave Analysis on SBI Cards
Wave Structure Overview:
- The analysis focuses on the daily time frame of SBI Cards, where we can identify a completed corrective pattern and the beginning of a new impulsive wave structure.
Wave Count Details:
1. Primary Count:
- The chart indicates the possible completion of Wave ((2)) in black, marked by a complex corrective structure, ending near the 493.30 level.
- The price has likely begun unfolding Wave ((i)) of Wave 1 in red of the larger Wave ((3)) in black.
2. Current Daily Structure:
- Wave ((2)) seems to have completed with a three-wave corrective move, labeled as A-B-C. The final wave C (marked in red) appears to have ended at 493.30, representing the termination point of Wave ((2)).
- Following this, the initial sub-waves of Wave 1 (red) have begun forming, with Wave ((i)) currently unfolding.
- The nearest Invalidation Level for this wave count is 647.95. A break below this level would invalidate the current count, requiring a re-evaluation.
Wave ((3)) Characteristics and Projections:
- Wave ((3)) Characteristics: As per Elliott Wave Theory, Wave ((3)) is often the most dynamic and extended wave, reflecting strong momentum in the direction of the main trend. It’s typically the longest and most powerful of the impulsive waves, often reaching or surpassing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave ((1)).
- Target Levels: For Wave ((3)) in black, potential targets could be calculated using Fibonacci extensions from Wave ((1)) & ((2)), projecting prices towards 161.80%, hear possibility for short to medium term could be 960.00 and beyond if Invalidation level is not Triggered, depending on the strength of the momentum.
- Invalidation Level: If the price drops below 647.95, it would invalidate the current wave count, indicating that Wave ((2)) may still be in progress or that an alternative structure is developing.
Conclusion:
The analysis suggests that SBI Cards may have completed a major corrective wave and is now in the early stages of a new impulsive sequence. The focus should be on the development of Wave ((3)) in black, which has the potential to drive prices significantly higher if the wave count holds true. As always, this educational analysis is not intended as trading advice, and one should consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Decoding the Final Wave: An Elliott Wave PerspectiveTechnical Analysis Using Elliott Wave Principles on example of Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (Hourly Time Frame)
The analysis presented is purely for educational purposes, demonstrating the application of Elliott Wave Theory. It is not intended as trading or investment advice. Markets are unpredictable, and all analyses have a degree of uncertainty.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Principles:
Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool used by traders and analysts to decipher the underlying structure of market price movements. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, this theory is based on the idea that market prices unfold in specific patterns known as "waves." These waves are driven by collective investor psychology, moving in predictable cycles of optimism and pessimism. The theory is broken down into two main phases: the impulsive phase, which moves in the direction of the main trend, and the corrective phase, which moves against it.
Key principles to remember:
1. Wave Structure: An impulsive wave (motive wave) consists of five waves (1-2-3-4-5) in the direction of the trend. A corrective wave is composed of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the trend.
2. Wave Personality: Each wave within the Elliott Wave structure has distinct characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is often the strongest and longest, while Wave 5 tends to be a final push before a trend reversal.
3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios are frequently observed in wave relationships, providing potential price targets and retracement levels.
4. Validation and Invalidation Levels: These levels help in determining the accuracy of wave counts and projections. If price breaches the invalidation level, the wave count is reassessed.
Current Elliott Wave Analysis on Larsen & Toubro Ltd.
Upon analyzing the hourly chart of Larsen & Toubro Ltd., we can observe the following wave counts and structures:
Wave Structure Overview:
- The chart shows a complex corrective structure following a significant impulsive move. The price action seems to be in the final stages of a larger wave pattern.
Wave Count Details:
1. Primary Count:
- We are potentially in the 5th Wave (red) of the final (5)th Wave (blue) on the daily time frame.
- The 5th wave, according to Elliott Wave Theory, often exhibits certain characteristics such as declining momentum, signaling the end of the trend.
2. Current Hourly Structure:
- Wave (4) in Blue has been completed at the price level near 3175.05, marking it as the last corrective wave before the final impulsive wave.
- The chart illustrates a five-wave sequence emerging from this level, indicative of the development of the 5th wave.
- Within this structure, we can identify sub-waves:
- Wave 1 peaked around 3720.
- Wave 2 retraced back near 3460.
- Wave 3 is anticipated to push towards higher levels, with Wave 4 and 5 completing the sequence.
Wave 5 Characteristics and Projections:
- Wave 5 Characteristics: [/i ] Typically, Wave 5 in a motive wave structure can be either strong and extended or show signs of divergence, where momentum indicators such as RSI or MACD might not confirm new highs.
- Projection Target Levels: Based on Fibonacci extensions, potential targets for Wave 5 lie around 4141.30, 4352.60, and even possibly towards 4400.00.
- Invalidation Level: If the price breaks below 3175.05, the wave count would be invalidated, necessitating a reassessment of the entire structure.
Conclusion:
The analysis indicates that Larsen & Toubro Ltd. is in the final stages of a larger wave pattern, specifically the 5th wave of an impulsive sequence. As this wave unfolds, it’s crucial to monitor the target and invalidation levels closely. This educational analysis serves to illustrate the application of Elliott Wave Theory, with no intention of providing trading advice. Always consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.