Potential short on EUR/JPY- Elliott wave shows price should rise to maybe the 2nd POI before retracing downwards
- RSI is quite high but has space to rise slightly before price drops
- there are 2 POIs in case price doesn't reject the 1st POI and decides to grab the liquidity near the 2nd POI
this is more of a longer term swing trade as the price changes from POI to the last TP is quite drastic
Eurjpyshort
EUR/JPY Short Entry UpdateHey Guys!
As you guys know, last Friday I took a Short Entry at 131.67 with a stop loss at 133.68 and the main target at 114. 40 .
2 hours ago, I took another short entry at 131.70 with the same risk parameters.
The reason for the 2nd entry short was due to short term short strength coming back in .
As you can see on the chart, first there was a 1m fake double bottom that reached its target height level before reaching the 2nd bottom's stop loss level. This signals short term long strength.
Moreover, there was a 1h upward trendline breakout then immediate break back in. Which also signals short term long strength.
Now, if there was truly short term long strength, price should not reach the 1h pivot low of the break back in confirmation and the 1m fake double bottom.
However, price reached that pivot low. Signaling, that although there was short term long strength, short term short strength was able to over ride it, showing strong short term short strength.
So for the time being, I have 2 short positions with the risk parameters mentioned above. But since price is making rather complicated short term signals, I will be watching for any signs of short term long strength kicking back in.
If it does, there is the possibility that I will abort both positions to see if I can get a better short entry at higher levels.
I'll keep you updated!
Have a great day guys!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
EURJPY Short OpportunityHey, if you like this idea be sure to support with a like and a follow.
Here is my analysis for EURJPY for the upcoming week, wait for price to pullback to retest resistance and take a short down to the next support area .
What are your thoughts? Leave it in the comments below!
Blue Signal FX Rules-Based Trading
1. CHECK THE NEWS!
2. WHAT IS THE OVERALL TREND?
3. IS PRICE AT A LEVEL OF SUPPLY OR DEMAND (SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE)?
4. IS PRICE APPROACHING A LEVEL OF SUPPLY OR DEMAND (SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE)?
5. ARE YOU TRADING WITH THE TREND OR AGAINST THE TREND (MAKE SURE YOU ONLY TRADE AGAINST THE TREND ON THE 4HR TIME-FRAME AND ABOVE.
6. CHECK FOR DIVERGENCE.
EUR/JPY Short Trade UpdateHey Guys!
I took a Short Entry at 131.67 with a stop loss at 133.68 and the main target at 114. 40.
As you know in my last update, I was talking about short term long strength coming back in, but yesterday, price began to give mixed signals.
I was expecting a possible nfp range however, I got an nfp wild price action situation.( Price commonly gives mixed signals and price moves wildly on nfp days)
None the less, I took a short entry at the specified level.
Moreover, there was still short term long strength on the 15M chart with a Upward trendline breakout and immediate break back in, so typically I would wait for a deeper pullback for the short entry however;
Due to it being a nfp release day, and price can possibly move erratically, I entered a short position.
For the time being, I will see if I can get a further pullback to perhaps 132.67 for another short entry.
Like always, I will be watching the lower time frames for signs of short term long strength to wane. If it does not wane close to the stop loss level of 133.68, I will abort both short positions.
That's it!
Have a great day guys!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
EURJPY / SHORT TO HELLAfter that amazing pullback, it looks as though EURJPY is going to drop again
We were in the middle of a downtrend anyway and now there is a 1hr pin bar and a 5m one more or less in the same place
My reason for the short is right now the weekly candle is engulfing the previous week's candle.. if we are in a downtrend then this weeks candle has to do something drastic to show a rejection
I think tomorrow may be big for this pair and other correlating pairs
EURJPY Short Bias .Waiting for Pullback for Short Entry. UpdateHey Guys!
As you know, I'm currently waiting for a pullback to at least 131.67 for a short entry with the stop loss at 133.68 and the main target at 114. 40 . Here's an update!
On the left side of the chart this was consistently short term short strength confirmed by upward trendlines break outs and no immediate breaks back in. ( No---! For I want long strength to kick back in for the short entry!)
