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Eurusdprediction

Part 1 - EUR/USD: Monthly Examination Utilizing Varied Approach Price action Breakdown Analysis: It is the EURUSD monthly timeframe, and it shows a downtrend for more than 15 years. The price has settled in a downward value area. Elements of price action Breakdown: Excess: There are nine price excesses, four on the upper band and five on the lower band. It shows that the sellers were too aggressive when the price touched the upper band of the channel in comparison with the lower band at buyers. Buyers/Bulls tries makes the initiative to breakout the structure but end up when another party finds the price convenient for them. Control line: The control line represents the gravitational force to the price. The price can’t stay away until it breaks the range. There are twelve touches on the control line, and few are mentioned on the chart. No Trading Activity Zone: No trading activity is the zone where one party, either bull or bear, takes control and outnumbers the other. There are a total of 14 no-trading activities zone. Both of the participants have seen each other. Sub-value area: A rectangle sub-value area has taken place from March 2015 till now. An excess became a great place to buy the move, yet the upper band of the sub-value area provides strong resistance. The control line of this value area at 1.1480 is sharp enough to act as a pivot level. It could be a resistance to the current price. Trend Justification: Justification for the current market trend and the behavior of bulls and bears can be derived from four prominent lines on the chart. Line 1, the lengthiest on the chart, connects the points from 1.5760 to the latest high at 1.2555 . This line also intersects with the second line, indicating that a breakout in one line would likely trigger a simultaneous breakout in both lines. Line 2 stands out as the most robust resistance line, evidenced by the price experiencing significant declines on more than three occasions upon reaching this line. Therefore, the continuation of the uptrend appears contingent upon a successful breakout above resistance line 2. Line 3 , marked at 1.23427 , serves as a horizontal resistance line. This line has played a crucial role, offering three supports and encountering two resistances. A substantial upward movement could potentially alter the overall trend post-breakout, given that it represents a lower high in the downward trend. Line 4 represents a support level in close proximity to the current price, suggesting a potential stabilizing factor for the market at its current position. Elliott Wave Projection: According to Elliott wave analysis, the price has been undergoing a W-X-Y-X-Z formation, specifically identified as a triple zigzag, over a span of 15 years. The sequence involves the completion of wave (X) and the initiation of a downward impulsive wave denoted as (Z). The Wave Formation unfolds as follows: Wave (W): A flat correction pattern characterizes the formation of Wave (W). Wave (X-1): Wave (X) takes shape in a standard zigzag formation, retracing 78.6% of Wave (W). Wave (Y): This phase sees the construction of a zigzag pattern within Wave (Y), extended 1.618% of Wave (W) Wave (X-2): Wave (X) materializes as an expanding triangle, retracing 50% of Wave (Y). Wave (Z): The ongoing Wave (Z) is currently in progress, appearing to form sub-wave C. Notably, Wave (Z) has extended to 78.6% of Wave (Y). For Bulls traders, a prudent entry point is identified as the breakout of Wave (X) at the level of 1.2349 . No risky trader should initiate Long position until it breaks out Line 1 & Line 2. Wave (Y) = Wave (Z) at 0.8838. So, After the accomplishment of sub-wave B of wave (Z), traders can sell for final wave C of wave (Z). Different pattern Formation: Traders can see the following patterns on the monthly charts: 1. Wamine pattern 2. Contracting Triangle 3. Wave Diagonal 4. Expanding Triangle 5. ABCD Pattern 6. Moolahs pattern We will Update Further information on weekly & Daily time frame soon.
