Eurjpy: Price to continue the bullish trend? Eurjpy, have been bearish since last few months, therefore the current market pullback is short termed and that is why price moved back sharply, there are also other main factors that will influence the price of EURJPY, such as weaknening JPY as there is no sign of investors having any interest on buying the currency as long as DXY remain bullish.
Here what we think of JPY in coming weeks:
The JPY is expected to weaken against the USD in the week of October 2023. The USD/JPY pair is expected to rise to 140.00, as the US Federal Reserve is expected to continue raising interest rates, while the Bank of Japan is expected to keep its monetary policy unchanged. The Fed is expected to raise rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting, and by another 25 basis points at its November meeting. The BoJ is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate at -0.1%. The divergence in monetary policy between the two central banks is expected to weigh on the JPY. Additionally, the US economy is expected to continue to grow at a faster pace than the Japanese economy, which will also support the USD/JPY pair.
Here what we think of EUR:
The euro is expected to trade in a range between 0.95 and 1.05 against the US dollar in October 2023. The currency is likely to be supported by the European Central Bank's (ECB) decision to raise interest rates by 75 basis points in September. The ECB is expected to continue to raise rates in the coming months in an effort to combat inflation. However, the euro is likely to be weighed down by the ongoing war in Ukraine and the resulting energy crisis. The conflict is likely to continue to disrupt trade and economic activity in Europe, and could lead to a recession in the region. Overall, the euro is likely to remain volatile in the coming months, and investors should be prepared for further fluctuations in the currency's value.
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Eurjpyprediction
EURJPY Analysis to trade from this zones.{25/12/2022}Educational Analysis says EURJPY may go SHORT. According to my technical.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why SHORT?
On the 1HR timeframe, the pair is making LOWER HIGH AND LOWER LOWS.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS
PRICE WILL RANGE (FROM 124 - 148) IN THIS ONLY IF THE COMING DAYS GO NORMAL WITHOUT ANY BAD NEWS INTERRUPTION HAPPENING.
HOW TO TAKE ENTRY ON THIS?
In 15 min timeframe, the pair changes its character and the price push toward also couple breaks the primary structure
EurJpy- Close to a support breakIn my weekend analysis about Jpy crosses I said that we should keep a close eye on these pairs because, although UsdJpy is still in a strong up trend, cross pair may have topped.
In EurJpy's case, yesterday the pair had a spike up, this spike was very short-lived lived and EurJpy reversed strongly and closed the day with a huge bearish engulfing.
At this moment the pair is trading exactly in support zone and looks like pressing for a break.
In such an instance, considering we had a month of range and distribution, we could see down acceleration, and the medium target could be 151.50.
Interim support is at 154 and this level could also represent target for shorter-term traders.
Double top on EUR/JPY hourlyLast week we outlined a bearish bias on the daily EUR/JPY chart, due to its elongated bearish candle below 160 following an established RSI divergence on the daily chart.
The 1-hour chart shows a strong move lower from the August highs, followed by choppy price action and a lame attempt to recoup half of the losses sustained from the initial drop - which suggests it is a corrective move.
momentum has turned lower on the 1-hour chart, so the bias on the 1-hour chart remains bearish below 158.53 and for an initial move to 157.80. We also expect lower prices given the structure on the daily timeframe.
EURJPY: Today!Last week, the EUR/JPY pair surpassed the level of 159.47 and reached 159.75 before experiencing a reversal. As of now, the downside movement has been limited above 156.85, resulting in a neutral bias for this week initially. If the price breaks below 156.85, it will shift the bias to the downside towards the 55-day Exponential Moving Average (currently at 156.17) and potentially lower levels. Conversely, if there is a break above 159.75, it will indicate a continuation of the larger uptrend instead.
EURJPY I Potential retrace and decline to downsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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EUR/JPY on the Hourly Chart: Support and Resistance ZonesSupport Levels:
Support 1 @ 156.866:
The level at 156.866 serves as an immediate support zone on the hourly chart of EUR/JPY. Support levels are where the price typically finds buying interest and may reverse its downward movement. Traders should keep a close eye on this level, as a breach below it could signal increased bearish pressure.
Support 2 @ 156.023:
Support 2, situated at 156.023, represents another critical support level. This level has historically acted as a significant point of price reversal. If Support 2 is breached, it may suggest the potential for a more substantial downward move.
Resistance Level:
Resistance @ 159.767:
The resistance level at 159.767 stands out as a key level of resistance on the hourly EUR/JPY chart. Resistance levels are where the price often encounters selling pressure and may reverse its upward momentum. Traders should closely monitor this level, as a decisive move above it could indicate a bullish sentiment in the short term.
Conclusion:
Analyzing support and resistance levels is a fundamental aspect of forex trading. These levels provide valuable insights into potential price reversals and trend continuations. Traders in the EUR/JPY market should carefully consider the identified support and resistance zones outlined in this blog post.
It's important to remember that the forex market is influenced by various factors, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, and market sentiment. Therefore, traders should complement their analysis with other technical and fundamental indicators to make well-informed trading decisions.
