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Quick Analysis on Early signs of $BTC CapitulationJust a hunch on $BTC. We bought ETF's on this last dip. IBKR only allows 10% crypto. May begin buying spot again as we sold close to top. First an explanation on a 4Hr #BTC chart broken down into 3 phases (Letters A - C) A The descending arrow shows $ Flow weakening. There were huge buys but sells were eating it up. That was a RED FLAG. We spoke about divergence and lessening buy volume for DAYS! Few warnings. It was eventually followed by #bitcoin selling pressure. ------- B $ Flow indicator is a laggard, we keep eyes on an investment's volume on our own, visual. In this case we're looking at the #Bitcoin volume. CRYPTOCAP:BTC had some buying but sells kept coming in. These were likely sellouts from leverage & shorts. Wont comment on Germany as spot #BTC is still irrelevant. ($ Flow was fine for spot and nowhere near as bad as futures, but CRYPTOCAP:BTC kept going down. Not sure what needs to be shown for people to realize that spot is IRRELEVANT until some time in the future.) ------- C 2nd CRYPTOCAP:BTC phase is almost done. Buys coming in and the sells are not as strong anymore. It needs a lil more time but #BTC MAY/COULD be capitulating. It holds 52kish weekly & monthly and we could see something nice. See the chart on #GOLD for the Cup and Handle breakout. Have a great weekend!!! (pls see profile for more info)
CME:BTC1!Long
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
ETH - Preparing for the ETF launch THIS WEEK MartyBoots here. I have been trading for 17 years and I am here to share my ideas with you to help the Crypto space. The Bull market is here Even tho the bull market is here ETH has not fully mooned yet there is still time to buy on DIPS . The market has just hit a critical level . This is a bullish structure and dips are buys, when these dips happen ETH can start its move higher . This needs to be watched carefully. ETH can get very bullish with this ETF launch so we need to watch carefully Please watch the video for more information
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by MartyBoots
08/07/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $63,884.22 Last weeks low: $53,536.87 Midpoint: 58,710.54 A continuation of BTC selling off has lead to a loss of nearly $10,000 from Bitcoins price from high to low. This sell off is mostly propelled by large selling pressure caused by the German Government selling, however they still have $2.2B of BTC to sell and Mt.Gox begin repayments of stolen funds from 2014 causing increased selling pressure. From a TA standpoint BTC is still LTF bearish, but the interesting part is the HTF's as BTC is retesting the 1D 200EMA as resistance since breaking below it last week. In a Bullrun you really don't want to see too much time spent under the 1D 200EMA, it should really act as strong support and a place to add to LONG positions. This week I would like to see the Bullish OB+ @ $52,000 tagged before making a judgment on where BTC is going next. It's a strong support area that will attract price too it, TA says this is a good area to go LONG but this is definitely not a blind bid environment. It also happens to be a 30% drop from ATH which has been a common Bullrun correction in the past. This week my focus is on the ETH ETF updates, the S-1 forms rumoured to be due tomorrow, then it's down tot the SEC to turn them around. ETH is around $3000 with sentiment at yearly lows, definitely an opportunity there. Also the BTC1D 200EMA is a point of contention and an important S/R level.
by ProR35
Bitcoin Downtrend Confirmed: What's Next?Bitcoin has been falling off hard over the last couple of days. While we're currently trading almost 10% above the 53.4k lows, the downtrend has been established and BTC bulls are losing the fight in the short-term. In my view, BTC has confirmed a longer-term downtrend by making a lower-low (56.7k was the previous low, blue line) and by falling through the 200-day SMA. Yes, I can see us bounce a bit further because of indicators being very oversold, but I'm not expecting a new all-time high anytime soon. My current most likely scenario is a move towards the dotted purple support over the next 2-3 months and a bullish reversal in Q4. How do you seen BTC perform? Share your thoughts.
