GBPJPY -bearish impulseHello everyone! Here you can see an interesting formation of a downward impulse on GBPJPY, after the correction that was created last days. The entry point was already triggered and the position is live. The environment is bullish, EMAs are cut for short, MACD is above 0 and the moving averages also show confluence.
EMAS
Setups for MondayOrange pairs: AUDNZD, AUDCHF, NZDCHF, GBPCAD, EURAUD, GBPNZD, NZDCAD, EURNZD, EURCAD
Green pairs: USDCHF and GBPCHF
Purple pairs: AUDCAD and EURGBP
*
Orange = Moving away or getting slowly to our trade, not suitable for a trade yet unless it's giving a little bit more in our direction
Green = Close to a trade, needs a break for anything serious
Purple = Very close to a trade! Needs a retest or a break of exhaustion point for an entry.
Have a great week all! :)
December 27th Trading RecapHere all the trades I took, not as in-depth as usual but still good info regardless. If you take nothing from the video take these things:
Multiple TF confluence regardless of startegy
follow your strategy
follow your plan(stop loss and take profit, if you lose you lose, if you win you win, so what. Scared money don't make money)
PR LongVery similiar to ET, like almost exactly the same. Didn't do much outside research but looking purely techinical analysis it looks solid. Going to play a break above 9.40 for entry. But for my reasoning:
holding golden zone on fib
RSI peeling above 50 on 4hr/daily
breakout of consolidation phase
showed strong support on weekly with a doji with more volume
close above 50 EMA on 4hr
Looking for strong ignition candle(high volume) to break above this level
Already seeing increase of volume on 1hr
Also seeing close above 200 EMA on 1hr
The close above on daily would confirm hold above EMA's and BT cloud flip
lots of bullish sweep calls on flow order
if we push above we have potential gap fill at 10.4
Mind you I'm just getting back to swings and I'm mostly a day trader so I have no idea how these will go it's just what I think.
BTC Respecting Our Support and Resistance Levels!As you can see from our previous post, BTC rejected from the top of our upwards channel on the 4h (combined with a sell signal from Wave Fusion) and bounced PERFECTLY off of our 200 EMA and horizontal support at $17,300. This was the level I mentioned in my last idea and it's good to see it come to fruition.
Now I'm expecting Bitcoin to climb back to $17,640 and retest that resistance before a second visit to $17,300 for a possible double bottom. If we break $17,640, then $18,200 is our next target (top of the channel). If we break our support at $17,300 then $16,700 in the next major level of support.
If you enjoyed my TA or had any questions about the indicators used, please leave a comment or send me a PM :)
Good Price Action Triangle in 1DTF! Trident.***The above is simple the price action formed in 1DTF.
>The Supports are numerous... They are 5 good supports!
>The Resistances are 4... The 4th resistance almost took the 3rd one indicates the bullishness in the trend!
>The Trident is Textile stock which has the scope of showing the good numbers in coming Quarters due to Christmas is also a point to
be considered.
>The good accumulation is what I can see now, may be to give a good Break Out.
>The the risk to reward is 2, do Swing Trade and trail the stoploss once the R:R is captured.
***Trade and comment if any doubts in analysis, Thanks!
EURAUD - another bullish impulseHello traders! EURAUD has just created a slow correction after its last impulse, now printing a green and aggressive candle which can indicate another strong impulse to the upside. For the last weeks, the pair moved on a range, and now it finally managed to break it. EMAs are cut for long, and so does MACD, indicating a bullish environment, and the technical indicators are also suggesting a strong buy.
AUDJPY Potential Long PositionPlease give me some feedback and let me know what you think.