by forextidings
EURUSD M30 / Possible Retracement Until the Resistance Level✅Hello Traders! This is my idea related to EURUSD M30. I expect a long move until the resistance level, after retracing from the OB H4. I consider the retracement from the OB a good sign for bullish sentiment. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Long
by GoodTradeST
2
EURUSD: The USD is expected to have its largest monthly increaseThe US greenback is on course for its maximum giant month-to-month benefit on account that September, with a 2% benefit towards a basket of main currencies as January ended. The boom changed into attributed to marketplace modifications to the tempo and quantity of anticipated hobby fee cuts, stimulated through sturdy US financial facts and competition from important financial institution officials. toward reducing hobby prices. In contrast, the Japanese yen changed into poised for its maximum giant decline towards the greenback in almost a year, falling extra than 4% in January. This is the sharpest decline on account that February 2023, because of falling salary boom and slowing inflation in Japan, which has decreased expectations of hobby fee hikes. Early within the Asian buying and selling day, the greenback remained consistent at $1.0844/euro and barely weaker at 147.23 yen. The greenback index, which tracks americaA forex towards a set of different currencies, changed into final visible at 103.36. Investors are also targeted on the imminent choice through the Federal Reserve, which predicts that US hobby prices will continue to be unchanged. However, the Fed should sign the opportunity of a fee reduction through casting off language similarly fee hikes are beneathneath consideration. According to hobby fee futures, there may be presently approximately a 43% hazard of the Fed slicing hobby prices in March, down appreciably from a 73% hazard at the start of the year. Deutsche Bank's chief global strategist, Alan Ruskin, explains that the marketplace's response to the Fed assembly will probably be pondered withinside the chance of a fee reduction in March. Ruskin elaborates on the connection among this opportunity and the euro/greenback trade fee, noting that a 50-50 hazard is in line for the euro at $1,087, at the same time as a completely predicted hobby fee reduction might push the euro to $1,1080. Conversely, if the March fee reduction is completely discounted, the euro should fall to $1.0660. Before the Fed's choice, financial signs including the shopping managers index survey from China and European inflation facts can be released. Australian inflation facts, barely decrease than economics anticipate, bolstered expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia has ended its hobby fee hike cycle.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
EUR/USD Faces Pressure Amidst ECB Remarks and FOMC AnticipationEUR/USD Faces Pressure Amidst ECB Remarks and FOMC Anticipation EUR/USD experienced a decline on the last Monday of the month, closing near the psychological level of 1.08000. The downward pressure was influenced by remarks from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the looming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The breach of the dynamic trendline and a dip below the 61.8% Fibonacci level placed the price just beneath the 78.6%, within the range and approaching the 88.6%. Technical Indicators: Stochastic indicators signal oversold conditions, accompanied by a slight divergence. The potential policy shift hinted by the ECB has prompted a decline in the Euro, with market focus now shifting to the upcoming Fed decision. The recent strong economic growth and inflation in the US present a challenging decision for Powell and the Federal Reserve. Market Dynamics: Buyers are striving to maintain the exchange rate above the 1.0800 level in anticipation of Wednesday's FOMC decision. Despite a drop in US Treasury yields, USD bulls are not finding the push they need, resulting in the EUR/USD trading at 1.0809, down 0.39%. Outlook: The focus remains on buying opportunities for EUR/USD at a discounted exchange rate, anticipating a potential increase in value. Traders are advised to stay vigilant for market developments and the outcome of the FOMC decision, as it could significantly impact the direction of the currency pair. Our preference Long positions above 1.06700 with entry at 1.08000 and targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
2
EURUSD - Let's go higher now ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD. Technical analysis: As you can see in my previous analysis price delivered as expected. Now I expect bullish price action after filling the imbalance and rejecting from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.08000. Fundamental news: This week is full of news in USA. Firstly on Wednesday we have Interest Rate followed by FOMC Conference, then on Friday NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
EURUSD - Downside to bullish order block ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD. Technical analysis: Here we have pretty the same scenario as on GOLD, Price rejected from bearish order block so I expect price to drop in order to fulfill the imbalance. My target is institutional big figure 1.08000 from where I look for a long position. Fundamental news: Upcoming week is full of news in USA. Firstly on Wednesday we have Interest Rate followed by FOMC Conference, then on Friday NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short
by Snick3rSD
EURUSD BEARS LOOKING FOR MORE DOWNSIDE !!!Hello Traders EURUSD is now trading in downtrend and ECB also looking for rate cuts so our expectations are a down till these design levels friends our R & R ratio is great on this trade lets see what markets give us this week have look on our Other analysis so you can understand why we are buying $ this week this is just an trade idea make a proper analysis before any trade and share Ur thoughts with us in comments on EURUSD it help alot of traders Stay tuned for more updates .......
Short
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY
EURUSD Longs from 1.08300 or 1.08000 back upThis week's bias for this pair aligns with GU, and I'll be aiming to initiate long positions from the demand levels positioned just beneath the current price. Whether it's from the nearby 2-hour demand zone or the 10-hour demand zone situated below, my objective is to buy back up to a supply level or potentially target the equal highs positioned above. Ideally, I'm hoping for price to form a Wyckoff accumulation within my designated demand zones and provide a strong confirmation signal. If this doesn't happen, I'll wait for that zone to be breached, anticipating the spring to occur within the more favorable 10-hour demand zone. Confluences for EURUSD are as follows: - Price has been temporarily bullish to the upside and the 10hr demand zone caused BOS. - I will be anticipating a Wyckoff accumulation to start formulating within my demand region. - A pullback has been initiated from the reaction of the 6-hour supply zone. - Lots of liquidity to the upside in the form of Asian highs and equal highs. - Dollar (DXY) is looking to be bearish so I'm expecting this to be bullish. P.S. While I maintain a bullish stance on this pair, I wouldn't be caught off guard if the reaction from the 6-hour supply zone triggers further downward movement, potentially breaking the structure to the downside. In such a scenario, I'll be more inclined to explore selling opportunities. LAST WEEK OF JANUARY LETS HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK!