Short
by FieryTrading
16
So...Against popular belief, it is what it is. unfortunately, it's not where people want it to be. People want to think I am anti Bitcoin, or negative to the cause. Again, this could not be further from the truth. I'm just one of the lucky ones in early and care very little what it does at the moment. It's clear people try to find bullish narratives especially when gone all in, but you have to remain a realist to make good money. Well at least over and over again. I've shared various posts and stream over these last couple of years and still not likely to win popularity contests or crypto influencer of the year when you don't have rhyme nor reason to scream for 100k with a silly face on each thumbnail. COT data still shows a negative LF sentiment - this is not big boys getting REKT, it's big players profiting at a premium (whose selling to the retail crowd?). I have spoken to some level headed players in the space; one of which was Ryan at Uncomplication and we spoke about why the options would be good or bad for the short-term. Kind of kike an "if this, then that outcome". As you can see from these options; option 1 and the preferred move would have been an extended accumulation phase. Thus giving enough fuel to take a real shot at the moon. I also shared posts about the interesting movements down low, prior to this move up. Now the issue for option 2 or 3 playing out was the limitations to the upside without a run on lower liquidity. So again, not needing to visit 12k or 9k - just to grab stops and cause serious doubt is enough in situations like this. You might have already seen the Wall Street Cheat Sheet; These things are as old as time. As option 1 didn't play itself (we did not accumulate enough) the move up has all the hallmarks of a larger degree corrective. Hence, in the ideal scenario; we would have seen a pullback allowing "fair value" to be accumulated, instead the CVD showed an existing positive position meaning profit taking up high. Thank you by the way. This move would have been on the cards & the chances are we could be. However, the concern and issue is this caps the upside on a colossal scale to a little over 100k before a very, very long term corrective kicks in. Still waiting on $135k as every influencer and their dog screamed for. Yup, still waiting from Nov 21, 22, 23 and nearing 24. The question you need to ask, is after 12 ETF approvals and retail screaming MASSIVE Net-inflows, we just had a halving and of course the golden price multiplier. So the question is; what's pinning it down? where is the lead balloon? Option 2 we talked about was if the price had created a classic ZIG-ZAG corrective move; 48-52k would have been optimal. The reason this was worse than option 1 was it means a longer time in limbo. Now option 3 paints a combo of the two as you technically have either a weak move impulsive up leading to a long corrective or a corrective B giving a running flat B hence another slow burner down before some real momentum can be had. I covered every major move over the last couple of years, now it's becoming more institutional it's only time. Just because retail wants 100k tomorrow, doesn't mean it has to play ball - especially not in the timeframe majority of retail want it to happen. I think the move needs a natural play both ways here; now we have massive liquidity sitting lower and of course a lot of eager, anxious buyers higher. COT is a big telltale sign for me. I also covered and published the move options in the book' So when I say, nothing has changed. It means since talking about this the first time - we are still playing out the worst of the 3 options so it seems. I'll finish with - 12 ETF's x Price Multiplier + Halving = WHY NOT $1 million yet? Take it easy and see you on the next post. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Mayfair_Ventures
15
SOL - Wait for Solana's ETF!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 SOL has been bearish trading within the falling channel pattern marked in red. Moreover, the $100-$115 is a strong support and demand zone. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand zone and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #SOLANA approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
4
ETH Is Getting Ready To Pump!Comparing the BTC and ETH charts after ETF approval: Following Bitcoin ETF approval, the price initially dropped in a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario. However, after ETF trading began and inflows increased, the price pumped. We're seeing a similar pattern with Ethereum. After the recent ETF approval, the price dipped, but a correction might already be underway. With Ethereum ETF trading expected to start on July 2nd, potential inflows could propel the price upwards. Reagrds Hexa
Long
by HexaTrades
24/06/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $67,290.83 Last weeks low: $62,212.60 Midpoint: $65,251.72 Despite the seemingly endless chop, last week was a very interesting one for BTC. Micro strategy added ~$800 worth of Bitcoin to their balance sheet, putting them at 226,000BTC, just over 1% of the entire BTC supply that will ever exist! In relation to microstrategy, Michael Dell has been sending some cryptic tweets reacting to the news that Saylor has added even more to their balance sheet. “Scarcity creates value” was his response. With the news that Dell is potentially buying or looking to buy Bitcoin it’s strange that BTC has dropped in price overall with overall sentiment in the space being very negative. As we continue to slowly sell off and alt oins continue to get destroyed in both their stable and BTC pairs, I would like to see a clear capitulation wick with obvious strength on the bounce. It’s hard to say at what level that will come to, many are calling for GETTEX:52K which is a clear Bullish OB+, so it could be there however that would be devastating for all alt coins and may/probably have a bearish effect on the launch of the ETH ETF which is coming in the near future, 1/2 weeks. For this week it’s purely about survival and looking for signs of capitulation, max fear and showing of strength following any potential sell offs. A slow bleed down within a range is very hard to catch the bottom but it would be better to see clear signs of reversal.
by ProR35
Bitcoin In DANGER: Back to $20,000?Preface: I don't think that going back to $20k is the most likely scenario at this point in time. However, it's valuable to discuss different potential outcomes in an every-changing market. If you disagree and only want to look at one potential outcome it's up to you. In this analysis I want to take a look at one of my more popular indicators; Bitcoin's Logarithmic Price Bands. In case you want to know more about this indicator, please check out the link on the bottom of this post. Back in March I made an analysis with a similar title where I discussed the fact that the yellow logarithmic price band has historically proven to be a very strong resistance. For example, last cycle's mid-cycle pump (summer 2019) found resistance on exactly the same area. Same can be said for 2013. Both reversals from the yellow bands resulted in a >70% dump (high to low). A 70% dump would mean that BTC will go back to (roughly) 20k. It's too early to say whether this analysis is correct, but I can imagine a world where this is possible. Compared to previous cycles, we went up too much and too fast with all the ETF news. A deep correction might be needed to get to the elusive 100k. Happy to hear your thoughts in the comments 🙏
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by FieryTrading
33