Multi time frame Analysis
1D time frame price is trading in a range and reacted to the Supply Zone giving a Long Bias
4H time frame price breakout of Demand Zone giving a Long Bias
1H time frame price is signaling a Bearish Divergence (I am interoperating this as a corrective/retracement move) and reset at zone to give a Long Bias
Setup and Entry
Wait for price to retrace back to 0.50 - 0.168 Fib zone and bounce off 50EMA to go Long
Gold, One More High before pull backhi! I see gold could make OMH (One More High) to 1842 area before major pullback.
this setup provides good R:R too!
trade well,
Alex
GBPCAD weekly breakdownHello hello! After a bearish year for GBPCAD , it finally shifts on a weekly perspective, breaking the Moving Averages & EMAs finally crossed. For the past 3 weeks we saw a strong impulse on this pair, now waiting for a slow correction that can be followed by another strong impulse upwards. Moreover, the Commitment Of Traders data shows confluence on this analysis, GBP becoming stronger while CAD weakening.
We now have to wait in order to see a correction, and only after that we can be looking for an entrance!
XAUUSD - daily bullish setupHello everyone! Gold seems to create another daily impulse on this uptrend, after retesting the EMAs and the previous resistance turned in support now. The price action is bullish on 4H and W as well, closing above the EMAs on all timeframes and retesting the previous resistance on 4H. Another confluence factor is the MACD indicator which also indicates a bullish move, so combining all the factors, we can expect the price to go up to at least 1801, which is the weekly resistance.
$XAGUSD | Silver Turn Around?With the break and closed daily candle above the 200 EMA, XAGUSD (Silver) could be making a move to the upside with a Rally-Base-Rally and Drop-Base-Rally type motion (highlighted by the blue arrow trail), bouncing off Demand Zones. Previous movements (February 2022 & April 2022) off the 200 EMA have been to the upside tremendously as well as it aligning within the Demand Area. Nearest take profit would be around the $22.407 area and Stop Profit would be under the swing low of the current Demand Zone it is sitting in.
But even with this confluence for a LONG BUY, proceed with caution as good ole’ Jerome Powell is set to speak tomorrow.
GBP/JPY Sell setup potential 215 pipsBased on higher timeframe pound yen is forming a downward structure and we can see on H1 And H4 breaking structure to downside , We need to see a clear price retracement to POC level and nice reversal candlestick for confirmation for a downward continuation . look fro nice entry to downside.
Please follow me for more update and comment below
gold, one more high!hi, I see gold could push for one more high near 1795-1800 area, before major correction starts.
Trade well,
Alex
$USDJPY | Potential 100 PIP Move To The DownsideHere we have the Yen reacting negatively to the CPI data just released and if you are shorting you may have nice opportunity here. As you can see from the blue lines, USDJPY has been on a downtrend consistently with lower highs from the top. In addition to that, it recently blast through a key DAILY demand zone along with a 200 EMA and closed underneath. Typical move in correlation with the down trend is more downside ahead with "effort" to the upside knocking on the swapped now demand-turned-supply zone but eventually being rejected. A safe landing would be the demand zone off of the 4hr.
RSI Formula Explained (updated) and a LIVE FAILED tradeThis is just an update to the RSI Formula since some of you are still having trouble with it.
Its not as hard as it seems. Now with the oscillator scale reading ZERO at the mid line, there is no math to do.
RSI Values as follows
0-9 = 1 to 2 rr
10-19 = 1 to 3 rr
21-29 = 1 to 4 rr
30-39 = 1 to 6 rr
Dont worry too much about the last two. you want to be safer at trading with the first two.
The last two are really designed for "Trailing your take Profit"
If you have negative values on your RSI, thats fine. just do the trade in a SHORT and follow the same formula.
Watch the video for the full breakdown
4hr GBPUSD Patterns in patternsAs you can see marked out on my charts, the yellow arrows show the top of a massive double-top structure. Both these structures have tested and could not break the 200ema(white line, red arrow) which acts as a very strong support\ resistance.
The second leg of this double top is forming a head and shoulders at the 200ema resistance, and if you look closely, the head of the head and shoulder structure is actually a double top. If you go into smaller time frames you will also see these structures within structures. Its magic lol.
Boost me if you like what I post. Dont be shy