Then in the middle of the chart, price began to base out with consecutive 1h downward trendline break outs and no immediate breaks back in. ( Yes!! For short strength began to wane a bit!)
Soon after the 1H chart began confirming long strength with the upward trendline break out and immediate break back in. (Double Yes!! For long strength kicking back in!)
However, at the recent 1h highs, price is giving mixed signals. A 1M Fake Double Top that went its target height.(Showing short term short strength) and moreover, a 1h upward trendline Break out, but no immediate break back in. (Also
showing short term short strength) However, if there was truly short term short strength, the 1M Fake Double Top's 2nd Top price level should not be hit.
So, at the current moment, price is likely to range a bit. Perhaps a NFP consolidation.
But for the time being, I'll still be waiting for a 131.67 pullback for a short entry. Moreover, if the NFP release happens to be the catalyst for the pullback, I may give it a couple of days to see if I can get an even better short entry price.
Perhaps at 132.67 with the same risk parameters.
OK! That's it for the update!
Have a great day guys!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
EUR/JPY WILL IT MAKE THE RETRACEMENT?Monthly
The price is moving between supply and demand. The price is currently on the way to the supply area. We can definitely expect the price to reject the supply area.
Weekly
Price is currently over extended. When price is over extended we can expect a correction. We could definitely expect the price to reach a little higher before the correction to the down side.
Daily
The price is currently creation higher highs and higher lows. The price is definitely in an up trend. When the price switch to bearish structure we can start looking for entry's.
In general we have to wait for the change of environment to the down side in M,W and D to look for a short opportunity.
Also remember, to have better point of entry we have to look in lower time frames.
EUR/JPY Short Trade UpdateHey Guys!
As you know, I'm currently waiting for a pullback to at least 131.67 for a short entry with the stop loss at 133.68 and the main target at 114. 40 .
On the last 4h move up I didn't get the pullback to my entry level at 131.67 by roughly 8 pips!(Wha-----t?)
So I've been watching the lower time frames for signs of short term long strength to see if I can get that pullback.
In this video, I show how I was able to tell that we will be getting a move down for the last week or two. Just a short explanation of reading strength of the longs or shorts through price action.
So I'll keep you guys updated with this set up!
Have a great day!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
EURJPY RISKY LONGS 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bullish price action on this pair as price takes out weekly low that means a intra-week reversal should occur, price made a bullish bos retraced back and failed to make the low lower, a h4 bullish closure would be a nice confirmation to long it for 2.5R
What do you think ? Comment below..
Confirming Trends with the Lower Time Frames EUR/JPY ExampleHey Guys!
As you know, I'm currently waiting for a pullback to at least 131.67 for a short entry with the stop loss at 133.68 and the main target at 114.40.
Like always, I'm watching the lower time frames to confirm whether or not I will get this pullback to 131.67.
During the initial move long there were several confirmations of short term long strength on the 1M-15M charts through Trendline break outs then immediate breaks back into the trendline. ( Immediate break back in means: the break out candle's close and the break back in candle's open is at the same price level)
Thus was expecting short term long strength. However, 8 pips from my short entry level, there was a legitimate 15M Head and Shoulders that went it's target height level before reaching the right shoulder's stop loss level. Signaling waning short term long strength. ( If long strength was present, price should ignore the H&S and not reach it's target height price level and stop traders out at the right shoulder's stop loss level. )( I can't explain the details here.)
So price did not reach my short entry level at 131.67 by a whopping 8 pips! (Yikes!!!!)
Soon after, there was a 4h trendline break out with no immediate break back in further signaling 4h waning long strength.(Ti----mberrrrr!)
Currently, there was a downward 1h trendline that was broken out to the long side, with no immediate break back in signaling "slight" waning short term short strength. ( I say slight due to the 1h Trendline not being as prominent as I would like to signal waning short strength.)
In this way, I measure whether or not I will get a pullback for higher time frame entries (Weekly trade in this case) using the lower time frames to confirm short term long/short strength. However, I also use this method to confirm higher time frame trends. Or as I like to call it, higher time frame "biases".
I'll keep you guys updated with this short set up!
Have a great day guys!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.