Long
by Hassan_fx
3
EURUSD - IN ANTICIPATION OF A POSITIVE PCE REPORT (TARGET 1.081)The upcoming release of the Core PCE Price Index, a key inflation metric closely monitored by the Fed, is scheduled for 13:30 GMT. Despite not anticipating major surprises due to its inclusion in the recent GDP report, investors will closely examine this data along with December's Personal Spending and Personal Income figures for deeper economic insights. While positive outcomes in spending and income could bolster the USD, disappointing results might signal weakening consumption, potentially impacting the USD's immediate performance. The previous retail sales data was extremely bullish. Retail Sales and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) often show a positive correlation, both reflecting consumer spending trends. While Retail Sales focus on goods, PCE covers a broader range including services. Both indicators are influenced by similar economic factors like employment rates and consumer confidence, making them crucial for understanding economic health. However, their scope differs, with PCE providing a more comprehensive view of total consumer spending. Traders should monitor these metrics for insights into consumer behaviour and overall economic conditions. Based on these macro assumptions I'll explore the bullish outcome for the dollar: What is on the chart? (Follow the steps) 1) We have our first accumulation structure which was followed by a breakout and also a market structure shift. This accumulation was fuelled by a 4H FVG. 2) When paired with the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator you'll notice more downside confirmations such as a break of both the daily Kijun and Tenkan, a Tenkan/Kijun crossover and a Kumo twist. Thirdly the weekly Tenkan was broken and retested. These are all major signals. 3) We're currently still range bound with the daily 0.786 level as support that was perfectly respected. This level is strengthened by the daily Kumo. 4) I am relying on the 4 Hour order block as the final resistance before the potential positive PCE data release which would be final blow. Price should continue its downfall towards sellside liquidity. Here are some extra charts to strengthen the bias: As usual, happy trading and have great day!! :)
Short
by Lexi_Is_Trading
2
EURUSD M15 / Short Trade Idea / Waiting for Confirmation ✅Hello Traders! This is my idea related to EURUSD M15. I expect a retracement from the resistance level. Today we have important news on EURUSD, let's see what impact it will have on the EU move. As a target point, I take into consideration the BOSS which I expect will be taken. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Short
by GoodTradeST
EUR/USD Finds Solid Support at 1.08500 Amidst Tepid Data.EUR/USD Finds Solid Support at 1.08500 Amidst Tepid Data, Eyes on Maintrend Continuation In a noteworthy turn of events, the EUR/USD has staged a rebound, establishing a robust support zone at 1.08500. This critical level is reinforced by the confluence with the Dynamic trendline, acting as dynamic support, and the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone. Additionally, a Bullish Divergence in the RSI and a favorable reaction at the 200-day Moving Average signal potential upward momentum. Euro Resilience Despite Local Data: Interestingly, the Euro has demonstrated resilience despite tepid local data. The preliminary Producer Manager Index (PMI) survey conducted by the Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) indicates that business activity in the euro area contracted at the slowest rate in January, marking a six-month low. However, the official report highlights persistent downturns in both manufacturing and service sectors, coupled with further declines in new business. German PMI Figures: Breaking down the data, Germany's Manufacturing PMI recorded 45.4, while the services index posted at 47.6. For the Eurozone, the Services PMI came in at 48.4, a slight decrease from the previous 48.8. On a positive note, the manufacturing index showed improvement, rising to 46.6 from 44.4 in December. Upcoming US Preliminary PMIs: Later in the day, S&P Global is set to release the January preliminary PMIs for the United States (US). Market expectations lean towards manufacturing output maintaining its position in expansionary territory. This event could introduce further dynamics to the EUR/USD pair, given the interconnectedness of global markets. Technical Outlook and Maintrend Continuation: From a technical perspective, the confluence of support factors at 1.08500, along with the positive indications from the RSI and the 200-day Moving Average, strengthens the case for a continuation of the current tendency. Traders will be closely monitoring how the pair navigates through these levels and whether the rebound can be sustained. Conclusion: The EUR/USD's resilience at the crucial support level of 1.08500, despite mixed local data, underscores the significance of technical factors in guiding market movements. As the pair eyes a continuation of the maintrend, upcoming US PMI data could play a pivotal role in shaping short-term market dynamics. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies in response to evolving technical and fundamental factors in the forex landscape. Our preference Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
4
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 26After breaking the short-term downtrend line, the buyers were unable to maintain the pressure and the sellers returned later, currently the price is being forced down to the resistance area of ​​1,082, a continuous change in buying and selling pressure. This shows that the two sides are struggling fiercely in this area without creating any really clear signals. You temporarily stop trading, pay attention to the boundaries of the range, the direction of the breakout can reveal the next direction of the price.
Short
by Stone_Haven