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Eurusdidea

EURUSD likely to head down from weekly resistanceThe resistance and support zone marked on the chart are acting as the range endpoints for weeks. We discussed a few ideas in previous posts based on these two zones and even took a couple of trades. Now the price has approached the resistance zone again and this could potentially present another opportunity to take a short position here. The target should be the weekly support but this time it might shy a bit from that support zone.
Short
by angela_altair
How important is liquidity in the forex In the foreign exchange market, understanding liquidity and volatility is crucial for investors, as liquidity refers to the level of trading activity and volatility is highly influenced by liquidity. If liquidity is too poor, it can lead to significant price fluctuations, making it difficult for investors to manage risks. What is liquidity, and why is it important? Liquidity can be used to observe the level of activity in the foreign exchange market, specifically how many buy and sell orders are actively traded. The foreign exchange market is a 24-hour trading market, with a daily trading volume of nearly $6 trillion, making it one of the most liquid markets in the world. However, it is worth noting that not all currency pairs have excellent liquidity in the foreign exchange market. In fact, currency pairs often have varying degrees of liquidity depending on whether they are major, minor, or exotic currency pairs. Liquidity decreases in the order of major currency pairs -> minor currency pairs -> exotic currency pairs. What are the major currency pairs with the "best" liquidity? EURUSD The euro against the US dollar is the most actively traded currency pair in the foreign exchange market due to the eurozone and the US being the two largest economies globally. Due to the enormous trading volume of the EURUSD currency pair, it also has high liquidity, making its volatility usually lower than other currency pairs. However, even the most liquid instruments can experience significant price swings under certain conditions, such as the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020, when the Fed implemented zero interest rates and unlimited QE, causing the EURUSD to surge instantaneously, one of the high volatility scenarios. USDJPY The US dollar against the Japanese yen is the second most traded currency pair in the foreign exchange market, second only to the EURUSD. The USDJPY currency pair also has high liquidity because during periods of economic uncertainty or financial market turmoil globally, the Japanese yen is widely regarded as a "safe-haven currency." Thus, market funds are easy to flow into buying the Japanese yen, often resulting in a significant increase in trading volume of the USDJPY currency pair. GBPUSD The British pound against the US dollar currency pair is also known as "Cable" because GBPUSD was the first currency pair to be traded via transatlantic communication cables. The UK and the US are two major Western economies with close trade relations, making the trading volume of GBPUSD also massive. What are the "lowest" liquidity exotic currency pairs? Exotic currency pairs usually have the lowest liquidity, such as the Polish zloty against the Japanese yen. As the economic trade volume between Poland and Japan itself is not high, the delivery demand or hedging risk demand of the two currencies is relatively small. Therefore, exotic currency pairs usually have low liquidity. Does the liquidity of the forex market vary during different trading sessions throughout the day? In daily forex trading, there are periods of low activity, such as during the Asian session when prices tend to consolidate. However, during the London and US sessions, prices are more likely to experience significant fluctuations. Among the trading sessions throughout the day, the US morning session has the best liquidity, as it overlaps with trading hours in Europe and London. The forex trading volume during the European and London trading sessions accounts for over 50% of the daily global trading volume, with the overlapping period with the US morning session accounting for approximately 20% of the total daily trading volume. The volatility of forex is directly influenced by liquidity. Liquidity has a significant direct impact on market price volatility in all financial markets, including the forex market. High liquidity markets have higher trading volumes and therefore lower volatility, resulting in more stable commodity prices. In contrast, low liquidity markets have lower trading volumes, higher volatility, and commodity prices are more likely to experience significant fluctuations. As a professional with in-depth knowledge of futures products such as cryptocurrencies, forex, stocks, gold, and crude oil, I regularly update my trading strategies. Thank you for your support and likes, and please feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions. I will provide you with the most reliable advice and hope to be of help to you.
Education
by FlashTrades_
1
EURUSD 2023 Know your year! Act early! Don't be surprised! 2 minutes to read and reveal the the matrix! 2 clear, important periods for EURUSD in the last close to 20 years of trading circled red on the chart. Period 1 - August 2020 - Feb 2022 "False break period" Initially, pandemic caused a rush of investment, landslide USD down as cash was poured into stocks, cryptocurrency, etc.. But peaking around December 2020, due to FED starting to rapidly increasing interest rates, causing cash to be very attractive compared to keeping it invested during all time highs, as well as making loans much more expensive, USD started to gain strength again, BIG TIME, most aggressive policy to increasing interest rates was implemented during the coming months. In the meanwhile, EUR delayed increasing interest until July 2022, which explains the huge amount of USD cash compared to EUR in the circled period and beyond, until bottoming at the bottom of the wedge around late 2022 when ECB started pumping interest. Period 2 - Jan 2023 - Today (Feb 2023) "Fresh yearly breakout period" With the ECB targeting higher interest to 3.0%, 3.25% and 2.50% which is a higher expectation from 2.50%, 2.75% and 2.00% just from December 2022, making EUR more attractive to keep cash and less scarce (more expensive to lone) - While the USD is pretty much maximized as to increasing interest / stimulating the economy as during 2020-2022 FED used pretty much the entire toolbox - Leaving 2023 as the year for EUR with the FED playing all the cards they had. The technical breakout we see up above the falling wedge resistance makes perfect sense with the fundamentals - Making EURUSD a long term strong buy position for the year. This is a must know chart to be confident while trading EURUSD . ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Always do your own research and practice caution while trading, especially leveraged products. I would really appreciate comments, questions or any interaction - Thank you! -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by Exactus
2