EURO-USD
EURUSD - Bearish bias as price approaches key resistanceEURUSD has begin recovering slighting since the aggressive selling that continued all last week. Price has been in a strong downtrend for a number of weeks so we are looking for price exhaustion and pullback to key resistance so we can find opportunities to get short with the overall bearish trend. I will be watching closely over the coming week to see if 1)price reaches near term resistance, 2)a price action sell signal forms such as a bearish pin bar, bearish engulfing bar, inside bar, etc. 3) if price breaks below the formed pattern to then give me the confirmation signal I need to enter short. Remember that we don't want to gbe picking up pennies in front of a steam roller by going long in very bearish markets. We are looking for setups with the highest probability of success which in bearish markets like this are short setups.
EURUSD 4hr Cypher hormonic patternEUR/USD is forming a bearish Cypher harmonic pattern, the pattern started at 7 May.
The model is expected to be completed @1.1945 also EUR trading under EMA 50
Target 1 @1.19000
Target 2 @1.18700
SL @1.19700
Good luck,,,
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#EURRUB #USDRUB - Will boycott Russia weaken Rouble?Hi there,
There are several reasons to panic:
1. Elections and Putins poor campaign
2. Russian CB converting gold reserves to USD
3. Boycott Russia
Accroding to technical analysis and patterns we observe on the chart probability of Rouble being weakened agains major currencies is very high. USDRUB and EURRUB are showing significant movement and a very strong power for uptrend.
Wait for the breakout.
EURUSD Retracement completed , but not yetEuroUSD has completed its retracement of 61.8. Now it should try to go touch 1.25 again.
Trying to overcome the selling pressure will be a difficult job, because 1.25 has already proven itself has very strong Resistance point , and similarly 1.225 has proven to be strong support zone.
What happens next , is anyones guess. Deponding upon market sentinment 1.25 should be breached, but not w/o firefight which means bloodhed i.e.. USD will appreciate in value. trying to pull the price below 1.22, then again try to break 1.25.
In short it means, it is gonna swing side ways, no clear signal of trade. So it is No trading zone.
Only with brave hearts and loads of waste money should try their luck.
My opinion: Stay out of it.
PS: All the opinions are mine and mine only, i am no way trying to influence your trading decision.
Its your money, you have to decide what u do with it.
Thanks
KryptoTimes
Eur/Usd holding for NOWThe Euro has changed from an uptrend to range bound in the short term. We may be seeing the end of the strong uptrend that the Euro has been in or a complex PB but I'm leaning towards the end. The Dollar is still on its hike cycle with three hikes predicted this year and should be strong but with all of the turnover in office and ongoing talks about Russia we have yet to see it in this pair. I'm inclined to believe Trump may be trying to stay in the headlines on purpose as he has made no attempt to hide the fact that he wants a weak dollar. Now with the last two rally's almost being identical at 302 pips and 288 pips respectfully, marked on the chart. Look for the Euro to continue back towards the trendline and supply area of 1.22.
As always do your own due diligence.
Keep Calm and Trade Forex.
WHAT THE EURUSD CAN TELL US ABOUT THE US STOCK MARKETAs you can see, it looks as we are preparing for a correction in EURUSD (So as of now, I am short. However I fully expect a possibility of a range). What does being short tell us?
It means in the near future (weeks-months because this is a daily chart) the USD could gain some value to its Euro counterpart. How would the USD gain its value? A great way would be if interest rates are hiked by the FED, giving the USD more attraction to foreign currency investors. This rate spike would counter inflation but we all know what a rate hike would do to the economy- slowwwww down. This would in turn go along with what we have been discussing in the markets lately as the SPX and DJX have been facing.
It is a huge stretch and this should really be interpreted as a EURUSD trade- but- it could mean a stronger dollar in the future CAUSED by higher interest rates- slowing the economy and stock market growth.
V1:T8_Quick EURUSD Scalp Long_Hourly.Goodmorning Traders,
I know I said I was going to wait until Tuesday to place trades but here I am two trades open already into the week. It snowed this morning so I got out of work allowing me to have some time to play around with some day trades. Walking in the market was pushing down and it almost always reverses on trick morning/days like today.
That being said when I get a chance like this I like to enjoy myself as a trader more than I desire profits. On both positions I have taken this week so far I have taken .5% of account balance, knowing they were sporadic trades that do not adhere to the trading plan. I'm just having fun.
Like I say, I just wanna be in the market and watch it for the day. Its my personal preference this week. Don't take this trade if your not comfortable with a loss.
Entry BUY @ 1.22920
TP @1.23390
SL@ 1.22650
Goodluck!
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Disclaimer: Your data may be different. |V1-T1 = Volume 1-Trade 1| Material is educational only. Trade at your own risk!
EURUSDAt first glance this could be a bearish development, and while the tone is set for lower prices in the short-term, support in the vicinity of 12150/100 will be quite impactful to the broader outlook. How the euro reacts to support (should it test it) will be telling as to whether the price action dating back to January is corrective or of the topping variety.
A test and strong turnaround from support would suggest it’s simply a corrective move within the broader uptrend dating back to last year. A bull-flag beneath the 2008 trend-line could start to develop, and may ultimately lead to a breakout beyond the long-term trend-line. However, a breach of support by way of the April trend-line/2017 high, would imply that sellers could show up in earnest and drive EUR/USD sharply lower.
V1:T2_EURUSD_Daily_2hr_Institutional whiplash_THE best entry?...Daily chart shows a lower low formed Wednesday with direct rejection of the low Thursday and Friday. Since we closed the week far from that low this is still a certified uptrend that is consolidating at major overhead support (1.25000.)
Appears to me the market needed to clear out all longs before moving higher. To do this, we needed to move intraweek below that obvious higher low (thin pink line) and even more substantially, below the second low (thick pink line.) Check out the 2 hour chart to see the slow bleed/grind lower to stop out all longs before ripping out of the zone. That's how I know I'm on the right side of this market. The slow bleed to retail stop out levels followed by huge move out of the zone, with trend, is textbook institutional movement. I am always looking for that strategic stop-out entry before the trend continues.
Moving forward I will wait and see. 3/2/18 Forex Factory reports 41% traders LONG, and 59% traders short. Meaning, this market has successfully cleared the table of with trend long traders. The harshest pain for retails will be felt if the market springs higher based on these stats. I've defined a very strong range to tell me what EURUSD is thinking. A move above the green line seems most likely. Especially considering the daily slow stochastic and retail ebb and flow theory stated above.
There is always the chance I'm wrong and the market may actually be due lower defined by the red line.
Black fib levels hold serious conviction based on the weekly cart (see comment)
Dark blue is the daily recent swing low to the new high. These levels are important on a day to day basis.
Orange levels are the most recent pullback and should be used only to identify overlapping areas of support/resistance.
Long EURUSD means short DXY and in turn Long XXX/USD Short USD/XXX paired currencies. If one of the two directional conditions are met but other charts are trading favorably I may consider shorting USDJPY or USDCAD, or long NZDUSD, AUDUSD.
Cheers!
If you found this analysis useful or thoughtful Likes/Comments/Follows are much appreciated!
Disclaimer: Different data shown. |V1-T1 = Volume 1-Trade 1| Material is educational only. Trade at your own risk!