Risk management is equally vital when trading forex. Traders should employ risk management techniques such as stop-loss orders and proper position sizing to protect their capital. Developing and adhering to a well-defined trading strategy is also key to achieving consistent success in the forex market.
EURJPY - Continuation (from previous post)(This is the continuation of the previous post - attached - which became overly long.)
Currently;
SHORT off of that "before last" Stop Hunt @150.125, with very tight stops (<12 pips and excellent R/R ratio), just below major resistance. This is a long term Short Entry attempt. (However, the main set up/position is in the GBPJPY, with superior R/R characteristics!)
Here is a close up;https://www.tradingview.com/x/Mw8tOplz/
EURJPY: What happens next?EUR/JPY’s break of 158.03 resistance last week confirmed up trend resumption. But as a temporary top was formed at 159.20, initial bias is turned neutral this week for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 155.51 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 159.20 will target 61.8% projection of 139.05 to 157.99 from 151.39 at 163.09 next.
EURJPY: Next goal!Until now, the continuation of the upward momentum is likely to result in an immediate target emerging around 160.00 in the short term. The subsequent breakthrough will not encounter any notable resistance levels until reaching the highest point of 2008 at 169.96 on July 23.
As of now, there are positive long-term prospects for the convergence of bullish and bearish trends while on the 200-day SMA, which stands at 146.92 today.
EURJPY End of Bull Run! Let's go Shorting. {31/07/2023}Educational Analysis says EURJPY may go Short according to my technical.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why Short?
Because Jpy fair value gaps are unfilled in a 1- hour time frame.
Although last week EURJPY proved that, It's Changing its character and Also Sellers proved that the Market structure shifted and eventually lead to a Break of Structure.
The Rectangle box is the Order block
Analytical Trade would probably be
Sell limit order at 157.850
Stop loss at 158.90
Take profit at 151.356.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS.
EURJPY: New developments!The EUR/JPY cross builds on the previous day's goodish rebound from the 155.80 region, or a one-week low and gains strong follow-through positive traction for the second successive day on Tuesday. The momentum lifts spot prices to over a two-week high, around mid-157.00s during the Asian session and is sponsored by the heavily offered tone surrounding the Japanese Yen (JPY).
EURJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURJPY very positiveHello traders. According to my analysis of the EURJPY. There is a high probability of going up. Where the market broke out of a bearish flag. Likewise, the strong resistance at the level of 147000 was broken. The price tested the resistance for the second time. And he couldn't break it. Also, a very positive candle has formed on the daily chart. All of these indicators indicate the strength of the buyers in this pair . Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
Eur Jpy Long IdeaEUR/JPY has recently experienced a corrective bearish move, creating an opportune moment for traders to consider a long position in this currency pair. This bullish analysis highlights the potential for a reversal from the corrective downtrend, with key technical and fundamental factors supporting the long signal for EUR/JPY.
Technical Analysis:
Fibonacci Retracement: The corrective bearish move in EUR/JPY can be seen as a retracement within a broader uptrend. By applying Fibonacci retracement levels, we can identify potential support levels where the pair could reverse and resume its bullish momentum.
Bullish Divergence: In the recent corrective phase, there might be signs of bullish divergence on the oscillators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), indicating weakening bearish momentum and a potential shift in favor of bulls.
Key Support Zones: Several key support zones coincide with the Fibonacci retracement levels and previous swing lows, creating a solid foundation for a bullish reversal. Traders can use these levels to place stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively.
Fundamental Analysis:
Strong Economic Recovery: The European Union and Japan have been experiencing a robust economic recovery from the global downturn, buoyed by fiscal stimulus measures and vaccination progress. As economic activity picks up, the demand for both EUR and JPY may increase, but the Eurozone's larger economy could give it an edge.
Diverging Central Bank Policies: The European Central Bank (ECB) has shown signs of tightening monetary policy to combat inflationary pressures, while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has remained accommodative. This policy divergence could strengthen the Euro against the Japanese Yen in the long term.
Risk-On Sentiment: If global markets maintain a risk-on sentiment, investors may seek higher-yielding assets, including the Euro, and the Japanese Yen, being a safe-haven currency, may experience reduced demand in such a scenario.
Conclusion:
Considering the technical and fundamental factors at play, a long signal for EUR/JPY appears promising after the corrective bearish move. Traders should exercise proper risk management techniques, placing stop-loss orders at critical support levels. A successful long position can capitalize on the potential bullish reversal, fueled by a strong economic recovery in the Eurozone, diverging central bank policies, and prevailing risk-on sentiment in the market. As always, it's essential to stay updated on any relevant news or events that could impact the currency pair and adjust the trading strategy accordingly.
EURJPY: JAPANESE YEN PRICEDuring the Asian session on Friday, the GBP/USD pair slightly increases and distances itself from the lowest point it reached in the past week and a half, which was around the 1.2840-1.2835 range. However, there isn't much momentum in terms of buying or a strong belief in an upward trend, and currently, the pair is trading around the 1.2880 range, with a modest increase of just over 0.10% for the day.